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Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] - page 216. (Read 77449 times)

sr. member
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October 23, 2022, 06:34:37 PM
Meanwhile it seems that Russia is testing new type of kamikaze fighter jets. Just in one week, it's already second time when they crash into residential building:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tql2sdctGFU

What makes you think that these drones are made in Iran and were simply renamed Geran-2? Do you have any proof of this other than allegations?
C'mon, even advisor of Russian Defense Ministry said that these drones are made in Iran, but they can't talk about it because they offcially don't recognize that they're made in Iran:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PZsrQE9fIjE

Here you are wishful thinking. These drones are extremely difficult targets for an air defense system for a number of reasons (they fly at low altitude, their body is radio-transparent, their fuel tanks are reinforced, the air-cooled engine is cold). Plus, it has a contact-type detonator, that is, even if the drone was shot down, it will still explode when it falls. And perhaps the damage from a downed drone will be even greater than if it is not touched.
And somehow they managed to shoot it down with good old Buk 1M:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b9LvhqlO2Rs
If these 80% would be just wishful thinking, consquences would be much worse.
Reading about Iran - I read it online that Russia is purchasing new kind of Drones from Iran.
That is called Kamakazi drone. And they are making a lot of damage to Ukraine
legendary
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Slava Ukraini!
October 23, 2022, 06:25:13 PM
Meanwhile it seems that Russia is testing new type of kamikaze fighter jets. Just in one week, it's already second time when they crash into residential building:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tql2sdctGFU

What makes you think that these drones are made in Iran and were simply renamed Geran-2? Do you have any proof of this other than allegations?
C'mon, even advisor of Russian Defense Ministry said that these drones are made in Iran, but they can't talk about it because they offcially don't recognize that they're made in Iran:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PZsrQE9fIjE

Here you are wishful thinking. These drones are extremely difficult targets for an air defense system for a number of reasons (they fly at low altitude, their body is radio-transparent, their fuel tanks are reinforced, the air-cooled engine is cold). Plus, it has a contact-type detonator, that is, even if the drone was shot down, it will still explode when it falls. And perhaps the damage from a downed drone will be even greater than if it is not touched.
And somehow they managed to shoot it down with good old Buk 1M:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b9LvhqlO2Rs
If these 80% would be just wishful thinking, consquences would be much worse.
copper member
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White Russian
October 23, 2022, 04:42:53 PM
I don't know where they were manufactured.  

How do you know they were manufactured in Russia?  Or are you just making this claim because you think it will impress others with Russias capabilities?  That's what it seems like to me at this point.

We both seem to be repeating ourselves. I think we will soon see Geran-3 kamikaze drones in action, with the same air-cooled engine (Chinese or Iranian clone of the German Limbach L550E engine for ultralight aircraft), but with a silencer and therefore not so loud. This will make the task of detecting the drone even more difficult and increase its effectiveness. We'll see.
They're hitting ~80% of those drones, which is quite good for "non-existent" air defense.
Here you are wishful thinking. These drones are extremely difficult targets for an air defense system for a number of reasons (they fly at low altitude, their body is radio-transparent, their fuel tanks are reinforced, the air-cooled engine is cold). Plus, it has a contact-type detonator, that is, even if the drone was shot down, it will still explode when it falls. And perhaps the damage from a downed drone will be even greater than if it is not touched.

Trying to win a war by cutting civilians from water, electricity, hospitals and schools is useless.
Do you still think that organizing a terrorist attack on the Crimean bridge was a good idea? I hope the income from the sale of postage stamps will help Ukraine to spend the winter without electricity, heat and light.
legendary
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October 23, 2022, 04:18:34 PM
When I read the news that the Ukrainian army is unable to repel the attacks of the drones that Russia acquired from Iran, it becomes clear to me that the Ukrainian surface-to-air defenses are very weak or non-existent at all.

They're hitting ~80% of those drones, which is quite good for "non-existent" air defense.

Russian air force proper doesn't ever try to enter Ukrainian airspace anymore, choosing to launch low-accuracy missiles from Belarus or deep inside Russian territory, which I think tells us something different than you assumed about the effectiveness of Ukrainian air defense.

The same thing when I read the news that Britain is training the Ukrainian forces on its soil before redeploying them to the battlefield, it becomes clear to me that this army is inexperienced in wars and it is hard to believe that it wins successive rounds as the loyal media wants to portray us.

Ukrainian soldiers training abroad seems like a major advantage over freshly mobilized Russian forces barely training if at all. Even if you believe Russian military training is on par with British, that's a wash at best.

Russia is putting pressure on Ukraine from several sides, not only militarily. The targeting of vital facilities (airports, power generators, warehouses for goods...) greatly affects the military support of the Ukrainian army, to which the allied countries are unable to provide adequate assistance.

And Ukrainians are shelling actual military targets like ammunition depots, supply routes, as opposed to Russians trying to hit civilian infrastructure and cause a humanitarian crisis. Again, seems like a significant military advantage for Ukrainians.

Not sure why you're still trying to twist this into some major media conspiracy. There is clearly a shift of momentum compared to the early months of the war and Ukrainians have been gaining ground for the last 2-3 months. Even Russian side admits losing Kharkov region and retreating from Kherson. Are the Russians also in on the pro-Ukrainian conspiracy?
legendary
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Do not die for Putin
October 23, 2022, 04:13:32 PM

When I read the news that the Ukrainian army is unable to repel the attacks of the drones that Russia acquired from Iran, it becomes clear to me that the Ukrainian surface-to-air defenses are very weak or non-existent at all....

Sure, that is why the SUs and MIG are all over Ukraine supporting the ground forces -  Except for the fact that they are absolutely absent since day 0. RF air superiority, which was taken for granted even by Ukraine allies has proven to be non-existant. It is just another of the myths about the RF army that have been vanished after this botched aggression that has benefited only the US.

Russia is using drones and missiles, many of which are intercepted and many of which are inaccurate to the point of being useless because they cannot risk planes and pilots to missions in a relatively well defended sky. Trying to win a war by cutting civilians from water, electricity, hospitals and schools is useless.
legendary
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October 23, 2022, 04:01:17 PM
these drones are made in Russia
Source?

And don't tell me it's just because they renamed them.
Well, at least Geran-2 is more accurate than Shahid-136, because it uses the GLONASS satellite system for guidance, and not a commercial GPS.

I mean how do you know that the drones are being manufactured in Russia?  Where did you get this information?


What makes you think that these drones are made in Iran and were simply renamed Geran-2? Do you have any proof of this other than allegations? Or the contact fuse of a kamikaze drone does not allow you to study the wreckage of even those drones that managed to shoot down? I pointed out to you above the difference between Geranium-2 and Shahid-136 (another navigation board). This is a significant difference that affects the accuracy of hitting the target.

In addition to Geran-2, Russia also has a kamikaze drone Geran-1 (very similar, but slightly more compact and with a rotary piston engine). The same class of drones also includes the loitering ammunition Lancet, which has recently also been often used in special operation. In general, this hysterical winding of snot on a fist about possible military assistance to Russia from Iran is quite funny. Considering that three dozen countries supply lethal weapons to Ukraine.

ps No Iranian Arms Delivery to Russia for Ukraine War  Grin
I don't know where they were manufactured.  

How do you know they were manufactured in Russia?  Or are you just making this claim because you think it will impress others with Russias capabilities?  That's what it seems like to me at this point.
legendary
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Merit: 1385
October 23, 2022, 11:37:37 AM

When I read the news that the Ukrainian army is unable to repel the attacks of the drones that Russia acquired from Iran, it becomes clear to me that the Ukrainian surface-to-air defenses are very weak or non-existent at all.
The same thing when I read the news that Britain is training the Ukrainian forces on its soil before redeploying them to the battlefield, it becomes clear to me that this army is inexperienced in wars and it is hard to believe that it wins successive rounds as the loyal media wants to portray us.

Russia is putting pressure on Ukraine from several sides, not only militarily. The targeting of vital facilities (airports, power generators, warehouses for goods...) greatly affects the military support of the Ukrainian army, to which the allied countries are unable to provide adequate assistance.

And because Ukraine is being supported by the US and Nato, the Russian pressure is really against the US and Nato.

At the same time, it is destroying the economy of the people of the US and Nato nations.

Cool
legendary
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October 23, 2022, 10:33:46 AM

When I read the news that the Ukrainian army is unable to repel the attacks of the drones that Russia acquired from Iran, it becomes clear to me that the Ukrainian surface-to-air defenses are very weak or non-existent at all.
The same thing when I read the news that Britain is training the Ukrainian forces on its soil before redeploying them to the battlefield, it becomes clear to me that this army is inexperienced in wars and it is hard to believe that it wins successive rounds as the loyal media wants to portray us.

Russia is putting pressure on Ukraine from several sides, not only militarily. The targeting of vital facilities (airports, power generators, warehouses for goods...) greatly affects the military support of the Ukrainian army, to which the allied countries are unable to provide adequate assistance.
sr. member
Activity: 608
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Freedom, Natural Law
October 23, 2022, 04:59:13 AM
Now Russia invades Europe this winter. Will the Governments fight it?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BYAboXw9eko
copper member
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White Russian
October 23, 2022, 03:18:40 AM
these drones are made in Russia
Source?

And don't tell me it's just because they renamed them.
Well, at least Geran-2 is more accurate than Shahid-136, because it uses the GLONASS satellite system for guidance, and not a commercial GPS.

I mean how do you know that the drones are being manufactured in Russia?  Where did you get this information?


What makes you think that these drones are made in Iran and were simply renamed Geran-2? Do you have any proof of this other than allegations? Or the contact fuse of a kamikaze drone does not allow you to study the wreckage of even those drones that managed to shoot down? I pointed out to you above the difference between Geranium-2 and Shahid-136 (another navigation board). This is a significant difference that affects the accuracy of hitting the target.

In addition to Geran-2, Russia also has a kamikaze drone Geran-1 (very similar, but slightly more compact and with a rotary piston engine). The same class of drones also includes the loitering ammunition Lancet, which has recently also been often used in special operation. In general, this hysterical winding of snot on a fist about possible military assistance to Russia from Iran is quite funny. Considering that three dozen countries supply lethal weapons to Ukraine.

ps No Iranian Arms Delivery to Russia for Ukraine War  Grin
legendary
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October 22, 2022, 10:20:44 PM
these drones are made in Russia
Source?

And don't tell me it's just because they renamed them.
Well, at least Geran-2 is more accurate than Shahid-136, because it uses the GLONASS satellite system for guidance, and not a commercial GPS.

I mean how do you know that the drones are being manufactured in Russia?  Where did you get this information?

legendary
Activity: 2436
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Do not die for Putin
October 22, 2022, 07:44:03 PM
<...>
Russia has issued a grim warning to the rest of the world: World War III is all but guaranteed if Ukraine’s Western allies continue to meddle in their ongoing conflict. Specifically, a top Kremlin official threatened worldwide destruction should NATO approve Ukraine’s request to join the organization. <...>

Of course, the threat of a nuclear conflict should not be underestimated, but I do not think that there are suicide bombers in the Kremlin or the Pentagon who are ready to destroy themselves and the whole world in a fiery hell. And even if there are such rabid psychopaths in the highest positions, they are more likely to be neutralized by people from their environment who want to live. However, while European leaders are now methodically killing the economies of their states and escalating the conflict more and more at the instigation of the USA, the confidence that a global war between East and West can be avoided is fading before our eyes.




paxmao, when you describe the concept of "legal annexation", what relevant international legal documents did you follow so that I could also get acquainted with them?

In the course of your comment, I had a few questions. If you don't mind, please answer them. I have put my questions in brackets in your quote.

Legal annexation could potentially be if, after a long period of peace (How many months or years exactly?), a referendum with all guarantees (What are these guarantees and who provides them?), time to put forward arguments against and in favour (Who chooses such time?) and abundant international observers (How many observers should be there and who should appoint them?) is held among the inhabitants of a region a a majority decides that they want to join a different state.

According to the definition of "annexations" which I found, they are illegal.

Code:
<...>F.  Evaluation
38  Under present international law, annexations are illegal since they are incompatible with the most fundamental rule
on the prohibition of any threat or use of force. As such, they do not result in a lawful title to territory. All States are
under a legal obligation not to recognize annexations and their consequences as lawful. They may, however, give some
de facto recognition to unlawful annexations in order to accommodate adequately the needs of the inhabitants of the
annexed territory. There are good reasons to consider the prohibition of annexations and the obligation not to recognize
them and their consequences as lawful as rules of customary international law with the rank of ius cogens.
Links:
http://www.anamnesis.info/node/624
https://opil.ouplaw.com/view/10.1093/law:epil/9780199231690/law-9780199231690-e1376




It is much better understood if one thinks of a referendum of independence of which there are a few cases.

Regarding referendums, there is an interesting post with some historical data confirming that the countries of the so-called collective West (led by the US and UK) are ready to recognize or not recognize the results of referendums, only when they get benefits from it.


Source in Russian

* Updated quote from Encyclopedia of Public International Law on Annexation

...


Pretty much all irrelevant to the case. Adolf Putin ordered a few fakeferedums to make annexations as something demanded by the population. It is impossible for a population to express a will a gunpoint. Trying to pass the the illegal (thanks) annexations as something demanded by the population, but is simply impossible to recognise in the middle of a war, mass graves, killing and soldiers forcing people to vote. For those who want to understand, it is fairly simple.

As for you legal quotes ... well, sure... all annexations are illegal. No problem is that is what you are trying to prove?? So that would include the recent ones by Adolf Putin, sure, thanks - illegal they are - pretty much my point.

It is very clear for whoever wants to understand - for a change is the status of a region you would allow people to express views, pros and cons openly and in peace and then let the majority decide. It does not matter if it is one month, or two months or a year, it is about a large majority of countries and institutions considering the polling and campaigning free and pacific (pacific enough sometimes).

Is it relative? Yes. Does anything fly as you suggest? No, it does not. There is a minimum. Times are changing so much (thanks Trump, Boris, Putin, Xi,...) that is easy to put everything into doubt and make facts appear as "maybes" and you are just trying to relativize and put forward some legal opinions as if that was an exact science - it is not. The citizens of a territory can chose to organise themselves however they please, and that could be joining an existing country or abandoning an existing one.

If you are here to argue about semantics just do not use "annexation", but rather voluntarily joining or voluntary union  - short of what happens when a country joins the EU (and that sometimes is without referendum).  Does secession or annexation always require a referendum... I would say that it would also be acceptable that a government elected with full democratic guarantees and a program of claiming secession clearly expressed would be valid.

Now, all the whattabout:

- Catalonia held a referendum that did not have any guarantee so it was not accepted by any country in EU, nor US, nor pretty much anyone. It was very clear that it did not have the basics. Apart, is well known that of the four regions of Catalonia, two (including the capital Bacelona!) are not in favour of secession.

- The referendum on independence of Scotland, agreed with the UK government, resulted on a no. It did have all guarantees.

- Referendums in the old USSR were probably not required by the existing law (the USSR law did allow secession as far as I know). If you want to argue that they were illegal you would need something more that just saying so and if you are trying to make them like a "west" doing you would also need some evidence. No wonder you are using a source in Russian  Grin


BTW, please see here a list of countries that declared their independence from UK. Do you think the west did accept these just for benefit?.





copper member
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White Russian
October 22, 2022, 07:28:09 PM
these drones are made in Russia
Source?

And don't tell me it's just because they renamed them.
Well, at least Geran-2 is more accurate than Shahid-136, because it uses the GLONASS satellite system for guidance, and not a commercial GPS.
legendary
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Do not die for Putin
October 22, 2022, 03:26:05 PM

Following you argument, who in their right would try to stop NATO on a battlefield. When you get to war like this is because you have already failed in using soft power.
 


Its impossible to win using soft power when other side own world money printing machine
...

Again, and just for the shake of following your logic - not agreeing with it - it is impossible to win in a battlefield when the opposing party controls the money printing machine, has a larger, better trained and better equipped army and is not sending their own to die, but rather arming another country.

Perhaps one could conclude that Adolf Putin's RF is throwing a very expensive and deadly tantrum.

Fortunately, Ukraine does not have an effective air defense system.

...

More than half of the incoming attacks are being shot down. Those numbers are likely to increase once Germany sends their systems and the US sends the AMRAAM based systems (kind of cheap, effective and with a virtually unlimited supply of spares).

The reason Adolf Putin has to throw expensive and many time inaccurate missiles is precisely because the airspace dominance has been denied by the effectiveness of the Ukrainian defence and, to be fair, by corruption, incompetence and lack of real resources from the RF since day 1.
legendary
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October 22, 2022, 02:09:38 PM
Fortunately, Ukraine does not have an effective air defense system.

Putin has the Ukraine beat, hands down. He's just Biden biding his time until China is ready to start a war with the US. Then things will be really easy taking down both the US and Ukraine... all without nukes.

Cool
legendary
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October 22, 2022, 02:07:06 PM
I am trying to read the events based on the information published by the media, which cannot be completely trusted, since it will always belong to one of the parties to the conflict.

There is no big disagreement between the sides as to what territory is under their control. You can overlay the map from e.g. Deep State (pro-Ukrainian) over the maps from pro-Russian sources (e.g. Rybar) and it will be very similar.

Unfortunately, Ukraine does not have an air defense system,

False.

and its forces on the ground lack sufficient support and experience.

False, albeit subjective and relative so perhaps some aspects of it can be twisted into "lacking".

Ukrainian forces are generally better trained, have superior reconnaissance, and are better supplied with certain types of modern weapons, although their starting position wasn't too good and Russian forces have huge amounts of soviet equipment and ammunition, not to mentioned their meat grinder strategy. Again, this is all largely confirmed even by pro-Russian sources, if you just look past the official RF MOD "we shot down 300 airplanes of 50 they had" bullshit.

I think you're making the assumption that Ukrainians can't successfully fight back based on false information.
legendary
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October 22, 2022, 01:57:17 PM
these drones are made in Russia
Source?

And don't tell me it's just because they renamed them.

There are other people who think this.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/HESA_Shahed_136

https://www.simpleplanes.com/a/vX4kaC/Shahed-136Geran-2

If you are really interested in this, use the Yandex.com search engine and whatever good translation site you can find.

Cool

I'm not seeing anywhere in your links any claim that they were made in Russia.

Looks like a few weeks ago Russia admitted they suck at making drones, while Iran has been putting tons of resources into developing drones for over a decade with very good results: https://eurasiantimes.com/russia-accepts-drones-inferiority-says-most-uavs-dont-meet/

But both sites show you that there are people who link the Shahed-136 to the Geran-2. It's a start.

Cool
legendary
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October 22, 2022, 01:23:55 PM
Russia may have announced the annexation of these areas after the success of its military invasion, but there is no evidence to the contrary, at least with regard to what the Ukrainian forces, which announced their recapture of limited areas of those that Russia announced that it had annexed, mean the opposite.

By the same logic, it cannot be said that the Ukrainian forces have recaptured those provinces, especially since Russia had announced a referendum in those regions to find out the opinion of the residents. I know that this may have been done in a fictitious form, but it actually happened, which means Russia's seizure of the vital centers in those provinces.

What "vital centers"? Just look at the map and see the regions LTU_btc is talking about. Running a "referendum" and announcing an annexation doesn't make the territories belong to Russia. It's a stupid ploy so that they can now say "Russian territory" is under attack. It doesn't make the military activities any more successful. Russians are hastily leaving Kherson, which was the only major city they captured this year other than the nearly-destroyed Mariupol.

I am trying to read the events based on the information published by the media, which cannot be completely trusted, since it will always belong to one of the parties to the conflict.
Unfortunately, Ukraine does not have an air defense system, and its forces on the ground lack sufficient support and experience. This makes it hard to believe that the Ukrainian army is making any progress on the battlefield.
I agree with you that holding the referendum is a fictitious thing to give an illusory legitimacy to colonialism, but this proves that the armies have actually controlled the aspects of life in those regions.
legendary
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October 22, 2022, 11:00:40 AM
these drones are made in Russia
Source?

And don't tell me it's just because they renamed them.

There are other people who think this.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/HESA_Shahed_136

https://www.simpleplanes.com/a/vX4kaC/Shahed-136Geran-2

If you are really interested in this, use the Yandex.com search engine and whatever good translation site you can find.

Cool

I'm not seeing anywhere in your links any claim that they were made in Russia.

Looks like a few weeks ago Russia admitted they suck at making drones, while Iran has been putting tons of resources into developing drones for over a decade with very good results: https://eurasiantimes.com/russia-accepts-drones-inferiority-says-most-uavs-dont-meet/
legendary
Activity: 3990
Merit: 1385
October 22, 2022, 08:45:25 AM
these drones are made in Russia
Source?

And don't tell me it's just because they renamed them.

There are other people who think this.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/HESA_Shahed_136

https://www.simpleplanes.com/a/vX4kaC/Shahed-136Geran-2

If you are really interested in this, use the Yandex.com search engine and whatever good translation site you can find.

Cool
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