Can someone explain to me these strange odds for the games between SMB and Ginebra? They really don't make any sense to me.
In game 1 where SMB was the "host" Ginebra had 1.43 odds and won easily.
In game 2 it was the other way around, Ginebra was the host but SMB had 1.57 odds.
In game 3 SMB was the host and suddenly we had even odds.
Now it's game 4 where Ginebra is hosting again and suddenly SMB is the 1.47 odds favorite again.
That make literally NO SENSE at all. They are playing all the games in the same arena -> no home court advantage. No significant players are missing but the odds jump back and forth like its table tennis or something.
The line changes are basically driven by the perception of the betting public. As you can see, there’s often a big movement, and that’s because this league doesn’t have a huge market, so any sharp bettor can easily shift the line.
For Game 1, Ginebra was the favorite, which made sense because they had an easier journey compared to SMB, who had a tough battle against Converge. In Game 2, SMB was favored since the public believed they’d even the series, and they did. Game 3 had Ginebra as the favorite, being the better team, and they won. Now SMB is favored again as they’re expected to tie the series. Let’s see if the line movement was on point this time.
