1.8 on that is really value bet, maybe it will not pass, but odds should be 1.6 or even lower for NO, 1.8 looks as a gift, or bookies know something that we don't know
Maybe bookmakers expected Perez to be a bit better, at least close to Max because today, we have seen how impressive Red Bull can perform (but only Max). Perez still managed to score 2nd place in Sprint race but Verstappen had a huge lead, over 20 seconds, while Sainz was still close behind Perez. Perez didn't manage to create a gap to Sainz, so overtaking for him in traffic tomorrow will be difficult. Maybe we'll get some rain and Perez can make up more places by a chaotic race but right now, it's looking dry for tomorrow.
At least, we had a fantastic sprint race today. Amazing performance from Hulkenberg one more lap and he gains even more positions but still great result for him.
And yes, I agree, odds of 1.60 are more reasonable, maybe even 1.50.
Now, after Sprint race, odds are down to 1.52:
Still very good odds in my opinion because I don't see Perez making a podium here and then, there's always a possibility for a Verstappen DNF due to a collission or technical issues.
Perez can easily get a podium here.
Perez is in a RedBull but he's not Verstappen.
So far, Perez never has achieved a podium this season, when he started outside of the top 10:
Canada = started P12, finished P6
Spain = started P11, finished P4
Monaco = started P20, finished P16
Australia = started P20, finished P5
So, I don't expect an easy podium for him in Austria.
He will need a really god performance and a bit luck to achieve a podium here.
The best strategy for him is to start with the hard tires, wait until is possible, and then when the time comes and the others already did a pit (or a safety car come), change his tires and be aggress to the others.
It's probably his best chance but he also needs to get some early overtakes or he's stuck behind midfielders while Ferrari, Aston Martin and Mercedes will pull a gap quickly. Without Safety Car or red flag, it'll be very unlikely to get past P5.
The wheater will be sun according to google so he just needs to stay on track to be able to recover.
And overtake.
Well, it seems like you've analyzed the situation thoroughly and have a clear opinion on Sergio Perez's chances. Betting odds can be quite intriguing, and sometimes they do make you wonder if the bookies know something we don't. But hey, in Formula One, anything can happen, so let's see if Perez surprises us all and makes a miraculous climb up the ranks.
Yes, I've still Perez on Superbru on podium, not sure if changing it is a good move but I'll decide tomorrow, if changing picks is a good idea or not.
Starting from P15, it'll be a hard race for him once again and when having a look how he has performed recently, I've decided to make a bet because I beleive, RedBull won't be able to get a double podium here:
I think it is quite a sensible bet to make. Perez is really unstable here as well. He seemed way better in the sprint race today though but this is still not changing the fact that he is starting from way back of the grid. It is too difficult for him to climb until reaching podium. Even if they get very close to it I don't think he would comfortably overtake a Ferrari driver.
+1
I can agree here 100%. Today, Perenz finished 2nd but he also started 2nd.
Despite having clean air and no spray due to rain (Verstappen was way ahead of him), Perez struggled to create a gap to Sainz. I just can't see how he's fast enough to overtake 11 cars tomorrow, unless no big crash happens, where for example both Ferraris and Hamilton are involved in. Instead of a Perez podium, a Perez disappointment seems to be more likely.
Austria doesn't seem to be a track, Perez likes to drive at.