Topic: 2024 Oscar Awards bets and discussions - page 6. (Read 2088 times)

@ bbc.reporter I just came home from watching Poor Things and I definitely understand why you decided to put some money on Emma Stone as she did an awesome job there. I haven't seen Killers Of The Flower Moon yet (plan is this weekened) but I will be very surprised if Lily Gladstone did a better job. By the way, I just read that she uses she/they pronouns (Lily Gladstone, not Emma Stone) which I am sure is another reason for her being favorite for now.

With that being said, I expected a little bit more from the movie. It was good and I generally liked it, but imho its a little bit overrated when I look at IMdB rating. For me its lets say  ~7.5.

I see Maetro is on Netflix but for some reason I can't force myself to watch it as I am not much interested in the subject, even though I heard from several sources that Bradley Copper did an excellent job there, and I plan to watch Poor Things this week.


I haven't seen it yet. First problem is that its 3 and a half hours movie, and 2nd is is that during holiday period I have a list of ~20 movies I have to watch every year (8 Harry Potter movies, 3 LOTR + various Christmas classics such as Home Alone, Die Hard, Bad Santa, Elf etc) so i was busy with that. Now that holidays are over I do plan to finally watch it.

@Saint-loup. The transaction has confirmed already. Good luck to our bets!

In any case, I watched Maestro and Poor Things already. Carrey Mulligan was very good in taking the role as the wife of Leonard Bernstein. Emma Stone was also very good as a type of Frankenstein creature where thr fetus brain was placed in the mother's head after the mother commited suicide. Do not watch it with children around hehehehehe.

@Rikafip. How was Killers Of The Flower Moon for you?

Thank you for sending your stake, now we will just need to wait few weeks to see it getting confirmed now lol https://blockchair.com/bitcoin/transaction/7582d60b7455e60e0c3d812d582ed9718931473c3119ffe9c65b25846e8f71f4
I know a little bit how works the voting system of Oscars but thank you to remind it here, I didn't know how to name the group of voting people actually, but maybe assembly or voting college is more accurate? I don't know but it is what it is, they don't need to be bribed by anyone to vote for political or social movies IMO.

It cannot be implied that there will be bribes because a jury does not decide the winners hehehe. The winners are determined through votes from all of the members of the Academy of motion picture arts and sciences. It includes not only the actors and the directors. This includes writers, producers, sound technicians, cinematographers, art designers and other members.

Similar to what you have mentioned, people in the movie industry are sensitive to left wing ideas and minority issues. If these are the voters and if they follow a certain agenda for next year's awards then I speculate that Lily Gladstone might already be the winner.

In any case, I sent 1mbtc to your escrow address already hehehe.

7582d60b7455e60e0c3d812d582ed9718931473c3119ffe9c65b25846e8f71f4

I don't agree with your reasoning for Yeoh winning that award because she's really good in the film Everything, Everywhere, All at Once and to me it feels like you're just hating on people for no reason. I do think though that there's a woke agenda but to insult Yeoh's performance is kind of weird because the film is good overall and you saying that she won because she's Asian is an insult to the whole film and the people behind that, I didn't even find a lot of people that hated the film so there's no way that the award was undeserving.

Shoutout to those that got to the 2.20 odds in Oppenheimer it seems that we have a clear winner now. Is it not a bad thing to bet on all of them if you have the money with just one account? It feels like I can make some money even if I bet on them all or should I just put an all in with the Oppenheimer? Seems like it's been decided who's going to win anyway, might as well make the safe bet.
I like to think that this isn't the case but given the current climate in terms of social justice in America, there's probably a hint of woke movement that's going to make the decision not pure but biased because they don't like the idea that they might be on the woke movement's bad side, Oscar's already got that Chris Rock incident so they might just be avoiding backlash.

So if Lily Gladstone wins, it won't be because the jury likes her and her performance but because a so-called woke lobby bribed them? I hope you won't be a sore loser if you lose, because if you think the winners are actually chosen by a conspiracy, you shouldn't bet. People in the artistic and cinema industry are usually sensitive to minority issues and tend to share left-wing ideas, so they don't need to be bribed by a woke lobby to appreciate movies on these subjects IMO.

When I said "hotness of issue" it has nothing to do with beauty (hot). It was about how "hot" the issue related is. Asian was a hot issue and currently so is sci-fi.

That was the beginning of the woke nonsense. I push for rights and recognition but talent and rewarding of talents must be objective.

Think we all agree actually. On that note, I'm preparing to bet on Flower Moon as the winner of Best Picture. 4x odds seems really good. Now the problem only is BTC fee... 400+ satoshi per byte fee

I disagree on your hotness issue argument. Similar to what you have speculated, Michelle Yeoh only won as the best actress because she is Asian. It might be again the same argument after the official announcement of each category if Lily Gladstone becomes the most favored nominee. She is an America native and she will be the first in history to win an oscar award for beat actress. The people behind the woke agenda might bribe and try to make this a reality, I reckon.

I think action and chatting are different things. There isn't that many scenes where something happens at Oppenheimer, it's mainly people talking, it's a story telling for sure but it's just talking people, that's about it, maybe the nuclear explosion is the only thing that may matter, but that's about it.

I believe that Tenet is opposite of that, something is constantly happening, there are so many things that are going on and there is action all around, so it makes you feel alive and you want to watch it again. That difference is style preference, I prefer where actors actually act the hell out of it, I do not like Tom Cruise type of movies, I like movies like marriage story, where it's not action, it's the acting performance that matters and Oppenheimer is a great example of that. This is of course not to say that it's a better movie or anything, movies are personal experience, it's as good as you think it is, and for everyone that's true, there isn't a single true in this, we all have our own truth about it.

Sadly, I think above discussions about "hotness of issue" will decide winner for best actress. I'm Asian but last year's Oscar winner for best film was not deserving. I liked the movie but I think it won because it was Asian. Same as best actress. Michelle Yeoh did way better in old films but anyway. I guess I don't need to be afraid of offending anyone since I'm self-offending lol.


I'm ok watching it once too. The thing for me I find modern movies are way too focused on style and complicating. Oppenheimer was "cool" but I like cool until a certain extent after that it's too over the top. Tenet overcomplicated to lead audience into thinking they are "intelligent".

Best Film Oscar should always be to me something that is timeless and yet surprised everyone the first time.

I watched Oppenheimer after I watched Peaky Blinders. I kinda expected the acting!

I am quite certain the fees will be low before January 23. I already have the incoming transaction for me waiting to be confirmed. I will send 1mbtc to you immediately once the coins are confirmed and available.

@Rikafip. Have you watched Killers of the Flower Moon already?

Also, anyone who has watched Poor Things, please no spoilers and no hype. I might want my expectations to be low to like the movie hehehehe.

Ok dude, here is my address for your 1mbtc stake : bc1q8rsz94pfk32x6ukrxkq7hh74trfunla6evy53m
Unfortunately mining fees have lowered since yesterday but they're still high. I hope you will be able to send the amount before 23th January, day of the Oscar Nominations Announcement though. If the transaction hasn't been mined before this day it's not a problem as long as it had been sent.

Of course Academy has its own agenda and rarely awards Oscars purely based on the performance + it also depends on the amount of money film tudio invests in "lobbying". 


True, those are all the things that Academy might take into consideration, but I also think that topic of "Poor Things" (afaik feminism) might also be attractive to them, and as AmoreJaz shown even Stake favors her over Lily Gladstone.

Why would anyone assume that you were scared? Your Lily Gladstone is very much praised by the critics, she is the predicited winner for best actress and you are the escrow for this bet. I should be the one who should be afraid hehhehehe.

In any case, yes I agree. Your latest proposal is only a repitition of the original proposal that I have discussed with you.

Send address and I will send you 1mbtc as soon as the fees are low. I will use my campaign payment for the bet to show that I have received the coins from the manager and sent coins to you.

i have the same feeling also on this one. they have other considerations here, you know, even if we say we are in the film industry, you can't also avoid the politics surrounding it. so the likelihood of lily gladstone being the winner is very high. a very good statement for their cause. and if that happens, it may very well stir the interest of more audience to check out this film even if the run time is so long, longer than the usual movie films. but i surprised myself on this one, normally i am bored with longer films but this one is good in my opinion as i stayed on this movie til the end. just bring more popcorn and drinks.  

for the other movies nominated for this event, i still have to see some of them so i don't know yet about the chance in other categories. by the way, if you want to bet in other interesting money lines different from the usual betting lines from bookies, you can check out  - futuur

but you can check the odds like in best actress, stake is indeed favouring stone and gladstone as the top contenders on this category, whereas, murphy and cooper on the best actor top choices based from the odds.


https://stake.com/sports/politics-entertainment/entertainment/outrights

Why it would be cancelled bro, you think I start to be scared of losing against you? LOL I'm kidding of course
Before giving you my address I want to sum up things in order to avoid any future boring contentious disputes about the agreement.

So do you agree with this :

If Sandra Hüller wins, you will receive 6.5mbtc + 1mbtc from your stake
If Lily Gladstone wins, you won't receive anything I'll keep your 1mbtc
If Sandra Hüller is not nominated but Emma Stone(your jocker) wins, you will receive 1mbtc + 1mbtc
If Sandra Hüller is not nominated and any other actress than Emma Stone (and Lily Gladstone) wins, you will receive 1mbtc(your stake back)
If Sandra Hüller is nominated and Emma Stone wins or any other actress (except Lily Gladstone), you will receive 1mbtc(your stake back)

Are you ok with that bro?

@Rikafip. However, the voters do not only consider the performance. They might also be considering their agenda, their politics and what statement their pick would make to the world.

Emma Stone is a white, American girl who is a good actress but Lily Gladstone is an American native who will certainly make a statement if she wins for best actress. This will open a storyline on how her people were persecuted, killed and moved from their lands by the American settlers. It might also help in Hollywood's woke agenda.

In any case, @Saint-loup has not sent a bitcoin address yet. I will wait until Wednesday and I will assume the discussions for this bet is cancelled if there is no address.

Why bother with sending as I don't think fees will go down anytime soon. Isn't it more convenient for both sides to simply wait to see who wins and at the end whoever losses, sends BTC?  I honestly doubt that any of you will try to scam each other and effectively ruin your reputation here.

Regarding Emma Stone, from what I hear, she really kicked ass in Poor Things (I have to admit that I have a crush on her for a loing time, ever since Superbad  ). Can't for that damn movie to come to cinemas.

@Saint-loup. This proposal of yours is very good. This will certainly make the Oscar ceremony more exciting next year hehehehe.

Final clearance from you. If Sandra Hüller is not included in the final list of nominations, my bet against your Lily Gladstone will be Emma Stone for odds of 1:1, however, if Sandra Hüller is nominated for best actress then this bet continues and it will be on odds of 1:6.50. Correct? Bet is 1mbtc and I want you to be the escrow. I will send once the fees are lower. Also, it might be yours already ehhehehehehehee.

Send me address.