Topic: The UFC Info and Prediction Thread - page 339. (Read 100149 times)

I am really impressed with recent performance from 43 years old Andrei Arlovski who won with split decision against Jake Collier, and this is his four win in a row.
This was not one of those fight cards to remember, but I am reading that Marlon Vera could fight with Jose Aldo next after win against Rob Font.

The dude's 43 and an HW, quick is never an option XD also, Arlovski's last quick win was way back in 2015, so there were no indications things would be anything different from a decision this time.


The main card is stacked! I am actually looking forward to the Cerone / Lauzon fight, it could very well be either fight of the night or performance of the night. Cerone is spent on his last 4 fights that probably took a lot from him, and Lauzon has been inactive for 3 years, so any predictions are out the window. I would like to see Lauzon grapple Cerone rather than trying to duke it out with him, a battle he would surely lose.

I see clearer paths to victory for Oliveira and Chandler than I do for Gaethje and Ferguson. Chandler should take a much more slowly progressing and a measured approach than he had in his previous fights, and Oliveira actually needs to do what he has been doing for the past couple of fights and those are all of the things that they do better than their opponents. I don't see Ferg or Justin doing anything that much better that would level the playing field.

Looking forward to these fights come fight night. Pretty exciting especially the main even between Oliveira and Gaethji. Although Oliveira is the favorite, it would be interesting if he can survive once Gaethji connects its powerful strikes.

In the semi-main event I already bet on Rose to stop Esparza. Chandler-Ferguson still guarantees fireworks but if there's someone that will lose badly needs to consider retirement. These two old warriors are already past their primes.

 

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje



Date: May 8, 2022
Main Card: SUN, MAY 8 / 5:00 AM EEST
Prelims: SUN, MAY 8 / 3:00 AM EEST
Early prelims: SUN, MAY 8 / 12:30 AM EEST

Venue: UFC Apex

Main card (ESPN+)
Lightweight: Charles Oliveira (c) vs. Justin Gaethje
Women's Strawweight: Rose Namajunas (c) vs. Carla Esparza
Lightweight: Michael Chandler vs. Tony Ferguson            
Light Heavyweight: Maurício Rua vs. Ovince Saint Preux            
Lightweight: Donald Cerrone vs. Joe Lauzon

Prelims            
Welterweight: Randy Brown vs. Khaos Williams            
Women's Featherweight: Macy Chiasson vs. Norma Dumont            
Flyweight: Brandon Royval vs. Matt Schnell            
Heavyweight: Blagoy Ivanov vs. Marcos Rogério de Lima   

Early prelims
Welterweight: Francisco Trinaldo vs. Danny Roberts            
Women's Flyweight: Tracy Cortez vs. Melissa Gatto            
Flyweight: Kleydson Rodrigues vs. C.J. Vergara            
Women's Strawweight: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Lupita Godinez            
Bantamweight: Journey Newson vs. Fernie Garcia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_274

Finally an event where every main card fight is worth watching!

For those who are saying that Rob Font should win the decision because of his volume on the 1st and 2nd round, they don't watch real careful what really happened, the 1st and 2nd round was a setup for Chito Vera so he knows what Rob Font damage output and he can do and the style of Font, I don't know if Font doesn't have the damage he needs or Marlon Vera just does have a good chin in withstanding those blows, and when Vera have calculated what Font can do and that is the time he unleashes those devastating blow, Chito Vera really improves his style and he is right that hard work paid off, and that punching power and knee Rob Font is really hurt and wobbles, it was a great fight and Rob Font did go the distance,


From what you have said that Rob Font looks exhausted because he didn't reach the weight's I know that Marlon Vera could have a chance, but I never really expected something like this can happen, Rob Font was extremely Busted bloodied, and exhausted, you can see that Marlon "Chito" Vera really wants to finish Rob Font and excited to approach Rob Font, without any hesitation and because he can feel that he is winning it, and In actuality, I am a bit reserve and because Rob Font is the favorite to win, but even though that is the case I still go with Marlon Vera, and thanks to what you have said the hesitation has gone.

I am disappointed with Arlovski performance. He should have made a much more quicker win, instead the fight went full distance. Average young heavyweight caused so much trouble to Arlovski. Now he is a series of 4 wins. He will get someone from top, which will be more younger and has more stamina. If Arlovski next opponent will be from top15, I will bet on his opponent. Glover Teixeira is almost same age, but looks more fresh in his fights.


Fight ended with split decision One of the judges even gave 27–30, which means according to him Collier won all three rounds

I was surprised Font lasted for the whole 5 rounds tbh.  It looks like the botched weigh in thing wasn't much of a factor but then again maybe it did since Font's strikes didn't really cause any real damage...  Dunno.  And one thing I didn't like about Vera was he was getting hit a lot.  So if Vera's next match is for three rounds and vs a high volume striker, I am def fading him.

A rematch vs Song Yadong should be in order since their first one was a robbery.  Yadong won that one.

I consider Jon Jones to be the greatest fighter of all time but even with all the skills and training his years of inactivity will have an impact when he returns and that too in a weight division where every fighter is a knockout fighter and on top of that he is going to face the best of the best against Stipe Miocic who is one of the best Heavyweight in the division.

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I missed the entire fight card tonight, have to watch the highlights.

What a night, and what a main event. As expected the results were pretty much all over the place, but a entertaining night definitely. I thought the judges got the decisions correct, and the main event definitely delivered. Chito looked very good, and I know a lot of people will think that Font did enough in those rounds with his volume, but I'm of the impression that damage is better than low impact volume. Font was probably hurt 5/6 times in that fight, and I'm still not sure how he managed to survive until the end. He looked absolutely out on his feet a few times, and obviously wore the damage on his face.

I imagine after that Font will be having a rather lengthy time away from the cage, Chito on the other hand didn't take much damage so his recovery could be relatively quick.

Here is the result for my picks on UFC Fight Night: Font VS Vera

Rob Font VS Marlon Vera - Unanimous Decision - WIN

At first, I wasn't so sure who was going to win but Marlon Vera is vicious he just can't wait for the match to start and wants to leap toward Rob Font, that was in round 3 I really think that the 1st and 2nd round Marlon "Chito" Vera is a calculating fighter that rounds were a set up so he can know what he could do, and from that point, he changes his approach he becomes very aggressive bloodied Rob Font and Font was saved by the bell from the ground and pound until Rob Font Bloodied by Chito's Knee, the fight was absurd and it was a total advantage for Marlon Chito Vera!

Andrei Arlovski VS Jake Collier - Split Decision - LOST

The Zebra Pattern Curse continues, and yeah TopTort777 was pretty much right by calling this a curse, Andrei Arlovski still got those lethal punches both men are committed to giving each other punches, knees, and kicks, while in round 3 Collier is pretty much aggressive and desperate after that headbutt Collier scored a takedown aswell but there is no much time to do anything for Arlovski, in  the end, three of the judge scored for Arlovski, it was a sensational win for Andrei Arlovski despite his age he is pretty much tough to take those nasty punches of the younger Jake Collier, well my judgment was really clouded, and despite Arlovski's age he pretty much has that experience in winning the fight, that is what I learn that he can do, but if he would fight a guy on the top 5 of their division, then it is likely he would surely lose,

The results are as follows



Well, Arlovski has done it again. I fear though that if faced with a higher tier of opposition, things won't look soo good, and I said it before, I'll say it again, he has had enough of head trauma over the years, he needs to call it quits.

Keylock and a kneebar, you don't see those every day. Or ever. And topping it off with a nice RNC, love seeing that many submissions in one event.

That was sad for Rob Font, but I really like Marlon Vera more, but yes the gas tank is the real issue here and both fighters could suddenly gas out in the middle of the match but not a good sign for Rob Font if that is his case but Marlon Vera can still pull his craziness inside the octagon, but a win towards submission is what I like to see, Marlon Vera is more on a calculating fighter, in my opinion, this could be a hard one for him but maybe he can pull through,

And with the Andrei Arlovski VS Jake Collier I really think that age of Arlovski will surely cause him if not now in the future, and Collier has that physical strength to win against Arlovski, but I really doubt Arlovski's strength, he just could pull a KO win anymore, it will always with decision,



It was really hard to choose right now, well I am basing my picks on their latest fights, and many predictions that connect to what I have seen, in my opinion, in the Rob Font VS Marlon Vera case I am siding with the more technical fighter, and with Arlovski VS Collier, I am siding with the more Strength, I could be wrong but at least I will be more excited in watching the fights, but yeah it might go the distance for most of the fights.

The Heavy Weight Champion is often described as the best in the World and if Francis Ngannou enters the boxing ring as the UFC Champion and gets humiliated how can they ever promote the fights as the best in the World and it is certain that Francis Ngannou will struggle if he is facing Tyson Fury to land a single punch and Dana White knows the boxing world to allow that to happen.

Conor McGregor was able to convince Dana White but i doubt Francis Ngannou will be able to convince in a straight up boxing because the results are obvious.

Well, Jones has enough talent and experience to still make it look like he hasn't been away that long. And you know what Dom Cruz says, there is no such thing as ring rust. With some fighters, it might, but with the top echelon, I think a couple of years here or there don't make much difference. Just look at GSP vs Bisping after 4 years of retirement.

Another event I'm staying away with bets. I'll probably get some updated predictions up before the event though. Although, seems like a slippery slope a lot of these fights. Saving my money for the following event, which will likely be an event I get some wings in, and some beers.

I was going to put a bet on the Font vs Vera fight going the distance, but the odds just wasn't enough to justify the risk to be honest. For the Jake fight, my head says him, but my heart says Andrei Arlovski. Again, could be a fight that goes the distance.

^  Before the weigh ins I was leaning more towards Font.  But seeing how drained he was in the scale and he missed weight, it looks like he isn't ready for 5 rounds.  And here's the thing for Vera...  He's a slow starter and increases the pace starting around R3.  Font on the other hand would prolly only have a couple rounds of gas for this match before he fades.

And yup, Collier could win.  Just a hunch.  Lol.  I have no strong opinion.

Here are the weigh ins and the face off...  Enjoy.

UFC Font vs Vera Weigh ins
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZOaS1su64zU

UFC Font vs Vera Face offs
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wOnHiedkmbw

Rob Font (138.5)* vs Marlon Vera (136)
Andrei Arlovski (246) vs Jake Collier (265)
Joanderson Brito (145.5) vs Andre Fili (145.5)
Grant Dawson (155.5) vs Jared Gordon (155.5)
Tristan Connelly (146) vs Darren Elkins (145.5)
Krzysztof Jotko (186) vs Gerald Meerschaert (185)
Alexandr Romanov (236.5) vs Chase Sherman (247)
Daniel Silva (125) vs Francisco Figueiredo (125.5)
Gabe Green (170.5) vs Yohan Lainesse (169)
Mike Breeden (155.5) vs Natan Levy (155)
Gina Mazany (126) vs Shanna Young (125)
Carlos Candelario (126) vs Tatsuro Taira (125.5)

*Missed weight

Well, we could put it into tabs, the zebra rule will be used when a fighter's records are a pattern of win, lost, sin, lost, or similar to that pattern, and we can call it a Zebra Rule, I think this is very rare for certain fighters to have such record, but it is a good way so we can have a way to specify it, So the record pattern will be called the Zebra Rule Curse, good thinking TopTort777,


If he wants to be both an MMA fighter and a boxer at the same time then I think he can but for us just by thinking about it is so ambitious and hard to accomplice for Francis Ngannou, if he truly wants to be a boxer he should just take down the other one, and because I think Dana White will not let him take a boxing career when he has still settled a contract with the UFC, he should eat a fish while not sitting on the dick of Dana White at the same time, he should be focused on just one,  

And here are my picks for this fight UFC Fight Night: Rob Font vs. Marlon Vera,

Rob Font VS Marlon Vera

Stake Odds for this fight are 1.78 for Font while 2.05 for Vera, and for this fight, I really looking forward to Marlon Vera, because of how unique he can be inside the ring, he might lose the 1st to 2nd round but he would do crazy stuff winning the 3rd round or put out his opponent by that time,  and for Rob Font, he surely has some decent standing but when it comes to the ground as he did to Cody Garbrandt, Garbrandt, just outwrestle him, and counter him whenever he goes on the ground, well I could be wrong but I like well-rounded guys, so my pick will be Marlon Vera.

Andrei Arlovski VS Jake Collier

Stake odds for this fight are 1.75 for Arlovski while 2.08 for Collier, Andrei Arlovski fight like a middleweight, in my opinion, there is no power in his strike, but there is a lot of movement, and pretty much he is quick to his feet, but with their age difference and Arlovski is fighting for almost way longer now I am seeing Jake Collier could have beaten his Zebra Pattern Curse of a record he had, instead of losing to Arlovski he can win it this time,

Yeah I don't see it as protecting him. If Ngannou loses that fight his stock doesn't go down. Just as Conor's didn't go down against Mayweather. Despite what fans might say about that fight sometimes, Mcgregor actually looked pretty decent early on. However, we knew he wasn't built for multiple rounds, he barely lasts in UFC let alone Boxing. Tyson Fury is similar in that he's undefeated, and again a incredible athlete given his size.

Yeah, it's easy to forget sometimes his age, since he hasn't been around the UFC or even MMA all that long, like I previously alluded too. The guy has grown up fighting, but didn't start learning MMA on a professional level until a couple of years ago. It's still five plus years, but at the end of the day compare that to who he's fighting against, who have practically been doing it since they were children.

I guess Dana should come to understand the side of Ngannou as he is not getting any younger, and before his days in boxing will be over, he should be given more favors to have his own fight if that will add more profits for him. As long as he can do it, i guess fighting with Fury, or Wilder seem very exciting to hear. Hopefully all this contract issues will end in positive vibes between Dana and Ngannou as its the best thing to happen.

I see it as Dana White protecting Francis Ngannou from facing Tyson Fury who is one of the best boxers of all time and Francis Ngannou does not have any boxing experience and he is a brawler and there is no way he is going to land a punch on Tyson Fury but a mixed rule fight is a good option like they announced and i hope Dana White will accept that.
 
Francis Ngannou is already 35 years old and he wants to make the maximum he can make during the short span and hence he is looking for big money fights and hopefully he gets what he is after.