Topic: Tennis League All Thread - page 388. (Read 202430 times)

I have Rublev, Medvedev for this round of 16 today and Zverev against Ruud
in the qarter final tomorrow.

I see Felix AA did the job against Berrettini, I couldnt call a winner beforehand
so I didnt bet on hat one. Also with Tsitsipas v Sonego Tsitsipas was favourite
but I have lost too much on him this year so I dont feel confident about him but
he won.

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So thats 2 op the big 3 missing the tournament and its now up to Medvedev, Tsitsipas
and maybe Zverev to stop Djokovic.

Yes, so it's quite amazing to see him reach the quarter finals in this tournament. Maybe he got a lucky draw to be able to run this far. But he is a clay specialist, and I think Zverev could take him out easilty.


Tsitsipas lost the first first against Sonego, but eventually win. Felix has been improving a lot lately, so it's a good match to see as well.

sunny and clear in cincinnati today, no rain forecasted! should be an exciting day of tennis.
yesterday was quite decent for me, with 19w/10l on all bets that i posted here and 13w/7l on bets with odds over 1.7. unfortunately could have done better if hurkacz managed to take the first set, as he was serving up 6-5 in the tiebreak but managed to loose both subsequent serves. also pegula could have taking it to a third set being up 4-0 and 5-2 on the second set and not converting a couple of set points. on the other hand, made decent profits with the wins of paire, ruud, badosa, krejcikova to name a few.. with that said time to move on;

men's singles;

paire to win a set @ 1.97
i don't expect paire to win here but I do expect him to hang in there with rublev, the french doesn't even need to win a set to cash in this bet, a 7-6,6-4 loss works just fine, and i predict at least that for benoit today.

carreno-busta to win a set @ 1.94
the two have met less than a month ago during the olympics, the spaniard managed to win in straight sets, maybe medvedev is looking to take his revenge here or will pablo prove too hot again for the world number 2 as he has shown all week and during his run to the bronze medal. one thing i am confident in is that it won't be a walk in the park for daniil, carreno-busta should at least bag a set here, but as I said yesterday, i believe medvedev will reach the finals this week again, so the russian in 3 @ 3.65 seems a nice punt for the adventurous ones.

women's singles;
barty and krejcikova have just started so no official tip here, although my thoughts are a win for barty and over 21.5 @ 1.9.

kerber @ 2.32
total games, over 21.5 @ 1.97
exact sets, 3 @ 2.5
they know each other very well, they've competed against each other over 15 times. they share almost the same wins and losses against each other, i feel they are at the same level at the moment as well and i believe this will be a long hard fought 3 setter and any of the two could book a place in the final four, therefore there is enough value in my eyes to go for the underdog here and the over.

my thoughts on the evening matches to come a little later.

good luck guys

Yes i agree that zverev is a lot more solid on hard courts weve seen recently the best version of him this year so i would go for a 2 0 too for the german and as for tsitsipas and felix game i think it will be a though one and a three set is the closest result.

Didn't watch the match but was surprised when I saw the final score, honestly I don't think Isner is a tough opponent for Sinner because he has played quite a bit and is old too but his serve is still good and often gives him points.

Watched the match Berrettini vs Aliassime, and Aliassime played well enough to beat Berrettini with a convincing score, looking forward to him perform well against Tsitsipas in tonight's match.

I am also thinking Zverev should be able to take Ruud in straight sets. Ruud is solid player but his best surface is clay, he does not have enough time to run around the ball to hit that monster forehand on this surface.

Rublev should have easy time but that match is must watch for me. Should be some cracking points. Tsitsipas and Felix are probably the closest match today. I will try with some handicap on Felix.

do think that Zverev will handle it in two sets, not three, and that he is a favorite to win the tournament as well
Ruud is a good player, and will probably enter top10 after this tournament, but Zverev want top performance before US Open

regarding other matches, Busta seems as tough opponent for Medvedev, and it can go every direction, with probably 3 sets, while I expect from Felix to pass-over Tsitsipas

All this matches in the quarter finals are really hard to predict.Probobly the best outcome for the tournament.For me Rublev should win against Paire but Tsitsipas has been struggling everytime he get in the quarters or the semis,he just cannot reach the final or even win it.Carreno Busta will also be a big problem for Medvedev and it can go either way

I haven't seen any match for this day, was quite busy so I didn't bet as well.

All the top 4 are through to the next round, so it will be very interesting quarter finals match.

Rublev vs Paire - I will go with Rublev in 2 sets.
Tsitisipas vs Felix-AA - Tsitsipas maybe in 3 sets.
Medvedev vs Carreno - Medvedev but it might be a 3 set
Zverev vs Ruud - Zverev by 3 sets.

I remember the Federer vs Djokovic 2019 match and it was a classic match, however it was difficult explaining to non tennis fans how did Federer lose despite having more points. Also Isner game was a good game and it was just hard luck in the end, but I’m sure he has learnt valuable experience from this game and it’ll only help him develop his game further.

Yes it was an amazing game and weve seen these situations before but it was a great performance from players but it was a fair win for isner he is in top form in these hard courts but today it was a bit shocking he lost to paire in a three set match it the first two sets it was tight we ve seen two tie breaks but in the last one i did not understand what happened i lost money in the bet i made because isner seemed more likely to win.

federer won 14 more points in his match against djokovic during the wimbledon final in 2019 and did not manage to win his 21st slam.

as mentioned here are my views on the rest of today's matches;

men's singles;

zverev in straight sets @ 1.3
big gap in quality here, should be straight forward, i don't mess too much with handicaps, the under 19.5 @1.85 seems logical but I prefer to stay away from it.

ruud @ 1.8
rematch from last year in cincinnati, schwartzman took that one in straight sets, since then ruud continued to progress, winning more titles and looking to make a deep run here, it won't be easy atoday but his confidence should be high after beating the in form opelka yesterday and the likes of cilic and lajovic last week.
i am also considering the over 22.5 @ 1.97 and exact sets, 3 @ 2.33.

tsitsipas in straight sets @ 1.55
only bet i feel comfortable with here, the total is at 20.5, we might see a tiebreak in this match, so I prefer to stay away from it, but a clear win for the greek is expected, similar situation to 6 months ago in miami where tsitsipas got the deal done in 2.

berrettini @ 1.55
wimbledon quarters less than 2 months ago was the last meeting between the two, berrettini won that one 3-1 in sets, yesterday in a long 3 setter against ramos vinolas, matteo managed not to be broken all match, i think it will be difficult for auger-aliassime to get many break points, and i believe he will have a tougher task keeping berrettini from breaking and/or mini breaking him.
 
women's singles;

jabeur @ 1.78
she is one of the hottest players on the tour right now, she is riding the wave, full of confidence and determination, on the other hand kvitova has beaten jabeur in their previous 2 meetings, although the last encounter was very tight between the two, jabeur lost both sets in tiebreaks, i believe it's time for it to turn jabeur's way, at the moment her quality is a tad above kvitova's.

badosa to win a set @ 1.56
badosa total games, over 11.5 @ 1.7
exact sets, 3 @ 2.45
badosa @ 2.35
this contest is tighter than the odds suggest, badosa is on her way to the wta top 5, improving match after match, it won't be easy against rybakina but as an underdog she is pure value in my eyes.

bencic @ 1.92
8 wins and counting for the swiss, trends anyone.

osaka/teichmann @ 0
osaka has been unstable off court lately, i just don't know yet what to expect from her on court. she could easily take this easy in 2, loose it in 3 and everything in between.

odds from stake/sb.io

good luck guys

Welcome @el che

The only one I had a bet on today was Medvedev, he is on a roll ATM and carrying a
lot of momentum from his Toronto win. The winning momentum he will want to
carry into the U.S open.

Did anyone watch Sinner v Isner yesterday? Tennis is amazing! a game where you
can score more points than your opponent but still lose.

Isner's serve won him the match but today he was beaten by Paire.

unfortunately not the best of starts for me here with my predictions yesterday, bublik seemed to be quite sleepy during his match as he was yawning at times, maybe 10 am is too early of a start for him.
the weather today might play a role in interrupting and delaying some matches, but according to the forecast we should have enough dry patches to see out the majority if not all today's matches.

men's singles;

medvedev @ 1.15
medvedev in straight sets @ 1.56
under 21.5 @ 1.9
2 solid wins for dimitrov here, but against a man on a mission to win another masters in a row and possibly reach the world number 1 in the near future, hard to see dimitrov bothering the russian today. i'm tipping him to at least reach the finals here.

paire to win a set @ 1.8
paire total games, over 11.5 @ 1.76
total games, over 23.5 @ 2
exact sets, 3 @ 2.4
both players reached the last 16 here behind hard fought 3 setters, looking for the trend to continue here with paire offering some value out of the two, decent prices without the necessity for him to win the match to cash in.

monfils to win a set @ 1.87
monfils total games, over 10.5 @ 1.85
total games, over 22.5 @ 2.02
exact sets, 3 @ 2.5
at 34 monfils is still competing at a high level, with 4 wins out of 5 matches in this year's us tour, rublev has been hit or miss lately with a 3-2 record in his last 5 matches, i still give him the edge but would not be surprised if monfils pulls an upset here, i will settle for him taking 11 games and/or a set against the russian.

hurkacz @ 1.88
total games, over 23.5 @ 1.98
i feel this match will be as tight as the odds suggest, i lean towards hurkacz here, it will be difficult to get more than one break of serve for the spaniard and i think hurkacz will manage to get more chances to break and i give him the edge in a tie break as well.

women's singles;
kerber @ 1.6
2 good wins for kerber at cinci so far, she seems to be in good form, ostapenko has been maybe lucky to reach the last 16, maybe not, will never know as her opponent in the previous round (brady) had to retire after being up one set and about to loose the second. kerber might take it in straight sets @ 2.32 but not feeling too adventurous today.

barty @ 1.75
similar round, similar odds, similar result? referring to the last encounter between the two less than 6 months ago in miami, barty won that won in 3 sets, i follow trends, patterns and narratives. if that is the case than barty in 3 @ 4.5 makes sense, but again only for the adventurous.

krejcikova @ 1.97
krejcikova to win a set @ 1.42
she is playing her best tennis this year, winning multiple tournaments and a grand slam, she seems to be playing well on hard as well, hasn't dropped a set yet. muguruza has been quite unpredictable and below her top level loosing to the likes of siniakova and rybakina in her last 5.

pegula @ 1.94
pegula to win a set @ 1.41
these 2 have met 4 times this year, 4 wins for pegula and 8 to 1 in sets for the american. follow the trend until it's not, simple as that. hopefully it won't turn just yet.

these are my previews for the first 4 matches, the other 4 i will post a bit later.

edit:
finally i will add a doubles parley for today @ 2.22
krejcikova/siniakova @ 1.65 & mektic/pavic @ 1.35

good luck guys

Hurkacz was able to cover -3.5, it was -4 win for him against Murray. Unfortunately, Pella win and pull an upset on Fognini. Fognini really started slow in the first set.


Rublev won on the last two sets and didn't get Cilic time to recover.

Medvedev vs Dimitrov - I will go for under 21.5. I think Medvedev will win in 2 sets here.

Waiting for you to share your bets in today's match
I don't bet on parlays too often, especially when the tournament is playing the early rounds because there are many matches and it will be a bit of a hassle to choose a match that we think will go according to our predictions.

Unfortunately, and this prevented him from defending his US Open title, Injuries are a frightening specter for athletes, wish him a speedy recovery and get back to playing.

It was a game between Tiafoe vs Schwartzman until Schwartzman breaks him and that's it, Tiafoe wasn't able to recover too bad.

For Murray, yes, his prime days are over, and we might say that it was a career ending injury, hip if I'm not mistaken and it took him at least 2 years to just play again. But high level? no, I doubt that he can come back from that injury and probably playing to have some fun until he goes on retirement.

It is unfortunate but Murray his prime is already long over (years ago). He just playes because he enjoys the game, but it will be mission impossible to win another tournament.

Tsitsipas won his match quite easily, but Tiafoe has lost the third set against Schwartzman.

That's really unfortunate, he just needs to sit out the rest of the calendar year, to really get that wrist fully healed. He is still very young and could recover next season. Longevity of his career should be the priority here.

Medvedev, Zverev and Rublev won already in the mens side.

While Osaka needs to overcome Gauff in 3 sets. And former number 1 Halep though has withdrawn because of a tear to her adductor, she confirmed it through her twitter account - https://twitter.com/Simona_Halep/status/1428097102664671234