Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 78.

buwaytress

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Can't catch a break, but I suppose I had been overperforming at the beginning. Sad to see my bankroll shrink back below 7% profits, I might have been too reliant on statistics.

Premier League is a day away but we have some major European action tonight. Ligue 1, La Liga and Bundesliga's games provide us lone choices, so that's going to be our parlay.

Game 1: Lyon vs St Etienne. Lyon WIN @1.65. Nitro: 1.639
Game 2: Leganes vs Alaves. Over 2 @1.97. Nitro: 1.954
Game 3: Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart. Leverkusen WIN @1.53. Nitro: 1.519

100 units Parlay at Bitcointrush @4.9706 Nitro parlay: 4.865

Odds advantage: 2.17%
Units advantage: 10.56 units

Running units advantage after 92 bets: +1,095.16 (+10.56 units)

Running units after 91 bets (26W|64L): +670.41 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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Yesterday's ripped parlay explained so I won't go into detail, not that the other results went our way.

Choosing statistics today on some exotic pickings, choosing teams that have goal averages above 1 a game, so here's today's parlay:

Game 1 AFC Eskilstuna vs Brommapojkarna [Swedish] - Over 2 @1.8. Nitro odds: 1.785
Game 2 USM Bel Abbes vs CR Belouizdad [Algeria U21] - Over 2.5 @1.85. Nitro odds: 1.831
Game 3 FK Lokomotiv Moscow vs FK Ural Sverdlovskaya Oblast [Russia U21] - Over 3 @1.7. Nitro odds: 1.685

100 Units Parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.7706. Nitro parlay: 5.507

Odds advantage: 4.79%
Units advantage: 26.36 units

Running units advantage after 91 bets: +1,084.6 (+26.36 units)

Running units after 90 bets (26W|63L): +770.41 (-200 units)

buwaytress

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Quote from: buwaytress on November 21, 2018, 03:07:03 AM

Just can't get out of the dumps! 1 goal short of the parlay, and a thrashing of Azerbaijan by Kosovar strikers. Anyway, slim pickings again in midweek, so I'll throw my bets on a 3-legged parlay of the AFF Suzuki Cup (sorry Sven, but you musn't win against Singapore) against 2 English FA Cup games:

Game 1. Philippines vs Singapore. Singapore WIN @1.6. Nitro odds: 1.585
Game 2. Bristol Rovers vs Barnet. Rovers WIN @1.41. Nitro: 1.4
Game 3. Hartlepool vs Bristol Utd. Over 2 @1.45. Nitro 1.44

100 units Parlay at Bitcoinrush @3.274. Nitro Parlay: 3.195
Odds advantage: 2.47%
Units advantage: 7.9 units

Running units advantage after 90 bets: +1,058.24 (+7.9 units)

Running units after 89 bets (26W|62L): +870.41 (-200 units)

I don't know how I made the mistake, but Singapore was actually playing against Timor Leste, and I made a mistake of booking a W1 bet against Philippines... Of course, too late to change, can't cancel bets and I only realised once the matches had started. Thailand were ahead but Sven's new team drew level late, good start to his managerial career and RIP parlay on 1st leg. Total noob mistake, so I deserve the loss...

Can't see anything to make up but will not revoke the results or bet. Just thought I'd make a note in case anyone ever digs deep.

buwaytress

legendary

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Just can't get out of the dumps! 1 goal short of the parlay, and a thrashing of Azerbaijan by Kosovar strikers. Anyway, slim pickings again in midweek, so I'll throw my bets on a 3-legged parlay of the AFF Suzuki Cup (sorry Sven, but you musn't win against Singapore) against 2 English FA Cup games:

Game 1. Philippines vs Singapore. Singapore WIN @1.6. Nitro odds: 1.585
Game 2. Bristol Rovers vs Barnet. Rovers WIN @1.41. Nitro: 1.4
Game 3. Hartlepool vs Bristol Utd. Over 2 @1.45. Nitro 1.44

100 units Parlay at Bitcoinrush @3.274. Nitro Parlay: 3.195
Odds advantage: 2.47%
Units advantage: 7.9 units

Running units advantage after 90 bets: +1,058.24 (+7.9 units)

Running units after 89 bets (26W|62L): +870.41 (-200 units)

buwaytress

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Pluck of the Irish ground out a scoreless draw so they neither relegated nor promoted, while Armenia had to stage a comeback, RIP parlay.

We'll take a parlay on the AFF Cup favourites, pad that up banking on South Korea to bag over 2 goals against Uzbekistan, who should score 1 themselves.

Game 1 Cambodia vs Laos. Cambodia WIN @1.58. Nitro odds: 1.561
Game 2 Myanmar vs Vietnam. Vietnam WIN @ 1.66. Nitro odds: 1.651
Game 3 Uzbekistan vs South Korea. Over 2.5 goals @2.53. Nitro odds: 2.519

100 units Parlay at Bitcoinrush @6.6364. Nitro parlay @6.492
Odds advantage: 2.22%
Units advantage: 14.44 units

And I'll take 100 units at Bitcoinrush on Azerbaijan to beat Kosovo @4.79 for the underdog pick of the day. Nitro odds: 4.761
Odds advantage: 0.61%
Units advantage: 2.9 units

Running units advantage after 89 bets: +1,050.34 (+17.34 units)

Running units after 87 bets (26W|60L): +1,070.41 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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Well, damn me. Just the one game with fewer than 2 goals in Cup of Nations and I had to pick it. Was pretty much murder on any other picks I'd have made anyway, just got to accept the losing streak!

Parlay tonight focuses on the favourites from Caucasus, while we bank on Norway and Denmark to remind people Northern Europe are footballing powerhouses. Surely a night for the big guns finally?

Game 1 Lichtenstein vs Armenia. Armenia WIN @1.3. Nitro odds: 1.294
Game 2 Rep Ireland vs Denmark. Denmark WIN @1.61. Nitro odds: 1.596
Game 3 Cyprus vs Norway. Norway WIN @1.53. Nitro odds: 1.516
Game 4 Georgia vs Kazakhstan. Georgia WIN @1.73. Nitro odds: 1.718

100 units Parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.5257. Nitro parlay @5.379
Odds advantage: 2.73%
Units advantage: 14.67 units

Running units advantage after 87 bets: +1,033 (+14.67 units)

Running units after 86 bets (26W|59L): +1,170.41 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Incredible outcomes, if you believe that the teams in Nations League (other than the outsider countries) are playing properly. France didn't seem to blink at their loss, and Italy weren't really interested in winning at all, just wanted to suffocate Portugal - who only needed a point to now become Nations League hosts.

I'll return to Africa Cup of Nations to bring us back some joy. And pad that up with a Spain friendly win against Bosnia. Betking no lines, so Nitro it is.

Game 1 Mozambique vs Zambia. Over 2 @1.7. Nitro odds: 1.685
Game 2 Madagascar vs Sudan. Over 2 @1.68, Nitro odds: 1.67
Game 3 Spain vs Bosnia Hertzegovina. Spain WIN @1.2. Nitro odds: 1.192

100 units Parlay at Bitcoinrush @3.439. Nitro parlay @3.354
Odds advantage: 2.53%
Units advantage: 8.5 units

Running units advantage after 86 bets: +1,018.37 (+8.5 units)

Running units after 85 bets (26W|58L): +1,270.41 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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Lousy time for the Netherlands to rise to their occassion and dump Germany out for relegation, that's twice now they've taken me out of a parlay.

A simple 2-legged parlay for Turkey to take out Sweden and Italy to make up for World Cup disappointment in a win over Portugal. Surely not too much to ask?

Game 1 Turkey vs Sweden. Turkey WIN @2.45. Betking odds: 2.42
Game 2 Italy vs Portugal. Italy WIN @2.28. Betking odds: 2.26
100 units Parlay on Bitcoinrush @5.59. Betking Parlay @5.47

Odds advantage: 2.19%
Units advantage: 12 units

Running units advantage after 85 bets: +1,009.87 (+12 units)

Running units after 84 bets (26W|57L): +1,370.41 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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Low-scoring games, Austria and Bosnia just didn't do enough, parlay collapse! French team aren't tipped very highly so represent a good bet for me, to be parlayed on other firm Caucasus favourites in the Nations League Armenia and Gibraltar. Gut is telling me there's a huge upset (bookie wise) but I'll go with the statistics today. Gibraltar's win was a lucky penalty against Armenia who had >10 shots on target, so I still don't see the smaller teams in Group D taking any victories.

Game 1 Netherlands vs France. France WIN 2.31. BCR odds:2.31
Game 2 Gibraltar vs Armenia. Armenia WIN 1.27. BCR odds: 1.24
Game 3 Lichtenstein vs Macedonia. Macedonia WIN 1.29. BCR odds: 1.27

100 units Parlay at Betking: 3.78. BCR parlay: 3.64

Odds advantage: 3.85%
Units advantage: 14 units

Running units advantage after 84 bets: +997.87 (+14 units)

Running units after 83 bets (26W|56L): +1,470.41 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Just like Bitcoin, we threaten to touch our "low" after recently hitting a high in bankroll profits haha. Guys I backed won easily, but too easily for Djoko who downed the Russian in a quick straight set match.

Nations League is a strange animal but gave us good wins on Over/Unders before, so I'll hope Spain Croatia score a goal apiece by halftime, while Bosnia I actually think have a chance of overturning Austria at home, but I don't have a feeling for underdogs today, not when the odds aren't that great anyway! Georgia if they win I believe progress and for the first time have a route into Euros so am really excited for them! They're the biggest risk though, as neither they nor Andorra are prolific in front of goal.

Game 1 Austria vs Bosnia Hertzegovina. Over 2 @1.72. Betking odds:1.68
Game 2 Spain vs Croatia. Over 2 @1.58. Betking odds:1.52
Game 3 Georgia vs Andorra. Over 2 @1.94. Betking odds: 1.86

100 units Parlay at Bitcoinrush @5.29. Betking Parlay: 4.75

Odds advantage: 11.37%
Units advantage: 54 units

Running units advantage after 83 bets: +983.87 (+54 units)

Running units after 82 bets (26W|55L): +1,570.41 (-100 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Ugly games, good old Sven won his first game, should have known he'd bring his low-scoring form with England to the Philippines! Back to Tennis, and backing my two favourite guys in today's matches again. Don't think Djoko will have such an easy time though, so at least 1 tie-break is in order. Then Cilic again, let's see him beat by at least 2 games.

Game 1: Djokovic vs Zverev. Over 22 games @2.11. Betking odds: 2.04
Game 2: Cilic vs Isner. Cilic -2 @2.05. Betking odds: 2.05

100 units Parlay at Bitcoinrush for 4.33. Betking parlay:4.18.

Odds advantage: 3.59%
Units advantage: 15 units

Running units advantage after 82 bets: +929.87 (+15 units)

Running units after 81 bets (26W|54L): +1,670.41 (-100 units)

buwaytress

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The weight of history seemed too heavy for Cilic in the end and Zverev poured more agony onto the Croation, extending his ATP misery against the Russian, in straight sets too. Second leg of the parlay went as expected, but we end up with a tennis loss. Djoko is sure to win this one, but we switch back to drab international football for today.

2 AFF Cup and EAFF games, parlayed against the U19s Euro qualifications. No markets at Betking so we use Nitro for comparison.

Game 1 Philippines vs Singapore. Over 2 @1.56. Nitro odds: 1.542
Game 2 Chinese Taipei vs Mongolia. Over 3 @1.73. Nitro odds: 1.714
Game 3 Cyprus vs Montenegro (U19). Over 2 @1.43. Nitro odds: 1.42

100 units Parlay at Bitcoinrush @3.86. Nitro Parlay: 3.753

Odds advantage: 2.85%
Units advantage: 10.7 units

Running units advantage after 81 bets: +914.87 (+10.7 units)

Running units after 80 bets (26W|54L): +1,770.41 (-110 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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I suppose it was always going to be a tall order for Mourinho's dark tactics to overcome City at their prime. Even with the penalty I knew the game had gone. Funny to lose the parlay completely, Arsenal and Chelsea drawing at home? Luck of the punter!

Anyway, a rare dip into Tennis! I got my main man Cilic playing today so am feeling good about him even if the bookies slightly prefer Zverev. Parlay against my other favourite Djoko to dominate his match against Isner.

Game 1: Alexander Zverev - Marin Cilic. Cilic WIN at BCR @2.07. Betking odds: 1.97
Game 2: Novak Djokovic - John Isner. Djoko -3.5 games at BCR @1.89. Betking odds: 1.83

110 units Parlay at Bitcoinrush @3.92. Betking Parlay @3.61

Odds advantage: 8.59%
Units advantage: 31 units

Running units advantage after 80 bets: +904.17 (+31 units)

Running units after 79 bets (26W|53L): +1,880.41 (-220 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Burnley couldn't win, even if they held Leicester City to a scoreless draw. 4 shots were all they mustered, would have got a decent 3.5 if I'd gone for a -0.5 handicap. I'll go for another underdog today, and it's United again. They have a really tough game though and if they barely scraped by a dominating Juvetus, I don't know how they can escape City's hulking machine. But hey, Mourinho's star seems to be ascending again, so maybe there's joy tonight.

So, two bets. A parlay on home favourites of Chelsea, Arsenal and City. And the "hedge" bet on United to keep things special.

Game 1 Chelsea vs Everton. Chelsea WIN @1.41. BCR odds:1.4
Game 2 Arsenal vs Wolves. Arsenal WIN @1.67. BCR odds: 1.66
Game 3 Man City vs Man Utd. City WIN @1.42. BCR odds: 1.41
110 units Parlay at Betking @3.34. BCR Parlay: 3.285
Odds advantage: 1.67%
Units advantage: 5.5 units

110 units on single bet for Man Utd to WIN at City, BitcoinRush @8.07. Betking odds: 7.70
Odds advantage: 4.81%
Units advantage: 37 units

Running units advantage after 79 bets: +873.17 (+42.5 units)

Running units after 77 bets (26W|51L): +2,100.41 (-220 units)

Quote from: SyGambler on November 10, 2018, 02:17:59 PM

yeah mate , the majority of times you will find better odds for all selections with rush and king but on rare occasions you will find it with bitgame
since I was told about bitgame I made around 90 bets , during these 90 bets there were 4 times where bitgame had higher odds so you can see the percentage is low but still worth taking the look

also what I noticed is that bitgame lines take time to move , for example if an underdog gets backed heavily on pinnacle and the odds hard you may open bitgame and find higher odds
so the opening lines are like always better with pinnacle , but when these lines start moving then there is a good chance to find better odds with bitgame

Thanks for that Sy. I rarely have the opportunity to time my bets. Prefer to make them ahead of games, although I can place bets very close to games if something changes (like a last minute omission and all that) so will check out Bitgame. PM me a ref link if you have one!

SyGambler

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Quote from: buwaytress on November 10, 2018, 08:04:32 AM

@SyGambler: Bitgame odds for above is 7.3, so still not as tight as BCR on the underdog!

yeah mate , the majority of times you will find better odds for all selections with rush and king but on rare occasions you will find it with bitgame
since I was told about bitgame I made around 90 bets , during these 90 bets there were 4 times where bitgame had higher odds so you can see the percentage is low but still worth taking the look

also what I noticed is that bitgame lines take time to move , for example if an underdog gets backed heavily on pinnacle and the odds hard you may open bitgame and find higher odds
so the opening lines are like always better with pinnacle , but when these lines start moving then there is a good chance to find better odds with bitgame

buwaytress

legendary

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Merit: 3684

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Terrible night last night for all my picks (parlay and single bet freebet), every selection ended up as a draw, would have won a decent parlay on under 2.5 goals too.

English Premier League is back, and hard to ignore some picks. I like Leicester and picked them last weekend but they won slim and even though are playing at home, but Burnley are due a win, playing well but just never winning, except for the crazy 4-0 some months back. Can they do it again against the Foxes who will surely play with their hearts with their recent tragedy? I think so.

Single bet for 110 units on Burnley to WIN at Leicester, Bitcoinrush @7.47. Betking odds: 7.23
Odds advantage: 3.32%
Units advantage: 24 units

@SyGambler: Bitgame odds for above is 7.3, so still not as tight as BCR on the underdog!

Got an eye on lower league teams too in the FA Cup:
Game 1 Grimsby Town vs Milton Keyes Dons. Dons WIN @1.78. BCR: 1.71
Game 2 Oxford Utd vs Forest Green Rovers. Oxford WIN @2.02. BCR: 1.95
Game 3 Maidstone Utd vs Macclesfield. Over 2 @1.51. BCR: 1.44
110 units Parlay at Betking @5.42. BCR parlay: 4.801
Odds advantage: 12.89%
Units advantage: 61.9 units

Running units advantage after 77 bets: +830.67 (+85.9 units)

Running units after 75 bets (26W|49L): +2,320.41 (-110 units)

buwaytress

legendary

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Quote from: SyGambler on November 09, 2018, 12:01:41 PM

you may want to check bitgame as well , their margin is extremly high but still sometimes you may find high odds for your selection
in my experience sometimes they have higher odds for the underdog , so when you want to bet the underdog remember this site

you will find higher odds rarely , but they are still possible

for example yesterday I found copenhagen at X5.75 while other sites had maximum of X5.40 at the time I was checking

Thanks very much for this tip Sy! Indeed, I mainly play long parlays, but I also like betting on the severe underdog, when I know for sure they have better chances than the bookies think. For me more than 4x is attractive for underdog, but you get really great odds like Man Utd recently for 6.66, Newcastle a while back at 9x, and England vs Spain was at 5x). Bitcoinrush in my experience have the best underdog odds, always 5% or even 10% more than closest competitor.

I've never heard of bitgame though, but if you have a referral, happy to sign up under you =)

SyGambler

legendary

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you may want to check bitgame as well , their margin is extremly high but still sometimes you may find high odds for your selection
in my experience sometimes they have higher odds for the underdog , so when you want to bet the underdog remember this site

you will find higher odds rarely , but they are still possible

for example yesterday I found copenhagen at X5.75 while other sites had maximum of X5.40 at the time I was checking

buwaytress

legendary

Activity: 2968

Merit: 3684

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Boo Europa League! Arsenal couldn't win, and one of the Red Bulls couldn't beat poor Celtic.

Change of scene, and I like the odds on both teams I'm betting on tonight in Serie A and the Scottish Premier League. So a straightforward WIN parlay is in order:

Also, I got a nice free bet from BetKing, which is really cool, it does pay to play daily, but I won't add this to my stats if I win, just to share: Hannover 96 vs Wolfburg. 468 units on Wolfburg WIN @2.49 (freebets aren't returned as winnings)

Game 1: Frosinone Calcio vs Fiorentina. Fiorentina to WIN @1.77. BCR odds: 1.74
Game 2: Aberdeen vs Hibernian. Aberdeen to WIN @2.44. BCR odds: 2.43

Parlay for 110 units at Betking @4.31. BCR Parlay: 4.23
Odds advantage: 1.89%
Units advantage: 8 units

Running units advantage after 75 bets: +744.77 (+8 units)

Running units after 74 bets (26W|48L): +2,436.41 (-130 units)

.

Note: additional -20 units from 2 bets miscalculated on Nov 7 (I calculated on 100 instead of 110 units!)

buwaytress

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Not every day a parlay crumbles to my delight, as our hedging bet on United worked out well. Let's hope Lady Luck continues to gift us wins, past 3 wins have been thanks to own goals and last minute snuck in goals. I wonder these days if odds makers also have a luck index!

Europa takes over from the big boys, and I've got my eyes on both Red Bull teams from Bundesliga to do their usual. Pad them up with the usual Chelski and Gunners wins.

Game 1 Rosenberg vs RB Salzburg. Salzburg WIN @1.55. BCR: 1.53
Game 2 Celtic vs RB Leipzig. Leipzig WIN @2.06. BCR: 2.04
Game 3 BATE Borisov vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @1.37. BCR: 1.34
Game 4 Arsenal vs Sporting CP. Arsenal WIN @1.31. BCR: 1.30

Parlay for 110 units at Betking @5.73. BCR Parlay: 5.448
Odds advantage: 5.18%
Units advantage: 28.2 units

Running units advantage after 74 bets: +736.77 (+28.2 units)

Running units after 73 bets (26W|47L): +2,566.41 (+532.6 units)

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 78. (Read 40042 times)