Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 52.

buwaytress

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So nice to get 2 wins in a row. Maybe if Bremen do us a favour tonight, we make it 3 in a row? But with so many delicious selections available tonight, I'm tempted to make this a possible 4 wins in 3 days -- maybe my hot streak needs riding?

Ararat Armenia brings me good memories, Porto brings me bad ones, but let's do very risky bets on them and the Israeli playoff underdog:

Game 1: Famalicao vs Porto. Porto WIN @1.45. SB odds: 1.45
Game 2: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa FC. Haifa WIN @4.5. SB odds: 4.46
Game 3: Ararat Armenia vs Lori. Ararat WIN @1.57 SB odds: 1.55
100 units parlay at Betcoin @10.297. SB parlay: 10.023

Odds advantage: 2.73%
Units advantage: 27.4

Running advantage after 306 bets: +7,174.02 (+27.4)
All-time cumulative: +29,173.24
Running units after 304 bets (51W|253L): +11,435.15 (+407.4 units)

buwaytress

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Finally. A first profit since lockdown ended. And we're also nicely set up for the 2nd leg of yesterday's parlay with that thumping, if slightly nervy, Leipzig finish.

Just a simple parlay on Israeli and Danish leagues today.

Game 1: Hapoel Tel Aviv FC-Beitar Jerusalem FC. Tel Aviv WIN @2.95. SB odds: 2.90
Game 2: Broendby IF-Sonderjyske. Broendby WIN @1.72. SB odds: 1.70
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.074. SB parlay: 4.93

Odds advantage: 2.92%
Units advantage: 14.4

Running advantage after 305 bets: +7,146.62 (+14.4)
All-time cumulative: +29,145.84
Running units after 303 bets (50W|253L): +11,027.75 (+300 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Oh shocker, I lost it all on the Danish game. The one time Bundesliga plays it proper.

Lesson learned for me? Nah, not really. I want Leipzig to win this one tonight, though if you notice I've been backing Koln lately, but let's double down on winning the last parlay we got left and booking in the first leg of this one. Bremen's on song, and finally shaking off that first loss but they GOT to win this game in hand to remain in Bundesliga and we really want them to!

Game 1:FC Cologne-RB Leipzig. Leipzig WIN @1.55. Stake odds: 1.53
Game 2: Werder Bremen-Eintracht Frankfurt. Bremen WIN @2.76. Stake odds: 2.74
100 units parlay at Betcoin @4.278. Stake parlay: 4.1922

Odds advantage: 2.05%
Units advantage: 8.58

Running advantage after 304 bets: +7,132.22 (+8.58)
All-time cumulative: +29,131.44
Running units after 302 bets (49W|253L): +10,727.75 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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Shocker. 5-0? Nah, expected. Game's not over but there's no way Dusseldorf scores 5 in the next 10 minutes. So we're very much alive for the parlay. Updated odds and numbers below.

Game 1: Bayern Munich vs Fortuna Dusseldorf. Dusseldorf WIN @24.54. Betcoin odds: 24.18
100 units at Sportsbet. Bet ID: 5ed2440c753af90544405d3c

Special parlay at Sportsbet. Bayern, Gladbach, Leipzig, Dortmund to win @4.00. Betcoin odds: 3.65

Total units advantage: 71

Add another parlay for 2. Bundeliga plus Danish Superliga:
Game 1: Hamburger SV-SV Wehen Wiesbaden. Hamburg WIN @1.39. Sportsbet odds: 1.38
Game 2: SG Dynamo Dresden-VfB Stuttgart . Stuttgart WIN @1.44. Sportsbet odds: 1.42
Game 3: Esbjerg FB-Aalborg BK. Aalborg WIN @2.11. Sportsbet odds: 2.04
100 units parlay @Betcoin:4.2233 SB parlay:3.9975

Total units advantage: 22.58

Running advantage after 303 bets: +7,123.65 (+93.58)
All-time cumulative: +29,122.86
Running units after 301 bets (49W|252L): +10,827.75 (-200 units)

buwaytress

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This is a sucker bet boys, but I'm putting one down for Bayern to LOSE today to relegation candidates Dusseldorf as it's over 24/1 on boosted odds at Sportsbet. It's about 23 elsewhere or 24.18 Betcoin right now

Also boosted odds is a 4-leg parlay at 4/1 on Bayern (1.11)/Dortmund (1.36)/Gladbach (1.54)/Leipzig(1.57). It's about 3.65 at Betcoin.

I don't have access to the betslips but I'll update later!

Games start in about 45 minutes!

buwaytress

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Well! Bundesliga is really not my thang, lost every leg of the parlay, many draws which I keep thinking won't happen again. Today, a somewhat blind pick. Always got a thing for Hamburg, but think the home team should get this.

Game 1: Stuttgart vs Hamburg. Stuttgart WIN @2.37. Stake odds: 2.36
Game 2: Aarhus vs Randers. Aarhus WIN @2.24. Stake odds: 2.22
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.3088. Stake parlay: 5.2392

Odds advantage: 1.11%
Units advantage: 6.96

Running advantage after 300 bets: +7,030.17 (+6.96)
All-time cumulative: +29,029.28
Running units after 299 bets (49W|250L): +11,027.75 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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BVB were up for it, but in the end Bayern stamped their class on the game. There should have been that penalty I feel, so strange no one contested it but there you go. Not that it would have mattered anyway as our Gladbach had another drab game.

Hertha almost won the game today but we'll go for a parlay on the remainders. In-play now at 5th min!

Game 1: Hoffenheim-1. FC Cologne. Koln WIN @2.73. Stake: 2.70
Game 2: Augsburg-SC Paderborn 07. Augsburg WIN @1.95. Stake: 1.94
Game 3: Fortuna Dusseldorf-FC Schalke 04. Schalke WIN @2.77. Stake: 2.73
100 units parlay at Betcoin @14.74. Stake parlay: 14.30

Odds advantage: 3.08%
Units advantage: 44

Running advantage after 299 bets: +7,023.21 (+44)
All-time cumulative: +29,022.32
Running units after 298 bets (49W|249L): +11,127.75 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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Horrible outings on Bundesliga, crazy match against Frankfurt though, what a scare.

Happy to see BVB as the big underdogs here, I know they are nowhere near their best but hey, Haaland, right?

Game 1: Borussia Dortmund - FC Bayern Munich. BVB WIN @4.10. Betcoin: 3.95
Game 2: Werder Bremen vs Borussia Monchengladbach. Gladback WIN @1.78. Betcoin: 1.79
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @7.298. Bet ID: 5ecd1e9a36c1ce38abba2906. Betcoin parlay: 7.0705

Odds advantage: 3.22%
Units advantage: 22.75

Running advantage after 298 bets: +6,979.21 (+22.75)
All-time cumulative: +28,978.32
Running units after 297 bets (49W|248L): +11,227.75 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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Well, let's do a quick in-game parlay today, instead of the glorious Frankfurt underdog (they're shit, aren't they?) pick. Starting with Bayern to have a clean sheet, and parlay that with a Leipzig and Coln win.

Game 1: Bayern clean sheet @2.06. Stake similar market odds: 2.02
Game 2: Fsv Mainz 05-RB Leipzig. Leipzig WIN @1.46. Stake odds: 1.46
Game 3: FC Cologne-Fortuna Dusseldorf. Koln WIN @1.81. Stake odds: 1.78

100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.4437. Stake parlay: 5.2495

Odds advantage: 3.7%
Units advantage: 19.42

Running advantage after 297 bets: +6,966.46 (+19.42)
All-time cumulative: +28,965.57
Running units after 296 bets (49W|247L): +11,327.75 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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Quote from: bolawin on May 18, 2020, 04:56:30 AM

Still dont know how these work, can you teach me?

Did you go through the first page of this thread? I'd help you but I don't understand what it is exactly you're asking. This isn't so much a tupster thread as it is a demonstration of why you should pick the best odds, though!

Anyway.

Made the right call on Beer Sheva, but not against Leverkusen. Bremen did need to win their games in hand to avoid relegation though, and to me making sure their 50+ year stay in the Bundesliga doesn't end should have been motivation. Oh well.

No bets today. Don't know the games.

bolawin

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Still dont know how these work, can you teach me?

buwaytress

legendary

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Couldn't watch much of the match but I don't know, it wasn't as one-sided as it should have been, more attempts from the "home" team but eventually you give away a penalty and Lewandowski can't miss.

Draws have appeared favourable in Bundesliga so far, so why not pick a draw or win for the underdogs today? Parlayed with a tricky Israeli friendly.

Game 1: Werder Bremen vs Leverkusen. Double Chance Bremen @2.22. Stake odds: 2.10
Game 2: Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Beer Sheva. Beer sheva WIN @2.57. Stake odds: 2.55
100 units parlay at Betcoin @5.6672. Stake parlay: 5.355

Odds advantage: 5.83%
Units advantage: 31.22

Running advantage after 296 bets: +6,947.04 (+31.22)
All-time cumulative: +28,946.15
Running units after 295 bets (49W|246L): +11,427.75 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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Quote from: Trofo on May 17, 2020, 03:24:40 AM

Quote from: buwaytress on May 17, 2020, 03:06:39 AM

We didn't forget about me, did we guys?

Bundesliga is back and after almost 2 months (earlier if you discount the shitty picks I made on last-chance saloon betting), we're raring to go and hoping that Bayern rediscover their early season lethargy when they take on unfancied Union Berlin today;)

Glad to see you back mate, I was missing your picks

This one I will not follow but good luck anyway. If I put anything on this match it will be both to score @2.10. That way it is enough for me that bayern starts slow in the first half or even first 20 minutes and hopefully Berlin scores a goal.

I switched to Esports in the meantime and now I will have a problem when all the leagues start again to fit in my new found interests.

Thanks buddy, really appreciate the custom =) I picked Cologne in a parlay which already lost thanks to Hoffenheim just playing like shit but if things stay the way they are now 2-2, then the draws a couple of Bundesliga regulars were predicting looks like the smart bet this weekend. Not expecting to win but happy to see the odds slipping bit by bit, maybe bookies feel less and less confident? Haha.

I played a handful of e-sports games but just really never got to finding them interesting enough to continue (and actually never won a single one!).

Trofo

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Quote from: buwaytress on May 17, 2020, 03:06:39 AM

We didn't forget about me, did we guys?

Bundesliga is back and after almost 2 months (earlier if you discount the shitty picks I made on last-chance saloon betting), we're raring to go and hoping that Bayern rediscover their early season lethargy when they take on unfancied Union Berlin today;)

Glad to see you back mate, I was missing your picks

This one I will not follow but good luck anyway. If I put anything on this match it will be both to score @2.10. That way it is enough for me that bayern starts slow in the first half or even first 20 minutes and hopefully Berlin scores a goal.

I switched to Esports in the meantime and now I will have a problem when all the leagues start again to fit in my new found interests.

buwaytress

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We didn't forget about me, did we guys?

Bundesliga is back and after almost 2 months (earlier if you discount the shitty picks I made on last-chance saloon betting), we're raring to go and hoping that Bayern rediscover their early season lethargy when they take on unfancied Union Berlin today;)

Easy one for me then:

100 units at Betcoin on Union Berlin to WIN vs Bayern Munich @14.72. Sportsbet odds: 14.0

Odds advantage: 5.14%
Units advantage: 72

Running advantage after 295 bets: +6,915.82 (+72)
All-time cumulative: +28,914.93
Running units after 294 bets (49W|245L): +11,527.75 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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Right, they did lead 2-1 at one point, so to lose 3-2 isn't so bad, right? It was a friendly even and the favourites were pressured into 3 yellow cards before winning in the 88th minute. Could have gone either way to be honest, but that's just looking at stats haha.

I'm not learning my lesson, and with some good roulette wins I have money to burn so:

100 units at Betcoin on Jonkopings Sodra IF to WIN vs BK Hacken @7.97. Other odds: 7.92

Odds advantage: 0.78%
Units advantage: 5

Running advantage after 294 bets: +6,843.82 (+5)
All-time cumulative: +28,842.93
Running units after 293 bets (49W|244L): +11,627.75 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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OK this is super stupid but every time I see this kind of friendly around, where the two teams actually aren't that far apart but because they play away they get some silly odds, yeah, why not? Probably a fool's bet and I can't even find a stream of it but hey, we need some of that luck don't we?

100 units at Betcoin on Fanna BK to WIN vsSollentuna FF @8.10. Other odds: 7.88

Odds advantage: 2.79%
Units advantage: 22

Running advantage after 293 bets: +6,838.82 (+22) [1 bets cancelled]
All-time cumulative: +28,837.93
Running units after 292 bets (49W|243L): +11,727.75 (+000 units)

buwaytress

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@Trofo I bet on 2 games last night but they got postponed. I'll have a scout around. I don't know the Russian and Central Asian leagues that well but there could be some good value offers on bookies desperate to have our money;) So maybe I put down some ambitious parlays on the top dogs who aren't exactly strangers to UEFA football either! Surprised Turkey hasn't postponed anything!

Southeast Asian games also still ongoing but I rarely bet on them. Lots of fishy things go on there Wink

Trofo

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Quote from: buwaytress on March 13, 2020, 03:05:53 AM

You're right. Might be the last chance to bet and watch football. I'm even not sure what to bet on today... only one game each in Ligue 1 and Bundesliga.

Those games and leagues have been suspended as well. Gambling addict like me found 2 games in Turkey played without supporters and decided to play both to score on both of them. Let's see how it turns out.

Yesterday was a great day for me, most of my tickets passed. I only lost the most risky one where I had Wolves to win and Eintractht both to score. Other tickets had Wolves not to lose and 2+ goals in Eintracht game which combined nicely with other "expected" results.

buwaytress

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Quote from: Trofo on March 12, 2020, 11:00:35 AM

Hey man,

Due to Corona virus scare this today is maybe last chance for us to earn/lose some money on serious football. That is why I ignored my bank rules for today and placed a shitload of bets

I also played on Man utd & Wolves while I chose both to score for Wolfsburg game. There is really all kind of combinations on my tickets ranging from doubles with double chances to 6 leg parlays covering all Europa League games.

Good luck.

Nicely done Trofo, Wolves, unfortunately, weren't quite themselves, and then the red card actually made things WORSE because then the home team defended and all they could muster was a 1-1 draw. I took a few crazy bets last night and lost most of them but strangely enough as has been happening this season, United won me back quite a bit with HT wins, -2 bets and Odion to score (love that guy haha).

You're right. Might be the last chance to bet and watch football. I'm even not sure what to bet on today... only one game each in Ligue 1 and Bundesliga.

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 52. (Read 40042 times)