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Topic: WINGS ★ Where DAO Unicorns Are Born! ★ Token launched! - page 196. (Read 522800 times)

hero member
Activity: 1582
Merit: 670
Now whats the ico fund guys ? My bet was 335k eth. Is it close or something ?
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Do anyone here think, the performance of Bancor ICO yesterday is as a result of Wings platform, I will like to see a data linking the forecast performance on wings platform and that of ICO project together, though for now there is not enough data to do that but maybe in near future
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
So bancor successfully held their ICO campaign in just matter of hours. WoW!!! I guess wings had an influence over it so Coindash is gonna be next. I am already seeing some similarities of how Coindash conducts its ICO . Winning the hackathon is a bit an edge for them . With all the support from Wings including its bounty system . 

So how many of the percentage where close to the results of exact forecast.. I guess none.? Or less than a percentage might be.?
full member
Activity: 209
Merit: 100
but why the platform is so slow? beacuse of ethereum network or why? if some one experience same issues please , let me know how can fix this. cheers
sr. member
Activity: 255
Merit: 250
So bancor successfully held their ICO campaign in just matter of hours. WoW!!! I guess wings had an influence over it so Coindash is gonna be next. I am already seeing some similarities of how Coindash conducts its ICO . Winning the hackathon is a bit an edge for them . With all the support from Wings including its bounty system . 

it's interesting to see your post. I agree with you about that.

Wings has brought me back a big profit when I joined ICO and bounty system .
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1000
So bancor successfully held their ICO campaign in just matter of hours. WoW!!! I guess wings had an influence over it so Coindash is gonna be next. I am already seeing some similarities of how Coindash conducts its ICO . Winning the hackathon is a bit an edge for them . With all the support from Wings including its bounty system . 
sr. member
Activity: 347
Merit: 252
my evaluated Bancor with forecast 250000eth
Expect results

extending 3 hours ruined my forecast  Cry


The extension ruined more than 80% of the forecasts. It's kind of funny too that those who blindly and randomly made a "to the moon" forecast ended up being the closest lol
did you ever consider that all of us crazy "to the moon" kids actually put a ton of research into it, and expected it to be much higher than it was, and had it not been for the spam attacks probably would have come much closer to how much was raised?

After all, the ico was extended for "three hours" although it was cut off around 2-1/2 with several thousand pending transactions...

I guess we should just all be thankful that we got to participate and get something out of it.

I'm sure everyone feels that it coulda shoulda woulda been different if only...

I'm just happy that we were given this opportunity to make history, and any tokens we get we should just be thankful for.  

This is only the first of many chances we get, fuess for now on we'll have to put spam attacks into our calculations... Sure doesn't make it any easier.

I thought for sure bancor would raise 600k+ easily, and most likely would have... Would be interesting to see how much was rejected.

Very true.. and I'm saying the same to pissed off investors.

The spam attack only lowered the funds collected.

The denied backlog of investments are huge!

If these transactions were able to go through when they were meant to...

Easily 500, maybe 600K.

I think the people who really did research were forecasting that high.
I went 400k, curious how my rewards will look like
Damn! Nice job! Keep it up and in future releases your probably going to have people delegating their votes to you!

member
Activity: 76
Merit: 12
Thanks for the analysis Mattaero!  Smiley

I predicted over 370k ETH so finally that ICO successfully finished with extended time due to massive attack there. This was my first prediction on that platform how to get know about reward amount who will get these? 

It depends on what mathematical algorithm they use.  If there were an equal distribution of rewards based solely on the number of wings forecast, then $250,000 to ~13,000,000 WINGS forecast would mean about $.02 USD per WING forecast.  I would assume that it will be a bit more per WING forecast the closer you were, and a bit less the further away you were.  So if I had to guess, I would say it ranges from $.005 per WING you forecasted, to maybe $.04 if you were very close.  So if you used 1000 WINGS to forecast, you would have maybe between $5 and $40 depending on your accuracy.

But that is a complete guess.  The algorithm could more heavily favor accuracy and give WAY more rewards to the accurate forecasters, or it could skew more heavily towards a more equal distribution in which case it could be a much narrower difference between accurate and inaccurate forecasters.

Once the smart contract is run we should be able to figure it out fairly easily.
hero member
Activity: 1596
Merit: 534
my evaluated Bancor with forecast 250000eth
Expect results

extending 3 hours ruined my forecast  Cry


The extension ruined more than 80% of the forecasts. It's kind of funny too that those who blindly and randomly made a "to the moon" forecast ended up being the closest lol
did you ever consider that all of us crazy "to the moon" kids actually put a ton of research into it, and expected it to be much higher than it was, and had it not been for the spam attacks probably would have come much closer to how much was raised?

After all, the ico was extended for "three hours" although it was cut off around 2-1/2 with several thousand pending transactions...

I guess we should just all be thankful that we got to participate and get something out of it.

I'm sure everyone feels that it coulda shoulda woulda been different if only...

I'm just happy that we were given this opportunity to make history, and any tokens we get we should just be thankful for.  

This is only the first of many chances we get, fuess for now on we'll have to put spam attacks into our calculations... Sure doesn't make it any easier.

I thought for sure bancor would raise 600k+ easily, and most likely would have... Would be interesting to see how much was rejected.

Very true.. and I'm saying the same to pissed off investors.

The spam attack only lowered the funds collected.

The denied backlog of investments are huge!

If these transactions were able to go through when they were meant to...

Easily 500, maybe 600K.

I think the people who really did research were forecasting that high.
I went 400k, curious how my rewards will look like
hero member
Activity: 1022
Merit: 504
GoMeat - Digitalizing Meat Stores - ICO
My opinion is Wings should be credited for the quick success of Bancor ICO . Just imagine it only took several hours to amassed such total ETH. I don't know if it is the fastest ICO in the history but definitely one of the biggest .
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
so when will we see our reward for the forecast?
sr. member
Activity: 347
Merit: 252
my evaluated Bancor with forecast 250000eth
Expect results

extending 3 hours ruined my forecast  Cry


The extension ruined more than 80% of the forecasts. It's kind of funny too that those who blindly and randomly made a "to the moon" forecast ended up being the closest lol
did you ever consider that all of us crazy "to the moon" kids actually put a ton of research into it, and expected it to be much higher than it was, and had it not been for the spam attacks probably would have come much closer to how much was raised?

After all, the ico was extended for "three hours" although it was cut off around 2-1/2 with several thousand pending transactions...

I guess we should just all be thankful that we got to participate and get something out of it.

I'm sure everyone feels that it coulda shoulda woulda been different if only...

I'm just happy that we were given this opportunity to make history, and any tokens we get we should just be thankful for.  

This is only the first of many chances we get, fuess for now on we'll have to put spam attacks into our calculations... Sure doesn't make it any easier.

I thought for sure bancor would raise 600k+ easily, and most likely would have... Would be interesting to see how much was rejected.
sr. member
Activity: 952
Merit: 251
It was crazy to see how many people participated into 1st round there. Wings has nice platform so this has chance to grwo more strong in future.
newbie
Activity: 38
Merit: 0
my evaluated Bancor with forecast 250000eth
Expect results

extending 3 hours ruined my forecast  Cry


The extension ruined more than 80% of the forecasts. It's kind of funny too that those who blindly and randomly made a "to the moon" forecast ended up being the closest lol
jr. member
Activity: 178
Merit: 2
I predicted over 370k ETH so finally that ICO successfully finished with extended time due to massive attack there. This was my first prediction on that platform how to get know about reward amount who will get these? 

It depends on what mathematical algorithm they use.  If there were an equal distribution of rewards based solely on the number of wings forecast, then $250,000 to ~13,000,000 WINGS forecast would mean about $.02 USD per WING forecast.  I would assume that it will be a bit more per WING forecast the closer you were, and a bit less the further away you were.  So if I had to guess, I would say it ranges from $.005 per WING you forecasted, to maybe $.04 if you were very close.  So if you used 1000 WINGS to forecast, you would have maybe between $5 and $40 depending on your accuracy.

But that is a complete guess.  The algorithm could more heavily favor accuracy and give WAY more rewards to the accurate forecasters, or it could skew more heavily towards a more equal distribution in which case it could be a much narrower difference between accurate and inaccurate forecasters.

Once the smart contract is run we should be able to figure it out fairly easily.
legendary
Activity: 1750
Merit: 1004
I predicted over 370k ETH so finally that ICO successfully finished with extended time due to massive attack there. This was my first prediction on that platform how to get know about reward amount who will get these? 
hero member
Activity: 966
Merit: 500
my evaluated Bancor with forecast 250000eth
Expect results

extending 3 hours ruined my forecast  Cry

Mine was 280k. Just a little above the hard cap  Cheesy
Anyway it was great experience for Wings also us. I guess Coin Dash is the next one?
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
my evaluated Bancor with forecast 250000eth
Expect results

extending 3 hours ruined my forecast  Cry
jr. member
Activity: 178
Merit: 2
Will you get any rewards if your forecast is half way the outcome of the final result, i just want to know becasue a lot of the forecaster is way of the chart and we are talking 250K USD worth of rewards.

It has been a while since I read the whitepaper, but there is an algorithm that is used to determine the amount that each participant would get based on the number of wings forecast, accuracy, etc.  I would imagine that everyone will get something, but that those that were closest would get a higher percentage.  But I am not entirely sure, I suppose its possible that only those predictions within 2 standard deviations (which based on statistics would be ~95% of the forecasts) would get something.  We would need to see the algorithm to know for sure how much each forecaster will get.

Clear as mud...Smiley
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