Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 51.

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3408

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Probably the most painful loss of the season so far. Palace took us home but Watford hammered the Reds in London. Our heaviest loss for a long time I can remember, and the first game we haven't been able to score in also a long time. It had to be coming, I suppose, and we need to do something about our winter break, we're actually always shit after the break.

No worries, that should give us hopefully some steel to go and beat Atletico big time!

Back to our roots now: 100 units on Villa to WIN vs ManCity @18.00. Betcoin odds: 17.23

Odds advantage: 1.04%
Units advantage: 77 units

Add one EPL/La Liga Parlay:
Game 1: Spurs-Wolverhampton Wanderers. Wolves WIN @3.13. Sportsbet odds: 3.08
Game 2: Real Madrid-FC Barcelona. Barca WIN @3.15. Sportsbet odds: 3.1
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.8595. Sportsbet parlay: 9.5573

units advantage: 40.22

Running advantage after 279 bets: +6,076.13 (+117.22)
All-time cumulative: +28,075.24
Running units after 277 bets (48W|229L): +12,356.75 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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Bummer, but good for you Norwich, deserved to win, the way they attacked, was a bit painful to see sure, but they got a goal finally, the first from open play since New Year's I think I read.

Keeping it real simple today. Another Palace win after their 3 points last week should be possible, they just bloody need to score!

Game 1: Brighton vs Palace. Palace WIN @3.89. Betcoin odds: 3.60
Game 2: Watford vs Liverpool. Pool WIN @1.50. Betcoin odds: 1.48
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.84. Betcoin parlay: 5.328

Odds advantage: 9.6%
Units advantage: 51.2 units

Running advantage after 277 bets: +5,958.91 (+51.2)
All-time cumulative: +27,958.02
Running units after 276 bets (48W|228L): +12,456.75 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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I think the only reason I'm betting so recklessly these days is that I feel like I made a record high for profit units this season, but I better start bucking up, or things won't go well and we could dip below 10k. But then again, this is for fun, innit?

Shall I go small today on the favourites? EL, La Liga and EPL:
Game 1: Norwich City-Leicester City. Leicester WIN @1.75. Sportsbet odds: 1.72
Game 2: Real Sociedad-Real Valladolid. Sociedad WIN @1.53. Sportsbet odds: 1.51
Game 3: FC Salzburg-Eintracht Frankfurt. Salzburg WIN @1.84. Sportsbet odds: 1.84
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.9266. Sportsbet parlay: 4.7788

Odds advantage: 3.09%
Units advantage: 14.78 units

Running advantage after 276 bets: +5,907.71 (+14.78)
All-time cumulative: +27,906.82
Running units after 275 bets (48W|227L): +12,556.75 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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What an idiot I turned out to be. Backed the underdog, won that, and then picked the two losers of UCL. Watched Real, and got to say City deserved it, even though it was the penalty that Sterling drew that won it. Personally want Real to progress and somehow meet Liverpool, but then we still got to win our game first against Atletico... and I suppose it will be just as sweet to meet City, but hey, all things have yet to happen.

We go a parlay spread across three days, Brugge (and our main man Mignolet to again help us) to win, parlayed with a Pool away win against Watford?

Game 1: Man Utd vs Club Brugge. Brugge WIN @8.29. Sportsbet odds: 8.0
Game 2: Watforc vs Liverpool. Pool WIN @1.48. Sportsbet odds: 1.45
100 units parlay at Betcoin @12.2692. Sportsbet parlay: 11.6

Odds advantage: 5.76%
Units advantage: 66.92 units

Running advantage after 274 bets: +5,892.93 (+66.92)
All-time cumulative: +27,892.04
Running units after 274 bets (48W|226L): +12,656.75 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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Napoli sure know how to be the spoilers in UCL, and Barca once more show their frailty on the road. They get so few shots, just really want to pass the ball into the net. Shame on the draw but there you go.

Going for broke tonight, and I do think all these teams have a chance anyway in Europe.

Game 1: Lyon vs Juventus. Juve WIN @2.04. Sportsbet odds: 2.01
Game 2: Real Madrid vs City. Madrid WIN @2.82. Sportsbet odds: 2.79
Game 3: Braga vs Rangers. Rangers WIN @4.51. Sportsbet odds: 4.30
100 units parlay at Betcoin @25.95. Sportsbet parlay: 24.11

Odds advantage: 7.63%
Units advantage: 184 units

Running advantage after 273 bets: +5,826.01 (+184)
All-time cumulative: +27,825.12
Running units after 273 bets (48W|225L): +12,756.75 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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So much for settling late, lost both parlays on Liverpool failing to win at HT and failing to win by more than 1 goal. But what a comeback that was, and what a match for the memory. 24 corners, no cards for Pool, 70% possession and just a hailstorm of shots. We do have to thank Fabianski for an awful night though...

Still, I got 2 parlays all on Liverpool NORMAL wins waiting, so those are booked (phew) haha.

Anyway, Champions League, let's go for the away giants, and parlay with West Brom tightening the grip on Championship!
Game 1: Napoli vs Barca. Barca WIN @2.21. Sportsbet odds: 2.14
Game 2: Chelsea vs Bayern. Bayern WIN @1.87. Sportsbet odds: 1.88
Game 3: West Brom vs Preston NE. West Brom WIN @1.68. Sportsbet odds: 1.66
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.9429. Sportsbet parlay: 6.6785

Odds advantage: 3.96%
Units advantage: 26.44 units

Running advantage after 273 bets: +5,642.01 (+26.44)
All-time cumulative: +27,641.12
Running units after 272 bets (48W|222L): +12,856.75 (-200 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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Definitely not my day, haha.

Both bets settled as losses, and I haven't had a good sniff at a win in a while, except for the one I THOUGHT I posted here a few days ago (and that had Getafe win for us too). Never bet against Sevilla on the day.

Anyway, today, let's do a really, really long settling parlay:
Game 1: Liverpool to WIN FA Cup @ 5.49. Closest odds 5.0 (BetVictor and 888)
Game 2: Liverpool vs West Ham. Liverpool WIN Handicap-1.5/-2 @1.63. Betcoin odds: 1.62
Game 3: Watford vs Liverpool. Pool WIN @1.46. Betcoin odds: 1.47
100 unit parlay at Sportsbet.io @13.07. Other parlay: 11.907
Bet ID: 5e53b7f856c1b0ec9c8083fb

And a second parlay:
Game 1: Liverpool vs West Ham. Liverpool WIN HT @1.51. Betcoin odds: 1.49
Game 2: Napoli vs Barcelona. Barca WIN@ 2.17. Betcoin odds: 2.16
Game 3: Watford vs Liverpool. Pool WIN @1.46. Betcoin odds: 1.47
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io @4.75. Betcoin odds: 4.73
Bet ID: 5e524af61c12c5d7d0e07409

Odds advantage: 0.04%
Units advantage: 2 units

Running advantage after 272 bets: +5,615.57 (+118.3)
All-time cumulative: +27,614.68
Running units after 270 bets (48W|220L): +13,056.75 (-200 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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The day Palace win for us, Spurs lets us down again. Have to say Chelski deserved the draw though, and then there was that red card from VAR that should have been caught. All the same, doesn't dampen my mood for a Watford upset! Shall we pair it with a Champs League Barca win next week? This won't settle today even if Watford win, let's look maybe at another addition later.

Game 1: Man Utd vs Watford. Watford WIN @6.56. Betcoin odds: 6.30
Game 2: Napoli vs Barcelona. Barca WIN @2.17. Betcoin odds: 2.20
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @14.24. Betcoin parlay: 13.86
Bet ID: 5e524a561df992a807f618b0

Odds advantage: 2.74%
Units advantage: 38 units

Let's add another that'll settle today:
Game 1: Wolverhampton Wanderers-Norwich City . Wolves WIN @1.53. Sportsbet odds: 1.51
Game 2: Getafe-FC Sevilla. Getafe WIN @2.37. Sportsbet odds: 2.31
Game 3: Genoa Cfc-SS Lazio Roma. Lazio WIN @1.76. Sportsber odds: 1.75
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.3819. Sportsbet parlay: 6.1042

Odds advantage: 4.55%
Units advantage: 27.77 units

Running advantage after 270 bets: +5,497.27 (+38)
All-time cumulative: +27,496.38
Running units after 268 bets (48W|220L): +13,256.75 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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It wasn't to be! EPL returns and I have a feeling I'll do well today, so I'll kick off with the first parlay of the day, and perhaps add in one or two more picks later on, depending on how well I do or don't haha.

It's Mourinho without Son and Kane, but I think Moura and Alli should be able to get some act between themselves. No Kante makes Chelsea terrible at breaking up attacks sorry Lamps. And Palace, for once, please!

Game 1: Chelsea FC-Tottenham Hotspur. Spurs WIN @4.93. Sportsbet odds: 4.83
Game 2: Crystal Palace-Newcastle United. Palace WIN @2.10. Sportsbet odds: 2.07
100 units parlay at Betcoin @10.353. Sportsbet parlay: 9.998

Odds advantage: 3.55%
Units advantage: 35.5 units

Running advantage after 268 bets: +5,431.51 (+35.5)
All-time cumulative: +27,430.61
Running units after 267 bets (48W|219L): +13,356.75 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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Dafuuuu... I thought I posted my parlay here last night, Getafe, Wolves, Arsenal. I mean, damn! Haha. Anyway, Arsenal and Wolves doing so well in Europa and I'm glad Jota got his hattrick! And Ajax are as lightweight as ever.

Tonight's pick for me a lot harder but here it is anyway, I hate Napoli but not because they're good or they made Liverpool sweat but because of their damned President. Lose again tonight?

100 units at Sportsbet on Brescia to WIN vs Napoli @6.35. Betcoin odds: 6.19
Bet ID: 5e5011da1df9921553f5ea99

Odds advantage: 2.58%
Units advantage: 16 units

Running advantage after 267 bets: +5,396.01 (+16)
All-time cumulative: +27,395.11
Running units after 266 bets (48W|218L): +13,456.75 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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That totally hurt. But we'll be back and Klopp was right, welcome to Anfield, Atleti. Don't remember the last time I saw so many players go down, they took Mane out with a yellow, difficult! We surely can't have the same ref in the return leg.

Right then. I'll ignore CL tonight and go for a West Ham upset in the postponed EPL game. Adding stake odds here just to show odds from a different provider (betradar but with reduced juice I'm told?).

100 units on West Ham to WIN vs Manchester City @19.074. Stake odds: 17.0 Betcoin odds: 17.31

Odds advantage: 10.19%
Units advantage: 176.4 units

Running advantage after 266 bets: +5,380.01 (+176.4)
All-time cumulative: +27,379.11
Running units after 265 bets (48W|217L): +13,556.75 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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That was another United beauty last night. Mind you, they didn't exactly convince me but scoring the goal is important and I think Chelski realise now they have a really crap keeper...

Tonight the blessed Champions League returns and I will have a few important parlays settle or progress with Liverpool winning, so very excited.

But since we like taking more bets, let's do this:

Game 1: Atletico vs Liverpool. Pool WIN @ 2.37. Betcoin odds: 2.41
Game 2: Borussia Dortmund vs PSG. PSG WIN HT @2.93. Betcoin odds: 2.75
100 units parlay at Sportsbet.io @6.94. Betcoin parlay: 6.6275
Bet ID: 5e4bfed7c9070b49065be25a

Odds advantage: 4.72%
Units advantage: 31.25 units

Running advantage after 265 bets: +5,203.61 (+31.25)
All-time cumulative: +27,203.11
Running units after 264 bets (48W|216L): +13,656.75 (524.56 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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I couldn't have been more wrong about Auba, he really fired the Gooners up, BUT 4-0 was probably a bit of a flattering result for them. Still, they'll love this, the fans. And I think, they deserve it. Arteta, trying to not smile like Wenger in presscon post game;)

Chelsea will probably win the game tonight actually, but United have been stung so often now it's probably going to work in their favour -- plus, they do have a way of turning up this season against fancier opponents. Isn't it strange that Chelski are considered fancier to United this season?

Game 1: Chelsea FC-Manchester United. United WIN @4.22. Sportsbet odds: 4.01
Game 2: FC Zenit ST Petersburg-Kairat Almaty. Zenit WIN @1.48. Sportsbet odds: 1.46
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.2456. Sportsbet parlay: 5.8546

Odds advantage: 6.68%
Units advantage: 39.1 units

Running advantage after 264 bets: +5,172.36 (+39.1)
All-time cumulative: +27,171.86
Running units after 263 bets (47W|216L): +13,132.19 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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Well it was always going to be tough after all, only Barca gave us a HT win and even Ings couldn't save the Saints, poor guy. Out today and on rather inconvenient mobile and data so I'm not able to study the underdogs well (yeah, cause I do, you know). Arsenal have been letting down people all season and Auba hasn't had much luck with goals since the red card, so a Toon upset on the cards? I say yes.

100 units on Newcastle to WIN vs Arsenal @7.931. Betcoin odds: 7.34

Odds advantage: 8.05%
Units advantage: 59.1 units

Running advantage after 263 bets: +5,133.26 (+59.1)
All-time cumulative: +27,132.76
Running units after 262 bets (47W|215L): +13,232.19 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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Yeah, and now that Valencia got KO'd out of the Copa by Granada, they should have been all in on this one, plus that they need a Europa spot. But well, it turned out to be even, both full of attacking intent, though Valencia saw much more of the ball too bad!

Rage betting tonight on 1st half wins from Pool, Saints and Barca:

Game 1: Southampton WIN HT vs Burnley @2.42. Betcoin odds: 2.30
Game 2: Barca WIN HT vs Getafe @1.89. Betcoin odds: 1.91
Game 3: Liverpool WIN HT vs Norwich @1.72. Betcoin odds: 1.73
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @7.87. Betcoin: 7.6
Bet ID: 5e47a735c9070bcd535b87ca

Odds advantage: 7.55%
Units advantage: 27 units

Running advantage after 262 bets: +5,074.16 (+27)
All-time cumulative: +27,073.66
Running units after 261 bets (47W|214L): +13,332.19 (-100 units)

Trofo

legendary

Activity: 2450

Merit: 2520

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Really like your Valencia pick for today. Atletico is rather bad this season and I don't know how Valencia isn't a favourite today. I picked Valencia win for small stake and in sportsbet multibet promo. For my high stake ticket I choose more safe Valencia not to lose @1,75 which has immense value in my opinion.

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3408

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Bleeding draws. And these were rather strong favourites too, but cup games over 2 legs always have this danger, I suppose, and we paid for it good last night.

Anyway, normal league games resume and I'm happy to throw a few dollars at Valencia upsetting a rag-tag Atletico.

Game 1: Monaco-Montpellier Hsc. Monaco WIN @1.84. Sportsbet odds: 1.80
Game 2: KAS Eupen-KAA Gent. Gent WIN @1.55. Sportsbet odds: 1.56
Game 3: Valencia-Atletico Madrid. Valencia WIN @3.51. Sportsbet odds: 3.40
100 unit parlay at Betcoin @10.0105. Sportsbet parlay: 9.5472

Odds advantage: 4.85%
Units advantage: 46.33 units

Running advantage after 261 bets: +5,047.16 (+46.33)
All-time cumulative: +27,046.66
Running units after 260 bets (47W|213L): +13,432.19 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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I got that really switched around well, didn't I? Napoli swung for the 1-0, as did Athletic Bilbao (but Granada wasn't a letdown to be fair, they just shat on their defence and tried to score). Funny the Copa del Rey was shown on my TV and not Italia though. Pretty sure Inter Napoli was the bigger game.

Let's do another risky cup parlay:
Game 1: SC Heerenveen-Feyenoord Rotterdam. Feyenoord WIN @2.19. Sportsbet odds: 2.16
Game 2: AC Milan-Juventus Turin. Juve WIN @2.21. Sportsbet odds: 2.18
Game 3: Royal Antwerp FC-KRC Genk Antwerp WIN @1.95. Sportsbet odds: 1.92
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.4378. Sportsbet parlay: 9.0408

Odds advantage: 4.39%
Units advantage: 39.7 units

Running advantage after 260 bets: +5,000.8 (+39.7)
All-time cumulative: +27,000.33
Running units after 259 bets (47W|212L): +13,532.19 (-200 units) (Correction from yesterday forgot to remove 100 units!)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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Tough way to lose a game, give away a penalty, red card, while fighting away from home. Maybe next time they get worse odds, I'll pick them again, too bad Thais, you almost did it.

Anyway, cup games tonight. I've been putting Granada off since they lost their fantastic early season form but shall we back them to knock out Bilbao tonight, and parlay with another Lukaku-inspired win?

Game 1: Inter Milan vs Napoli. Inter WIN @2.01. Sportsbet odds: 1.98
Game 2: Athletic Bilbao-Granada. Granada WIN @5.66. Sportsbet odds: 5.30
100 units parlay at Betcoin @11.3766. Sportsbet parlay: 10.494

Odds advantage: 8.41%
Units advantage: 88.26 units

Running advantage after 258 bets: +4,961.1 (+88.26)
All-time cumulative: +26,960.63
Running units after 257 bets (47W|210L): +13,732.19 (+850.4 units)

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2758

Merit: 3408

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I thought they were overconfident of late and they showed it again last night. They're clearly the best side on paper in the Dutch 2nd-tier, and probably keep wanting to prove it, though no one could have predicted such a meltdown against the underdogs, 7-2 loss! Across the pond, LA got their win by half-time, so we book a nice parlay!

AFC Champs League begins today and I actually recall betting on Melbourne Victory as the underdogs to progress but they haven't won in 5 games (4L1D) in the A League, while Chiangrai are well rested after winning the Thai league... so here is my pick for today:

100 units at Fairlay on Chiangrai Utd to WIN vs Melbourne Victory @6.8. Betcoin odds: 6.58

Odds advantage: 4.12%
Units advantage: 22 units

Running advantage after 258 bets: +4,872.84 (+22)
All-time cumulative: +26,872.37
Running units after 257 bets (47W|210L): +13,732.19 (+850.4 units)

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 51. (Read 38849 times)