Topic: Russian Gas ban - A problem for Europe or suicide for Russia? - page 20. (Read 14175 times)

Agreed. At this point, Russia has only a handful of allies, including DPRK, Iran, Belarus, Venezuela and Nicaragua (and a few breakaway regions such as Abkhazia and Transnistria). China and India are wary of the growing US influence and therefore they want Russia to act as a buffer. But at the same time, business comes first for them. At this point, both the countries are benefitting from the supply of cheap Russian hydrocarbons. But in case the Americans implement secondary sanctions, then I don't think that these two countries will have any option other than to stop their imports from Russia.

But who are Russia's allies? Belarus is a sockpuppet, North Korea is a communist rebel state. These countries have nothing to lose and they will support any Russia's move. China and India are not allies but business partners at best.

There is a surprise visit of President Biden to Ukarine 3 days back just to show solidarity. US president visiting Kyiv is an indication that it's a safe city. While Chinese foreign minister is meeting Russian president in Moscow. When two big powers are standing opposite to each other, there is a rare chance of cease fire. One year of conflict is about to complete and still we have no clue when this will end.

This is a natural step in the current situation.  Cold War between the Western world and Russia. 

However, this does not mean that Russia will use nuclear weapons.  The use of even tactical nuclear weapons is an absolutely insane move.  Nuclear weapons were not originally intended for its use in military conflicts.  It is exclusively a tool to deter a potential adversary from aggressive actions. 

The use of nuclear weapons by Russia will cause a very negative reaction from China and India. 

I'm not talking about the USA, Great Britain and other countries of the Western world....

Therefore, I perceive it solely as a tool for escalating tension.

OK.. for the first time I can agree with all of your points. The last point is quite important. Even if Russian uses tactical nukes, it will not result in Russia winning the war. Ukraine has more than one million soldiers in active duty right now and they are well distributed across the 1,300 km long frontline. Using one or two tactical weapons to destroy concentrations of Ukrainian troops will not have an impact of the Ukrainian Armed forces to continue fighting. So in the end, for Russia it will cause more harm compared to good since their remaining allies will desert them. 

This is a natural step in the current situation.  Cold War between the Western world and Russia.  

However, this does not mean that Russia will use nuclear weapons.  The use of even tactical nuclear weapons is an absolutely insane move.  Nuclear weapons were not originally intended for its use in military conflicts.  It is exclusively a tool to deter a potential adversary from aggressive actions.  

The use of nuclear weapons by Russia will cause a very negative reaction from China and India.  

I'm not talking about the USA, Great Britain and other countries of the Western world....

Therefore, I perceive it solely as a tool for escalating tension.

I partially agree ... And I will also express my opinion.
The fact is that in the EU, there are a sufficient number of both "manual media" and journalists (as well as politicians, "opinion leaders", "specialists", ....) performing the tasks of the Kremlin dwarfs. This has been known for a long time, and before, through one, they openly supported Russia, in the hope that Putin's plan would work, and Europe would become the obedient servant of the Kremlin, and they would be at the "Kremlin trough", supported by the Kremlin, which generously pays for moral prostitution.
Did not work ! And now they are not so openly, covertly, continue to post news as part of the "information propaganda operation." Now budget data in Russia is classified, but you can find data for 2016-2020 in the archives - billions of dollars were allocated there to "support loyal media in the EU"! And they continue to work them out, and continue to receive funding, through such stuffing that looks quite realistic.
But it is worth digging into the "problem", and it turns out that if there are fears, then only in the Kremlin, fears that they will be left without money, having irreversibly lost the European gas market. What should Germany be afraid of if in 3 months, after the cessation of supplies from Russia, they rebuilt their consumer gas market, and replaced more than 90% of the gas supplied from Russia with STABLE and ALTERNATIVE supply channels? Due to the warm winter - at the moment, almost 75% of the gas remains in the storage facilities in Germany, of the volume that was stored for this winter. Spring is coming and temperatures are high. There's still a year ahead of us to improve supply, lower prices, and stock up, even if next winter is very cold.
Once again I repeat - check ALL the information, it's not difficult. But you will see how many falsehoods and deliberate distortions of information are pouring even from the pages of such respected publications.

I'll help him, this is what I have heard from the person who was saying Germans would freeze: Germany didn't freeze because it has the strongest economy in Europe, this helped them.
Now their prediction is that Germany survived this year but they are in danger for next year.
There are so many predictions from pro-russians but not so funny is that these people change their words when their predictions fail but still are highly confident that they are wise and their next predictions will come true. Again, it will fail and they'll find an explanation like Germany has a big economy and they survived.

Self-hypnosis is cool, but useless
Please provide a list of enterprises for example in Germany that have ceased operations due to the unavailability or high cost of gas from alternative sources? And then let's see how it really is, and not fantasy according to propaganda manuals

PS I am absolutely sure that if you answer something, it will be an ordinary set of fakes from Russian propaganda

A new batch of improvements from Russia

- The Russians should not wait for the growth of pensions, they said in the State Duma.
“We have new people who are retiring. Plus, we must remember that we have new annexed territories. These are also expenditure obligations, ”said Elena Tsunaeva, deputy chairman of the labor committee.
- The Russian stock market on Wednesday fell a record since October last year on the news of new EU sanctions and fears due to the president's message to the Federal Assembly, after which the Duma and the Federation Council will meet for unscheduled meetings.
The Moscow Exchange Index, which tracks the capitalization of the four dozen largest Russian companies, fell by 2.54% at 18:09 Moscow time, to 2175.25 points, the lowest in almost three weeks. The RTS index collapsed 3.6%, or $5 billion in terms of capitalization, and reached its lowest level since the mobilization panic - 918 points.
Correction in Russian stocks "is associated with the exit of some players before the President's message to the Federal Assembly on February 21 and the anniversary of the SVO," said Dmitry Donetsksky, chief analyst at IFC Solid.
After the message, which was postponed for several months, the State Duma and the Federation Council may consider "urgent and extraordinary issues," said Yury Shvytkin, deputy chairman of the defense committee. He assured that there was no talk of a new wave of mobilization.
https://www.moscowtimes.ru/2023/02/15/rossiiskii-rinok-obvalilsya-rekordno-s-oktyabrya-na-strahah-pered-poslaniem-putina-a34234
- "The government's plans to produce and deliver to Russian airlines more than 1,000 domestic aircraft by 2030 were in jeopardy because of the war in Ukraine." To put it simply - "great Russia" and "Russia's economy independent of sanctions" - are not able, without Western components, to produce Russian civil aircraft ))
- The reduction of gas supplies to Europe to a minimum since the late 1980s hit Gazprom's revenue and Russian budget revenues.
In January, Gazprom earned $3.4 billion from gas exports - 46% less than in the same month a year earlier, Reuters calculated based on data on the collection of customs duties and physical volumes of pumping.
Last year, Gazprom sold 101 billion cubic meters of gas to non-CIS countries, half as much as in 2021. At the same time, exports to Europe and Turkey shrank to 85 billion cubic meters, which statistics have never recorded in the modern history of Russia.

...success after success The question is rhetorical - is it true that Europe has problems against the backdrop of this trash in Russia?


And about real totalitarianism, mixed with cowardly rashism: the Leninsky District Court of Barnaul found RusNews journalist Maria Ponomarenko guilty of spreading “fake news” about the army because of a telegram post on Telegram about an airstrike on the drama theater in Mariupol (paragraph “e” of part 2 Article 207.3 of the Criminal Code). She was assigned six years in prison, and was also banned from journalism for five years, the publication itself notes.
The journalist was imprisoned for 6 years, only because she wrote the TRUTH. Yes, the terrorist army of Russia deliberately attacked the building of the drama theater, where people were hiding from shelling. Hundreds of peaceful people - women, children, old people. Almost all of them died under the rubble. But this was not enough for Russia. They forbade dismantling the rubble, extracting corpses for burial. And after the capture of the city, they overtook construction equipment and the wreckage of knowledge there, cynically loaded it into dump trucks with the remains of people, and you drove everything to a landfill! This is not even Nazism, this is some kind of inhuman sadism!