Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 52.

buwaytress

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So yesterday's bet was returned. So I'll reset the numbers to the ones before yesterday. Shame as I'm not sure we'll find matching odds so soon, but anyway. MLS and I don't think we'll get an upset, so I'll pair it against another Jong Ajax loss (they've been overconfident lately) and with bad winds, who knows?

Game 1: Jong FC Utrecht-Jong Ajax Amsterdam. Jong Utrecht WIN @5.40. Sportsbet odds: 5.20
Game 2: Los Angeles Galaxy-New England Revolution. LA Galaxy WIN @1.76. Sportsbet odds: 1.77
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.504. Sportsbet parlay: 9.204

Odds advantage: 3.26%
Units advantage: 30 units

Running advantage after 257 bets: +4,850.84 (+30)
All-time cumulative: +26,850.37
Running units after 256 bets (46W|210L): +12,881.79 (+-0 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Forum's really iffy now and I already lost a couple of drafts (also something wrong with my device it won't reload or restore my past pages on back. ANYWAY, lost two of yesterday's games, shame.

And I have a bet today but just heard the game's been postponed so we'll see if the bet is returned or if it carries forward. I'm still hoping it continues but with Storm winds, looks unlikely.

100 units on West Ham to WIN vs Manchester City @25.47. Betcoin odds: 24.64.

Odds advantage: 3.37%
Units advantage: 86 units

Running advantage after 257 bets: +4,906.84 (+86)
All-time cumulative: +26,906.37
Running units after 256 bets (46W|210L): +12,881.79 (-200 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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@Trofo I'm glad you didn't bet on my picks... I really am happy I'm doing well but I know it's luck and I bet more often with heart than with head, even though I try to follow form!

The Copa del Rey games were tough, and Real actually played like angels (I watched) and still lost.

Anyway, back to English Prem League, I really like Palace's odds today. They've been a really strong team this season and I think the results just haven't gone their way. I feel like they miss Wan Bissaka and I fear they may also lose Zaha next season but surely 6/1 against Everton is good value?

100 units on Crystal Palace to WIN at Everton @6.11. Betcoin odds: 5.80

Odds advantage: 5.34%
Units advantage: 31 units

Then, a long parlay today on relegation strugglers Watford, with next week's Liverpool game:
Game 1: Brighton & Hove Albion-Watford. Watford WIN @3.67. Sportsbet odds: 3.42
Game 2: Norwich City-Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.35. Sportsbet odds: 1.35
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.9545. Sportsbet parlay: 4.617

Odds advantage: 7.31%
Units advantage: 33.75 units

Cumulative units: 64.75

Running advantage after 256 bets: +4,820.84 (+64.75)
All-time cumulative: +26,820.37
Running units after 254 bets (46W|208L): +13,081.79 (-100 units)

Trofo

legendary

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Quote from: buwaytress on February 06, 2020, 01:11:22 PM

I'm getting really bad at this. Good thing Trofo isn't picking on my picks no more;)

I am reading your tips daily but I rarely put money on them. When you play against the favorites I am usually playing both to score or double chance for a bit more realistic outcome, granted at way smaller odds. I usually play my ticket before checking your tips and then sometimes I decide to add another one.

Now when we are talking about upsets tonight, if somebody pointed a gun at my hand and made me predict Barca game I would go for 1:0 win for Bilbao. There is some bad blood in Barca dressing room and San Mames isn't a stadium where anybody can win easily. Wanted to play Bilbao not to lose but odds are @2,0 which is a bit too low for that kind of bet.

My ticket for today is (beer money only):
Real both to score @1,8
Barca game under 2,5 @ 1,75
Sivaspor both to score @1,7
Gasquet to win when he was 1:0 down in sets @3.5 which has already passed nicely

good luck with yours.

buwaytress

legendary

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I'm getting really bad at this. Good thing Trofo isn't picking on my picks no more;) Wondering if Lazio also hits a rut and doesn't get up. They've really been good this season.

Am I boring if I go for La Liga favourites tonight plus the U23 Argentina? They've been good to me many times, even though a cup upset is likely...

Game 1: Real Madrid-Real Sociedad. Madrid WIN @1.43. Sportsbet odds: 1.41
Game 2: Athletic Bilbao-FC Barcelona. Barca WIN @1.89. Sportsbet odds: 1.88
Game 3: Argentina-Colombia. Argentina WIN @1.93. Sportsbet odds: 1.89
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.2162. Sportsbet parlay: 5.01

Odds advantage: 3.37%
Units advantage: 20.62 units

Running advantage after 254 bets: +4,756.09 (+20.62)
All-time cumulative: +26,755.62
Running units after 253 bets (46W|207L): +13,181.79 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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BVB out of the DFB Pokal, wow. And Valencia out of Copa del Rey? WOW. But well done Bremen and Granada. I'm just sorry I didn't pick you guys.

But I will pick on Saints tonight to beat Spurs. Only cause Ings deserves to score, and Spurs, well, you did well against City but you should focus on the league!;)

Game 1: Lazio vs Verona. Lazio WIN HT @1.96. Betcoin odds: 1.97
Game 2: Spurs vs Southampton. Saints WIN @4.85. Betcoin odds: 4.67
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @9.51. Betcoin odds: 9.29
Bet ID: 5e3a76f8c9070b357a5a8051

Odds advantage: 3.37%
Units advantage: 31 units

Running advantage after 253 bets: +4,735.47 (+31)
All-time cumulative: +26,735.00
Running units after 252 bets (46W|206L): +13,281.79 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Can't always get it right. Napoli didn't start Mertens and Koulibaly and they still get off with 2 goals. Maybe that ship's righting itself, after all.

Lots of cup games tonight. I actually ALREADY have a parlay with a Shrewsbury leg above 2/1 for Liverpool, so I won't touch that tonight.

Instead, we pick a few difficult bookie favourites across Europe:

Game 1: Werder Bremen-Borussia Dortmund. BVB WIN @1.49. Sportsbet odds: 1.48
Game 2: Derby County-Northampton Town. Derby WIN @1.46. Sportsbet odds: 1.44
Game 3: Oxford United-Newcastle United. Toons WIN @2.02. Sportsbet odds: 1.98
Game 4: Granada CF-CF Valencia. Valencia WIN @2.32. Sportsbet odds: 2.27
100 units parlay at Betcoin @10.1947. Sportsbet parlay: 9.5788

Odds advantage: 6.43%
Units advantage: 61.59 units

Running advantage after 252 bets: +4,704.47 (+61.59)
All-time cumulative: +26,704.00
Running units after 251 bets (46W|205L): +13,381.79 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Fairplay to Burnley. They could have won it actually, and Arsenal were actually the luckier side to get away with a point. Sean Dyche knows how to get his men down to hunker up and Arteta needs to learn that. Shame we picked Spurs though, a wasted win, should have done it up with Juve and Barca instead.

Anyway. Hamburg been on a bad run of form lately with four games without a win. They'll be itching to end Bochum's opposite run of form. So worth a risky parlay with Napoli losing again!

Game 1: Bochum-Hamburger SV. Hamburg WIN @1.77. Sportsbet odds: 1.76
Game 2: Sampdoria-SSC Napoli. Sampdoria WIN @4.54. Sportsbet odds: 4.38
100 units parlay at Betcoin @8.0358. Sportsbet parlay: 7.7088

Odds advantage: 4.24%
Units advantage: 32.7 units

Running advantage after 251 bets: +4,642.88 (+32.7)
All-time cumulative: +26,642.41
Running units after 250 bets (46W|204L): +13,481.79 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Damn Watford. Damn Wolves. But hey, we got what I probably deserved, backing the underdogs... right? I'm not learning my lesson today yet, but I will pick Arsenal (who gets Aubameyeng back today) to pick off Burnley away, and for Mourinho to get one over his old rival!

Easy pick, maybe I'm predictable. 10 minutes to go! Last min bets!

Game 1: Burnley vs Arsenal. Arsenal WIN @1.96 Betcoin odds: 1.94
Game 2: Tottenham Hotspur vs Man City. Spurs WIN @5.92 Betcoin odds: 5.61
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @11.60. Betcoin parlay: 10.88
Bet ID: 5e36c4a0af146948ed77b44d

Odds advantage: 6.62%
Units advantage: 72 units

Running advantage after 250 bets: +4,610.18 (+72)
All-time cumulative: +26,609.71
Running units after 249 bets (46W|203L): +13,581.79 (-200 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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I was actually slightly worried I'd lose to Hertha's new coach sydrome that would finally kick in but my pick did dominate, and the game sadly ended in a scoreless draw.

Now today a lot of exciting matches but the odds are a bit tight everywhere. So I'll do a bit of a silly parlay on 2 favourites elsewhere, Wolves to beat United at Old Trafford AND Liverpool to pad it up;)

Game 1: Manchester United-Wolverhampton Wanderers. Wolves WIN @3.52. Sportsbet odds: 3.32
Game 2: SK Slavia Prague-Aarhus. Prague WIN @1.84. Sportsbet odds: 1.84
Game 3: USA-Costa Rica. US WIN @1.59. Sportsbet odds: 1.58
Game 4: Liverpool FC-Southampton FC. Liverpool WIN @1.30. Sportsbet odds: 1.28
100 units parlay at Betcoin @13.3875. Sportsbet parlay: 12.3544

Odds advantage: 8.36%
Units advantage: 103.31 units

And, I want to put in a long parlay on Watford's next 2 games, why not? Samatta to score!
Game 1: Liverpool FC-Southampton FC. Liverpool WIN @1.31. Sportsbet odds: 1.28
Game 2: Watford FC-Everton FC. Watford WIN @2.88. Sportsbet odds: 2.79
Game 3: Brighton & Hove Albion-Watford. Watford WIN @3.58. Sportsbet odds: 3.46
100 units parlay at Betcoin @13.5066. Sportsbet parlay: 12.3563

Odds advantage: 9.31%
Units advantage: 115.03 units

Total units advantage: 218.34

Running advantage after 249 bets: +4,538.18 (+218.34)
All-time cumulative: +26,537.71
Running units after 247 bets (46W|200L): +13,781.79 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Died on the very first leg, so I just didn't even check the rest, broken hearts on Friday morning? Nah! Just ready to go some more before a big game tomorrow!

I've been losing a couple of bets on Hertha Berlin when they got their new coach (still a marvelous guy to me for sure) so this time I pick their opponents who've won me a couple at least. The odds aren't too bad, and it's because they just got a shellacking from Bayern haha. Parlay that with an exotic competition with Copenhagen to beat Astana.

Game 1: Hertha BSC-FC Schalke 04. Schalke WIN @2.64. Sportsbet odds: 2.60
Game 2: FC Copenhagen-FC Astana. Copenhagen WIN @1.78. Sportsbet odds: 1.76
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.6992. Sportsbet parlay: 4.576

Odds advantage: 2.69%
Units advantage: 12.32 units

Running advantage after 247 bets: +4,319.84 (+12.32)
All-time cumulative: +26,319.37
Running units after 246 bets (46W|200L): +13,881.79 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Quote from: Trofo on January 29, 2020, 05:45:44 PM

Congrats on your ticket. I lost mine, in the end I opted for both to score in Manchester derby and handicap on Liverpool. Didn't watch the whole game but I saw one Aguero goal in the last minutes which was rightly disallowed due to the offside. I had my hopes up for few seconds but luck was on your side tonight.

Thank you;) You know, I often have a slight regret when betting so high odds, but I'm glad I go ahead anyway on them this season. It does help that I'm betting just under $5 per game right now, so even if I lose I don't feel the sting!

Anyway, simple parlay on friendly, U23 and Coupe - with the Lyon win tricky.

Game 1: Nice vs Lyon. Lyon WIN @2.29. Sportsbet odds: 2.26
Game 2: Marbella vs Sparta Prague. Prague WIN @1.69. Sportsbet odds: 1.68
Game 3: Venezuela vs Argentina (U23). Argentina WIN @1.61. Sportsbet odds: 1.60
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.23. Sportsbet parlay: 6.0748

Odds advantage: 2.55%
Units advantage: 15.52 units

Running advantage after 246 bets: +4,307.52 (+15.52)
All-time cumulative: +26,307.05
Running units after 245 bets (46W|199L): +13,981.79 (+1,092.6 units)

Trofo

legendary

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Congrats on your ticket. I lost mine, in the end I opted for both to score in Manchester derby and handicap on Liverpool. Didn't watch the whole game but I saw one Aguero goal in the last minutes which was rightly disallowed due to the offside. I had my hopes up for few seconds but luck was on your side tonight.

buwaytress

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Quote from: Trofo on January 29, 2020, 11:28:43 AM

Hey man, you are getting predictable, I knew your pairs even before I have seen the post

For Liverpool and against City sure worked nicely this season.

Never thought I will miss Rashford so much. I wanted to play United not to lose or both to score but I am afraid that without Rashford there simply isn't anyone direct enough to seriously put pressure on City. It is almost like draw without goals is the best United can hope for.

Sorry buddy, I know I'm getting predictable, even my kid knew when he came home from school I bet on United and Liverpool but you know, sometimes, the simpler the better!

I'm quite happy right now. HT and both games are 1-0 so I already booked a parlay in. Now I just need United to hold on. Not watching that match so no idea how that happened but hey, if de Gea is on his game today for another 50 minutes. Would love for them to make it 2-0 in the next one though!

And yeah, I actually like Rashford -- even if he plays for the enemy. They really didn't need to risk him and now he's off injured for so long.

Enjoy the game bud!

Trofo

legendary

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Hey man, you are getting predictable, I knew your pairs even before I have seen the post

For Liverpool and against City sure worked nicely this season.

Never thought I will miss Rashford so much. I wanted to play United not to lose or both to score but I am afraid that without Rashford there simply isn't anyone direct enough to seriously put pressure on City. It is almost like draw without goals is the best United can hope for.

buwaytress

legendary

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Not sure if I should say wow Villa or wow Foxes. But you know what? On the account I watched, with Vardy injured and Villa seemingly full of fire and Samatta looking like he's going to score, maybe it's best Villa go to the final after all... though City will still win it if they progress. United, can they conjure a miracle? That's for another night.

Tonight is a strange, strange night. Both EPL and EFL cup matches happening at the same time. So it's an easy parlay:

Game 1: West Ham vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.34. Sportsbet odds: 1.33
Game 2: Man City vs Man Utd. United WIN @8.90. Sportsbet odds: 8.70
100 units parlay at Betcoin @11.926. Sportsbet parlay: 11.571

Odds advantage: 3.1%
Units advantage: 35.5 units

Running advantage after 245 bets: +4,292.0 (+35.5)
All-time cumulative: +26,291.53
Running units after 244 bets (45W|199L): +12,889.19 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Damn, thought I posted this but timed out. Sorry, match started it seems. Yes, well. Arsenal. Haha. Anyway.

Only one match worth watching tonight and it's a repeat of Leicester Villa. The Foxes should really have won it and now Vardy's injured they've got a tough lineup, but they better win this cause no way Villa will beat City in the finals (yes, I'm betting on United in that one but you know). Anyway, AFC CL qualifiers too: Kashima Antlers I will remember have lost some of their shine of yesteryear and the Aussie outfit have been playing above expectations in the last round. A pretty parlay, shall we?

Game 1: Aston Villa-Leicester City. Foxes WIN @1.71. Sportsbet odds: 1.68
Game 2: Kashima Antlers-Melbourne Victory. Melbourne WIN @6.30. Sportsbet odds: 5.90
100 units parlay at Betcoin @10.773. Sportsbet parlay: 9.912

Odds advantage: 8.69%
Units advantage: 86.1 units

Running advantage after 244 bets: +4,256.50 (+86.1)
All-time cumulative: +26,256.03
Running units after 243 bets (45W|198L): +12,989.19 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Should have just gone for Napoli and be done with it, in the end. Or gone against Barca. Liverpool draw hurt me, but at least most of my money was on the HT win, since it had slightly better odds. Kids in defence, Lovren rusty af, oh well.

U23 Conmebol and another Arsenal loss, why not?

Game 1: 23/Argentina-23/Ecuador. Argentina WIN @1.26. Sportsbet odds: 1.24
Game 2: Bournemouth-Arsenal. Bournemouth WIN @4.65. Sportsbet odds: 4.48
100 unit parlay at Betcoin @5.859. Sportsbet parlay: 5.5552

Odds advantage: 5.47%
Units advantage: 30.38 units

Running advantage after 243 bets: +4,170.40 (+30.38)
All-time cumulative: +26,169.93
Running units after 242 bets (45W|197L): +13,089.19 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Damn Newcastle. The only guys who didn't win their game, at home too! I mean, I know they're crap but I thought they'd turn things around after making their first 5th round appearance in over 10 years. Probably makes them good value bets for the replay I suppose.

Oh and Ufa, you lost me money too. Should have gone for both upsets in the second parlay.

Simple parlay today. Liverpool should still edge this, I'm going big on today's game as our 1st teamsters aren't all featuring but we should still benefit from Fabinho, Matip, Gomez!

Game 1: Real Valladolid-Real Madrid. Madrid WIN @1.44. Sportsbet odds: 1.43
Game 2: Inter Milano-Cagliari. Inter WIN @1.32. Sportsbet odds: 1.30
Game 3: Napoli-Juventus. Juve WIN @2.08. Sportsbet odds: 2.04
Game 4: Shrewsbury Town-Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.37. Sportsbet odds: 1.35
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.4165. Sportsbet parlay: 5.1196

Odds advantage: 5.8%
Units advantage: 29.69 units

Running advantage after 242 bets: +4,140.02 (+29.69)
All-time cumulative: +26,139.55
Running units after 241 bets (45W|196L): +13,189.19 (-200 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Well the run had to end, didn't it? But that was a great January 2020, really! Didn't even watch the game but the Russians had in 2-0 well before half time. Irish league quality never really cuts it does it?

Anyway, FA Cup returns, so we go for a 4-leg parlay on the favourites. I know. I know. FA Cup magic and all that but these teams have mainly all rested!

Game 1: Hull City-Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @1.51. Sportsbet odds: 1.49
Game 2: Brentford FC-Leicester City. Foxes WIN @1.70. Sportsbet odd: 1.65
Game 3: Millwall FC-Sheffield United. Blades WIN @2.28. Sportsbet odds: 2.26
Game 4: Newcastle United-Oxford United. Toons WIN @1.57. Sportsbet odds: 1.58
100 units parlay at Betcoin @9.1888. Sportsbet parlay @8.7788

Odds advantage: 4.67%
Units advantage: 41 units

Edit: Adding an Aussie upset in the U23 (I think the bookies have the odds wrong) to another Russian friendly (Ufa) who should beat a poor Polish side.
Game 1: Ufa vs Slask Wroclaw. Ufa WIN @1.70. Sportsbet odds: 1.71
Game 2: Australia vs Uzbekistan. Aus WIN @3.77. Sportsbet odds: 3.56
100 units parlay at Betcoin @6.409. Sportsbet parlay @6.0876

Odds advantage: 5.28%
Units advantage: 32.14 units

Running advantage after 241 bets: +4,110.33 (+73.14)
All-time cumulative: +26,109.86
Running units after 239 bets (45W|194L): +13,389.19 (-100 units)

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 52. (Read 38849 times)