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Topic: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis - page 62. (Read 192918 times)

dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 23, 2012, 01:02:26 PM
#382
Quote
Results: 2012-Oct-23 10:41am (up to block 204627)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |  Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    29747 |      0 (0.00000) |  29362 |     385 |     219.97 |       0.01 |    33.93 |    219.95 |   0.009
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     1993 |      0 (0.00000) |   1914 |      79 |      28.62 |       0.00 |     9.28 |     28.62 |   0.006
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     3045 |      0 (0.00000) |   3007 |      38 |      39.11 |       0.03 |     4.42 |     39.08 |   0.080
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     3713 |      2 (0.00055) |   3667 |      44 |      67.20 |      16.06 |     5.65 |     51.13 |  23.907
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |     5212 |      1 (0.00019) |   5173 |      38 |     153.33 |       4.28 |     8.40 |    149.05 |   2.793
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |     6928 |      3 (0.00043) |   6913 |      12 |     454.97 |     303.33 |     1.29 |    151.63 |  66.671
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |     8649 |      8 (0.00093) |   8619 |      22 |     711.61 |     124.51 |    55.64 |    587.09 |  17.498
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    10741 |     19 (0.00178) |  10666 |      56 |    1636.32 |    1274.70 |    44.25 |    361.62 |  77.900
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    11992 |     55 (0.00459) |  11923 |      14 |    1835.10 |    2621.89 |    13.11 |   -786.79 | 142.875
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    18501 |    141 (0.00763) |  18349 |      11 |    3478.85 |    3182.70 |     9.35 |    296.15 |  91.487
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    38160 |    581 (0.01523) |  37566 |      13 |    9814.92 |    9393.80 |     1.80 |    421.11 |  95.709
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    17253 |    405 (0.02349) |  16840 |       8 |    5571.65 |    5735.10 |    15.00 |   -163.44 | 102.933
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    24954 |    787 (0.03154) |  24163 |       4 |    6340.89 |    5951.36 |     9.24 |    389.53 |  93.857
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    17760 |    825 (0.04647) |  16927 |       8 |    7665.19 |    9067.14 |    24.99 |  -1401.94 | 118.290
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    17517 |   1094 (0.06247) |  16419 |       4 |    5064.18 |    4664.74 |    31.20 |    399.43 |  92.113
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    23549 |   2206 (0.09375) |  21324 |      19 |   10872.82 |   10977.80 |     7.01 |   -104.97 | 100.965
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |    94669 |  11624 (0.12282) |  83022 |      23 |   12836.25 |   11281.69 |     0.00 |   1554.56 |  87.889
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    23952 |   4471 (0.18677) |  19467 |      14 |    9303.66 |    9540.56 |    14.50 |   -236.89 | 102.546
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   105430 |  25724 (0.24405) |  79682 |      24 |   63011.70 |   61060.32 |   347.79 |   1951.37 |  96.903
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |    73925 |  27154 (0.36756) |  46723 |      48 |   46277.60 |   46263.11 |   212.64 |     14.49 |  99.969
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   633365 | 309298 (0.48869) | 323618 |     449 |  364264.42 |  361212.08 |  2173.41 |   3052.34 |  99.162
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   221931 | 110733 (0.49938) | 111009 |     189 |  211287.81 |  208237.95 |  1295.22 |   3049.85 |  98.557
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   166431 | 122429 (0.73597) |  43922 |      80 |  164390.76 |  162577.17 |   467.98 |   1813.59 |  98.897
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    16221 |  12912 (0.79640) |   3301 |       8 |   24684.02 |   24500.58 |   400.00 |    183.43 |  99.257
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    15254 |  13063 (0.85766) |   2168 |      23 |   22331.64 |   22038.86 |   400.00 |    292.78 |  98.689
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |     7492 |   6860 (0.91650) |    625 |       7 |   16770.74 |   16829.78 |     0.00 |    -59.03 | 100.352
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |     8073 |   7766 (0.97994) |    159 |     148 |   16621.65 |   16340.57 |   239.21 |    281.08 |  98.309
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  1555360 | 632443           | 921358 |    1559 |  385480.23 |  377613.76 |   152.08 |   7866.47 |  97.959
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    51097 |  25718           |  25170 |     209 |  620254.88 |  615586.46 |  5673.35 |   4668.41 |  99.247
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  1606457 | 658161           | 946528 |    1768 | 1005735.12 |  993200.23 |  5825.44 |  12534.89 |  98.754
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      12534.89025942 BTC (1.246%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:         809.38590000 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       11725.50435942 BTC (1.166%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  5393009  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 2984165  (55.3%)
Blockchain MB:  2263.8  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 1218.0  (53.8%)

dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 23, 2012, 12:57:54 PM
#381
Quote from: ryann on October 23, 2012, 12:34:58 PM
But that proves nothing. They can pick any number they want with any hash they want. You place your bet they use some hash that will screw you.

You're not getting it.

They picked all the daily secrets before starting operations, and published all the hashes then too.

So the day after you bet, they reveal the secret they used, and you can verify that its hash matches the hash they published months ago.  That means they used the secret they made up months ago (or they've cracked the hash, in which case there's much bigger money to be made elsewhere).

In addition to that, they use the same secret for everyone - they only use one secret per day.  So even if they did have some way of switching secrets 'at the last minute', they'd have to find one that screwed you, but which also didn't change the result of any of the bets they'd already processed that day.

If I was you I would read up on how it works and see if you can think of any way they could be cheating.  It's easy to say "they can pick any number they want" when you don't understand how things work.  But if you can make such a statement once you understand the mechanics of it, that would be interesting.
ryann
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 23, 2012, 12:34:58 PM
#380
But that proves nothing. They can pick any number they want with any hash they want. You place your bet they use some hash that will screw you.
dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 23, 2012, 12:28:07 PM
#379
Quote from: ryann on October 23, 2012, 11:49:00 AM
This game robs me steady lol. ITs alwasy throwing out 61000 or whatever when i do large bets with under 60000. I dont care what anyone says its rigged. Show me that its not rigged when I place my bet. IT sees my bet and address. How does it come up with the number when I push send money? IT doesnt come up wit hthe number before I  bet obviously.

Click the 'verification' link in the top right corner of their site to read about how they pick the number.

In short it goes like this:

* at the dawn of time, they picked a random 'secret' number for each day, and published the hash of each secret number
* when they receive your bet transaction, they use that day's secret and your bet's transaction ID to make your magic number.  this is done using a well known, published algorithm.  you could do it yourself if you knew their secret
* at the end of the day, they publish that day's secret, and start using the next day's secret

So a day after you place your bet, they publish the secret they used.  You can check that the hash of the secret matches the hash they showed you in advance (so you can be sure they didn't make up a special secret just to make your bet lose) and you can also run the algorithm that combines the secret with your transaction id and check that the magic number they gave you is right.
ryann
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 23, 2012, 11:49:00 AM
#378
This game robs me steady lol. ITs alwasy throwing out 61000 or whatever when i do large bets with under 60000. I dont care what anyone says its rigged. Show me that its not rigged when I place my bet. IT sees my bet and address. How does it come up with the number when I push send money? IT doesnt come up wit hthe number before I  bet obviously.
zoinky
hero member
Activity: 811
Merit: 1000
Web Developer
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 22, 2012, 06:10:25 PM
#377
Been a rough last few days for the house.
dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 22, 2012, 02:48:55 PM
#376
Quote
Results: 2012-Oct-22 12:25pm (up to block 204500)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |  Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    29145 |      0 (0.00000) |  28760 |     385 |     218.99 |       0.01 |    33.93 |    218.97 |   0.009
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     1985 |      0 (0.00000) |   1906 |      79 |      28.51 |       0.00 |     9.28 |     28.51 |   0.006
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     3038 |      0 (0.00000) |   3000 |      38 |      39.10 |       0.03 |     4.42 |     39.07 |   0.080
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     3706 |      2 (0.00055) |   3660 |      44 |      67.19 |      16.06 |     5.65 |     51.13 |  23.909
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |     5204 |      1 (0.00019) |   5165 |      38 |     153.12 |       4.28 |     8.40 |    148.84 |   2.797
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |     6921 |      3 (0.00043) |   6906 |      12 |     454.87 |     303.33 |     1.29 |    151.53 |  66.686
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |     8614 |      8 (0.00093) |   8584 |      22 |     705.80 |     124.49 |    55.64 |    581.30 |  17.639
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    10733 |     19 (0.00178) |  10658 |      56 |    1636.30 |    1274.70 |    44.25 |    361.59 |  77.901
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    11978 |     55 (0.00460) |  11909 |      14 |    1834.04 |    2621.89 |    13.11 |   -787.84 | 142.957
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    18456 |    141 (0.00764) |  18304 |      11 |    3476.71 |    3182.70 |     9.35 |    294.01 |  91.543
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    37667 |    574 (0.01524) |  37080 |      13 |    9803.34 |    9385.66 |     1.80 |    417.68 |  95.739
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    17235 |    405 (0.02351) |  16822 |       8 |    5570.70 |    5735.10 |    15.00 |   -164.39 | 102.951
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    24942 |    787 (0.03156) |  24151 |       4 |    6340.01 |    5951.35 |     9.24 |    388.65 |  93.870
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    17734 |    825 (0.04654) |  16901 |       8 |    7663.53 |    9067.14 |    24.99 |  -1403.60 | 118.315
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    17509 |   1093 (0.06244) |  16412 |       4 |    5063.18 |    4651.14 |    31.20 |    412.03 |  91.862
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    23529 |   2204 (0.09375) |  21306 |      19 |   10870.76 |   10976.71 |     7.01 |   -105.95 | 100.975
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |    94015 |  11538 (0.12276) |  82454 |      23 |   12700.25 |   11087.65 |     0.00 |   1612.59 |  87.303
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    23912 |   4465 (0.18684) |  19433 |      14 |    9301.01 |    9538.68 |    14.50 |   -237.67 | 102.555
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   104553 |  25512 (0.24407) |  79017 |      24 |   62112.17 |   60088.74 |   347.79 |   2023.42 |  96.742
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |    73441 |  26994 (0.36780) |  46399 |      48 |   45723.28 |   45766.74 |   212.64 |    -43.45 | 100.095
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   624588 | 305073 (0.48879) | 319066 |     449 |  362686.17 |  359481.01 |  2173.41 |   3205.15 |  99.116
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   221522 | 110528 (0.49937) | 110805 |     189 |  210850.95 |  207801.39 |  1295.22 |   3049.55 |  98.554
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   165453 | 121707 (0.73595) |  43666 |      80 |  163726.91 |  161883.15 |   467.98 |   1843.76 |  98.874
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    15931 |  12693 (0.79715) |   3230 |       8 |   24588.99 |   24405.90 |   400.00 |    183.08 |  99.255
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    15142 |  12977 (0.85832) |   2142 |      23 |   22244.83 |   21952.29 |   400.00 |    292.54 |  98.685
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |     7463 |   6833 (0.91644) |    623 |       7 |   16651.10 |   16706.46 |     0.00 |    -55.36 | 100.333
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |     8053 |   7747 (0.98001) |    158 |     148 |   16608.02 |   16326.98 |   239.21 |    281.03 |  98.308
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  1541572 | 626569           | 913444 |    1559 |  383252.35 |  375380.61 |   152.08 |   7871.73 |  97.946
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    50897 |  25615           |  25073 |     209 |  617867.60 |  612953.09 |  5673.35 |   4914.50 |  99.205
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  1592469 | 652184           | 938517 |    1768 | 1001119.95 |  988333.71 |  5825.44 |  12786.24 |  98.723
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      12786.24230857 BTC (1.277%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:         802.34655000 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       11983.89575857 BTC (1.197%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  5355856  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 2958680  (55.2%)
Blockchain MB:  2247.2  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 1207.6  (53.7%)

dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 21, 2012, 11:21:10 PM
#375
Quote
Results: 2012-Oct-21 09:07pm (up to block 204394)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |  Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    28955 |      0 (0.00000) |  28570 |     385 |     218.63 |       0.01 |    33.93 |    218.61 |   0.009
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     1978 |      0 (0.00000) |   1899 |      79 |      28.51 |       0.00 |     9.28 |     28.50 |   0.006
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     3032 |      0 (0.00000) |   2994 |      38 |      39.09 |       0.03 |     4.42 |     39.06 |   0.080
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     3690 |      2 (0.00055) |   3644 |      44 |      67.18 |      16.06 |     5.65 |     51.11 |  23.915
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |     5198 |      1 (0.00019) |   5159 |      38 |     153.11 |       4.28 |     8.40 |    148.83 |   2.797
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |     6914 |      3 (0.00043) |   6899 |      12 |     454.86 |     303.33 |     1.29 |    151.52 |  66.688
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |     8605 |      8 (0.00093) |   8575 |      22 |     704.45 |     124.49 |    55.64 |    579.96 |  17.672
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    10725 |     19 (0.00178) |  10650 |      56 |    1636.28 |    1274.70 |    44.25 |    361.58 |  77.902
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    11971 |     55 (0.00460) |  11902 |      14 |    1834.02 |    2621.89 |    13.11 |   -787.87 | 142.959
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    18446 |    141 (0.00765) |  18294 |      11 |    3476.69 |    3182.70 |     9.35 |    293.99 |  91.544
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    37604 |    574 (0.01527) |  37018 |      12 |    9799.68 |    9385.65 |     1.80 |    414.03 |  95.775
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    17228 |    405 (0.02352) |  16815 |       8 |    5570.42 |    5735.10 |    15.00 |   -164.67 | 102.956
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    24907 |    787 (0.03160) |  24116 |       4 |    6337.41 |    5951.35 |     9.24 |    386.05 |  93.908
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    17726 |    825 (0.04656) |  16893 |       8 |    7663.41 |    9067.14 |    24.99 |  -1403.72 | 118.317
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    17492 |   1093 (0.06250) |  16395 |       4 |    5062.54 |    4651.14 |    31.20 |    411.39 |  91.874
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    23516 |   2204 (0.09380) |  21293 |      19 |   10870.21 |   10976.71 |     7.01 |   -106.49 | 100.980
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |    93906 |  11522 (0.12273) |  82361 |      23 |   12680.29 |   11063.15 |     0.00 |   1617.14 |  87.247
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    23883 |   4457 (0.18673) |  19412 |      14 |    9296.38 |    9534.77 |    14.50 |   -238.38 | 102.564
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   104033 |  25384 (0.24406) |  78625 |      24 |   61906.73 |   59915.96 |   347.79 |   1990.76 |  96.784
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |    72518 |  26630 (0.36746) |  45840 |      48 |   44431.82 |   44458.96 |   212.64 |    -27.14 | 100.061
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   620389 | 302902 (0.48860) | 317039 |     448 |  362108.52 |  358797.04 |  2173.41 |   3311.48 |  99.085
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   221427 | 110486 (0.49940) | 110752 |     189 |  210789.46 |  207732.23 |  1295.22 |   3057.22 |  98.550
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   164771 | 121201 (0.73593) |  43490 |      80 |  162591.64 |  160599.70 |   467.98 |   1991.93 |  98.775
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    15830 |  12611 (0.79705) |   3211 |       8 |   24518.42 |   24330.48 |   400.00 |    187.94 |  99.233
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    15064 |  12913 (0.85852) |   2128 |      23 |   22176.97 |   21893.90 |   400.00 |    283.06 |  98.724
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |     7434 |   6807 (0.91652) |    620 |       7 |   16519.63 |   16567.32 |     0.00 |    -47.69 | 100.289
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |     8040 |   7735 (0.98011) |    157 |     148 |   16599.70 |   16318.64 |   239.21 |    281.05 |  98.307
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  1534555 | 623232           | 909766 |    1557 |  381903.47 |  374033.15 |   152.08 |   7870.32 |  97.939
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    50727 |  25533           |  24985 |     209 |  615632.68 |  610473.70 |  5673.35 |   5158.97 |  99.162
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  1585282 | 648765           | 934751 |    1766 |  997536.16 |  984506.85 |  5825.44 |  13029.30 |  98.694
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      13029.30918808 BTC (1.306%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:         798.72610000 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       12230.58308808 BTC (1.226%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  5333183  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 2944404  (55.2%)
Blockchain MB:  2237.6  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 1201.9  (53.7%)

dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 20, 2012, 12:39:42 PM
#374
Quote
Results: 2012-Oct-20 10:25am (up to block 204166)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |  Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    27921 |      0 (0.00000) |  27536 |     385 |     216.95 |       0.01 |    33.93 |    216.93 |   0.009
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     1964 |      0 (0.00000) |   1885 |      79 |      28.40 |       0.00 |     9.28 |     28.39 |   0.006
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     2778 |      0 (0.00000) |   2740 |      38 |      35.18 |       0.03 |     4.42 |     35.15 |   0.088
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     3525 |      2 (0.00057) |   3479 |      44 |      64.49 |      16.06 |     5.65 |     48.42 |  24.912
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |     5042 |      1 (0.00020) |   5003 |      38 |     150.22 |       4.28 |     8.40 |    145.94 |   2.850
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |     6733 |      3 (0.00045) |   6718 |      12 |     446.04 |     303.33 |     1.29 |    142.70 |  68.006
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |     8513 |      8 (0.00094) |   8483 |      22 |     699.04 |     124.49 |    55.64 |    574.55 |  17.809
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    10678 |     19 (0.00179) |  10603 |      56 |    1633.56 |    1274.70 |    44.25 |    358.86 |  78.032
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    11737 |     53 (0.00452) |  11670 |      14 |    1655.46 |    1996.47 |    13.11 |   -341.01 | 120.599
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    18053 |    138 (0.00765) |  17904 |      11 |    3259.62 |    2868.20 |     9.35 |    391.42 |  87.992
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    36834 |    564 (0.01532) |  36258 |      12 |    9423.82 |    8840.12 |     1.80 |    583.69 |  93.806
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    16925 |    397 (0.02347) |  16520 |       8 |    5256.76 |    5349.03 |    15.00 |    -92.26 | 101.755
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    24672 |    775 (0.03142) |  23893 |       4 |    6126.03 |    5549.03 |     9.24 |    576.99 |  90.581
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    17480 |    815 (0.04665) |  16657 |       8 |    7467.53 |    8883.80 |    24.99 |  -1416.26 | 118.966
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    17338 |   1078 (0.06219) |  16256 |       4 |    5007.56 |    4572.33 |    31.20 |    435.23 |  91.308
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    23281 |   2179 (0.09367) |  21083 |      19 |   10733.80 |   10801.22 |     7.01 |    -67.42 | 100.628
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |    93243 |  11447 (0.12280) |  81773 |      23 |   12420.50 |   10700.21 |     0.00 |   1720.29 |  86.150
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    23730 |   4429 (0.18675) |  19287 |      14 |    9145.67 |    9366.57 |    14.50 |   -220.89 | 102.415
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   101762 |  24814 (0.24390) |  76924 |      24 |   58434.60 |   56745.49 |   347.79 |   1689.11 |  97.109
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |    71653 |  26321 (0.36759) |  45284 |      48 |   43127.09 |   43258.45 |   212.64 |   -131.35 | 100.305
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   610154 | 297878 (0.48856) | 311828 |     448 |  359231.51 |  355789.89 |  2173.41 |   3441.62 |  99.042
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   220974 | 110271 (0.49945) | 110514 |     189 |  210358.01 |  207326.89 |  1295.22 |   3031.12 |  98.559
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   163624 | 120365 (0.73598) |  43179 |      80 |  161695.05 |  159576.69 |   467.98 |   2118.36 |  98.690
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    15420 |  12269 (0.79607) |   3143 |       8 |   24379.25 |   24177.16 |   400.00 |    202.08 |  99.171
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    14766 |  12653 (0.85824) |   2090 |      23 |   21688.66 |   21416.46 |   400.00 |    272.20 |  98.745
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |     7332 |   6713 (0.91645) |    612 |       7 |   16412.29 |   16464.81 |     0.00 |    -52.52 | 100.320
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |     8013 |   7709 (0.98017) |    156 |     148 |   16531.16 |   16250.82 |   239.21 |    280.34 |  98.304
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  1513973 | 615592           | 896824 |    1557 |  376307.68 |  367443.36 |   152.08 |   8864.32 |  97.644
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    50172 |  25309           |  24654 |     209 |  609320.71 |  604213.28 |  5673.35 |   5107.42 |  99.162
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  1564145 | 640901           | 921478 |    1766 |  985628.40 |  971656.65 |  5825.44 |  13971.74 |  98.582
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      13971.74709770 BTC (1.418%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:         788.02295000 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       13183.72414770 BTC (1.338%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  5277046  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 2905833  (55.1%)
Blockchain MB:  2213.2  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 1186.2  (53.6%)

dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 19, 2012, 11:31:54 AM
#373
Quote
Results: 2012-Oct-19 09:30am (up to block 204019)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |  Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    27445 |      0 (0.00000) |  27061 |     384 |     215.40 |       0.01 |    33.87 |    215.38 |   0.009
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     1948 |      0 (0.00000) |   1871 |      77 |      28.17 |       0.00 |     8.28 |     28.17 |   0.006
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     2768 |      0 (0.00000) |   2730 |      38 |      35.02 |       0.03 |     4.42 |     34.99 |   0.089
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     3511 |      2 (0.00058) |   3465 |      44 |      64.42 |      16.06 |     5.65 |     48.35 |  24.940
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |     5033 |      1 (0.00020) |   4994 |      38 |     149.60 |       4.28 |     8.40 |    145.32 |   2.861
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |     6547 |      3 (0.00046) |   6532 |      12 |     442.93 |     303.33 |     1.29 |    139.59 |  68.484
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |     8495 |      8 (0.00094) |   8465 |      22 |     696.64 |     124.48 |    55.64 |    572.16 |  17.869
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    10662 |     19 (0.00179) |  10587 |      56 |    1632.43 |    1274.69 |    44.25 |    357.74 |  78.085
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    11732 |     53 (0.00452) |  11665 |      14 |    1655.44 |    1996.47 |    13.11 |   -341.03 | 120.601
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    17628 |    135 (0.00766) |  17482 |      11 |    3255.50 |    2864.45 |     9.35 |    391.05 |  87.988
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    36502 |    561 (0.01537) |  35929 |      12 |    9406.78 |    8838.23 |     1.80 |    568.54 |  93.956
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    16918 |    397 (0.02348) |  16513 |       8 |    5256.62 |    5349.03 |    15.00 |    -92.40 | 101.758
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    24661 |    774 (0.03139) |  23883 |       4 |    6125.94 |    5548.40 |     9.24 |    577.54 |  90.572
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    17347 |    807 (0.04654) |  16532 |       8 |    7459.62 |    8876.43 |    24.99 |  -1416.81 | 118.993
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    17292 |   1077 (0.06230) |  16211 |       4 |    5007.02 |    4572.15 |    31.20 |    434.86 |  91.315
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    23186 |   2173 (0.09380) |  20994 |      19 |   10716.49 |   10799.56 |     7.01 |    -83.07 | 100.775
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |    92938 |  11412 (0.12282) |  81503 |      23 |   12405.86 |   10691.59 |     0.00 |   1714.27 |  86.182
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    23513 |   4378 (0.18631) |  19121 |      14 |    8784.61 |    8989.31 |    14.50 |   -204.70 | 102.330
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   101061 |  24648 (0.24395) |  76389 |      24 |   57978.69 |   56229.94 |   347.79 |   1748.75 |  96.984
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |    71324 |  26209 (0.36771) |  45067 |      48 |   41714.82 |   41621.03 |   212.64 |     93.78 |  99.775
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   607802 | 296772 (0.48863) | 310582 |     448 |  356986.27 |  353941.56 |  2173.41 |   3044.71 |  99.147
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   220465 | 110007 (0.49941) | 110269 |     189 |  209629.86 |  206366.70 |  1295.22 |   3263.16 |  98.443
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   163343 | 120154 (0.73595) |  43110 |      79 |  161148.68 |  159261.42 |   467.98 |   1887.26 |  98.829
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    15070 |  11976 (0.79511) |   3086 |       8 |   24057.48 |   23842.14 |   400.00 |    215.34 |  99.105
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    14678 |  12576 (0.85814) |   2079 |      23 |   21620.86 |   21348.56 |   400.00 |    272.30 |  98.741
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |     7270 |   6658 (0.91670) |    605 |       7 |   16367.72 |   16422.33 |     0.00 |    -54.61 | 100.334
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |     8005 |   7701 (0.98015) |    156 |     148 |   16529.99 |   16249.65 |   239.21 |    280.34 |  98.304
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  1507235 | 613291           | 892391 |    1553 |  374660.63 |  365837.35 |   151.02 |   8823.27 |  97.645
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    49909 |  25210           |  24490 |     209 |  604712.38 |  599694.60 |  5673.35 |   5017.77 |  99.170
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  1557144 | 638501           | 916881 |    1762 |  979373.01 |  965531.96 |  5824.38 |  13841.05 |  98.587
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      13841.05066753 BTC (1.413%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:         784.47550000 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       13056.57516753 BTC (1.333%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  5247801  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 2892169  (55.1%)
Blockchain MB:  2199.9  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 1180.8  (53.7%)

dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 18, 2012, 10:59:18 AM
#372
Quote
Results: 2012-Oct-18 08:44am (up to block 203864)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |  Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    27269 |      0 (0.00000) |  26885 |     384 |     213.79 |       0.01 |    33.87 |    213.77 |   0.009
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     1941 |      0 (0.00000) |   1864 |      77 |      28.09 |       0.00 |     8.28 |     28.09 |   0.006
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     2766 |      0 (0.00000) |   2728 |      38 |      35.01 |       0.03 |     4.42 |     34.98 |   0.089
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     3507 |      2 (0.00058) |   3461 |      44 |      64.41 |      16.06 |     5.65 |     48.35 |  24.942
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |     5032 |      1 (0.00020) |   4993 |      38 |     149.59 |       4.28 |     8.40 |    145.31 |   2.861
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |     6547 |      3 (0.00046) |   6532 |      12 |     442.93 |     303.33 |     1.29 |    139.59 |  68.484
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |     8483 |      8 (0.00095) |   8453 |      22 |     694.87 |     124.47 |    55.64 |    570.39 |  17.914
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    10658 |     19 (0.00179) |  10583 |      56 |    1632.41 |    1274.69 |    44.25 |    357.71 |  78.087
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    11730 |     53 (0.00452) |  11663 |      14 |    1655.43 |    1996.47 |    13.11 |   -341.03 | 120.601
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    17621 |    135 (0.00767) |  17475 |      11 |    3255.46 |    2864.45 |     9.35 |    391.00 |  87.989
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    36402 |    560 (0.01539) |  35830 |      12 |    9405.42 |    8837.86 |     1.80 |    567.56 |  93.966
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    16902 |    396 (0.02344) |  16498 |       8 |    5256.48 |    5348.60 |    15.00 |    -92.12 | 101.753
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    24651 |    773 (0.03136) |  23874 |       4 |    6125.76 |    5548.08 |     9.24 |    577.68 |  90.570
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    17274 |    802 (0.04645) |  16464 |       8 |    7458.34 |    8874.51 |    24.99 |  -1416.17 | 118.988
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    17273 |   1076 (0.06231) |  16193 |       4 |    5006.21 |    4571.99 |    31.20 |    434.22 |  91.326
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    23154 |   2173 (0.09393) |  20962 |      19 |   10707.77 |   10799.53 |     7.01 |    -91.75 | 100.857
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |    92752 |  11395 (0.12288) |  81334 |      23 |   12397.62 |   10685.91 |     0.00 |   1711.71 |  86.193
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    23449 |   4367 (0.18635) |  19068 |      14 |    8773.08 |    8974.95 |    14.50 |   -201.87 | 102.301
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   100420 |  24502 (0.24405) |  75894 |      24 |   57906.47 |   56169.32 |   347.79 |   1737.15 |  97.000
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |    71074 |  26118 (0.36772) |  44908 |      48 |   41407.05 |   41354.32 |   212.64 |     52.72 |  99.873
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   605727 | 295776 (0.48866) | 309503 |     448 |  355760.48 |  352695.97 |  2173.41 |   3064.51 |  99.139
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   219471 | 109511 (0.49940) | 109772 |     188 |  206929.32 |  204760.96 |  1295.22 |   2168.36 |  98.952
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   163156 | 120015 (0.73594) |  43062 |      79 |  160963.12 |  159030.24 |   467.98 |   1932.88 |  98.799
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    15006 |  11925 (0.79511) |   3073 |       8 |   23976.57 |   23744.93 |   400.00 |    231.64 |  99.034
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    14633 |  12537 (0.85799) |   2075 |      21 |   21517.38 |   21237.99 |   400.00 |    279.39 |  98.702
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |     7262 |   6651 (0.91675) |    604 |       7 |   16215.24 |   16259.25 |     0.00 |    -44.00 | 100.271
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |     8004 |   7700 (0.98014) |    156 |     148 |   16529.98 |   16249.63 |   239.21 |    280.34 |  98.304
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  1502475 | 611389           | 889536 |    1550 |  373536.81 |  364764.12 |   151.02 |   8772.69 |  97.651
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    49689 |  25109           |  24371 |     209 |  600971.60 |  596963.81 |  5673.35 |   4007.79 |  99.333
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  1552164 | 636498           | 913907 |    1759 |  974508.42 |  961727.94 |  5824.38 |  12780.48 |  98.689
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      12780.48537635 BTC (1.311%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:         781.96907500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       11998.51630135 BTC (1.231%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  5220304  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 2882494  (55.2%)
Blockchain MB:  2186.5  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 1176.9  (53.8%)

dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 17, 2012, 02:10:39 PM
#371
Quote
Results: 2012-Oct-17 11:57am (up to block 203723)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |  Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    26971 |      0 (0.00000) |  26588 |     383 |     213.22 |       0.01 |    33.79 |    213.20 |   0.009
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     1933 |      0 (0.00000) |   1856 |      77 |      28.08 |       0.00 |     8.28 |     28.08 |   0.006
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     2758 |      0 (0.00000) |   2720 |      38 |      35.01 |       0.03 |     4.42 |     34.98 |   0.089
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     3499 |      2 (0.00058) |   3453 |      44 |      64.40 |      16.06 |     5.65 |     48.34 |  24.945
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |     5026 |      1 (0.00020) |   4987 |      38 |     149.59 |       4.28 |     8.40 |    145.31 |   2.861
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |     6529 |      3 (0.00046) |   6514 |      12 |     442.77 |     303.33 |     1.29 |    139.44 |  68.508
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |     8475 |      8 (0.00095) |   8445 |      22 |     694.59 |     124.47 |    55.64 |    570.11 |  17.921
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    10650 |     19 (0.00179) |  10575 |      56 |    1632.39 |    1274.69 |    44.25 |    357.70 |  78.087
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    11701 |     53 (0.00453) |  11634 |      14 |    1654.95 |    1996.47 |    13.11 |   -341.51 | 120.636
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    17603 |    135 (0.00767) |  17457 |      11 |    3255.08 |    2864.45 |     9.35 |    390.62 |  87.999
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    36345 |    560 (0.01541) |  35773 |      12 |    9403.50 |    8837.85 |     1.80 |    565.64 |  93.985
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    16884 |    395 (0.02341) |  16481 |       8 |    5255.18 |    5347.60 |    15.00 |    -92.41 | 101.759
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    24624 |    772 (0.03136) |  23848 |       4 |    6124.86 |    5547.75 |     9.24 |    577.10 |  90.578
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    17241 |    801 (0.04648) |  16432 |       8 |    7457.39 |    8874.09 |    24.99 |  -1416.70 | 118.997
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    17246 |   1073 (0.06223) |  16169 |       4 |    5005.25 |    4571.18 |    31.20 |    434.07 |  91.328
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    23116 |   2169 (0.09391) |  20928 |      19 |   10702.34 |   10797.99 |     7.01 |    -95.65 | 100.894
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |    92682 |  11390 (0.12292) |  81269 |      23 |   12391.96 |   10685.65 |     0.00 |   1706.31 |  86.230
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    23358 |   4349 (0.18630) |  18995 |      14 |    8767.78 |    8961.54 |    14.50 |   -193.76 | 102.210
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |    99723 |  24331 (0.24404) |  75369 |      23 |   57869.38 |   56130.81 |   347.79 |   1738.56 |  96.996
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |    70242 |  25811 (0.36771) |  44383 |      48 |   39366.14 |   39052.60 |   212.64 |    313.53 |  99.204
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   604214 | 295036 (0.48866) | 308730 |     448 |  355127.96 |  352018.42 |  2173.41 |   3109.53 |  99.124
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   218543 | 109052 (0.49942) | 109305 |     186 |  206404.76 |  204130.57 |  1295.22 |   2274.19 |  98.898
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   162892 | 119825 (0.73597) |  42988 |      79 |  160781.17 |  158833.86 |   467.98 |   1947.31 |  98.789
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    14796 |  11762 (0.79537) |   3026 |       8 |   23746.95 |   23522.43 |   400.00 |    224.51 |  99.055
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    14590 |  12501 (0.85805) |   2068 |      21 |   21446.24 |   21162.59 |   400.00 |    283.64 |  98.677
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |     7257 |   6646 (0.91669) |    604 |       7 |   16212.61 |   16256.44 |     0.00 |    -43.82 | 100.270
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |     7997 |   7693 (0.98012) |    156 |     148 |   16529.64 |   16249.30 |   239.21 |    280.34 |  98.304
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  1497437 | 609393           | 886498 |    1546 |  372016.16 |  363303.55 |   150.94 |   8712.60 |  97.658
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    49458 |  24994           |  24255 |     209 |  598747.16 |  594261.04 |  5673.35 |   4486.12 |  99.251
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  1546895 | 634387           | 910753 |    1755 |  970763.33 |  957564.59 |  5824.30 |  13198.73 |  98.640
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      13198.73149273 BTC (1.360%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:         779.31297500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       12419.41851773 BTC (1.279%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  5194817  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 2872540  (55.3%)
Blockchain MB:  2174.6  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 1172.7  (53.9%)

dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 16, 2012, 02:57:58 PM
#370
Quote
Results: 2012-Oct-16 12:55pm (up to block 203589)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |  Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    26108 |      0 (0.00000) |  25725 |     383 |     211.29 |       0.01 |    33.79 |    211.27 |   0.009
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     1928 |      0 (0.00000) |   1851 |      77 |      28.07 |       0.00 |     8.28 |     28.06 |   0.006
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     2750 |      0 (0.00000) |   2712 |      38 |      34.99 |       0.03 |     4.42 |     34.96 |   0.089
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     3491 |      2 (0.00058) |   3445 |      44 |      64.40 |      16.06 |     5.65 |     48.33 |  24.948
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |     4999 |      1 (0.00020) |   4960 |      38 |     149.36 |       4.28 |     8.40 |    145.08 |   2.865
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |     6527 |      3 (0.00046) |   6512 |      12 |     442.77 |     303.33 |     1.29 |    139.43 |  68.508
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |     8463 |      8 (0.00095) |   8433 |      22 |     694.41 |     124.47 |    55.64 |    569.93 |  17.925
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    10637 |     19 (0.00180) |  10562 |      56 |    1631.83 |    1274.69 |    44.25 |    357.14 |  78.114
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    11694 |     53 (0.00454) |  11627 |      14 |    1654.91 |    1996.47 |    13.11 |   -341.56 | 120.639
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    17590 |    135 (0.00768) |  17444 |      11 |    3254.78 |    2864.45 |     9.35 |    390.32 |  88.008
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    35610 |    542 (0.01523) |  35056 |      12 |    9396.03 |    8827.10 |     1.80 |    568.92 |  93.945
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    16880 |    395 (0.02341) |  16477 |       8 |    5255.17 |    5347.60 |    15.00 |    -92.42 | 101.759
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    24618 |    772 (0.03136) |  23842 |       4 |    6124.83 |    5547.75 |     9.24 |    577.07 |  90.578
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    17234 |    801 (0.04650) |  16425 |       8 |    7456.74 |    8874.09 |    24.99 |  -1417.34 | 119.008
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    17231 |   1073 (0.06229) |  16154 |       4 |    5004.82 |    4571.18 |    31.20 |    433.64 |  91.335
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    22997 |   2160 (0.09400) |  20818 |      19 |   10678.27 |   10683.53 |     7.01 |     -5.25 | 100.049
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |    92177 |  11325 (0.12289) |  80829 |      23 |   12384.29 |   10682.17 |     0.00 |   1702.11 |  86.256
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    23343 |   4347 (0.18633) |  18982 |      14 |    8762.46 |    8961.41 |    14.50 |   -198.95 | 102.271
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |    98995 |  24150 (0.24401) |  74822 |      23 |   57710.24 |   56014.41 |   347.79 |   1695.83 |  97.061
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |    69567 |  25560 (0.36767) |  43959 |      48 |   37804.38 |   37613.20 |   212.64 |    191.17 |  99.494
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   601272 | 293587 (0.48864) | 307237 |     448 |  353871.40 |  350770.69 |  2173.41 |   3100.70 |  99.124
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   217371 | 108469 (0.49943) | 108716 |     186 |  204268.83 |  201788.65 |  1295.22 |   2480.17 |  98.786
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   162246 | 119339 (0.73590) |  42828 |      79 |  160698.48 |  158753.23 |   467.98 |   1945.25 |  98.790
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    14756 |  11733 (0.79557) |   3015 |       8 |   23698.29 |   23479.37 |   400.00 |    218.92 |  99.076
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    14458 |  12384 (0.85780) |   2053 |      21 |   21386.45 |   21100.91 |   400.00 |    285.53 |  98.665
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |     7172 |   6569 (0.91682) |    596 |       7 |   16157.98 |   16214.67 |     0.00 |    -56.69 | 100.351
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |     7983 |   7681 (0.98009) |    156 |     146 |   16525.57 |   16245.21 |   239.21 |    280.35 |  98.303
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  1488955 | 606265           | 881146 |    1544 |  370288.25 |  361660.01 |   150.94 |   8628.24 |  97.670
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    49142 |  24843           |  24090 |     209 |  595062.90 |  590399.09 |  5673.35 |   4663.80 |  99.216
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  1538097 | 631108           | 905236 |    1753 |  965351.16 |  952059.11 |  5824.30 |  13292.05 |  98.623
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      13292.05384721 BTC (1.377%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:         774.87630000 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       12517.17754721 BTC (1.297%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  5164775  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 2857479  (55.3%)
Blockchain MB:  2160.1  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 1166.1  (54.0%)

dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 15, 2012, 06:05:56 PM
#369
Quote from: ryann on October 15, 2012, 04:40:56 PM
Also when is this has created and from where is created?

The transaction ID is created when you send your bet.  Before SatoshiDice receive it.  It changes completely if you change any little detail of your bet, like betting an extra 0.00000001 BTC.  You can see the txid before sending the bet if you like, and decide whether or not you want to send that bet.

Quote from: ryann on October 15, 2012, 04:40:56 PM
Also dont give me this nonsense that you wouldnt be surprised if you lost wit ha 91% chance to win.

There's a 9% chance of losing.  That's not so small.
organofcorti
donator
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1007
Poor impulse control.
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 15, 2012, 05:52:49 PM
#368
Quote from: ryann on October 15, 2012, 04:40:56 PM
Quote from: dooglus on October 15, 2012, 04:17:10 PM
Quote from: ryann on October 15, 2012, 04:06:31 PM
No i dont understand i guess. What i do understand though the odds are astronomical to lose 25 times in row betting the 91%

The odds of losing 25 times in a row betting the lessthan 60000 game are 1 in 700 million billion billion.

I'm willing to bet that it never happened.  Not to you, and not to anyone who played Satoshi Dice.

Quote from: ryann on October 15, 2012, 04:11:30 PM
Ok you have a 91% chance to win the lottery. Do you think you are going to win the lottery? I sure as hell wouldnt be sleeping the night before.

If I had a 91% chance of winning a lottery, I would check to see whether the prize made it worth playing or not.  If so, and if I could afford to play, I'd play it and if not I wouldn't.  I don't think lotteries often have a positive expectation for the player since they are usually run for profit and/or to fund the arts / charities / etc.  But if I had entered and had a 91% chance of winning, I would be 91% sure of winning.  I wouldn't be surprised if I didn't win, any more than I'm surprised if I roll a 2 on a 10 sided dice.  It's unlikely, but it happens.  What's your point?

Also dont give me this nonsense that you wouldnt be surprised if you lost wit ha 91% chance to win.

Surprise only occurs for me when p < 0.05. I feel astonishment at 0.01, and am astounded at p < 0.001.

p < 0.09 is not very unusual.

ryann
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 15, 2012, 04:40:56 PM
#367
Quote from: dooglus on October 15, 2012, 04:17:10 PM
Quote from: ryann on October 15, 2012, 04:06:31 PM
No i dont understand i guess. What i do understand though the odds are astronomical to lose 25 times in row betting the 91%

The odds of losing 25 times in a row betting the lessthan 60000 game are 1 in 700 million billion billion.

I'm willing to bet that it never happened.  Not to you, and not to anyone who played Satoshi Dice.

Quote from: ryann on October 15, 2012, 04:11:30 PM
Ok you have a 91% chance to win the lottery. Do you think you are going to win the lottery? I sure as hell wouldnt be sleeping the night before.

If I had a 91% chance of winning a lottery, I would check to see whether the prize made it worth playing or not.  If so, and if I could afford to play, I'd play it and if not I wouldn't.  I don't think lotteries often have a positive expectation for the player since they are usually run for profit and/or to fund the arts / charities / etc.  But if I had entered and had a 91% chance of winning, I would be 91% sure of winning.  I wouldn't be surprised if I didn't win, any more than I'm surprised if I roll a 2 on a 10 sided dice.  It's unlikely, but it happens.  What's your point?

Also dont give me this nonsense that you wouldnt be surprised if you lost wit ha 91% chance to win.
dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 15, 2012, 04:17:10 PM
#366
Quote from: ryann on October 15, 2012, 04:06:31 PM
No i dont understand i guess. What i do understand though the odds are astronomical to lose 25 times in row betting the 91%

The odds of losing 25 times in a row betting the lessthan 60000 game are 1 in 700 million billion billion.

I'm willing to bet that it never happened.  Not to you, and not to anyone who played Satoshi Dice.

Quote from: ryann on October 15, 2012, 04:11:30 PM
Ok you have a 91% chance to win the lottery. Do you think you are going to win the lottery? I sure as hell wouldnt be sleeping the night before.

If I had a 91% chance of winning a lottery, I would check to see whether the prize made it worth playing or not.  If so, and if I could afford to play, I'd play it and if not I wouldn't.  I don't think lotteries often have a positive expectation for the player since they are usually run for profit and/or to fund the arts / charities / etc.  But if I had entered and had a 91% chance of winning, I would be 91% sure of winning.  I wouldn't be surprised if I didn't win, any more than I'm surprised if I roll a 2 on a 10 sided dice.  It's unlikely, but it happens.  What's your point?
ryann
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 15, 2012, 04:11:30 PM
#365
Quote from: dooglus on October 15, 2012, 04:08:58 PM
Quote from: ryann on October 15, 2012, 03:47:09 PM
If you think otherwise you are dull. IF those were the actual odds then youd be a millionare just by betting 91% odds.

Sorry, I missed that gem.

If you make a bet that pays out 1.071 times 91% of the time, you lose:

>>> 91.5527 * 1.071
98.0529417

For every $100 you bet, you get back around $98.05.

They also pay out when you lose, so you actually get a little more than that back, but it's still less than $100.

Just because you win 91% of the time doesn't make a bet profitable - it also depends how much you get when you win.


Ok you have a 91% chance to win the lottery. Do you think you are going to win the lottery? I sure as hell wouldnt be sleeping the night before.
dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 15, 2012, 04:08:58 PM
#364
Quote from: ryann on October 15, 2012, 03:47:09 PM
If you think otherwise you are dull. IF those were the actual odds then youd be a millionare just by betting 91% odds.

Sorry, I missed that gem.

If you make a bet that pays out 1.071 times 91% of the time, you lose:

>>> 91.5527 * 1.071
98.0529417

For every $100 you bet, you get back around $98.05.

They also pay out when you lose, so you actually get a little more than that back, but it's still less than $100.

Just because you win 91% of the time doesn't make a bet profitable - it also depends how much you get when you win.
ryann
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
October 15, 2012, 04:06:31 PM
#363
No i dont understand i guess. What i do understand though the odds are astronomical to lose 25 times in row betting the 91% Also when is this has created and from where is created?
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