Topic: who Want To Bet On 2024 USA elections? - page 29. (Read 6913 times)

No it'll never be even over 50.   People have fanatical desire to vote and to bet for this candidate and he has been president so I dont think of 500 to one now is likely or correct.   However back in 2015 or prior he was seen openly as a joke, I can literally pull out a video clip of on stage comedian joking about a reality tv star as he was then running for the most powerful job in the country.  Yet it happened so back then the improbable was more then possible despite the majority of estimates.   I do see that kind of volatility, broken precedents (for the presidents ) as not over just yet.  
   I cant think of any president who lost a run at reelection and then did come back later for a term.  I know Theodore Roosevelt tried perhaps, he retired but his successor became his opponent.  He got shot in the drama and it was never going to happen as he was the 3rd party candidate but attempts were made where as present day it just doesnt happen like that.   Trump of course wants to try, I dont believe it for the main job but the odds for getting the nomination or not might be more of a sidebet that is the main bet really.
    I dont believe we see Hilary run again though people do make multiple attempts, I'm just saying a president doesn't come back like this for fairly good reasons.  Its not usually considered feasible.

The whole UFO thing is a bit strange. I mean, there's no way there are literally aliens visiting us over the years and they managed to get it all secret, etc. And only localized in the US?, come on, like the aliens would only pick the US as the place to be seen. Makes no sense.

Might as well bring big foot back into the news.

According to the news I read in the press, Trump was ahead in the polls, but I did not see a serious mistake of the Democrats that shook the US and world agenda. Therefore, I think that people will not have a significant reason to demand change. On the other hand, I think Trump lost the second election because he was president during the corona virus era. At that time, the public reacted in the elections and Biden won. I think there is no significant reason for change in this election, so Biden will win again, but I'm sure US citizens will answer this question better. I just wanted to include my personal observations on the subject. Also, I would like to say that I will not make any bets on these elections because I do not have enough information.

They can really say many things, but personally it seems to me that if Trump becomes a presidential candidate he will win without a doubt , some think that Biden will be able to Beat him, I really doubt it, he is a great President, because he has done very good things, but I don't know, I think it lacks a lot , some things have been claimed from your government, and I insist, the Immigration policy they have and the number of people who enter the USA is Impressive , and these things annoy the Common American State, since which is a Country that is not Receiving much migration from third world countries.

Well, things are currently Getting tough for Trump because the Classified and Nuclear files have put him in a very bad position, and this has made him Waste time dating and Different social media outlets are not Making him look very Well, I don't really know how biased the USA is towards those who have always Supported Trump, I don't know if his same political enemies are doing him harm or a favor on a political level, I don't know if this is so, in South America politics tends to be a bit more frontier and things are said at once, they are not so rollicking, but I see that politics in the USA is managed through a lot of power, accusation systems in court, demands that act at once to prosecute, of many things that can put anyone in trouble.

Personally , I think that politics is changing a lot , the Candidates know who is stronger and who is not, I don't Know in which system they can do things like being able to settle with a large number of votes and with the schools , partly the voting system of the USA Seems Safer to me than the one that is applied in the other Countries , the fact of being able to vote via mail or something like that Seems excellent to me, the level of each candidate is different , Popularity in the USA is Measured in different ways, in the USA there is already polarization, there is a lot of division of power, what I liked About Trump one Day is that he said he Wanted to Declassify the UFO files , which is now beginning to be Uncovered, it is something that seems Great, it will be that all the truths will be Required of the New president? People will want the Whole Truth.

I don't think it will ever get to 500 to 1, I reckon about half of the voting people in the US are going to go for Trump. It seems like he has a massive following, at least similar to when he won.

In a way the whole prosecution against him kinda makes it more interesting for people, it's like a nice story that people want to be a part of.

It's a very good observation. Whether the presidential election system in the United States "fair" or not, it's not up to us to decide and we are not going to discuss it in this thread belonging to the Gambling discussion section. What's important for us gamblers is what's going to happen most likely, who will be elected, rather than who should be elected in our opinion. That's why I'm saying, don't bet on Trump, you'll lose your money.

Biden may still win the elections, despite being unpopular. When we say that Biden is getting unpopular, we refer to the numbers from all the 50 states. But then, the POTUS election is not decided by 50 states. It is decided by 7-8 states such as Georgia, Arizona and Pennsylvania. And from what I have seen, Democrats are quite strong in these states now (compared to what they were in 2020) as a result of changing demographics and a shift from white women towards Dems. At this point, I am refraining from making any bets. Picture is not clear yet.

Yes, with 500 to 1 I would place a $1 bet on Trump, for sure. Other than that, like 3.05 as it is now on most sites, no way. I think that the reason for so many people betting on Trump around the world is their local propaganda saying to them that "Biden is very unpopular" and stuff like that. They will lose their bets and they can thank their telly for that.

GOP is definitely not in favor of spending hundreds of billions on Ukraine without getting anything in return. And Trump is more adamant on this topic, compared to some of the other GOP politicians such as Lindsey Graham. Democrats don't have an issue in spending such huge amounts, because they always believe in printing unlimited amounts of money. For them, there is no limit in spending any amount on any purpose. Anyway, the next elections are 18 months away. By then, in all probability the war will end (someone will broker a deal, and most likely it is going to be Recep Tayyip Erdoğan.

At this stage you can bet on anyone but actually Kayne was a ballot candidate I think so he didnt get many votes but to turn down the ability to bet on him would be technically incorrect as he has form.   Trump was never thought to be valid at the early stages so in that respect they should not be blocking anyone and I would agree its kinda silly guessing game but when we have this recent history they'll take any bet I think.  Most of the time people are just donating money for their bets, I would want 500 to 1 for my bet or guess even if I believed in it I know they dont so why arent I getting some nice long odds for my risk placed.

If we talk about Ukraine and Donald Trump, we must mention the fact Trump seems to be quite friendly towards the Russian government and also he has said that if is elected to be president of USA he would end the war very quicky. I think he mentioned 24 hours or some during one of his surreal interviews.

Assuming he is serious about it, ending the invasion on Ukraine would imply to grand Ukraine terrory to Russia in exchange for peace. It is something I would totally see Trump being capable of. 

Trump's inclination for Russia is certainly one of the reasons he does not appeal to moderates.

I have said it other times but in the US it looks like the race for president is the race of who is older than the other as only old men have been there since 2016 up until now.I think US won't go far with these type of presidents,if you see Biden barely walks and Trump is not that far from this age.Betting on such event becomes as funny as ever with these type of guys as the protagonists,the odds should be very balanced between these guys.I only hope that we don't go in a world war III if we have a change in US presidency so if I were to bet I would bet again for Biden and Harris.

The United States of America is a world power, yet it appears that they are not handling events as they should be, with Russia raiding Ukraine and other crises. I believe Joe Biden's administration is simply being cautious not to release troops that could lead to World War IV. Donald Trump, the previous president and the 45th president of the United States, plans to run for president a second time, and the famous business tycoon is likely to garner strong support from American states. As far as I'm concerned, he's a powerful cruel leader; he's determined to reclaim power; but, he has flaws, as all leaders have. Joe Biden appears weak and incompetent for the president; he does not enforce laws into actions.

As far as I know, bets on Ivanka Trump are not accepted anywhere, apart from sites that accept bets on George Clooney, Mark Zuckerberg, Kanye West ... I mean, it's totally totally for a laugh, right? But if you want to bet on them - Yes You Can! Right?

Fot example, some sites where you can bet on Bitcoin price accept bets on the range "More than $1,000,000". And I make such bets myself sometimes. It costs me only 10 sats



and I think the fun is worth it.

It is the changing demography in a few states that gave Biden the upper hand in the end. Unlike what most of us believe, the POTUS elections are not decided by all the 50 states. Rather, the outcome is solely dependent on a few swing states. These states are - Florida, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan, Minnesota and Maine. These 10 states decide the outcome of the elections. It is almost like the other 40 states are not participating in the elections. And Biden has an advantage in many of these states due to changing demographics.

Chris Christie, Nikki Hailey, Vivek Ramaswamy are all playing the game that Joe Biden himself has played in the past.

Run a campaign, never break out of 1-2% in the polls, and then endorse the "winning" candidate and in exchange for a cabinet position. This is how Joe Biden was able to get his Vice President spot in the 2008 election with Obama. So none of these people are serious.

The democratic party, with Trump as their opponent, will not need to nominate someone else. That time has past. If the DNC was adamant about someone else, they would have made that clear earlier. I saw some platforms float around Gavin Newsom or Michelle Obama in the betting markets with astronomically slim odds. If the DNC wanted someone else, Newsom would've been their pick IMO.

I have also been following the Republican primaries and I must say it is very likely we will see a rematch between those two. Still, I am holding onto the hope of some unexpected person to walk in and steal the attention out of Trump or Joe Biden. It is more possible stealing the Democrat nomination from Biden than stealing the Republican one from Trump.

Not even a person like Chris Christie who frontally attacks Trump do not stand yet a chance, only having small percentages in the polls, last time I saw was almost 2%. I expected more. It is like Republican base do not care anymore about anything but theories.

I was looking at the 2020 aggregate betting odds and Biden had rather significant shot at winning: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/writeup/us_presidential_election_live_betting_odds.html

Keep in mind, that election came down to something like 50k votes spread across a few swing states.

Similarly, the 2016 election had Clinton up even greater: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2016_president/

That election played the same scenario. IMO the final odds for the 2020 election were giving Biden too much credit.

I've been following the Republican primarily day by day closely, and it's my opinion that DeSantis does not have enough to win the primary. Given Trump wins, I'm expecting the electoral map will look the same in '24 as it did in '20, with Biden winning by a small margin across a few swing states.

That is true for Hillary Clinton as well, she wasn't really anyone before her husband and her husband was the president in the 90's, think about how long ago that was, and she became a career politician using her husbands presidential name and she got some positions here and there, but for over 15 years she has been trying to become the president, we have seen her go up against Obama, we have seen her go up against Trump as well, this time around she didn't tried it again but I am sure that if we keep this up, she will try to do it again later on.

Just stop with it, people do not want you, isn't that clear? The fact that presidents wife's try to be president as well makes me sick, just because your husband was elected, doesn't mean we want to elect you either.

From what I have seen on social media and on channels which are mostly leaning to the political left, I have got the impression that people (within the political left in USA) is aware that formally indicting a former president and current candidate is a delicate situation and the special treatment he is getting is for the good of most of the country. In the eyes of many in America, it was very unlikely any prosecutor dared to touch Trump, so this is a good first step, for those who believe he is a criminal, a good step keeping aside the measures to keep the radical MAGA branch calm enough.

Ironically, his criminal case as helped to increase his chances of winning.