Topic: 2024 Oscar Awards bets and discussions - page 3. (Read 2088 times)

Well it's sad to wait such a long time and spend tx fees for nothing, since no one has won anything at the end but it is what it is.
I just sent you back 1mbtc to the address you ask for :
https://blockchair.com/bitcoin/transaction/c7e17d92eedd8240d80235f2f59cc07b478216cc24eae3c3c92d7b63cab60c93

No the bet was on Sandra Hüller, but we agreed to replace her by Emma Stone with a different payout, if she didn't qualify to avoid wasting time and money for nothing precisely.

No big productions will skip theater release, as they will just adjust to any rules in order to qualify. Thing is, if you spend ~$200M on a movie, no way in hell you won't do whatever its needed in order to to get some Oscars as they usually mean more money earned.

After all, even up until now, all movies had to be released in a US theater for at least 1 week, so this is nothing new and it didn't stop movies that porimarily went on streaming sites from winning Oscars.

A good bet on the basis of the underlying event and the film being recognized as a good one.  Oscars tends to favor the big emotional or theme based films and this event around one of the most destructive horrific acts of humanity during a time of world war is going to be as big as they come.   I prefer the underdog bets but this was a fair winner.

I noticed an article outlying how the 2025 Oscar best film award onwards can only go to theatre releases in the majority in future, this is to stop the introduction of online film eclipsing the 'real deal' releases which of course support the theatre network across the world.   The wider release dates specified to qualify actually extends upto mid January before cutting off whether a film qualifies as theatre or just general release not applicable for Oscars.
   Thats fair in supporting its own main industry for the award and revenue an Oscar gives after but it does open up the odds of another online award ceremony recognising any film on any medium even totally digital releases, due to costs these arent going away.

I think the gambling industry might like that Oscars will ignore even some large productions that might skip theatre release, perhaps there is an opportunity in that growth sector.  A film can be tight on its costs but due to audience appeal become massive afterwards hence I do reckon a big hit eventually will be excluded from Oscars from this new rule.

It could have been worse, like for example Lily winning an Oscar.   Another thing, if you remember, I said that I could see Anatomy of a Fall winning the best original screenplay and it happened in the end, confirming Bafta award.



Now you got me confused. Didn't you bet on Emma Stone winning an Oscar, mening you won the bet?

The Oscar awards presentations for this year of 2024 has finished.

@Rikafip. It appears I was very much mistaken. Oppenheimer won all of the awards on the major categories where they were nominated. Best picture and best director go to go to Christopher Nolan and best actor goes to Cilian Murphy hehe.

@Saint-loup. There is no winner in our bet. Kindly return the coins to bc1q2cxuaksp48qmdpm6r6k596yd2vvxnp9z9wunre thank you very much.

hahahaha yeah when there is a choices there is a gambling on there hahahah

I wasn't commenting on the odds, I merely shared what I think is the main reason Lily Gladstone won the SAG award, while non-US awards are ignoring her. After all, Oscars are US oriented award so no wonder that themes/agendas that are important to them have higher chance for winning.


Jada is a total mess and unfortunately managed to ruin once very likeable and charming guy. But that's what you get when you are a wimp and let a manipulative woman make a total fool out of you infront of the whole world.

Yes for sure, but what is the nationality of bookmakers' odds providers? Are they americans too? Because for some reasons they now think another time that Lily Gladstone has more chances to win the Oscar than Emma Stone and than few days ago while they think the opposite for Emma Stone.



Yes his reaction 2 years ago was very confusing. But her wife has been very very sad when she lost her hair from what I heard and maybe she tried to commit suicide or something like that, so this situation could have been very disturbing for him.

SAG is US organisation, so no surprise that Lily won the award.  


Will didn't show attitude, he just showed that his wife is in a total control over him. He was even initially laughing at the joke and only after he saw her face he decided to act. By the way, that joke was actually a compliment to her as Demi Moore was hot af in GI Jane. He doesn't mind other guys screwing his wife, but he minds some jokes lol.


Lol of course not. I am not a wimp like Will Smith that I am afraid of my wife.

For the presidential election, I knew it from my friend and the gambling sites are local But i don't know if this exists in other sites.


I am just new here and Duelbit has a lot of games but I only tried a few haha like of course my favorite games are Crash Mines and Plinko. So gambling like really push into anything nowadays right 

I want Emma Stone to win hehehehehee! The Hollywood agenda should not be victorious!

I am onlyjoking. I reckon this is Lily Gladstone's oscar already, congratulations.


You watch with your buddies first then on the second viewing the wife does not know that you watched the movie with your buddies already and you pretend that everything is new for you?

In any case, the odds on Oppenheimer for best picture was reduced to 1.08. This occurred after the voting process finished on February 27. I appears that Christopher Nolan might win best director and best movie.

People love drama for sure, the slap was kind of beyond belief like a movie scene in itself.  Kudos to Mr. Smith for saving the Oscars with pure attitude and he wasn't wrong in that the joke wasn't funny.    



Gambling for everything, if we can bet about marbles and pennies against the wall we can bet on anything.  Oscars is a big deal that people talk about for years after with what won how big, it matters.     We perhaps could use a playlist for music category to decide but as with every category its hard to realize their particular perspective on what defines a winning pick.   Usually there is an extra element to the choices like a cause of some kind or greater theme imo

That's interesting! The odds really changed, now bookies are seeing that Gladstone has equal chance with Stone to get such award. Few more days and we will see how this event goes this year. Waiting for another 'slapgate' incident during big awards like this. Maybe, that's one reason why like Academy Awards got popular because of Will Smith, not the winning actors/actresses. As people search for that particular incident. Not because who won those coveted awards. 

Finally, as you could see in the link below, Lily Gladstone won the best actress in a leading role award of the Actors Guild against Emma Stone, Margot Robbie, Annette Bening and Carey Mulligan.(Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role category, precisely)
Bokkmakers have then lowered their odds for her victory and they now think she has equal chances to win it as Emma Stone. Nothing seems to be done up to now.
https://www.sagaftra.org/outstanding-film-and-television-performances-honored-30th-annual-screen-actors-guild-awards%C2%AE

I think first watching will be with my buddies and 2nd (if movie is as good as I think it will be) with my wife. Either way, can't wait, its been many years I saw the same movie twice in cinema.

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For those interested, The Zone of Interest in a good quality is finally out in "video stores". I have a very high expectations from this one, very interesting take on the whole concentration camp thing. Despite having 5 Oscar nominations I still kinda feel that movie is somewhat under the radar. 

@Rikafip. Watch it a weekday if you are going alone, I reckon. However, if you are watching it with friends, it is much better and fun on a weekend where you fall in line and talk, buy your drink and popcorn while waiting for your schedule hehehe.

@el kaka22. The snub on Margo Robbie was the correct decision by the voters. Barbie movie is a big commercial to sell toys to kids that make them feel they need to be another person to be happy.

Its true, directors vote for "best director" category, actors in "best actor/actresses" awards etc while all members of academy have the right to vote for the main award, "best picture".


The bolded part already happened, Oscar award is loosing its signifance each year and I don't see this trend changing anytime soon. If anything, I expect things to become even worse.


Yep, initial reviews are very good so far and I am getting seriously hyped. The only thing I have to decide whether to go watch Dune on Thursday or wait for the weekend. Or maybe I watch both days. 

There needs to be some sort of change on how they decide on the winner. We have seen some very high quality movies that won it, but we have seen some super high popularity movies that won it as well, there needs to be some balance between the two.

I mean it is obvious that there are obvious snubs, like for example Margot Robbie not even being a nominee, I would understand not winning that is perfectly fine, but not even being a nominee? But at the same time Oppenheimer has been getting almost every single award up until now, which means that if Oscars do not give the best movie to them, it would create a lot of controversy.

This could be good or bad based on two things, would be bad because it would mean people would not give enough credit for Oscars and enough of these stupid decisions and Oscars will lose its attention, whereas it would be good because it would create headlines and make Oscars a big news once again, for something bad maybe, but I bet there will be some people who will support it just because humanity likes to argue.

Only speculation from the articles written about the Oscar snubs that have occured. However, I agree with you. Those movies that he directed before might not yet be the correct time for him to be given the most valuable award in filmmaking.

On the Lord of the Rings, similar to the 3 books being really 1 book that were divided by the publishers, the movie was also only 1 movie divided into 3. The voters waited for the whole 3 movies to finish before giving their decision. It would be very awkward to give the first 2 many awards then nothing more to give for the 3rd movie hehehee.

Dune will certainly be in a similar situation because these 2 movies are based on 1 book. The voters are only waiting for the ending hehehe. My prediction, the Frenchman will win best director and best movie on 2025. The early reviews on rottentomatoes.com is 97% with a fresh pick logo.

Oppenheimer seems the best bet to favor this time around for likelihood of a win.  There seems to be a correlation across a few award shows which makes it easier also.



I wouldnt take that too seriously as a bias to that person in particular unless excluded without reason from nominations.   The amount of eligible voters increased to over 9000 about 50% increase in five years.  I'm not sure why so many new Oscar voters would appear like that but I think probably means less old guard attitudes and more respect given to unique talents outside of big picture reputation and box office figures etc.

Ive read oscar voters who are Directors then vote on the Directors category but any of the Oscar voters can vote for the Best picture so that is the most open, I guess the directors could all decide they dont go with Nolan's style on things.