Topic: The UFC Info and Prediction Thread - page 194. (Read 97140 times)

Shev, and Ricci via decision let me down for £10k. Imagine how annoyed I'm at that . Bloody, Jessica Penne, and whatever that performance was, and of course Val letting me down. Well, it wasn't too be, probably the closest I've been in a number of weeks though.

Jon Jones proved exactly what I thought of Gane, he's too one dimensional. Unfortunately, other than Pav there's not a whole lot of competition for Jon Jones in the division. Especially, since most of the others are strikers like Gane. I imagine, Jon Jones keeps the belt for as long as he wishes to stay in the UFC.

Good night of fights though, enjoyed myself. I just can't get over that Shev submission, and Ricci winning via that arm bar too. Sometimes, I hate that I go for methods of victory instead of just outright wins. Obviously, I'd still have lost the Val fight, but she was dominating up until that point.

Had a similar acca fail by one leg too. But it was on the main event with Jones just destroying Gane within a minute of the first round. Mine was a 25x one with only 7 matches on it so not as lengthy as yours and on another bookmaker's site.
I stayed away from those fights I wasn't 100% confident in my predictions such as the Amanda Ribas fight.
From the beginning it looked like it could of went either way.
The Alexa Grasso match was the shocker of the night for most.
I took her at the 7.60x odds because I do not see why anyone would risk anything betting on Shevchenko at such low odds for any reason.
I learnt from seeing a heavy favorite such as Valentina in a title defense bout similar to this one fall flat and get subbed in their match. Remember Amanda Nunes vs Pena?
It rang a similar tone in the way that championship bout went.

He is really the best champion to win this title and to beat his opponent like that, he is probably the strongest of all of them in their current weight division. he just played with the champion and stole that belt easily. As if he never rest for 3 years and with the added weight in him, he is so strong that he even managed to convert his weight into upgrading his signature submission technique. Without the steroid abuse in his body, he is still scary because of his techniques and I wonder how would it be for his next opponent to prepare against him. that would be a whole lot of stress for him.

It's hard to tell from those three minutes, except that John is still a very confident fighter. I expected more from Gane, after all, it was not always convenient for Jones to fight tall guys, but then everything happened very quickly. Jones initially knew that Gane was weaker on the floor and Gane himself said that he did not focus on training in this direction, and it was probably stupid to expect to beat Jones only in the standing position.

The entire fight, the favorites were winning and i was expecting this to go throughout the card, never imagined in the wildest dream that Alexa Grasso would take Valentina Shevchenko to the ground and would choke her out. First time i noticed Valentina Shevchenko was when she fought Holly Holmes and Valentina was relatively unknown and i was not expecting Valentina Shevchenko to dominate her and ever since i never placed a bet against her and on papers she is way above Alexa in all department but she did her homework and messed up my entire parlay and lost a lot of money  .

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As expected the GOAT baaaaaa, came back after 3 years and made it look like a child's play by submitting the hyped zero ground game Gane in 3 minutes. I wish to see him fight more and retire in his terms undefeated inside the cage and the post fight warning he gave to Stipe Miocic gave me chills.

As for anyone who missed the post fight media interaction, Jon Jones said he will finish Stipe Miocic and asked to take a break from fire fighting and concentrate on preparing for him to make it competitive .

Alexa won it by submission.  The bookmakers win (+/-) 27:1  on average the Parleys fell, what a great fight.

"Batacazo".

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Edit:
a few seconds...

Damn it. Araujo broke my parlay.

What a waste. Why did she ever let go of the hand of Amanda Ribas at that last minute of the 3rd round? She could've made her tap out before the buzzer sounded. It was a good position and the crowd knew it, all she have to do was make her exhaust her energy.

Alexa Grasso versus Valentina Shevchenko is next in 5 minutes. For those who have not taken their bets yet, you still have some time. 
It's now at 7.60 for Grasso and 1.12 for Shevchenko.

^  I like the Shev via decision spot at 3.  I don't I've seen Grasso getting KO'd or finished via sub before.  And if she did, it must've been more than three years ago.  A safer option would be to take the over 4.5 rounds at 2.07.

Anyway, is anybody watching the event?  First match with Ribovics vs Radzhabov already a banger!  The underdog could  win here...  And there's a guy I know who's leaning towards the underdog here who's also leaning towards Neal...

Edit:  Ah..  Radzhabov won.  It was close tho.  29 - 28 in all three judges' cards.

Edit:  Basharat next!  Leeezzz gooo!

I know the event starts soon, but I've decided against putting Viviane Araujo on my betting slip, I've actually switched to Ribas to get the decision. The only concern is Ribas tends to get dropped quite a bit in previous fights, but ultimately throws a lot of volume. I've got her at 2.50 for the decision, where as Viviane was over 3.00 via decision. I haven't changed anything else.

Valentina Shevchenko has pretty good odds for winning via decision at over 3.00, since the bookies are expecting her to finish the fight. If you guys think Grasso will be a better opponent than the odds suggest, but don't think she'll quite cut it; going for the decision for Val might be a good bet.

Likely rumours, tend to get them a lot in the bigger fights. Anyhow, damaged skin will be pretty superficial once they're in the cage.

There are strange pictures of Ganes right fist. Sort of a messed skin. Gane might have injured right fist, that is in a process of healing, or something is not good with it. Or this is just a bad picture or photoshop. Anyway, some people are preparing soil for excuses in media imho. As well as point on bulked Jones, on his belly.

Yeah, Neal can be pretty slick when he wants to be. If you bet on values, rather than looking at the statistics of each fighter, then 4.50 on Geoff Neal is decent. It's probably worth mentioning Neal beat Belal Muhammad previously, who's known for his wrestling. While, I don't particularly rate Belal all that highly, I know a few people were suggesting he was a contender for a while. Although, I'm pretty sure I don't remember seeing a takedown in that fight. My thinking with Rakhmonov is he's going to look for those takedowns, and mitigate the striking of Neal.

Don't get me wrong, if this is a striking match Neal wins all day, probably on volume alone. Neal, chucks arms, and legs out there like there's no tomorrow. I just feel it's that classic match up; striker vs wrestler. I might be wrong, and maybe I'm a little too confident on that pick, especially given the odds.

Look, I'll say this; I don't think Neal is going to beat Rakhmonov, but he's probably the best value underdog of the night.

Yup, and who knows..  We could see prime Jones taking Gane down then raining bombs on top of him by R2.  And we'd all be saying 'what did everyone expect would happen?'.  Lol.

The match that could be a huge upset is Rakhmonov vs Neal.  A couple of guys I know irl who are huge MMA fans are backing Neal in this spot as they think the line shouldbe closer.  I was supposed to have him at my top ticket but backed off a bit and put him in my third ticket.

Anyway good luck to everybody!

Yeah, he's not my most confident pick of the night. If I was to order them in terms of confidence on getting the win:

1. Bo Nickal
2. Shavkat Rakhmonov
3. Tabatha Ricci
4. Valentina Shevchenko / Jon Jones
5. Mateusz Gamrot
6. Farid Basharat
7. Viviane Arajo


I'm not sure it's all that risky, but we'll find out tonight. He's fairly low on my ranking I suppose, but that's only because the one's above him are massive favourites, and should get the win. I know there's a lot of Gane supporters here, and by no means do I think he's a terrible fighter, I just don't think he's the fighter that everyone claims him to be. He's got good footwork for a heavyweight, and decent striking. However, he's very one dimensional, and when you put a striker against a wrestler it's usually the wrestler that comes out on top.

Yeah, I would never claim that anyone is unbeatable. I just don't want to risk it on my accumulator .

He might have trained but he has not been in a fight for years and I know they say they spar all the time but sparring is not the same. I think Jon Jones could be caught out cold once I saw his body. He might have been the best at the time he fought regularly but he cannot expect to do minimal work and walk in the cage and beat Cyril Gane. I am starting to regret my bet on Jon Jones by submission.

This is Farid Bashara's debut but because I really don't trust him with my bet I have gone with Da'Mon Blackshear anything can surely happen so I didn't bet for this fight, but surely good luck to us, Whie I am going with Amanda Ribas and just like you I am also going with Tabatha Ricci, Bo Nickal, Mateusz Gamrot, and Shavkat Rakhmonov

While you are going for the risky Jon Jones, and I know that you are not a fan of Ciryl Bon Gamin, I am one that has gone with Ciryl Gane all the way, and so I really respect that, although Jon Jones is pretty much popular in the press con, for sure that was all Jon Jones fans, Ciryl Gane remains composed and for sure that is what he going to do remained composed and calm towards Jon Jones,

While Alexa Grasso seems not the type to Defeat Valentina Shevchenko there is still a chance she could get the W, Amanda Nunes was defeated once, and Shevchenko is not unbeatable she could be defeated by any fighter for me Alexa Grasso and Erin Blanchfield, well in the future for Erin Blanchfield,

Here's what my betting slip looks like:

Farid Basharat
Tabatha Ricci by decision
Viviane Arajo by decision
Bo Nickal
Mateusz Gamrot
Shavkat Rakhmonov
Jon Jones
Valentina Shevchenko

x36 as an accumulator. Jon Jones obviously could be considered a risky bet considering he's been out for a while. However, I feel confident enough to put in on my betting slip at 1.60 odds. The bookie I'm using is offering a bonus for accumulators on the UFC, so the short odd fights like Bo Nickal, Shavkat Rakhmonov, and Valentina Shevchenko offer a bonus on top of it. So, they're better odds than they appear.

If you don't get that bonus though, It's probably worth avoiding them on your betting slip. Although, I'm fairly confident on them, Bo Nickal should get the job done pretty easily. Shavkat I expected will dominant with the grappling, and Shevcehnko seems to have a lot of doubters, but I don't know I just can't see Alexa Grasso beating her, since she hasn't got better stand up, and her grappling is probably the most joy she'll get out of this match up, but we know that Val has dealt with better wrestlers in my opinion in the past quite easily.

For 3 consecutive years, Jon Jones is inactive inside the Octagon, and in saying Ciryl Gane needs to improve you are underestimating Tai Tuivasa, that much, and comparing that Jon Jones can win against Tai Tuivasa is what I understand about your post, well I am not mad about what you think but not giving credits that this is the Heavyweight division this is a new environment for Jon Jones, giving him too much credit I think that is a true hype train, for me Ciryl Gane is more than ready in giving his all, he is aware of what Jon Jones can do, and I am OK with that,


Jon Jones definitely prepared for this fight but in gaining weight and muscle 1st and then before accessing what Ciryl Gane can do and might do with him, I think he surely trained but I don't really know if he's really prepared, but surely giving all the credit to a fighter that is going up the division for sure I could not see Jon Jones is well prepared enough for me he is in a hurry to get the belt that much because of his age, and that is not a good idea, for me he got to fight a heavyweight that is not Ciryl Gane 1st then I will surely give him a stamp of approval,


Well you are already providing the photos for us, and surely I am waiting for you to upload them here, that was Valentina Shevchenko? she looks different and really sexy hot, but surely Grasso is simple and beautiful at the same time, that is why I also love that about her,

@AverageGlabella. I disagree on your assessment that Bones Jones did not train for this fight, however, I certainly agree that Cyril Gane is is very much underestimated for this fight. Jon Jones did not fight 3 years and he is returning on a new weight class vs. the best heavyweight UFC fighter? This might be uncle Dana's biggest error.

Also, there 3 sexy fighting kittens. Where are their pictures hehehehee.

I thought Jon Jones would win this by submission but looking at the shape he is in I think Gane might dance around him and make him look a fool. He just does not look like he has trained for this fight and looks sloppy. I wonder if he is underestimating Gane because if you underestimate Gane you are going to get knocked out. Jon Jones is old to he should have been in better shape because being out of shape and old he could look very bad tomorrow.

Yeah, Song isn't brilliant I'll give you that. However, he does have power, and it's more about how Garry has already shown to leave his chin open in previous fights, which I'd consider easier opponents than Song. Although, you're right Song isn't a world beater, far from it.

Garry could win, and I'd say he's the favourite, but I'm just a little worried about those openings he leaves. He's probably my biggest potential banana slip. Yeah, Neal's good although I'm feeling Rakhmonov will be a little safe in the exchanges, and get the job done through grappling, and wearing him out.

Goes without saying, but this is an awesome event, and it's going to be a fun night.