Roger can only lose money with this bet. BUgcoin has no support from the community, and the small amount of nodes that it has are fake and centralized in the hands of few:
![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fs3.postimg.org%2Fgwr5wd14z%2Fbunodes.png&t=625&c=r894TB8wvN6Y-A)
All BU nodes are fake as we can see from the graphs and odd behavior (notice how nodes crash due bugs and instantly everything gets patched when there is a patch out), they all come from the same VPS providers, all fake VMs from Roger Ver except a couple idiots that run it too:
https://bitnodes.21.co/nodes/?q=/https://btcpop.co%20-%20Free%20People%20-%20Free%20Market%20-%20Free%20Money%20-%20BitcoinUnlimited:1.0.1.1/And even then it's still far from any support. People are not stupid, they don't gamble with their money on dodgy software.
Core still holds solid 80%+ nodes because people will not trust BUcoin buggy software. Miners are irrelevant and getting bribed to go against the majority. Miners are the security guards of bitcoin, not the engineers. They are paid to do their work, they are too stupid to take protocol-level decisions, and they certainly cannot fork against an huge majority of nodes. They will not fork and if they fork BUcoin gets dumped fast and bad miners get rendered useless via PoW change.
So the outcome is clear. Core wins under 100% of scenarios, BU has 0% survival rate. Facts speak, talk is cheap. If miners are suicidal enough to fork, again, they will be rendered out of the network since they would be de-facto attackers. Merchants will support Core because they will not gamble their business with software that is prone to attacks and loss of funds of their customers. Those that are stupid enough to not support Core will meet bankruptcy soon.