Topic: The UFC Info and Prediction Thread - page 357. (Read 97129 times)

Too many risky matches this time. Too many names that aren't in my memory.
Johnny always makes a show that could win him knockout of the night even when he is matched to a vicious fighter. He does somehow lose in the process of making it impressive.  Johnny must be cautious in taking down Hill but if sucessful in takingdown, time will be in his side.

Johnny in his last fight just seemed very hesitant to do wild stuff like he used to. Think it might be one of those fights where he's effectively avoiding enough damage not to get hurt, but won't be scoring many points in terms of damage himself. I do agree though, if he does get clipped even a little bit, it's likely good night for him. I guess five rounds is a lot to have someone like Johnny, and Hill up against each other considering their strengths, and weaknesses.

Alhassan has been brilliant at times, and then other times you question whether he should even be in there. Anyhow, I think he'll get it done. The thing is there's so many fights this weekend that could go either way. The last two weekends have been fairly predictable, this weekend is going to be absolute carnage, and I might even consider staying away from betting on anything. Maybe, to give myself the best chance I'll leave out specific ways of winning, and just say a Alhassan, and Hill win along with an accumulator from other sources.

^  Blaydes is taking on Chris Daukas next so Tuivasa will prolly get the winner.  *Please let it be Daukas.  Lol.


I got Hill too but I think it’s going to be a KO/TKO.  Johnny Walker has got no chin no more.  Lol.  Just one touch from Hill and it’s nighty night sweet price.    I got Kyle Daukas too.  And I like your underdog pick in Alhassan, I’ll have him too.  But it’s a volatile match.  There are times he looks like a world beater then at other times he looks like total shit.


There was no news about it or at least I didn’t see one.  The UFC prolly thought Fiziev wasn’t ready for 5 rounds yet.  I don’t think he is too.  He slows down at R3.  But he’s in the main card of 272, so that’s good.

It's why I think Blaydes is the best test for him next. Blaydes can not only hit like a truck, but he also has decent wrestling skills. I think Tui could find himself in hot water, because it didn't seem like he had much takedown defense against Lewis, who isn't really known for that himself.

Yeah, well the main even despite being a chess match, and not a bad fight at all, there wasn't much to talk about. Whereas, the Lewis fight came to a shock for many people. I'll be honest, I was routing for Tui, but by no means did I actually think he would pull it off against Lewis the knock out artist. If anything, I thought Tui had a small chance of surviving long enough to get a decision, then he goes, and does that. It wasn't just the shock of the knockout, it was the fact that he knocked him out with a elbow, and Lewis just sort of landed on his face. That's even more shocking than the win, since it seemed to be quite a short elbow, and not something I'd expect Lewis to get knocked out by.

I am very excited to see Tuivasa against a top bjj or wrestler. I wonder what would be first, KO or he would be submitted. No matter how hard Tuivasa hits, you cant win all the time with one strategy. This is not Mortal Kombat, where you corner your opponent and win with sweep spamming. He should try different tactics next fight. Like unexpected takedowns by Ngannou instead of punches in the fight against Gane.

This is funny to observe that Tuivasa is more discussed than main event. A new star is born A star until he faces someone with iron head, someone that can survive his strikes.

For those who, like me, missed the fight, you can watch it here until it's taken down. The quality of the video is not of the best, but normally you can't watch the full fight so soon in any quality. Also, as a top commenter said, "seeing the fights from this angle makes it feel like you're there live".

As it's been expected, Adesanya was fighting like dancing, beautifully and easily, taking all the hits like they were nothing to him. A well deserved victory, imo.

To me Blaydes is the biggest challenge for Tuivasa. I thought when Lewis knocked out Blaydes we are somewhat lucky to do so, as I just saw Blaydes controlling the fight if he could get close with his wrestling, and it'll be interesting to see how Tui handles that. If he can handle that, and knock out Blaydes, then I'll be fully supporting him to take the title off of Ngannou despite that being a rather large mountain to conquer. I just love a underdog story, and considering Tui was cut from the UFC once upon a time, it's nice to see him not only winning again, but amounting a serious challenge to the bigger fighters. Also, he has the fans on his side which I believe is half the battle.

Something definitely happened in that fight, because he was definitely more stationary than he usually is. I think it might just be the threat of takedowns though, remember he just suffered his first lost because of being controlled on the ground, well really he lost pretty much every where that night, but understandable considering the weight difference. However, I don't think it can be underestimated how much that has effected him stylistically, especially when he knows his opponent is looking to take him down.

There is no denying that Tuivasa hits hard and can take a punch, and even tho that can be a big factor in the HW division, I can't help but wonder how it will play out when coupled with a grappler, I remember Hunto not doing so well when on his back. Maybe Tuivasa can be considered a new generation of those types of fighters, so he will have much more to offer in the grappling department.

Also, there is a dedicated thread for Bellator and all other promotions that are not UFC, so feel free to join us there

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5197906.new#new

Tai Tuivasa used to train with Mark Hunt with both being native australians. Mark Hunt said Tai Tuivasa hits the hardest out of everyone he fought or trained with.

Brunson might have squeezed with 100% effort to finish that choke in round 1 and gased his arms out.

Not certain what happened to Adesanya after a dominant round 1. It looked like a few of Izzy's kicks hit Robert Whittaker on the point of the elbow. That could have hurt Adesanya and discouraged him from throwing more leg kicks.

There is also bellator 274 this week.  

Welterweight   Neiman Gracie   vs.   Logan Storley            
Welterweight   Andrey Koreshkov   vs.   Chance Rencountre            
Lightweight   Georgi Karakhanyan   vs.   Adam Piccolotti            
Heavyweight   Davion Franklin   vs.   Said Sowma            
Preliminary card (Youtube/Pluto TV)
Lightweight   Mandel Nallo   vs.   Nick Browne            
Catchweight (175 lb)   Brennan Ward   vs.   Brandon Bell            
Bantamweight   Chris Disonell   vs.   Jaylon Bates            
Lightweight   Aviv Gozali   vs.   Bobby King            
Women's Flyweight   DeAnna Bennett   vs.   Justine Kish            
Middleweight   Jordan Newman   vs.   Cody Herbert            
Lightweight   Corey Samuels   vs.   Justin Montalvo            
Featherweight   Isaiah Hokit   vs.   Theodore Macuka            
Welterweight   Orlando Mendoza   vs.   Jonathan DiLorenzo   

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bellator_274

Tai Tuivasa really outdid what he can really do in the fight, but I really think he needs another fight just to see his technicality in things, and yes a Curtis Blaydes or Stipe Miocic could be a better one just if he has a technical way for things and not just bombarding his opponent with a barrage of punches and hope for the best, because I think he surely has a durable chin, Derrick Lewis has the punching power to make sure he drops Tuivasa but Tai Tuivasa withstand it like bulldozer going into Derrick for the kill, because if he ain't winning to a Blaydes or Miocic fight then I think he's not qualified for a Ciryl Gane or Francis Ngannou level.


I am curious why a sudden reschedule I will look on it to see why, but still, a Johnny Walker fight was really OK I guess, I think that this is one great match to watch disregarding the Rafael Dos Anjos VS Rafael Fiziev fight that I was anticipated to watch, and regarding that the list of Cancelled matches on this event was staggering,




In Actuality, I am for Israel Adesanya on that fight but Robert Whittaker has shown great strategy and that he can surely up his game against Adesanya and again that was pretty much an intense fight and a close match both fighters did their best and I think it was hard for the judges to score this fight since it was a tight close fight even me I was sure that Whittaker won the 4th round, but some judges gave it to Adesanya,

I'm going to get my predictions in early so I don't forget this time. Since I've had some moderately good success as of recent. Although, I often combine my UFC accumulators with football ones for maximum accumulator profit. Anyway:

Jamahal Hill (decision)       
Kyle Daukaus (decision)       
Parker Porter       
Nikolas Motta           
Abdul Razak Alhassan     
Khalid Taha           
Gabriel Benítez           
Stephanie Egger           
Mark Striegl           
Gloria de Paula           
Chad Anheliger

Although, that's my full card prediction I'll hopefully remember to do another one that are only ones I'm somewhat confident in, since this weekend's fight night is absolutely insane in terms of competitiveness. There's a lot of value in a lot of the underdogs, but it'll likely be close. I'm feeling especially confident in Jamahal Hill via decision, Kyle Daukaus to win, and Parker Porter to win. Other than that there's a lot up in the air for me in all those fights.

While it might not be the best idea to put an accumulator on this weekend, in terms of entertainment it should be a really good night of fighting, especially at the Apex.

^  It sucks that they rescheduled RDA vs Rafael Fiziev.  It was supposed the headliner for that weekend event instead of Walker vs Hill.  Curious how Fiziev would be in a 5 rounder.  But yeah..  Let’s how Hill does vs Walker I guess.  Hill looked really good vs Crute.  A lot of people thought Crute would win that match, including me.  Lol.  Buckley vs Alhassan could be a banger too.


I’m happy taking Whitaker for the line value and a little degen action in an underdog.  I just can’t not bet Whitaker at 3.40 when I know the fight would be closer than the odds.  Which it was.

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill



Date: February 19 , 2021
Main Card: SUN, FEB 20 / 2:00 AM EET
Prelims: SAT, FEB 19 / 11:00 PM EET

Venue: UFC Apex

Main card (ESPN+)
Light Heavyweight: Johnny Walker vs. Jamahal Hill            
Catchweight: Kyle Daukaus   vs. Jamie Pickett            
Heavyweight: Parker Porter vs. Alan Baudot            
Lightweight: Jim Miller vs. Nikolas Motta            
Middleweight: Joaquin Buckley vs. Abdul Razak Alhassan      

Preliminary card (ESPN+)
Bantamweight: Mario Bautista vs. Khalid Taha            
Featherweight: Gabriel Benítez vs. David Onama            
Women's Bantamweight: Jessica-Rose Clark vs. Stephanie Egger            
Featherweight: Chas Skelly vs. Mark Striegl            
Women's Strawweight: Diana Belbiţă vs. Gloria de Paula            
Bantamweight: Chad Anheliger vs. Jesse Strader

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_Fight_Night:_Walker_vs._Hill

The guy knows how to market himself well, introducing the shoey which has definitely made him popular among fans, and the guy has started to consistency deliver. I was hoping for a Tuivasa win, however it's not like I was actually expecting it. I know how dangerous Derrick Lewis is, and he's probably the scariest in terms of knock out power, and I'm including Ngannou in that. Ngannou can be avoided quite easily if you look at some of his fights, the recent fight with Gane demonstrated he can be out maneuvered in terms of his punching ability. Though, Derrick knows how to invite pressure, and can counter punch. He's much more technical.

Curtis Blaydes or Stipe would be a nice one for Tuivasa next, I think they also make the most sense. I like Ngannou, and if he stays in the UFC I think that's better for the division, but if Tui comes up against him you can bet your money, I'll be putting a lump sum on Tui, and hoping for the best.

Yep! he sure fought brilliantly and surely uses his advantage over Whittaker and that is his reach although Robert Whittaker got some upgrades on his own kudos to his counter shots and takedowns, not all the time it seems very effective against Adesanya even though there is some takedown that has connected not all the time because of Adesanya's takedown defense, I could really say it was a close round, Robert Whittaker could also win this at some point but that is just my opinion because it was really a close match, but the result goes to the judges and they have seen Israel Adesanya as the winner, but I could have added Robert Whittaker's submission and got Adesanya from behind getting ready for a choke but it was not recorded with the judge's criteria but I should say I am for Israel Adesanya here but I don't really want to get bias and one-sided with the way Robert Whittaker performs, because he had done a great job as well, and hopefully we could see another rematch for this fight.


Tuivasa become my favorite aswell after this fight, I have bet for Derrick Lewis but we can not ignore the durability and strength of Tai Tuivasa from getting a win over Lewis, that was 1 awesome fight, and that exchange of blows really have gotten the black beast stun, and I think he has respected this young fighter's power I think Tai Tuivasa could surely go beyond a long way longer than Derrick Lewis, I don't want to say Lewis to just retire after this fight but I would like to see a rematch or Another fight from Tai Tuivasa to solidifies this win maybe against Jairzinho Rozenstruik, or Curtis Blaydes or Stipe Miocic because that is one shocking win from Tai Tuivasa, you can see speed, power and durability on this fighter to really get into the top.

However, we should also learn to recognize real talent and accept the reality that sportsbooks trick everyone by offering high odds in fighters they are certain to be a loser for us hehehehe. Izzy was also given a new contract and he will become uncle Dana’s new pet and it also appears that Francis Ngannou might also be given a new contract. We cannot bet against the pets hehehe.

It was a hard night for me because I'm a fan of both of them. The only fighter I really didn't want to lose on the night was bam bam, who obviously pulled out that insane elbow knockout against one of the most deadly knockout artists in the game. I had a bet relying on Adesanya which netted me a nice profit. Like I said the previous week it was a x52 accumulator which came in, though I wouldn't have minded Bobby taking it honestly. He worked hard, looked ten times better than he did in the previous fight, and honestly I thought he did enough on the night.

I imagine we see these two fight again, there's not a awful amount of other fighters that can challenge the two. I quite liked Bobby's quote at the end of the fight, where he basically said him, and Adesanya are the best, and we all know it. He put it in a much more elegant way than that though, which is quite impressive considering he did take some heavy knocks in that fight. Especially the earlier rounds.

Tai Tuivasa surprised everyone because it is a huge leap in competition of him and he just showed his drastic improvement in his game plan and when things are going rough he was biting down and swinging probably against one of the heaviest punchers and Lewis landed some heavy solid shots and he was able to absorb that.


Even i thought the fight was 2-2 going into the last round because Whittaker was able to land take downs multiple times even though he was able to stand up. His legs were chopped up and Whittaker was one dimensional as i never saw him throw a right hand in this fight.

Yup sad.  But the line def had value at 3.50 at the day of the event.  The match was close with Adesanya winning it 3 - 2.  Whitaker should’ve shown a bit more aggression at R1.  He gave that round away...

And I think too soon for Whitaker vs Cannonier although that would make the most sense.  But nobody wants to watch that so the UFC would prolly feed either Whitaker or Cannonier somebody like Sean Strickland imho...  Andre Muniz should also be given a top 10 guy this year with the hope he wins.  That would put a fresh face in there.

Tuivasa has quickly become one of my favourite fighters in the UFC. The thing I love about him is, even when he's getting absolutely battered, as he was by Lewis multiple times in that first round, he basically just bites down on his mouth guard, and swings for the heavens. I love that about him, and very rarely do you see that nitty, and gritty response. Usually, fighters try to duck their way out of it, get away, and then reset. Tui just goes for it, and while it definitely isn't always going to work in his benefit, it is entertaining to watch.

Seems a good guy outside of the UFC too, and isn't afraid to have a bit of a laugh. Adesanya did what he needed too, but to be honest I wasn't convinced he won that by the margin that some people think he did. I thought going in the final round there was an argument for it to be 2-2. Whittaker definitely could have taken that if he just took a few more risks every so often.