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Topic: Well the 2018 btc diff jumps are over so what will 2019 bring us? - page 27. (Read 9456 times)

legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 1859
Curmudgeonly hardware guy
Yep, and there went the exchange rate. I had some bills to pay this afternoon and was really looking forward to using that $4100 point. Or even the $3900 would have been nice.

Good the diff's flat anyways. That helps everyone.
legendary
Activity: 1554
Merit: 2037
Nice I was watching the last day or so. I'm interested to see how the hashrate climbs in a month or so. It depends on how many batches of say S15's pump out, and the T3(If it ships). Those could account for a large jump just by people making the operations more efficient. Until then I'd gladly take a few more .17% jumps - I use the term loosely.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
So super flat jump

Date   Difficulty   Change   Hash Rate
Feb 24 2019   6,071,846,049,920   0.17%   43,463,967,018 GH/s
Feb 10 2019   6,061,518,831,027   4.25%   43,390,041,906 GH/s

chart is interesting

legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Bitcoin Difficulty:   6,061,518,831,027
Estimated Next Difficulty:   6,056,159,831,433 (-0.09%)
Adjust time:   After 136 Blocks, About 22.0 hours
Hashrate(?):   43,276,127,232 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 29.1 minutes
6 blocks: 58.2 minutes

Jump is a day away looks flat again.

We are also close to 4000 usd a coin.

With  lots of potential hash downclock or offline.

I would think  if price moves to 5000usd diff will rise to meet that quite easily

the s9,s9i,s9j    can do 9th to 15th  with newer firmware  and fast sofware reset options.
the m10           can do  20th to 32th  
the s15
the t15
the s11
the s17
the t17
the inno t2turbo 26

all of the above can move to higher hash numbers fast.

Since way back last year  we did see 55,000,000,000 gh  
I think we could go to  60,000,000,000 overnight if btc price jumps hard.

the real question is can power be supplied for that jump?

since the network did have days in the fall as high as 55,000,000,000 I would think it may be possible unless a few farms have vanished and don't mine at all. There have been reports of this. We need to watch for what we do here.

But I look to expand and swap out gear.

T15's S15's for my s9's.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
 Looking like we are going to give back 2% of the last jump.

So far so good. For this year.

Pretty nice movement since oct 4 2018.

We are still down a lot.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Yeah hey, I actually was able to profit slightly from that $200 bump. About effin' time.

yeah we had good upward movement today.
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 1859
Curmudgeonly hardware guy
Yeah hey, I actually was able to profit slightly from that $200 bump. About effin' time.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Although funny it happened just before a $200 jump in value  Cool

hmm  

200 dollar price jump is about 5-6%

42 to 48 hash jump is 14-15%
legendary
Activity: 3234
Merit: 1220
I think you're on the right track about it being a couple of large players, whose unique situation improved.

That or they took the opportunity to perform a facility shutdown and maintenance. While profits are low its a good time to squeeze these events in.

That S9 firmware was released a while ago, i would hope any business would have upgraded after a week or so once it was verified to perform.

Although funny it happened just before a $200 jump in value  Cool
legendary
Activity: 1554
Merit: 2037
I think you're on the right track about it being a couple of large players, whose unique situation improved.

That or they took the opportunity to perform a facility shutdown and maintenance. While profits are low its a good time to squeeze these events in.

That S9 firmware was released a while ago, i would hope any business would have upgraded after a week or so once it was verified to perform.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Has there been some good news that I've missed, which is encouraging people to turn their machines back on?

Huge up swing

42 to 48

but I simply think   a big player or 2  had a set of  contracts for cheaper power kick in.

the s9  at low speed  is about 80 watts a th and hashes at 9th
the s9 at mid speed is about 90 watts a th and hashes at 13th

by a few software clicks a major player can boost every s9 by 4th  so

1,500 s9's  is 6ph

15,000 s9's is 60ph

150,000 s9's is 600ph

1,500,000 s9's is 6000ph  which is our jump

if you had a 4 cent contract  and now have a 2cent contract  you would crank up the s9's
legendary
Activity: 2464
Merit: 1710
Electrical engineer. Mining since 2014.
Has there been some good news that I've missed, which is encouraging people to turn their machines back on?
legendary
Activity: 3234
Merit: 1220
Fairly large chunk of hash just came online in the last day or so.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
small drop this morning

from bitcoinwisdom:

Difficulty History

Date--------------Difficulty---------------Change-----Hash Rate

Jan 28 2019   5,814,661,935,891   -1.18%   41,622,971,420 GH/s
Jan 14 2019   5,883,988,430,955   4.72%   42,119,229,802 GH/s
Dec 31 2018   5,618,595,848,853   10.03%   40,219,475,700 GH/s
Dec 18 2018   5,106,422,924,659   -9.56%   36,553,199,102 GH/s
Dec 03 2018   5,646,403,851,534   -15.13%   40,418,533,137 GH/s
Nov 16 2018   6,653,303,141,405   -7.39%   47,626,199,005 GH/s
Nov 01 2018   7,184,404,942,701   0.02%   51,427,973,784 GH/s
Oct 18 2018   7,182,852,313,938   -3.65%   51,416,859,634 GH/s
Oct 04 2018   7,454,968,648,263   4.23%   53,364,744,228 GH/s
Sep 20 2018   7,152,633,351,906   1.90%   51,200,543,878 GH/s
Sep 07 2018   7,019,199,231,177   4.34%   50,245,385,237 GH/s
Aug 24 2018   6,727,225,469,722   5.29%   48,155,355,642 GH/s
Aug 11 2018   6,389,316,883,511   7.39%   45,736,511,764 GH/s
Jul 29 2018   5,949,437,371,609   14.88%   42,587,731,568 GH/s
Jul 17 2018   5,178,671,069,072   -3.45%   37,070,371,464 GH/s
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
We are down around 4-5%

The gray current hash line has never been plus this jump



edit gray line shot up and then dropped.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
The last drop in price was right on time, i think a day before the diff adjustment, hashrate dropped, block time increased so it did somehow decrease the +% for the last difficulty increase.

A solid price drop to 2450  would push out multiple large players they would dump the gear.

We could then reconsolidate and build up again.

Latest Block:   558563  (12 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   105.8379%  (132 / 124.72 expected, 7.28 ahead)
Current Difficulty:   5883988430955.408XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Next Difficulty:   between 5930574152669 and 6273010862917
Next Difficulty Change:   between +0.7917% and +6.6115%
Previous Retarget:   Yesterday at 9:10 PM
Next Retarget (earliest):   January 27, 2019 at 2:38 AM  (in 12d 8h 40m 48s)
Next Retarget (latest):   January 27, 2019 at 6:49 PM  (in 13d 0h 51m 57s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 13d 5h 27m 59s and 13d 21h 39m 8s

pretty flat number above

nice chart on this site

https://data.bitcoinity.org/bitcoin/difficulty/6m?r=day&t=l
legendary
Activity: 2394
Merit: 6581
be constructive or S.T.F.U
The last drop in price was right on time, i think a day before the diff adjustment, hashrate dropped, block time increased so it did somehow decrease the +% for the last difficulty increase.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Another mining plant closed, this time Bitmain scaled back Texas project. It supposed to be the biggest mining facility in the United States. https://www.cryptimi.com/news/bitmain-suspends-mining-operations-in-texas/.

Well I guess that is a good thing.


https://www.blockchain.com/btc/address/3QSCJx3Gk1qMMWifVpQuyEDLrSVwZCW3ZP
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
well sometime tomorrow we will jump 5-7%

to a diff of 5.94 and 42.6 eh hash rate

this puts us well below  Oct 4 numbers

diff of 7.45  and hash of 53.3 eh

and we did have a 1 day hash peak of 57.2

So more then 15 eh of hash is off line

And we know cheap power guys are buy m10's or s15's or t15's  we also know bitdeer is still selling contracts.

Lets look at what else could be happening.  a s9 whaling away can do 1400 watts and 14th on a standard firmware.

that is 100 watts a th

and an s9i on braiins os   can do 815 watts and  10040  that is 81 watts a th.

I think a lot of s9s are online at low settings.

An s9 set to braiins doing 815 watts and 10040 gh loses    30 cents a day at 10 cent power
an s9 set to braiins  "        "     "        "       "      "    "        10 cents a day at   9 cent power


an s9 set to braiins  "        "     "        "       "      "  makes    9 cents a day at   8 cent power
an s9  "    "    ............................................... "  makes  28 cents a day at   7  "       "
an s9  " -------------------------------------------- "  makes  48 cents a day at   6  "       "
an s9  " __---------------------------------------__"  makes  68 cents a day at   5 cent power

and

an s9 can be set to medium power once you get to 4 cents  and earn about  1.08 a day at 4 cent power

so a lot of s9's are running on downclock.
m10's are being added
s15's are being added
t15's get added
t3turbos also get added

So far avalon has failed to make anything worthwhile since the a841  if they make a good a941 it may add to the hash rate.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
So whose freakin' bright idea was today's 10% dump?

$7-8k jump, heck I'd settle for $4k stable right now.

I purchased 200 usd worth a minute ago.

I am glad I ordered the m10 when coins were 3980
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