Tennis League All Thread - page 239.

Trofo

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Quote from: KTChampions on July 06, 2022, 06:38:58 AM

Nadal quotes for today's match continue to fall. Initially, it was about 1.2 yesterday it was 1.3, and now you can bet on him with odds of 1.4. Does anyone know what's going on?

You mean continue to grow? I belive this is a perfect case when bookies get carried away and put one player as overwhelming favorite which is not the case in reality. Fritz is the only player in Wimbledon this season that still has not lost a single set. He also won against Nadal on hard earlier this year and grass should suit him even more.

Us gamblers realized the value on Fritz bet and obviously placed enough money on it so bookies had to readjust the odds.

KTChampions

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Quote from: buwaytress on July 06, 2022, 12:38:31 AM

@KTChampions ha I forgot you had that weird acca on the favs, think almost everyone in your picks saved you with comeback wins! Had some small successes myself, singles though and yesterday even tried an uncharacteristic tiny 3-legger with a 10USDT freebet win from the last 4-3-free (sportsbet), just need Halep to win today to book it!

Yes, despite the fact that I bet on the obvious favorites, they all won their games with great difficulty. You mean my multi bet is weird because it consists entirely of low odds that you don't like? In general, I agree, but lately I have been lucky for such bets and, by the way, their final odds are quite good. And yesterday's second weird multibet also won:

Nadal quotes for today's match continue to fall. Initially, it was about 1.2 yesterday it was 1.3, and now you can bet on him with odds of 1.4. Does anyone know what's going on?

vennali

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Thats the difference between the Big 3 and the rest. Even when not exactly in their prime, they still know how to not stop trying hard to reach their goal.That is to fight until the end. Well played by Sinner though, he is still young and has a lot to learn. Definitely has all the qualities to win a Grand Slam.

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Quote from: cryptofrka on July 06, 2022, 02:54:10 AM

It would not be fair to say that he gave the win to Đoković, but he wasn't playing freely or confidently after going 2-0 up.
-snip

Sinner probably thought he would lost in the end, and did not had the strength to win another set from 0:0, to be fair, I think he was not even close to win at any moment in the match, somehow this reminded me to last season QF on RG, with Mussetti, Djokovic was down 0:2, and then won 3:2, with two or three gems lost in whole three sets

nevertheless, at this moment, not so sure are Nadal and Djokovic that much better, or these new players are really not worth mentioning, seems easier to reach final at this point for Djoko, comparing to time when he was in full power (considering he is a bit older now)

with all that, still have Norrie outright, and I think that it could be an interesting SF, hoping for good odds at one point to hedge outright

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Quote from: Yaunfitda on July 06, 2022, 03:22:46 AM

What do you mean not attractive? Fritz is the underdog against Nadal at 3.05. Or are you talking about Nadal? yeah ML is not attractive at all.

And it's a tricky match to be honest, I'm leaning towards Fritz to win at least a set here, or maybe by a handicap for him at +2.5.

I hoped that the odds on Fritz would be at around 4 - I would have bet on him for sure then. At around 3, it isn't attractive enough.

I will fully skip today's matches - I simply can't find any decent value. Kyrgios is a time bomb but I don't think that he will blow it against Garin.

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Quote from: cryptofrka on July 06, 2022, 02:54:10 AM

Today's Nadal - Fritz match might prove to be more exciting than expected, Fritz has been great so far. I planned to bet on him winning - but the odds aren't that attractive.

What do you mean not attractive? Fritz is the underdog against Nadal at 3.05. Or are you talking about Nadal? yeah ML is not attractive at all.

And it's a tricky match to be honest, I'm leaning towards Fritz to win at least a set here, or maybe by a handicap for him at +2.5.

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Đoković showed his mental strength once again, he played some clutch points when needed. Sinner kind of fell apart easily in every of the last 3 sets - which was really disappointing to see. It was like he knew he would lose, and that is exactly why the mental side of sports is so important. It would not be fair to say that he gave the win to Đoković, but he wasn't playing freely or confidently after going 2-0 up.

Today's Nadal - Fritz match might prove to be more exciting than expected, Fritz has been great so far. I planned to bet on him winning - but the odds aren't that attractive.

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Quote from: vennali on July 05, 2022, 07:56:38 AM

Quote from: btc_angela on July 05, 2022, 06:21:05 AM

I'm jumping on the Djokovic bandwagon here, so I put a handicap bet -6.5, at 1.87 against Jannik. I might go for the over/under bet later, but for now that is the bet that I already put on.

I know that Sinner just 'upset' Alcaraz in 4 sets. So I wouldn't be surprised if Djokovic drop another set as well, but I think Djokovic can cover that spread even in a 4 or 5 set win.

Sounds like a good bet. that odds for -5.5 and I'd have jumped the gun. I expect Djoker to win the match in 4 sets. How closely contested? I guess we'll have to wait and find out.

Unfortunately it was very close, Djokovic losing the first 2 sets and then coming back in the last 3. The problem is that in the second set, it was 6-2 so that is a lot for him to cover in the 3 sets. And again, it was just -5 for his win, so obviously my bet didn't win. Was watching the match and I wanted to bet on Djokovic to win specially when he lost the first 2 because the ML jump so high.

But didn't jump on the gun, just decided to wait for my bet and enjoy the match. But after 4 sets, and 2-2. I knew already that I have lost my bet because Djokovic will have to win 6-0 in the final set in order to cover my -6.5.

Trofo

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Quote from: aoluain on July 06, 2022, 01:14:28 AM

In todays Quarters I am fearing more for Nadal than Kyrgios. Fritz is going well
and has beaten Nadal already but yea this is a GS.

If we look just at best tennis levels these players can produce then I absolutely agree. But then you add the fact that Nadal is mental beast in BO5 matches and Kyrgios is quite unstable and then I am not so sure. Than you also add the fact that police in Australia are looking for Kyrgios regarding some domestic violence stuff and that he could get a couple of years of prison time....that will not help his concentration.

Anyway my initial bets for today is for underdogs to take at least 1 set and over games.

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Quote from: Kemarit on July 05, 2022, 08:30:31 PM

Quote from: bct_ail on July 05, 2022, 04:10:22 PM

Djokovic used his toilet break today to talk to his reflection. Obviously it listened well after Djokovic lost the first two sets. Cheesy

But I really liked the way Sinner played today and I'm sure we will see a lot more from him in the future. I'm looking forward to the next tournaments with him.

LOL, he admitted that he had a pep talk in the bathroom and perhaps he wanted to psyche himself. Yeah, still impressive play by Sinner, taking out Alcaraz earlier and then almost beat Djokovic. He is still 20 years old, before we forget. So a lot of good tennis from this kid. And I thought that he can do it after winning the first two sets.

So it will be Norrie vs Djokovic in the semifinals, haven't check the odds, but for sure Djokovic again will be the favorite.

Well Sinner certainly has upped his game at Wimbledon, big dissapointment for him
though. Didnt Djokovic do the same at the French open 2 or 3 years ago? gave Tsitsipas 2
sets and then won the other 3!

Quote from: buwaytress on July 06, 2022, 12:38:31 AM

Been a few nice green slips for me at Wimbledon too, the upset/comeback picks are quite good. Really wish had more time to bet live too, miss out all the 0-2 down bets but no complaints.

Kyrgios, Nadal or Djoko has to be the next casualty, agree? No problem for me to put one bet each on Garin and Fritz, but I'll wait for Fritz to get above 4/1 if I happen to be able to live, for now Aussie killer Garin @4.54, see if he keeps earning me money.

snip

In todays Quarters I am fearing more for Nadal than Kyrgios. Fritz is going well
and has beaten Nadal already but yea this is a GS.

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Been a few nice green slips for me at Wimbledon too, the upset/comeback picks are quite good. Really wish had more time to bet live too, miss out all the 0-2 down bets but no complaints.

Kyrgios, Nadal or Djoko has to be the next casualty, agree? No problem for me to put one bet each on Garin and Fritz, but I'll wait for Fritz to get above 4/1 if I happen to be able to live, for now Aussie killer Garin @4.54, see if he keeps earning me money.

@KTChampions ha I forgot you had that weird acca on the favs, think almost everyone in your picks saved you with comeback wins! Had some small successes myself, singles though and yesterday even tried an uncharacteristic tiny 3-legger with a 10USDT freebet win from the last 4-3-free (sportsbet), just need Halep to win today to book it!

Kemarit

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Quote from: bct_ail on July 05, 2022, 04:10:22 PM

Djokovic used his toilet break today to talk to his reflection. Obviously it listened well after Djokovic lost the first two sets. Cheesy

But I really liked the way Sinner played today and I'm sure we will see a lot more from him in the future. I'm looking forward to the next tournaments with him.

LOL, he admitted that he had a pep talk in the bathroom and perhaps he wanted to psyche himself. Yeah, still impressive play by Sinner, taking out Alcaraz earlier and then almost beat Djokovic. He is still 20 years old, before we forget. So a lot of good tennis from this kid. And I thought that he can do it after winning the first two sets.

So it will be Norrie vs Djokovic in the semifinals, haven't check the odds, but for sure Djokovic again will be the favorite.

bct_ail

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Djokovic used his toilet break today to talk to his reflection. Obviously it listened well after Djokovic lost the first two sets. Cheesy

But I really liked the way Sinner played today and I'm sure we will see a lot more from him in the future. I'm looking forward to the next tournaments with him.

TheGreatPython

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Quote from: romero121 on July 05, 2022, 09:10:24 AM

Quote from: KTChampions on July 05, 2022, 09:00:17 AM

Didn't want to bet in this game as it is already included in two other multi bets but I think I caught the right moment:

A bet on Djokovic to win with odds of 1.94 is good in any situation Roll Eyes

At least it's better than I thought to bet massively at 1.16 odds. Maybe the odds are even better if he loses the first set, but I'm not likely to increase the risk.

Right now the odds could've increased even higher than @1.94, because Sinner wins the second set 6-2. I checked with Stake and the betting on the match have got odds of Novak Djokovic @2.35 and Sinner @1.55 and there were more prediction stating that Novak Djokovic will easily reach the finals. For now things were getting to be tough for him.

These all odds were juicy and surely free money because while Djokovic was 2 sets behind my 11 years son was sitting near me and watching this match comfortably, and I was surprised by his attitude because Djokovic is his favorite sports person, and he was losing, but my son was still normal as I talk to him about this situation his reply was interesting.

Djokovic hates new players, so he gives them some good chance after this he will ruin his game and same happen, but sadly I was not able to place my bet on this odd because I'm having network trouble now as I check result feeling sad he is doing these tactics for some years and working for punters because mostly after losing first set or two sets odds jumps, and he enjoys this all situation which is wired for me but still this was good entertaining match.

Sinner could be in better shape after sometime because he is currently the most exciting player in tennis circuit.

KTChampions

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Quote from: Cnut237 on July 05, 2022, 09:35:22 AM

Quote from: KTChampions on July 05, 2022, 09:27:18 AM

Why did the odds for Nadal go up to 1.34? Is he really going to lose?

With the way the Djokovic match is going, Nadal is more likely to be the favourite for the tournament. Nadal started the tournament with zero practice on grass and fresh back from surgery... it took him a couple of matches to really get into his stride, but he's getting stronger each round and is looking in quite ominous form at the moment.

Meanwhile on Centre... the inevitable fightback is beginning, Djokovic now a break up in the third. But he's shown a lot of vulnerability in this match, and the other big names (well, Nadal, there aren't any other big names left!) will be taking notice.

I meant why Nadal's odds are increasing (which means, according to the bookmakers, the probability of winning is decreasing), if I'm not mistaken yesterday the odds were about 1.2 today 1.3 i.e. bookmakers believe that the probability of Nadal's victory has decreased overnight.

Djokovic saved my single bet and two multi bets, one now fully closed:

Jauber Ons, by the way, also lost the first set but then won 2. So far, despite the gigantic volatility of seemingly “sure” games, I have been successful in tennis Cheesy

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Quote from: buwaytress on July 05, 2022, 10:47:40 AM

~snip

Of course, had I seen him at 2 sets down I'd have bet no matter what -- should have been at least 3/1 eh?

yeah, took him again @2.39 at 2:5 in second set, bigger odds than Outright bet to win Wimbledon
somehow, it was clear that he will turn it after 0:2, and Sinner was not even close to win, he has a lead, but never been close to match ball or something, so passed without any nervous

second match is also fifth setter, expected easier win from Norrie, and at the moment, Goffin is a bit better, but I think that Norrie will meet Djokovic in semi-final, a lot of tennis today in men's category, two matches and maximal ten sets

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Quote from: Trofo on July 05, 2022, 01:15:27 AM

Quote from: Vaskiy on July 04, 2022, 11:22:14 PM

Quote from: vennali on July 04, 2022, 10:49:39 PM

Tough test for both favorites. Nadal vs Fritz and Djokovic vs Sinner. I think if Djoker gets past Sinner, he will surely reach the finals as I think he should be able to beat Goffin/Norrie in the next round. Sinner absolutely dismantled one of the favs in Carlos Alcaraz with a convincing 4 set match win. How surprising is it that we are going to witness one of Garin or Kyrgios into the semi-finals of Wimbledon?

All these matches are going to be interesting. I was much into the game of Nick Kyrgios vs Cristian Garin, because both have given similar performance. They're close in terms of age, rank. Both are playing against each other for the first time. Nick Kyrgios is expected to make a win based on the odds.

Kyrgios at his top level beats Garin at his top level every time on grass and does it easy. Problem is, we never know when Kyrgios will manage to present his top level while I am quite sure Garin will play a good match and fight it out for every single point.

Sinner could be a test for Djokovic and Fritz already showed that he can beat Nadal this year. I am looking at outsiders to take at least one set as the bets to go for.

So that’s a thing in tennis huh, dress code for specific grounds… Am not a big fan of tennis though so you could pardon me if I don’t know much of the game but I watched a reply of the round of 16 on the evening of yesterday and it was such an amazing watch. I kind of fancied the way Kyrgios played but it seems his arm injury is going to pose some measure problems on how far he would go in the competition. You could see him straining his arm and doing some exercises after some rounds and that doesn’t seem very good to me. He did manage it good but and advanced to the quarter finals but the semi finals is where I think it would end for him.

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Quote from: CLS63 on July 05, 2022, 11:28:28 AM

Djokovic never gives up whatever the score is. I think that this is one of the most important features that a champion needs to have. He didn't panic even though he was 2-0 behind in the sets. And he managed to win the other three sets also. Even though Djokovic was almost losing the game in the 2019 Wimbledon finale, he managed to win the cup.

Djokovic has the habit of coming from behind and managing to win the match. It's not easy to be 2-0 and still manage to win the match. You need to have strong nerves to not only stay in the match but also beat the opponent.
Today's win will give more confidence to Djokovic to win another title.

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Djokovic never gives up whatever the score is. I think that this is one of the most important features that a champion needs to have. He didn't panic even though he was 2-0 behind in the sets. And he managed to win the other three sets also. Even though Djokovic was almost losing the game in the 2019 Wimbledon finale, he managed to win the cup.

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Novak Novak Novak!!!

Topic: Tennis League All Thread - page 239. (Read 202147 times)