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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 32569. (Read 26471069 times)

legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1003
WePower.red
Looks like this 1k was a sign to move out + hourly ema crossing. Watch for sunday deep...
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1801
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
There's been allot going on, and I've been feeling fairly confident about long-term bullishness, but after a recent conversation with a sceptic, I realised that I haven't got much more than dangerous inductive reasoning to convince anyone that bitcoin will continue to rise another order of magnitude from here. The straight line on that log graph of BTC value since its inception doesn't mean it will carry on growing like that for ever, especially as many factors change as it grows. I've heard talk about VCs getting involved, but haven't really seen much evidence for that other than the Winkie-twins featurette.

Long term bull as well (short to mid term bear) and questions are welcome and needed for the community imo. We are a part of a very complex system, that apparently is breaking down. At the center of this system, I see 2 main things: The control of information and the control of money. Basically, we can say "The control of people via many ways." But, those 2 ways are key. The internet has been easing the first and BTC or something like it, is the 2nd. There is something quite big going on, but,... we are in the eye of the hurricane so to speak, and don't notice it. Though I would not put too much weight on what another says in any one conversation. Look to the larger data set and not that of one person...  The VC's are a great point, do they want the price to go up, or perhaps are they ready to double down or ... ;-)


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- The principles that 'ensure' its significant value increase seem to depend principally on mass adoption. A start for that is serious big businesses, but they won't adopt something so volatile, and without their adopting it, it will not stabilise other than by transient unconvincing manipulation.

11.5 million BTC's, rising up to 21 million in roughly 120 years. That is sort of a small amount of "shares". Considering BTC is a multifaceted "thing" (e.g. - currency, commodity, store of worth, protocol, etc.) I would think there aren't enough... But luckily, we have those 8 decimal places. ;-)   And the open source to make it 20 when need be. If enough people around the world just used it as a store of wealth the price would be huge (lots of money out there and it is continually being devalued).

We need about 1% of the global money supply to be hugely successful. But, I don't think there is a little bit with BTC. It is either going to be worth 0 or a whole lot. It is hard to envision that as the even horizon is blocking (most of) us out.

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- If you want to buy BTC in say, Argentina, I can't imagine anyone wanting to sell BTC for Argentine currency, so I can't see how it could be adopted there by any more than a small privileged group. And I don't really buy into the trickle down effect.

Why is the price of BTC 30%-40% higher (or something like that) in Argentina? Probably partly for the reason you "stated". You are seeing a free market go for what it knows. Also, there are plenty of freedom fighters our there (not to mention some of whom are governments) that can get on a plane with an address full of BTC and go there and either  sell them, give them away or some combination of the two...
BTC is revolutionary, we shouldn't lose sight of it. We are not so much talking about a currency competitor. We are talking about a currency that is stateless at a time when corrupt states (most all) are collapsing around the world. Chew on that.

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- Post-bubble realisations are certainly quenching allot of the investment hype and get rich quick input, and will do so increasingly in the next few months as people realise that mining is only worth it if you can afford development contracts with a chip manufacturer or the like. And I don't see enough confidence in the market to start a truly sustainable up-trend.

Enjoy the experiment but I have a feeling it will work itself out. Humanity, in part, is depending on it.

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I see BTC getting bigger, but I'm beginning to fear that this may be the beginning of its asymptote, as a niche that will always be awesome, but won't get mass adoption leading to $1000+ per BTC without some sort of extreme revolutionary event of the kind our governments are adequately well equipped to prevent.

I guess it depends on how bad the shit gets, how many more wars are started with tax payer dollars that we want nothing to do with, how many more oppressed people just say they have had enough, etc. I get the feeling more and more by reading your questions that you are seeing BTC as JUST an investment. That is sort of like saying an awakened person is spiritual... Well yeah, but...


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I'm fairly ignorant on this subject, but so are the 99.9% who haven't gotten on board. So the question is, how can we be certain this will really go allot higher. 200-300, maybe for a while, but 1000?...

Good to see you thinking, it helps all of us. Ignorance that is recognized is not exactly ignorance though, is it?
It is not about higher, it is about adoption. It is about the principal of what it represents and why it is attracting people to it (Don't forget those people who's currency is inflating at 30% a year and who's government does a reboot every 8 years with their currency). Yes, price will be a measure of BTC and even though we are on the "speculation" forum, BTC is sooooo much more than an investment and to talk about it just like that trivializes it, much like porn trivializes sex. The investment part will "reveal" itself, but we are changing history. Perhaps not just with BTC, but with what it is, what is developing from it, and what it becomes.

There are many facets to this diamond and if we only look at a part of it, we are sort of missing the picture.
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
huhwhuut? lmao. preorders for what?

It's a badass miner! Cheesy

the 51-percenter calibre? better get your supernode-budget adjusted to accomodate the expense.

full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
huhwhuut? lmao. preorders for what?

It's a badass miner! Cheesy
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
Sorry for OT, but since not much is going on:
These folks (Virtual Mining, running a banner ad on this forum) are selling preorders for...

Numbers like that make me feel so mature Smiley

huhwhuut? lmao. preorders for what?
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
as soon as bitcoin solves its chicken and egg problem, $1000/coin is entirely possible.

quite frankly I think at the point in time the "chicken and egg" is solved, there will be no dollar worth mentioning any more.

Deducting from that (and one other) assumption I can easily affirm $1000/coin will happen before "chicken and egg" solution.
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
Sorry for OT, but since not much is going on:
These folks (Virtual Mining, running a banner ad on this forum) are selling preorders for...

Numbers like that make me feel so mature Smiley
member
Activity: 93
Merit: 10
I'm fairly ignorant on this subject, but so are the 99.9% who haven't gotten on board. So the question is, how can we be certain this will really go allot higher. 200-300, maybe for a while, but 1000?...

Just wait when few games pop up  (not gambling) who will allow players to earn bitcoins by playing them. And it's only one of many possibilities. Market size is catching up bitcoin price. Until next bubble that is.
Just imagine. One game with 1 million players and an average of 1 btc per player. And its only one game...
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1801
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019
as soon as bitcoin solves its chicken and egg problem, $1000/coin is entirely possible.

ie, when people realize fiat shouldn't be and isn't worth what they think it was
hero member
Activity: 894
Merit: 501
There's been allot going on, and I've been feeling fairly confident about long-term bullishness, but after a recent conversation with a sceptic, I realised that I haven't got much more than dangerous inductive reasoning to convince anyone that bitcoin will continue to rise another order of magnitude from here. The straight line on that log graph of BTC value since its inception doesn't mean it will carry on growing like that for ever, especially as many factors change as it grows. I've heard talk about VCs getting involved, but haven't really seen much evidence for that other than the Winkie-twins featurette.

- The principles that 'ensure' its significant value increase seem to depend principally on mass adoption. A start for that is serious big businesses, but they won't adopt something so volatile, and without their adopting it, it will not stabilise other than by transient unconvincing manipulation.

- If you want to buy BTC in say, Argentina, I can't imagine anyone wanting to sell BTC for Argentine currency, so I can't see how it could be adopted there by any more than a small privileged group. And I don't really buy into the trickle down effect.

- Post-bubble realisations are certainly quenching allot of the investment hype and get rich quick input, and will do so increasingly in the next few months as people realise that mining is only worth it if you can afford development contracts with a chip manufacturer or the like. And I don't see enough confidence in the market to start a truly sustainable up-trend.

I see BTC getting bigger, but I'm beginning to fear that this may be the beginning of its asymptote, as a niche that will always be awesome, but won't get mass adoption leading to $1000+ per BTC without some sort of extreme revolutionary event of the kind our governments are adequately well equipped to prevent.

I'm fairly ignorant on this subject, but so are the 99.9% who haven't gotten on board. So the question is, how can we be certain this will really go allot higher. 200-300, maybe for a while, but 1000?...
KS
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
Considering I just bought a few BTC, the price is bound to go down Grin

Say what, 40 in the first week or 2 of August? Sad

(where are the TA ppl when you need them! Grin)

I'm almost certain it is related to solipsism. I can call it great, check my posts, but when I actually buy lately, I don't (check my posts).  Grin

Seriously, as important as emotions are, they seem to get in the way with trading. Intuition, yes. Logic, yes. Emotions, no.
To me, it looks like we're close to the middle of the last rebound, and the timeframe should be a bit shorter than the previous one. We went down to 65ish (didn't check the exact figure) but it looks like we're headed to 40-50 (fingers on screen TA!).

Wondering where all the VC capital went... I sure wouldn't mind a180$ BTC.
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
Considering I just bought a few BTC, the price is bound to go down Grin

Say what, 40 in the first week or 2 of August? Sad

(where are the TA ppl when you need them! Grin)

I'm almost certain it is related to solipsism. I can call it great, check my posts, but when I actually buy lately, I don't (check my posts).  Grin

Seriously, as important as emotions are, they seem to get in the way with trading. Intuition, yes. Logic, yes. Emotions, no.
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1801
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
KS
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
Considering I just bought a few BTC, the price is bound to go down Grin

Say what, 40 in the first week or 2 of August? Sad

(where are the TA ppl when you need them! Grin)
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
Well, maybe our Sunday seller will make a return and get things moving around here.  Grin

Yea, we miss him, 24h gox volume will be 6k in one hour...  Shocked

Then it's setting up a nice price volume negative divergence. That is a reliable indicator DURING down movements, but not so much during sideways movements, as of late. We'll see...
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1003
WePower.red
Well, maybe our Sunday seller will make a return and get things moving around here.  Grin

Yea, we miss him, 24h gox volume will be 6k in one hour...  Shocked
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
Well, maybe our Sunday seller will make a return and get things moving around here.  Grin
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1801
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
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