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Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 78. (Read 38840 times)

legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Liverpool's costing me dearly, winless in 4 games, but form is temporary, and we have a 12-day break for internationals to let them get back on track.

Dipping into the lower leagues today for some interesting odds and parlays, I fancy Zaragoza for a tight win in Segunda, while Xanthi in the Greek super league can make the most of their home edge over mid-table rivals Larisa Ael. And to spice things up, Cologne from 2nd Bundesliga to complete the 3 legged parlay.

Game 1. Real Zaragoza vs Osasuna. Zaragoza WIN @2.2. BCR odds: @2.18. Nitro odds: 2.168

Game 2. Xanthi vs Larisa Ael. Xanthi WIN @1.8. BCR odds: 1.78. Nitro odds:1.753

Game 2. FC Cologne vs Duisburg. Cologne WIN @1.32. BCR odds: 1.3. Nitro odds:1.29

Parlay for 100 units (1 unit = 1,000 satoshi) BetKing @5.22. BCR Parlay @5.029. Nitro Parlay 4.903
Odds advantage: 3.8%
Units advantage: 19.1 units

Running units advantage after 37 bets: +201 (+19.1)

Running units after 36 bets (13W|23L): +1,045.96 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Well, what a game to have bet on. Who would have thought Newcastle would attack at Old Trafford, who would have thought they would go 2-0 up in 10 minutes, who would have thought they'd get 10 shots on target (!!!). It would have been a legendary x9 bet, but never underestimate United, still got champion's pedigree in their blood. 3-2 win, poor Benitez, but this is how you lose a wager...

Today I go for another simple bet. Don't want to watch any other game.

Liverpool vs Manchester City.

Single bet for 100 units (1 unit = 1,000 satoshi) Betking Liverpool WIN @2.59. BCR @2.55. Nitro @2.535
Odds advantage: 1.57%
Units advantage: 4 units

Running units advantage after 36 bets: +181.9 (+4)

Running units after 35 bets (13W|22L): +1,145.96 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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So the teams couldn't score last night, what a bummer, while Serie A and La Liga actually lit up the night. So much for league reputations!

Premier League is back tonight, so we always know plenty of upsets to look forward to, so I'll pick one: Rafa Benitez and Newcastle. So many reasons: United are playing like they're lost, and Newcastle have never won. Mourinho didn't exactly inspire confidence at pre-match saying "it would be a nice if they won". The Newcastle that won at Old Trafford 4 years ago aren't the same as today, but please Benitez, surprise us all by attacking today. You don't even have to be that good, United are brittle at the back.

Single bet for 100 units (1 unit = 1,000 satoshi) Betking @9.12. BCR @8.95. Nitro @8.892
Odds advantage: 1.9%
Units advantage: 17 units

Running units advantage after 35 bets: +177.9 (+17)

Running units after 34 bets (13W|21L): +1,245.96 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Some relief for the "bankroll" from last night's Europa League parlay, narrowly avoided some favourites like Celtic and Bordeaux who were the latest victims of upsets, or have their quality actually deteriorated? We'll see.

Going for two high-scoring parlays on the Friday night solos of Bundesliga and English Premier League, and as typical BitcoinRush offers the best odds on Over/Unders.

Brighton and the Hammers have been abject, but you can't really blame the former having to come up against the current Top 3 in their opening matches, so they'll savour this opportunity at home even without a good replacement for their injured striker. West Ham meanwhile, are remembering how to play good football and will ride high from their United victory. In Germany, Bremen and Wolfsburg have been scoring almost 2 a game as they enter an early struggle for Europa League places, so game on, methinks!


Game 1. Brighton & Hove Albion vs West Ham. Over 2.5 @2.08. BK odds: @2.03. Nitro odds: 2.073

Game 2. Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg. Over 2.5 @1.82. BK odds: 1.77. Nitro odds:1.804

Parlay for 100 units (1 unit = 1,000 satoshi) BCR @3.7849. BK Parlay @3.59. Nitro Parlay 3.74
Odds advantage: 1.2%
Units advantage: 4.49 units

Running units advantage after 34 bets: +160.9 (+4.49)

Running units after 33 bets (13W|20L): +1,345.96 (+239 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Ouch, that Liverpool upset was not very good for your bets  Undecided

NO it wasn't. I keep getting bitten because I add Liverpool to my bets. I'll just hope it's a blip and nothing more. Win on Saturday would kickstart everything again... dread to think of what a draw or worse would do though.

For tonight, we return to the "lesser" Europe to seek salvation, courtesy of Europa League.

Game 1. Qarabag vs Arsenal. Arsenal WIN @1.42. BCR odds: @1.41. Nitro odds: 1.4

Game 2. Rosenberg vs RB Leipzig. Leipzig WIN @1.72. BCR odds: 1.69. Nitro odds:1.683

Game 2. AC Milan vs Olympiacos. Milan WIN @1.39. BCR odds: 1.39. Nitro odds:1.378

Parlay for 100 units (1 unit = 1,000 satoshi) BetKing @3.39. BCR Parlay @3.311. Nitro Parlay 3.247
Odds advantage: 2.39%
Units advantage: 7.9 units

Running units advantage after 33 bets: +156.41 (+7.9)

Running units after 32 bets (12W|20L): +1,106.96 (-300 units)
full member
Activity: 174
Merit: 109
Ouch, that Liverpool upset was not very good for your bets  Undecided
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Poor performance from our heavyweights in Europe. Lyon scrambled back to make a draw, Real Madrid's inexplicable deterioration in quality makes them so incredibly amateur sometimes, United, well, Mourinho.

Anyone betting the underdog in all of last night's matches would have made >10/1 nett!

We seek panacea in Liverpool tonight on a single bet, but I'm not afraid to take another parlay.

Straight bet for 200 units: Napoli vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN with BetKing @2.25. BCR odds: 2.24 Nitro odds:2.217
Odds advantage: 0.45%
Units advantage: 1

And 3-legged parlay:
Game 1. Napoli vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @2.24. BCR: @2.23. Nitro: 2.217 (odds changed as was choosing parlay)

Game 2. Porto vs Galatasaray. Porto WIN @1.54. BCR odds: 1.54. Nitro odds:1.53

Game 3. Tottenham vs Barcelona. Barca WIN @2.02. BCR odds: 2. Nitro odds:1.988

Parlay for 100 units (1 unit = 1,000 satoshi) BetKing @6.9681. BCR Parlay @6.871. Nitro Parlay 6.743
Odds advantage: 1.41%
Units advantage: 9.71 units

Running units advantage after 32 bets: +148.51 (+10.71)

Running units after 30 bets (12W|18L): +1,406.96 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Skipped a day yesterday, after losing the parlay by a goal, damn you low-scoring Serie A.

But we wet our lips on tonight's spread of Champions League fare, where last week we saw 2 surprises with City and Spurs losing on the Tuesday. I can't see a repeat of that, and United are sure to want to purge their souls, even if it's a drab win, they'll do it, not for Mou but for their sick fans.

So a big 5-legged parlay is in order! BetKing takes the slight advantage

Game 1. Hoffenheim vs Manchester City. City WIN @1.38. BCR: @1.37. Nitro: 1.338

Game 2. Valencia vs Man Utd. Utd WIN @1.79. BCR odds: 1.78. Nitro odds:1.729

Game 3. Real Madrid vs CSKA Moscow. Real WIN @1.57. BCR odds: 1.56. Nitro odds:1.533

Game 4. Young Boys vs Juventus. Juventus Milan WIN @1.22. BCR odds: 1.22. Nitro odds:1.213

Game 5. Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lyon. Lyon WIN @1.99. BCR odds: 2.0. Nitro odds:1.949

Parlay for 100 units (1 unit = 1,000 satoshi) BetKing @9.4155. BCR Parlay @9.2822. Nitro Parlay 8.36
Parlay Odds advantage: 1.44%
Parlay Units advantage: 13.33 units - advantage over Nitro is a massive 12.6% advantage or 105.55 units! That's more than a 100-unit bet I typically make!

Running units advantage after 30 bets: +137.8 (+13.33)

Running units after 29 bets (12W|17L): +1,506.96 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Nothing is sweeter than a big underdog win, against your main rival, and we'll bask in West Ham's win over United to make up for recent losses. Liverpool snatched a point at the Bridge, showing you can't always win them all but that's okay.

Only 1 premier league game so I'll take a parlay on the evening Serie A. Today, we see BetKing's slight advantage over BitcoinRush, which means they automatically beat Nitro (as Nitro is always lower than BCR), so a first parlay on BK.

Game 1. Parma vs Empoli. BK Over 2 goals @1.43. BCR odds: 1.43. Nitro odds:1.419
Odds advantage: 0.78%
Units advantage: 1.1 units

Game 2. Sassuolo vs AC Milan. BK Milan WIN @2.18. BCR odds: 2.16. Nitro odds:2.147
Odds advantage: 0.93%
Units advantage: 2 units

Parlay for 100 units (1 unit = 1,000 satoshi) BetKing @3.117. BCR Parlay @3.091. Nitro Parlay 3.047
Parlay Odds advantage: 0.84%
Parlay Units advantage: 2.6 units

Running units advantage after 29 bets: +124.47 (+2.6)

Running units after 28 bets (12W|16L): +1,606.96 (+211 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Wrong upset to back last night, just goes to show nothing is guaranteed, not even with Bayern in the Bundesliga. But we return to the Premier League with an exciting round of games tonight.

Gambler in me keeps wanting to bet the underdog, so I will give West Ham a backing in this weekend's opener, and another on Liverpool to win at Chelsea, to avenge their League Cup exit.

Game 1. West Ham vs Man Utd. 100 units on Hammers to win @4.11. BK odds: 4.1. Nitro odds:4.095
Odds advantage: 0.24%
Units advantage: 1 unit

Game 2. Chelsea vs Liverpool. 100 units on Liverpool to win @2.64. BK odds: 2.64. Nitro odds:2.624
Odds advantage: 0.61%
Units advantage: 1.6 units

Running units advantage after 28 bets: +121.87 (+2.6)

Running units after 26 bets (11W|15L): +1,395.96 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Bad luck and goes with my bad streak in Serie A, must really watch more games to understand them a bit better. Milan didn't win, and Sassuolo edged the game a lot better than expected, should have gone for yellow cards under 5 in both, would have netted 3.9.

Anyway. My BetKing account is created and funded (thanks DarkStar!). Will be much easier to choose odds now.

So for tonight's Friday lines, we go for a 2-game parlay pairing Bundesliga with Ligue 1. I'm betting for Monaco to put give us a slight upset and Bayern's steam roller to continue.

Game 1 Hertha Berlin vs Bayern Munich. Bayern WIN. BetKing: 1.32, BCR: 1.30, Nitro: 1.294

Game 2 St Etienne vs AS Monaco. Monaco WIN. BetKing: 3.82, BCR: 3.99, Nitro: 3.966

Parlay for 100 units (1 unit = 1,000 satoshi) BCR @5.1991. Betking Parlay @5.04. Nitro Parlay 5.132
Parlay Odds advantage: 1.3%
Parlay Units advantage: 6.71 units

Running units advantage after 26 bets: +119.27 (+6.71)

Running units after 25 bets (11W|14L): +1,495.96 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Painful night, it simply wasn't meant to be for Liverpool, and we'll just have to accept it. One less cup worry and more focus on the Premier League is the silver lining. If Mourinho sees that, we should too... haha. We almost had the Watford game too, Spurs were on the ropes and needed a penalty to get the draw.

Women's UEFA last night was more predictable than the last round of games, pity. Tonight we do a Serie A parlay.

Game 1 Empoli vs Milan. Milan WIN @1.91. BK odds: 1.94, Nitro odds: 1.898
Odds advantage: -1.57%
Units advantage: -3

Game 2 Sassuolo vs SPAL. Over 2.5 @2.18. BK odds: 2.08, Nitro odds: 2.172
Odds advantage: 0.37%
Units advantage: 0.8

Parlay for 100 units (1 unit = 1,000 satoshi) @4.1618. Nitro Parlay @4.123. BetKing Parlay 4.0352
Parlay Odds advantage: 0.94%
Parlay Units advantage: 3.88 units

Running units advantage after 25 bets: +112.56 (+3.88)

Running units after 24 bets (11W|13L): +1,595.96 (-200 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Beautiful parlay win last night to bring our record even on wins/losses. Could only follow Fulham and City updates, but apart from letting in a Milwall goal, Fulham still made it a comfortable 3-1 win, while the City game hit us 11 corners with 15 minutes to spare, courtesy of Oxford. Final corner count was 12, with 7 already in the first half, so yes, everything went to plan.

The United game made me sweat, with Derby only making it 2-1 in the 85th minute after a painful VAR decision wait, but the draw still ticked off our Over 2.5 goal to win the parlay.

Who else to bet on tonight but Liverpool beating Chelsea? Odds are just below a doubler but no worries, we'll parlay it with Arsenal.

And dare we spare a little money on Watford to beat Spurs? I say yes!

Game 1 Chelsea vs Liverpool. Liverpool WIN @1.86. BK odds:1.89 Nitro odds: 1.85
Odds advantage: -1.61%
Units advantage: -3 units

Game 2 Brentford vs Arsenal. Arsenal WIN @1.34. BK odds: 1.17. Nitro odds: 1.326
Odds advantage: 1.06%
Units advantage: 1.4 units

Parlay for 100 units (1 unit = 1,000 satoshi) @2.4869. Nitro Parlay @2.4531. BetKing Parlay 2.2113
Parlay Odds advantage: 1.38%
Parlay Units advantage: 3.38 units

Single Bet: Game 3 Watford vs Tottenham Hotspurs. 100 units on Watford WIN @6.69. BK odds: 6.13 Nitro odds: 6.646
Odds advantage: 0.66%
Units advantage: 4.4 units

Total units advantage: 7.78 units

Running units advantage after 24 bets: +108.68 (+7.78)

Running units after 22 bets (11W|11L): +1,795.96 (+497.26 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Fairly comfortable doubler last night in the Segunda, even if the 2-0 lead was cut to half minutes from the end. Thank god for mid-week cup action as we see some pretty interesting games tonight in the English leagues.

We start with what surely must happen as City are playing Oxford Utd, Oxford must defend with their lives for any chance, so expect lots of corners. Handicaps and goals are not so good value, which is why we'll go for corners. United take on Derby, and Derby will probably sense there's blood to be had so 1 goal in them is for sure, while United have too much quality not to score at least 2. And finally, we see great odds for a Fulham win, who must surely beat Milwall!

Game 1 Oxford Utd vs Man City. Over 10 corners @1.93. Nitro odds: 1.918. BetKing odds: 1.72
Odds advantage: +0.63% Units advantage: +1.2

Game 2 Derby County vs Man Utd. Over 2.5 goals @1.52. Nitro @ 1.517. BetKing odds: 1.52
Odds advantage: +0.2% Units advantage: +0.3

Game 3 Milwall vs Fulham. Fulham WIN @2.03. Nitro @ 2.017. BetKing odds: 2.04
Odds advantage: -0.49% Units advantage: -1

Parlay for 100 units (1 unit = 1,000 satoshi) @5.9726. Nitro Parlay @5.8687. BetKing Parlay @5.3334
Total Odds advantage: 1.77%
Total Units advantage: 10.39 units

Running units advantage after 22 bets: +100.9 (+10.39)

Running units after 21 bets (10W|11L): +1,298.70 (+97 units)

legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Spectacular parlay losses yesterday, with upsets for Chelsea, Celtic and Roma, but somehow feels less painful to lose 3 legs rather than 1. And that Chelsea and Sarri slipped up 3 days before the league cup encounter with Liverpool makes me happy to pay for it with a small loss.

Slim pickings since I'm only hunting in the evening, cup games coming up and waiting to make a new BK account, so we'll just place the one straight bet on Secunda Liga for tonight, for an old favourite Deportivo.

100 units on Deportivo La Coruna vs Granada. Deportivo WIN @1.97. Nitro @ 1.945. BK @1.97 (phew)

Total Odds advantage: 1.29%
Total Units advantage: 2.5 units

Running units advantage after 21 bets: +90.51 (+2.5)

Running units after 20 bets (9W|11L): +1,201.70 (-100 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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yeah as darkstar stated , Betking is now looking great for some European soccer ML but overall the bookie still need improvement to compete with rush IMO
other lines aren't competitive with rush but also they have good boxing lines in case you are interested

would love to see them lowering the margin for all the selections but can't see that happening cause as I understood betking pays their players' profits out of their pocket unlike rush where the site makes money no matter if the players win or lose

would love to see them getting better than rush , at the end I don't have complete loyalty for any site and we are all here to make more money
if players started to think this way I guess nitrogen will run out of customers  Grin

Thanks for the feedback. As I said, I do recall comparing previously but they must have really improved on margins or odds providers because the odds I checked since DS's feedback absolutely showed 1% advantages or thereabouts on Euro football... which really is what I mainly bet on. Rush is really my favourite and always has been but yeah, my loyalty lies with the odds, and of course the confidence with which I know I'll get paid from Rush is topmost but I won't mind trying a small bankroll at BK, setting it up soon so I can use them hopefully by Wednesday!

If what you're saying is right then BK is a traditional bookie. Seems a bit risky long term, but good odds worth it I'd feel.

Like you said, competition is healthy for all. We can only stand to gain.
legendary
Activity: 2436
Merit: 1804
guess who's back
yeah as darkstar stated , Betking is now looking great for some European soccer ML but overall the bookie still need improvement to compete with rush IMO
other lines aren't competitive with rush but also they have good boxing lines in case you are interested

would love to see them lowering the margin for all the selections but can't see that happening cause as I understood betking pays their players' profits out of their pocket unlike rush where the site makes money no matter if the players win or lose

would love to see them getting better than rush , at the end I don't have complete loyalty for any site and we are all here to make more money
if players started to think this way I guess nitrogen will run out of customers  Grin
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Yesterday, Burnley ended their winless streak in a superb result, but Newcastle played out a drab scoreless match, but we ended up with a small profit since both picks were good payouts. I'll probably want to keep backing Newcastle on a similar opponent because they're too good not to eventually win.

Missed Napoli's early game or I'd have made a ML bet on them, but doing a EPL/Serie A/Scottish league parlay still not out of the question.
I'll be damned if Chelsea's perfect start is snapped, and Arsenal are on a roll, so they form 2 legs of the parlay, while Roma, despite their problems should still see off Bologna. I'm feeling good for the favourites today, so I'll even throw in a Celtic win.


Game 1 West Ham vs Chelsea. Chelsea WIN @1.57. Nitro odds: 1.551. BetKing odds: 1.58
Odds advantage: +0.69% Units advantage: +1.3

Game 2 Arsenal vs Everton. Arsenal WIN @1.43. Nitro @ 1.423. BetKing odds: 1.43
Odds advantage: +0.64% Units advantage: +1.1

Game 3 Bologna vs Roma. Roma WIN @1.71. Nitro @ 1.698. BetKing odds: 1.72
Odds advantage: +0.64% Units advantage: +1.1

Game 4 Celtic vs Kilmarnock. Celtic WIN @1.5. Nitro @ 1.485. BetKing odds: 1.51
Odds advantage: +0.64% Units advantage: +1.1

Parlay for 100 units (1 unit = 1,000 satoshi) @5.771. Nitro @5.565. BetKing @5.8681
Total Odds advantage: -1.68%
Total Units advantage: -9.71 units

Big parlay, and DS turns out to be right, BetKing has a huge advantage of almost 10 units on this parlay. I'll be fair and since I don't yet have an account there, I'll take this hit. Looks like I better have a separate account at BK! Anyone want my referral? DarkStar? =)

Running units advantage after 20 bets: +88.01 (-9.71)

Running units after 19 bets (9W|10L): +1,301.70 (+115.20 units)
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3408
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Rush is still very competitive (I believe margin is about equal between them and BetKing), but they use different odds providers, so you'll see odds differences that could yield advantages. Nitrogen is always lower than Rush because they use the same odds provider.

Thanks again for that feedback, this is exactly the sort of sportsbook discussion I'd hope to coax out from the sports punters on this forum. I've always known I'm no more than an amateur gambler, but even a little bit more knowledge about how things work gives an advantage over the long term. I'll need to spend a bit more time looking up the various odds providers, and choosing 1 bookie for 1 provider. I guess I'm not wrong to say Rush is the lowest margins for Pinnacle provider.

I hope you're not betting there and just using it for comparison. An UltraPlay book such a mBitCasino has more AH lines than Nitro/Rush; I'd try looking there. Don't expect competitive odds, but lower odds is better than not getting paid. Generally more effective to build your own +2.25 or whatever by splitting between +2 and +2.5

Definitely not. I used Nitro because it seems to be the most popular (I don't do research but on evidence that Nitro appears in almost every related thread) and just want to show that most popular doesn't necessarily mean the best. I'm going to look at AH lines on UltraPlay now, I actually very seldom do the .25/.75s, so interesting feedback on this. Maybe can even start listing which providers seem to provide best odds. At the moment, when backing the long shot underdogs, Pinnacle seems to provide huge advantages.

legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 3282
Thanks for your feedback, DS! Much appreciated! I have checked BetKing in the past, but not specifically on ML bets, it's possible Rush is no longer competitive on the big matches. I'll compare for future selections, especially on ML parlays. If you're right, then whoever's on Nitro will be using really high margins!

Rush is still very competitive (I believe margin is about equal between them and BetKing), but they use different odds providers, so you'll see odds differences that could yield advantages. Nitrogen is always lower than Rush because they use the same odds provider.

Actually I mainly use NitrogenSports, but when I can't find the same lines (typically on Asian handicaps) I use 1xbit... I know they may have a bad reputation from the complaints on forum but they advertise big online and have really big line selections.

I hope you're not betting there and just using it for comparison. An UltraPlay book such a mBitCasino has more AH lines than Nitro/Rush; I'd try looking there. Don't expect competitive odds, but lower odds is better than not getting paid. Generally more effective to build your own +2.25 or whatever by splitting between +2 and +2.5
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