But, of course, the actual results can often be surprising.
I had a similar speculation before because it is quite certain that the nuclear war storyline will be hyped on social media and mainstream news media. However, if you look at the winners for the last 2 years, the favorites before the official nominations were announced never won the Oscar. The movies that won were emotional movies about family, love and making the world a better world.
What are these emotional and inspirational movies? I honesly have not watched much movies this year.
In any case, the nuclear war storyline is only beginning.
Vladimir Putin has ramped up his nuclear rhetoric, saying his country had successfully tested the nuclear-powered, nuclear-capable Burevestnik strategic cruise missile, as he suggested Russia could resume nuclear testing for the first time in more than three decades.
Source https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/05/vladimir-putin-escalates-nuclear-rhetoric-with-threat-to-resume-testing