Pages:
Author

Topic: Russian Gas ban - A problem for Europe or suicide for Russia? - page 20. (Read 14450 times)

legendary
Activity: 3472
Merit: 10611
Two and three years ago the oil price was negative a lot of times.
You are confusing different things that aren't related.
The oil price wasn't negative itself, oil was still expensive so was gas and they still are. But in a short period of time when US was torn apart by COVID pandemic the demand for oil dropped so much that the companies couldn't use the oil they were receiving on ships as fast so they remained on ships for a long time. The cost of just shutting down your shipping business and letting the ship holding the oil on sea is a lot more than just dumping it for free so they started giving discounts and even paid to get rid of the oil hence the "negative price".

So basically the housholds should get payed to use electricity
You have to remember that energy (gas, oil, electricity, ...) doesn't just magically appear at your doorstep! A lot of effort is put into its extraction, purification, processing, shipping, conversion, ... and it all costs a lot of money.
jr. member
Activity: 98
Merit: 5
Gas and electricity is as cheap as fun in Europe. The problem is the middleman.

Gas was 1 Cent on the wholesale, but 40 Cents on the housholds. On the wholesale the price of electricity was negative really long times last year. So basically the housholds should get payed to use electricity. But the problem are the middlemen.

Two and three years ago the oil price was negative a lot of times.

There are a lot of different markets and middlemen.

For example the wholesale trading has spot and future markets (I make it easy.). And there are a lot of speculants on the future markets. But if it is the date to get the gas or oil for the future, the speculants do not have the storing facilitys. So the cost for the storing is becoming more expensive as the costs for the futures and speculants have to sell it to a negative price. The rest they can store they sell for the cheap gas + the negative price of the sold gas - So this is one reason gas for the housholds is very expensive.

If you trade futures one the wholsale very good you can make a fortune. But if you stuck with the futures and get the gas, you cannot just dump it to the nature. You have to store it. And if you do not have the storing facility and you cannot sell it in this amount to the households, you are fu....! But no, you can sell it negative and then make the rest expensive to your customers.
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1352
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
There is a study published by Tania Babina of the Columbia University and a few others, titled: "Assessing the Impact of International Sanctions on Russian Oil Exports". The document can be accessed here:

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4366337

The study claims that Russia sold it's crude oil well above the levels it announced in public after the price cap was introduced. Also, for the year 2022, Russia had a record surplus of $282 billion, with exports totaling $532 billion. During this period, they exported $142 billion worth of crude oil, $83 billion worth of oil products and $108 billion worth of natural gas.

According to their calculation, the price for Urals crude in December 2022 (when the price cap was implemented) averaged $74 per barrel (much higher than the figure of $52 per barrel that was reported). On top of that, the report also claims that India imported 1.6 million barrels of crude daily from Russia during December 2022, while for China, the figure is 2.8 million barrels.
hero member
Activity: 2338
Merit: 757
But who are Russia's allies? Belarus is a sockpuppet, North Korea is a communist rebel state. These countries have nothing to lose and they will support any Russia's move. China and India are not allies but business partners at best.

Agreed. At this point, Russia has only a handful of allies, including DPRK, Iran, Belarus, Venezuela and Nicaragua (and a few breakaway regions such as Abkhazia and Transnistria). China and India are wary of the growing US influence and therefore they want Russia to act as a buffer. But at the same time, business comes first for them. At this point, both the countries are benefitting from the supply of cheap Russian hydrocarbons. But in case the Americans implement secondary sanctions, then I don't think that these two countries will have any option other than to stop their imports from Russia.

Secondary sanctions against countries as huge in size and GDP as China and India, in my opinion, are absolutely meaningless.  

In fact, this means imposing sanctions on half of the planet.....  

After all, China and India in this situation are defending only their pragmatic interests.  

It is precisely with this, in my opinion, that the recently announced plan of China to resolve the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is connected (as they try to diplomatically call the ongoing events).  China needs confidence in the supply of energy, food and chemicals.  

China is accustomed to planning its financial and economic activities for 5 years in advance and is not interested in increasing confrontation in the modern world.
This is exactly what Putin needed to declare war on internationally supported Ukraine.  No one enters a regional war without supporters.  And China is ignorant if it loses this opportunity to get its enemies involved in a long-term war (years at least) and benefit from weakening them to support its economy.  China only cares about its economy. Of course, this is their right, especially if we consider that they are facing the Western alliance in an undeclared war, whether economically or militarily.
sr. member
Activity: 2352
Merit: 245
After the reduction of gas supplies from the Russian Federation and the embargo against Russian crude oil, on February 5, sanctions against Russian oil products came into force. Some analysts and market participants feared that the restrictions would lead to a shortage of diesel and other petroleum products, but this did not happen, as European states instantly and painlessly rebuilt the logistics of supplies from Russia to the Middle East and Asia.

Diesel deliveries in January already surpassed those of December, with the share of imports coming from the Middle East and Asia rising to 60%, a record for the last 7 years. Deliveries of Russian oil products to Europe now amount to only 282,000 barrels per day.

Thus, the European countries almost did not notice the refusal of Russian supplies. This was facilitated by an active search for alternative suppliers, a decrease in domestic consumption, as well as warm weather in the winter before, which made it possible to significantly increase fuel reserves in storage facilities.

Another Russian plan to freeze Ukraine by direct bombardment of the energy infrastructure and put pressure on the countries of Europe by sharply reducing gas supplies not only did not produce any result, but also led to the opposite results. Now Europe is almost completely united in support of Ukraine.
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1775
Catalog Websites
But who are Russia's allies? Belarus is a sockpuppet, North Korea is a communist rebel state. These countries have nothing to lose and they will support any Russia's move. China and India are not allies but business partners at best.

Agreed. At this point, Russia has only a handful of allies, including DPRK, Iran, Belarus, Venezuela and Nicaragua (and a few breakaway regions such as Abkhazia and Transnistria). China and India are wary of the growing US influence and therefore they want Russia to act as a buffer. But at the same time, business comes first for them. At this point, both the countries are benefitting from the supply of cheap Russian hydrocarbons. But in case the Americans implement secondary sanctions, then I don't think that these two countries will have any option other than to stop their imports from Russia.

Secondary sanctions against countries as huge in size and GDP as China and India, in my opinion, are absolutely meaningless. 

In fact, this means imposing sanctions on half of the planet..... 

After all, China and India in this situation are defending only their pragmatic interests. 

It is precisely with this, in my opinion, that the recently announced plan of China to resolve the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is connected (as they try to diplomatically call the ongoing events).  China needs confidence in the supply of energy, food and chemicals. 

China is accustomed to planning its financial and economic activities for 5 years in advance and is not interested in increasing confrontation in the modern world.
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1352
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
But who are Russia's allies? Belarus is a sockpuppet, North Korea is a communist rebel state. These countries have nothing to lose and they will support any Russia's move. China and India are not allies but business partners at best.

Agreed. At this point, Russia has only a handful of allies, including DPRK, Iran, Belarus, Venezuela and Nicaragua (and a few breakaway regions such as Abkhazia and Transnistria). China and India are wary of the growing US influence and therefore they want Russia to act as a buffer. But at the same time, business comes first for them. At this point, both the countries are benefitting from the supply of cheap Russian hydrocarbons. But in case the Americans implement secondary sanctions, then I don't think that these two countries will have any option other than to stop their imports from Russia.
hero member
Activity: 2338
Merit: 757
OK.. for the first time I can agree with all of your points. The last point is quite important. Even if Russian uses tactical nukes, it will not result in Russia winning the war. Ukraine has more than one million soldiers in active duty right now and they are well distributed across the 1,300 km long frontline. Using one or two tactical weapons to destroy concentrations of Ukrainian troops will not have an impact of the Ukrainian Armed forces to continue fighting. So in the end, for Russia it will cause more harm compared to good since their remaining allies will desert them. 

There is a surprise visit of President Biden to Ukarine 3 days back just to show solidarity. US president visiting Kyiv is an indication that it's a safe city. While Chinese foreign minister is meeting Russian president in Moscow. When two big powers are standing opposite to each other, there is a rare chance of cease fire. One year of conflict is about to complete and still we have no clue when this will end.
US is accelerating the war and China is also trying to gain benefit because they want to get oil and gas from Russia. Putin meets china top diplomat in Moscow
US warn china may supply weapon
Russia may not need military support as much as it needs economic support to face Western sanctions. It is not easy for Russia to stop energy supplies to Europe without having friends to support it. These friends are mainly China and India. Of course, these friends buy Russian gas for less than half of its price, thus boosting their energy reserves. China is benefiting from this war without being a party to the military confrontation, whether through participation or supply. Russia could not have withstood this war (against America and its allies on Ukrainian soil) without China's support.
legendary
Activity: 2422
Merit: 1191
Privacy Servers. Since 2009.
This is a natural step in the current situation.  Cold War between the Western world and Russia. 

However, this does not mean that Russia will use nuclear weapons.  The use of even tactical nuclear weapons is an absolutely insane move.  Nuclear weapons were not originally intended for its use in military conflicts.  It is exclusively a tool to deter a potential adversary from aggressive actions. 

The use of nuclear weapons by Russia will cause a very negative reaction from China and India. 

I'm not talking about the USA, Great Britain and other countries of the Western world....

Therefore, I perceive it solely as a tool for escalating tension.

I don't think that there is a big possibility of Russia using tactical nukes in Ukraine. Even in frontline cities such as Bakhmut and Vuhledar, there are still thousands of civilians trapped in the basements and bomb shelters. A majority of them are ethnic Russians and in case Russia uses tactical nukes, then these people will be destroyed. And the other option for Russia will be to use tactical nukes on cities that are mostly inhabited by ethnic Ukrainians, such as Lviv and Ternopil. But this will result in retaliatory strikes by NATO.

As such there are no "tactical" nukes. Nukes are nukes no matter what they are called. Even the best tactical nuclear weapon will result in the deaths of thousands of civilians, along with the military manpower and equipment. There is no magical nuclear weapon that will only kill the soldiers. And at this point, I don't think that Putin is lunatic enough to commit such a mistake, which would result in his strongest allies deserting him.

I agree that there is no point in using nukes in Ukraine. There will be lots of civilian casualties but the military effect would be questionable.

Quote from: Sithara007
But this will result in retaliatory strikes by NATO.

I don't think Putin is particularly afraid of this. The only NATO country capable of effective nuke strike on Russia is the US. And if they'll do it, Russia will launch their long-range nukes immediately turning Washington, London and many other big cities into ashes. This will be the end of the world as we know it or maybe even the ultimate apocalypse.

Quote from: Sithara007
which would result in his strongest allies deserting him.

But who are Russia's allies? Belarus is a sockpuppet, North Korea is a communist rebel state. These countries have nothing to lose and they will support any Russia's move. China and India are not allies but business partners at best.
full member
Activity: 1204
Merit: 110
OK.. for the first time I can agree with all of your points. The last point is quite important. Even if Russian uses tactical nukes, it will not result in Russia winning the war. Ukraine has more than one million soldiers in active duty right now and they are well distributed across the 1,300 km long frontline. Using one or two tactical weapons to destroy concentrations of Ukrainian troops will not have an impact of the Ukrainian Armed forces to continue fighting. So in the end, for Russia it will cause more harm compared to good since their remaining allies will desert them. 

There is a surprise visit of President Biden to Ukarine 3 days back just to show solidarity. US president visiting Kyiv is an indication that it's a safe city. While Chinese foreign minister is meeting Russian president in Moscow. When two big powers are standing opposite to each other, there is a rare chance of cease fire. One year of conflict is about to complete and still we have no clue when this will end.
US is accelerating the war and China is also trying to gain benefit because they want to get oil and gas from Russia. Putin meets china top diplomat in Moscow
US warn china may supply weapon
full member
Activity: 742
Merit: 201
OK.. for the first time I can agree with all of your points. The last point is quite important. Even if Russian uses tactical nukes, it will not result in Russia winning the war. Ukraine has more than one million soldiers in active duty right now and they are well distributed across the 1,300 km long frontline. Using one or two tactical weapons to destroy concentrations of Ukrainian troops will not have an impact of the Ukrainian Armed forces to continue fighting. So in the end, for Russia it will cause more harm compared to good since their remaining allies will desert them. 

There is a surprise visit of President Biden to Ukarine 3 days back just to show solidarity. US president visiting Kyiv is an indication that it's a safe city. While Chinese foreign minister is meeting Russian president in Moscow. When two big powers are standing opposite to each other, there is a rare chance of cease fire. One year of conflict is about to complete and still we have no clue when this will end.
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1352
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
A tactical nuclear strike against Ukraine by Russia is generally pointless from all sides. Putin doesn't really care about the Russian-speaking population of Ukraine, who will suffer from its use on the front lines in Ukraine. Now, "liberating" the settlements in the Donbass, the Russian troops are deliberately destroying them almost completely so much that it is simply impossible to restore them, and the Russian-speaking civilian population is dying there in the first place. In order to fight further under conditions of nuclear destruction, Russian troops will need to have special protection, and there are very big problems in them and with conventional equipment.

Attacking the western part of Ukraine is like attacking NATO countries, since the radioactive contamination will spread to them as well. And Putin has already been unequivocally warned that they will strike back not only at Russia, but also personally at Putin in his bunker.

In addition, militarily, a tactical nuclear strike will not solve anything militarily. Ukraine will continue to defend itself under any conditions. But it will become clear to the world that Putin's Russia will need to be destroyed and the impending threat eliminated.

OK.. for the first time I can agree with all of your points. The last point is quite important. Even if Russian uses tactical nukes, it will not result in Russia winning the war. Ukraine has more than one million soldiers in active duty right now and they are well distributed across the 1,300 km long frontline. Using one or two tactical weapons to destroy concentrations of Ukrainian troops will not have an impact of the Ukrainian Armed forces to continue fighting. So in the end, for Russia it will cause more harm compared to good since their remaining allies will desert them. 
legendary
Activity: 3752
Merit: 1864
Now there is another warning - Putin on Tuesday delivered a nuclear warning to the west over Ukraine, suspending a landmark nuclear arms control treaty, announcing new strategic systems had been put on combat duty and warning that Moscow could resume nuclear test. Now what is more alarming than this?

I'll disappoint you a little! Smiley
Putin personally, representatives of the Kremlin and a pack of propagandists have repeatedly squealed about the strikes on London and Warsaw, and "we have the right", and even transfer the Strategic Missile Forces to a high level of readiness! And even the other day, when Biden paid a visit to my beloved Kyiv, he tried to launch his rocket, as it should be "unparalleled" Smiley Guess the result of the exercises? Launch failed! Smiley

Now let's get back to Russia's "withdrawal" from the treaty.
1. Firstly, it does not withdraw, but suspends its implementation without withdrawing from the contract. Strange huh? Those. it seems to relieve itself of any obligations, but the agreement is valid - and the United States is obliged to fulfill it. And now the most interesting. One of the key points of the agreement is the possibility for the parties to carry out visits and checks of the FI STATE of the second participant. And then we move on to part two:
2. There is a lot of indirect evidence that Russia's nuclear triad is the same fake as everything else in Russia. Let me explain. Since 2014, Ukraine has stopped serving Russian nuclear weapons. Did not know ? The nuance is that most of the strategic missiles are the development of the Ukrainian plant Yuzhmash. There are specialists only at Yuzhmash. Russia does not have them. as there is no engineering documentation in order to figure out what and how to REGULARLY service. A missile is a very complex technological solution with tens of thousands of control points and verification protocols ... In total, the main part of the Strategic Missile Forces has not been serviced for 8 years. They either lie in storage warehouses, because they are in mines, or on mobile platforms (auto / railway). For 8 years, they were either completely not served, or served by "hand-assed specialists." What is worse is not even clear. A unilateral refusal to fulfill contractual obligations will not allow US representatives to visit the facilities and, therefore, make sure that a significant part of Russia's nuclear potential is inoperable. Well, Russia serves it "under sauce" - "we are ready to apply it and we will not even comply with the agreement now"
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1775
Catalog Websites
This is a natural step in the current situation.  Cold War between the Western world and Russia.  

However, this does not mean that Russia will use nuclear weapons.  The use of even tactical nuclear weapons is an absolutely insane move.  Nuclear weapons were not originally intended for its use in military conflicts.  It is exclusively a tool to deter a potential adversary from aggressive actions.  

The use of nuclear weapons by Russia will cause a very negative reaction from China and India.  

I'm not talking about the USA, Great Britain and other countries of the Western world....

Therefore, I perceive it solely as a tool for escalating tension.

I don't think that there is a big possibility of Russia using tactical nukes in Ukraine. Even in frontline cities such as Bakhmut and Vuhledar, there are still thousands of civilians trapped in the basements and bomb shelters. A majority of them are ethnic Russians and in case Russia uses tactical nukes, then these people will be destroyed. And the other option for Russia will be to use tactical nukes on cities that are mostly inhabited by ethnic Ukrainians, such as Lviv and Ternopil. But this will result in retaliatory strikes by NATO.

As such there are no "tactical" nukes. Nukes are nukes no matter what they are called. Even the best tactical nuclear weapon will result in the deaths of thousands of civilians, along with the military manpower and equipment. There is no magical nuclear weapon that will only kill the soldiers. And at this point, I don't think that Putin is lunatic enough to commit such a mistake, which would result in his strongest allies deserting him.

It is very difficult for me to understand the logic of leaders who make military and political decisions.  Earlier (in 2007-2014) it was easier to do this, because management decisions were cold, prudent and pragmatic.  

There was not even a shadow of empathy and kindness in them, but they were still adequate and pragmatic.  

Now, when I want to understand what decisions the country's military-political leadership will make in the future, I watch an interview with the Russian turbo-patriot Girkin (Strelkov).  It very accurately reflects the mood of the country's elite.  

Girkin is very critical of the possibility of using nuclear weapons on the territory of Ukraine on the grounds that these territories belong to Russia and destroying their own territories is madness.  

At the same time, he does not rule out the possibility of using nuclear weapons against Western countries if they are directly involved in hostilities.
sr. member
Activity: 2352
Merit: 245

I don't think that there is a big possibility of Russia using tactical nukes in Ukraine. Even in frontline cities such as Bakhmut and Vuhledar, there are still thousands of civilians trapped in the basements and bomb shelters. A majority of them are ethnic Russians and in case Russia uses tactical nukes, then these people will be destroyed. And the other option for Russia will be to use tactical nukes on cities that are mostly inhabited by ethnic Ukrainians, such as Lviv and Ternopil. But this will result in retaliatory strikes by NATO.

As such there are no "tactical" nukes. Nukes are nukes no matter what they are called. Even the best tactical nuclear weapon will result in the deaths of thousands of civilians, along with the military manpower and equipment. There is no magical nuclear weapon that will only kill the soldiers. And at this point, I don't think that Putin is lunatic enough to commit such a mistake, which would result in his strongest allies deserting him.
A tactical nuclear strike against Ukraine by Russia is generally pointless from all sides. Putin doesn't really care about the Russian-speaking population of Ukraine, who will suffer from its use on the front lines in Ukraine. Now, "liberating" the settlements in the Donbass, the Russian troops are deliberately destroying them almost completely so much that it is simply impossible to restore them, and the Russian-speaking civilian population is dying there in the first place. In order to fight further under conditions of nuclear destruction, Russian troops will need to have special protection, and there are very big problems in them and with conventional equipment.

Attacking the western part of Ukraine is like attacking NATO countries, since the radioactive contamination will spread to them as well. And Putin has already been unequivocally warned that they will strike back not only at Russia, but also personally at Putin in his bunker.

In addition, militarily, a tactical nuclear strike will not solve anything militarily. Ukraine will continue to defend itself under any conditions. But it will become clear to the world that Putin's Russia will need to be destroyed and the impending threat eliminated.
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1352
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
This is a natural step in the current situation.  Cold War between the Western world and Russia. 

However, this does not mean that Russia will use nuclear weapons.  The use of even tactical nuclear weapons is an absolutely insane move.  Nuclear weapons were not originally intended for its use in military conflicts.  It is exclusively a tool to deter a potential adversary from aggressive actions. 

The use of nuclear weapons by Russia will cause a very negative reaction from China and India. 

I'm not talking about the USA, Great Britain and other countries of the Western world....

Therefore, I perceive it solely as a tool for escalating tension.

I don't think that there is a big possibility of Russia using tactical nukes in Ukraine. Even in frontline cities such as Bakhmut and Vuhledar, there are still thousands of civilians trapped in the basements and bomb shelters. A majority of them are ethnic Russians and in case Russia uses tactical nukes, then these people will be destroyed. And the other option for Russia will be to use tactical nukes on cities that are mostly inhabited by ethnic Ukrainians, such as Lviv and Ternopil. But this will result in retaliatory strikes by NATO.

As such there are no "tactical" nukes. Nukes are nukes no matter what they are called. Even the best tactical nuclear weapon will result in the deaths of thousands of civilians, along with the military manpower and equipment. There is no magical nuclear weapon that will only kill the soldiers. And at this point, I don't think that Putin is lunatic enough to commit such a mistake, which would result in his strongest allies deserting him.
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1775
Catalog Websites
Self-hypnosis is cool, but useless Smiley
Please provide a list of enterprises for example in Germany that have ceased operations due to the unavailability or high cost of gas from alternative sources? And then let's see how it really is, and not fantasy according to propaganda manuals Smiley

PS I am absolutely sure that if you answer something, it will be an ordinary set of fakes from Russian propaganda Smiley
I'll help him, this is what I have heard from the person who was saying Germans would freeze: Germany didn't freeze because it has the strongest economy in Europe, this helped them.
Now their prediction is that Germany survived this year but they are in danger for next year.
There are so many predictions from pro-russians but not so funny is that these people change their words when their predictions fail but still are highly confident that they are wise and their next predictions will come true. Again, it will fail and they'll find an explanation like Germany has a big economy and they survived.

I partially agree ... And I will also express my opinion.
The fact is that in the EU, there are a sufficient number of both "manual media" and journalists (as well as politicians, "opinion leaders", "specialists", ....) performing the tasks of the Kremlin dwarfs. This has been known for a long time, and before, through one, they openly supported Russia, in the hope that Putin's plan would work, and Europe would become the obedient servant of the Kremlin, and they would be at the "Kremlin trough", supported by the Kremlin, which generously pays for moral prostitution.
Did not work ! And now they are not so openly, covertly, continue to post news as part of the "information propaganda operation." Now budget data in Russia is classified, but you can find data for 2016-2020 in the archives - billions of dollars were allocated there to "support loyal media in the EU"! And they continue to work them out, and continue to receive funding, through such stuffing that looks quite realistic.
But it is worth digging into the "problem", and it turns out that if there are fears, then only in the Kremlin, fears that they will be left without money, having irreversibly lost the European gas market. What should Germany be afraid of if in 3 months, after the cessation of supplies from Russia, they rebuilt their consumer gas market, and replaced more than 90% of the gas supplied from Russia with STABLE and ALTERNATIVE supply channels? Due to the warm winter - at the moment, almost 75% of the gas remains in the storage facilities in Germany, of the volume that was stored for this winter. Spring is coming and temperatures are high. There's still a year ahead of us to improve supply, lower prices, and stock up, even if next winter is very cold.
Once again I repeat - check ALL the information, it's not difficult. But you will see how many falsehoods and deliberate distortions of information are pouring even from the pages of such respected publications.
Now there is another warning - Putin on Tuesday delivered a nuclear warning to the west over Ukraine, suspending a landmark nuclear arms control treaty, announcing new strategic systems had been put on combat duty and warning that Moscow could resume nuclear test. Now what is more alarming than this?

This is a natural step in the current situation.  Cold War between the Western world and Russia. 

However, this does not mean that Russia will use nuclear weapons.  The use of even tactical nuclear weapons is an absolutely insane move.  Nuclear weapons were not originally intended for its use in military conflicts.  It is exclusively a tool to deter a potential adversary from aggressive actions. 

The use of nuclear weapons by Russia will cause a very negative reaction from China and India. 

I'm not talking about the USA, Great Britain and other countries of the Western world....

Therefore, I perceive it solely as a tool for escalating tension.
full member
Activity: 1204
Merit: 110
Self-hypnosis is cool, but useless Smiley
Please provide a list of enterprises for example in Germany that have ceased operations due to the unavailability or high cost of gas from alternative sources? And then let's see how it really is, and not fantasy according to propaganda manuals Smiley

PS I am absolutely sure that if you answer something, it will be an ordinary set of fakes from Russian propaganda Smiley
I'll help him, this is what I have heard from the person who was saying Germans would freeze: Germany didn't freeze because it has the strongest economy in Europe, this helped them.
Now their prediction is that Germany survived this year but they are in danger for next year.
There are so many predictions from pro-russians but not so funny is that these people change their words when their predictions fail but still are highly confident that they are wise and their next predictions will come true. Again, it will fail and they'll find an explanation like Germany has a big economy and they survived.

I partially agree ... And I will also express my opinion.
The fact is that in the EU, there are a sufficient number of both "manual media" and journalists (as well as politicians, "opinion leaders", "specialists", ....) performing the tasks of the Kremlin dwarfs. This has been known for a long time, and before, through one, they openly supported Russia, in the hope that Putin's plan would work, and Europe would become the obedient servant of the Kremlin, and they would be at the "Kremlin trough", supported by the Kremlin, which generously pays for moral prostitution.
Did not work ! And now they are not so openly, covertly, continue to post news as part of the "information propaganda operation." Now budget data in Russia is classified, but you can find data for 2016-2020 in the archives - billions of dollars were allocated there to "support loyal media in the EU"! And they continue to work them out, and continue to receive funding, through such stuffing that looks quite realistic.
But it is worth digging into the "problem", and it turns out that if there are fears, then only in the Kremlin, fears that they will be left without money, having irreversibly lost the European gas market. What should Germany be afraid of if in 3 months, after the cessation of supplies from Russia, they rebuilt their consumer gas market, and replaced more than 90% of the gas supplied from Russia with STABLE and ALTERNATIVE supply channels? Due to the warm winter - at the moment, almost 75% of the gas remains in the storage facilities in Germany, of the volume that was stored for this winter. Spring is coming and temperatures are high. There's still a year ahead of us to improve supply, lower prices, and stock up, even if next winter is very cold.
Once again I repeat - check ALL the information, it's not difficult. But you will see how many falsehoods and deliberate distortions of information are pouring even from the pages of such respected publications.
Now there is another warning - Putin on Tuesday delivered a nuclear warning to the west over Ukraine, suspending a landmark nuclear arms control treaty, announcing new strategic systems had been put on combat duty and warning that Moscow could resume nuclear test. Now what is more alarming than this?
legendary
Activity: 3752
Merit: 1864
Self-hypnosis is cool, but useless Smiley
Please provide a list of enterprises for example in Germany that have ceased operations due to the unavailability or high cost of gas from alternative sources? And then let's see how it really is, and not fantasy according to propaganda manuals Smiley

PS I am absolutely sure that if you answer something, it will be an ordinary set of fakes from Russian propaganda Smiley
I'll help him, this is what I have heard from the person who was saying Germans would freeze: Germany didn't freeze because it has the strongest economy in Europe, this helped them.
Now their prediction is that Germany survived this year but they are in danger for next year.
There are so many predictions from pro-russians but not so funny is that these people change their words when their predictions fail but still are highly confident that they are wise and their next predictions will come true. Again, it will fail and they'll find an explanation like Germany has a big economy and they survived.

I partially agree ... And I will also express my opinion.
The fact is that in the EU, there are a sufficient number of both "manual media" and journalists (as well as politicians, "opinion leaders", "specialists", ....) performing the tasks of the Kremlin dwarfs. This has been known for a long time, and before, through one, they openly supported Russia, in the hope that Putin's plan would work, and Europe would become the obedient servant of the Kremlin, and they would be at the "Kremlin trough", supported by the Kremlin, which generously pays for moral prostitution.
Did not work ! And now they are not so openly, covertly, continue to post news as part of the "information propaganda operation." Now budget data in Russia is classified, but you can find data for 2016-2020 in the archives - billions of dollars were allocated there to "support loyal media in the EU"! And they continue to work them out, and continue to receive funding, through such stuffing that looks quite realistic.
But it is worth digging into the "problem", and it turns out that if there are fears, then only in the Kremlin, fears that they will be left without money, having irreversibly lost the European gas market. What should Germany be afraid of if in 3 months, after the cessation of supplies from Russia, they rebuilt their consumer gas market, and replaced more than 90% of the gas supplied from Russia with STABLE and ALTERNATIVE supply channels? Due to the warm winter - at the moment, almost 75% of the gas remains in the storage facilities in Germany, of the volume that was stored for this winter. Spring is coming and temperatures are high. There's still a year ahead of us to improve supply, lower prices, and stock up, even if next winter is very cold.
Once again I repeat - check ALL the information, it's not difficult. But you will see how many falsehoods and deliberate distortions of information are pouring even from the pages of such respected publications.
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1775
Catalog Websites
A new batch of improvements from Russia Smiley

- The Russians should not wait for the growth of pensions, they said in the State Duma.
“We have new people who are retiring. Plus, we must remember that we have new annexed territories. These are also expenditure obligations, ”said Elena Tsunaeva, deputy chairman of the labor committee.
- The Russian stock market on Wednesday fell a record since October last year on the news of new EU sanctions and fears due to the president's message to the Federal Assembly, after which the Duma and the Federation Council will meet for unscheduled meetings.
The Moscow Exchange Index, which tracks the capitalization of the four dozen largest Russian companies, fell by 2.54% at 18:09 Moscow time, to 2175.25 points, the lowest in almost three weeks. The RTS index collapsed 3.6%, or $5 billion in terms of capitalization, and reached its lowest level since the mobilization panic - 918 points.
Correction in Russian stocks "is associated with the exit of some players before the President's message to the Federal Assembly on February 21 and the anniversary of the SVO," said Dmitry Donetsksky, chief analyst at IFC Solid.
After the message, which was postponed for several months, the State Duma and the Federation Council may consider "urgent and extraordinary issues," said Yury Shvytkin, deputy chairman of the defense committee. He assured that there was no talk of a new wave of mobilization.
https://www.moscowtimes.ru/2023/02/15/rossiiskii-rinok-obvalilsya-rekordno-s-oktyabrya-na-strahah-pered-poslaniem-putina-a34234
- "The government's plans to produce and deliver to Russian airlines more than 1,000 domestic aircraft by 2030 were in jeopardy because of the war in Ukraine." To put it simply - "great Russia" and "Russia's economy independent of sanctions" - are not able, without Western components, to produce Russian civil aircraft Smiley))
- The reduction of gas supplies to Europe to a minimum since the late 1980s hit Gazprom's revenue and Russian budget revenues.
In January, Gazprom earned $3.4 billion from gas exports - 46% less than in the same month a year earlier, Reuters calculated based on data on the collection of customs duties and physical volumes of pumping.
Last year, Gazprom sold 101 billion cubic meters of gas to non-CIS countries, half as much as in 2021. At the same time, exports to Europe and Turkey shrank to 85 billion cubic meters, which statistics have never recorded in the modern history of Russia.

...success after success Smiley The question is rhetorical - is it true that Europe has problems against the backdrop of this trash in Russia?


And about real totalitarianism, mixed with cowardly rashism: the Leninsky District Court of Barnaul found RusNews journalist Maria Ponomarenko guilty of spreading “fake news” about the army because of a telegram post on Telegram about an airstrike on the drama theater in Mariupol (paragraph “e” of part 2 Article 207.3 of the Criminal Code). She was assigned six years in prison, and was also banned from journalism for five years, the publication itself notes.
The journalist was imprisoned for 6 years, only because she wrote the TRUTH. Yes, the terrorist army of Russia deliberately attacked the building of the drama theater, where people were hiding from shelling. Hundreds of peaceful people - women, children, old people. Almost all of them died under the rubble. But this was not enough for Russia. They forbade dismantling the rubble, extracting corpses for burial. And after the capture of the city, they overtook construction equipment and the wreckage of knowledge there, cynically loaded it into dump trucks with the remains of people, and you drove everything to a landfill! This is not even Nazism, this is some kind of inhuman sadism!
When are we going to receive the news that Russia has announced to are now ending war with Ukraine.
We are all tired now - the world has suffered so much already


In my opinion, the war will last a very long time.  And this will bring trouble and misfortune to a huge number of people. 

I don't see any signs yet that this will all end soon.  War is terrible because it reformats people's brains. 

A peaceful person comes to the front, sees death and blood, loses his comrades-in-arms and begins to hate the enemy (who had not been his enemy before, but was, on the contrary, a relative).  And a person changes mentally - he no longer wants to be a peace-loving person, but wants to fight.  He begins to divide all people in the world into three categories - enemies, friends and traitors. 

However, not only does he want to fight to win, he wants others to fight alongside him.  And he wants to kill those who do not want to fight alongside him (because they are either enemies or traitors).
Pages:
Jump to: