2024 Oscar Awards bets and discussions - page 4.

Rikafip

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on February 25, 2024, 02:48:52 AM

@Rikafip. Yes the voters will distribute the awards and also consider the rumor that the Oscar comittee does not like Christopher Nolan.

Why do you think they don't like him? As far as I am concerned, so far he didn't make an Oscar worthy movie and far better directors than him never won one (Kubrick, Tarantino, Hitchock, Lumet... etc) so I ddidn't see him experiencing any injustice yet.

Quote from: bbc.reporter on February 25, 2024, 02:48:52 AM

On Dune 2, agreed. It will be very much similar to the Return of the King where it was the first fantasy movie that has won an Oscar award.

Hope so, but still far too early to tell as year just started and God knows what kind of movies will appear.

When it comes to rotk, I personally believe that movie winning so many Oscars was sort of compensation for previous two not winning as many as they should. For me (big fan of books long before movies were made), Fellowship of the Ring was by far the best movie in that trilogy, it was exactly as I imagined when I was reading the books.

bbc.reporter

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@Rikafip. Yes the voters will distribute the awards and also consider the rumor that the Oscar comittee does not like Christopher Nolan.

On Dune 2, agreed. It will be very much similar to the Return of the King where it was the first fantasy movie that has won an Oscar award. Also, Dune appears to be less of a scifi story and more of a political story about families who are competing for power hehehe.

Also yes, Dune 3 will be about the book on Dune Messiah, where Paul Atreides kills 61 billion people for his jihad. This Dune series by Denis Villeneuve might not have a cheerful ending. This will certainly be not for children.

Rikafip

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on February 22, 2024, 11:23:46 PM

Yes but Christopher Nolan is also one of the producers of Oppenheimer.

Ah yes, you are right. I completely forgot that he is usually also producer of his movies meaning he will most likely go home with at least 1 Oscar.

Quote from: bbc.reporter on February 22, 2024, 11:23:46 PM

However, this is my big prediction for the 2025 Oscar awards for best picture and the best director categories. It will be one of the movies that will win both categories. The title of this move you know already heehhe. It is Dune 2 for best picture and Denis Villenueve for best director.

I have high expectations from Dune 2, and if it wins Best Picture Oscar, it will be the first science fiction movie to do that. Sounds unbelievable, but imho that's one more good reason for the win. Here it comes next Thursday, I will probably go watch it immediately on the first day.

Quote from: bbc.reporter on February 22, 2024, 11:23:46 PM

This Frenchman created some of my favorite movies with the best cinematography. Sicario, Arrival, Blade Runner 2049 and Dune 1. Everyone should certainly watch them. He also directed good mystery and crime thrillers.

All good movies expect Arrival, I didn't like that one at all. By the way, he will most likely direct Dune 3 as well (working on the script as we speak). Wink

bbc.reporter

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Quote from: Rikafip on February 22, 2024, 11:30:18 AM

Quote from: bbc.reporter on February 20, 2024, 08:47:40 PM

He can win for best director or best picture, however, not the both of these categories heheheh. This year might be another unpredictable like CODA and Green Book.

Oscar for Best Picture goes to produces of the movie, not to director. But I do agree that its a pretty common thing for a movie not to win both Best Picture and Best Director Oscars. For example, in the last 20 years, 8 movies won both of those awards so there are solid chances that Nolan doesn't win his Oscar this year.

Yes but Christopher Nolan is also one of the producers of Oppenheimer. However, this is my big prediction for the 2025 Oscar awards for best picture and the best director categories. It will be one of the movies that will win both categories. The title of this move you know already heehhe. It is Dune 2 for best picture and Denis Villenueve for best director.

This Frenchman created some of my favorite movies with the best cinematography. Sicario, Arrival, Blade Runner 2049 and Dune 1. Everyone should certainly watch them. He also directed good mystery and crime thrillers.

pawanjain

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Quote from: noormcs5 on September 28, 2023, 10:56:21 PM

Quote from: bbc.reporter on September 28, 2023, 10:40:46 PM

These are the odds offered by the sportsbooks. These movies, directors and later actresses, actors and other categories added are not yet official from the Academy of motion picture arts and sciences. However, if you are a movie expert or a couch potato, you might already know which of these directors and movies has a chance to win hehehe. Share your knowledge!

More important thing, where can we bet on the 2024 Oscars award?
On which sites do you prefer to bet as i don't think the majority of the sports betting site will list these bets.

The most probable date for the Oscar award is 10th March 2024 while the submission date of different categories entries will be somewhere around the middle or end of November this year.

We do have it on freebitco.in which is my favorite place to bet in events. My pick for best director would be Nolan as I personally like films directed by him.
Oppenheimer was one of his pretty good movies and so I think the best director as well as best movie would be both of these to receive the Oscars.

Rikafip

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on February 20, 2024, 08:47:40 PM

He can win for best director or best picture, however, not the both of these categories heheheh. This year might be another unpredictable like CODA and Green Book.

Oscar for Best Picture goes to produces of the movie, not to director. But I do agree that its a pretty common thing for a movie not to win both Best Picture and Best Director Oscars. For example, in the last 20 years, 8 movies won both of those awards so there are solid chances that Nolan doesn't win his Oscar this year.

bbc.reporter

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@dansus021. How long have you been in Duelbit's campaign? Betting on movie, music and tv awards has always been there in the betting specials category.

@OgNasty. It is in the politics and entertainment category in stake.com for a long time also. This is also very common for sportsbooks.

I have been creating the thread for the Oscar awards for 5 years, I reckon.

There was also Game of Thrones season and episode outcomes betting in this subforum. It was a very popular thread hehe.

OgNasty

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Quote from: dansus021 on February 20, 2024, 09:25:59 PM

I know this is an old topic but I just barely knew that there was an Oscar award bet, especially with movies and the actors hahha. So gambling is literally pushed into anything hahahha, I just knew that there is a gambling for president and vice president but now an Oscar;D.

But like everyone else yesterday I watched Oppenheimer and this movie is actually good the soundtrack is also good I mean I gonna definitely pick this than a Barbie movie heheheh But this is just my opinion.

I saw the title and thought to myself… Where are you all finding bets on stuff like this? I see these types of threads but I never see stuff like this or the presidential election on stake. Maybe I need to look around a bit more or something. Not that I would gamble on the Oscars but maybe something else interesting.

dansus021

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I know this is an old topic but I just barely knew that there was an Oscar award bet, especially with movies and the actors hahha. So gambling is literally pushed into anything hahahha, I just knew that there is a gambling for president and vice president but now an Oscar;D.

But like everyone else yesterday I watched Oppenheimer and this movie is actually good the soundtrack is also good I mean I gonna definitely pick this than a Barbie movie heheheh But this is just my opinion.

bbc.reporter

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Quote from: Rikafip on February 20, 2024, 02:31:30 PM

Quote from: bbc.reporter on February 16, 2024, 12:28:05 AM

This strengthens his chance to win the Oscar award for best director and this also might strengthen my speculation that the best picture might not be given to Nolan by the voters hehehe.

I don't understand why would that lower the chances for Oppenheimer to win Best Picture Oscar. Care to elaborate? Grin

I am only speculating that because we have witnessed that there were some years where the best picture winner for the Bafta and the Oscar awards were different then this might be one of those years. Also, because Oppenheimer is for certain win best actor and best director and other awards, I speculate that the voters might have something different for Christopher Nolan. He can win for best director or best picture, however, not the both of these categories heheheh. This year might be another unpredictable like CODA and Green Book.

Rikafip

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on February 16, 2024, 12:28:05 AM

This strengthens his chance to win the Oscar award for best director and this also might strengthen my speculation that the best picture might not be given to Nolan by the voters hehehe.

I don't understand why would that lower the chances for Oppenheimer to win Best Picture Oscar. Care to elaborate? Grin

In other news, BAFTA film awards were yesterday and as expected, Oppenheimer dominated with 7 awards, followed by Poor Things with 5, Zone of Interest with 3 and Holdovers with 2 awards. Here is the loist with all the winners https://www.theguardian.com/film/2024/feb/18/baftas-2024-the-complete-list-of-winners.

Interestingly, Anatomy of a Fall won the best original screenplay award while American Fiction (I finally saw it the other day and I liked it) won for the best adapted one.

bbc.reporter

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News update.

Christopher Nolan has won the award for best director in the Director's Guild Awards. This strengthens his chance to win the Oscar award for best director and this also might strengthen my speculation that the best picture might not be given to Nolan by the voters hehehe.

There might be some shaking heads, however, there were upsets that have occurred before in Oscar best picture predictions. These movies were Green Book, Moonlight, Parasite and CODA.

"Oppenheimer” director Christopher Nolan, Christopher Storer of FX’s “The Bear” and Peter Hoar of HBO’s “The Last of Us” were the top winners Saturday night at the Directors Guild of America‘s 76th annual DGA Awards.

The DGA win seals Nolan’s frontrunner position to land the director Oscar at the March 10 Academy Awards. Celine Song took home the DGA medallion for first-time director for her much-praised A24 drama “Past Lives.” “Guys, this is so amazing,” Song told the crowd.

Read in full https://variety.com/2024/film/awards/directors-guild-awards-winners-2024-list-1235901440/

bbc.reporter

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@Rikafip. I would argue if it was in Bafta or a European award for best original screenplay, Anatomy of a fall would be the winner. However, in the Oscar awards where much of the voters are Americans, I reckon the odds being offered by the sportsbooks are implying the chances of Holdovers and Anatomy correctly.

If the Holdovers win best movie, this will be very much similar to Green Book and Coda heheh. I do not remember the social or political issues when these movies won, however, the voters wanted a feel good movie.

Rikafip

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on February 01, 2024, 11:25:13 PM

and also with this big readjustment on the odds, there might be an argument that Paul Giamatti certainly has a chance. But the chance to bet is gone already because 12.00 was more than the fair odds for Giamatti against Cillian Murphy.

Yep. At these odds, I woulnd't put my money on Giamatti as risk to reward ratio ain't good anymore.

Quote from: bbc.reporter on February 01, 2024, 11:25:13 PM

The Holdovers might have 2 awards, best original screenplay and best picture.

They might and I hope they will win at least one, but they might end up not getting neither of those two. I could see Anatomy of a Fall winning the one for best screenplay (I pefer The Holdovers, but I wouldn't mind anatomy winniner) and of course we all know who is the main favorite for the best picture one.

bbc.reporter

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@Rikafip. However, if it is more common for the the Bafta best actor winner to be different from the Oscar best actor winner and also with this big readjustment on the odds, there might be an argument that Paul Giamatti certainly has a chance. But the chance to bet is gone already because 12.00 was more than the fair odds for Giamatti against Cillian Murphy.

On the odds for best movie, Poor Things has readjusted to 12.00 from 15.00.

In any case, I have bet on the Holdovers hehehe. Similar to what I have already mentioned, if Christopher Nolan was voted for best director, I speculate the voters will distribute the award for best picture to another movie. It will be a stronger argument if Cillian Murphy also wins for best actor.

The Holdovers might have 2 awards, best original screenplay and best picture.

Rikafip

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on January 28, 2024, 12:16:23 AM

Also, another question would be how many actors and actresses that have won in Bafta, also won in the same category in the Oscars?

Last year they had different winners in all actor categories while year before that (2022) the only one who won both Bafta and Oscar for same role was Will Smith for King Richard. So yeah, I guess its pretty common to have diferent winners.

Quote from: bbc.reporter on January 28, 2024, 12:16:23 AM

I am quite surprised that Paul Giamatti's odds went from 12.00 to 2.90. This is a big adjustment.

Hah, that is indeed a big readjustment but even though I would like for him to win, betting on Cillian Murphy still makes more sesen. I just don't see how he looses an Oscar this year.

bbc.reporter

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I have a speculation that Oppenheimer will win most of their awards in Bafta and it might cause disappointment for the fans of this movie in the Oscars. The Oscars voters might vote differently and distribute the awards wider on the major categories.

I reckon if Christopher Nolan wins for best director then the best picture might go to The Holdovers. If someone else wins for best director then best actor will go to Paul Giamatti and best picture will go to Oppenheimer. It might be only one award for each movie for the major categories. The voters might avoid 2 or more to be won by the same movie.

bbc.reporter

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@Rikafip. On bookmaking the Oscar awards, oddsmakers might adjust the odds based on rumors, information leaks or maybe how the top critics rate movies and performances. Poor Things was released late on 2023 because of the writers' strike in Hollywood. It might have taken a longer time for Poor Things' odds to be included in the bookmakers' adjustedment.

On Sandra Hüller, I am not quite sure. Also, another question would be how many actors and actresses that have won in Bafta, also won in the same category in the Oscars? I am quite surprised that Paul Giamatti's odds went from 12.00 to 2.90. This is a big adjustment.

Rikafip

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Quote from: bbc.reporter on January 24, 2024, 09:14:07 PM

@Rikafip. It appears that you might be correct! It also appears that Emma Stone is becoming the favorite and adjusted Lily Gladstone's odds back to 2.10 from 1.45. What are the oddsmakers speculating on this? What caused this adjustment? Are they speculating that Emma Stone will win Bafta? I reckon Sandra Hüller might be the more popular vote for best actress in Bafta.

Who knows, oodsmakers work in myserious ways. Cheesy

But seriously, the more I think about it, the more I am feel that Lily Gladstone wins the Oscar, despite the change in the odds. Maybe some of your pessimism spread on me as well.

Quote from: bbc.reporter on January 24, 2024, 09:14:07 PM

I speculate that if Sandra Hüller wins, the adjustment on the odds for her will be very big.

Was like that in the past? I am asking because I can't remember if BAFTA affected Oscar odds that much as after all its UK award, not US which is very different and visible from the fact that they didn't even bother to nominate Lily Gladstone.

bbc.reporter

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@Rikafip. It appears that you might be correct! It also appears that Emma Stone is becoming the favorite and adjusted Lily Gladstone's odds back to 2.10 from 1.45. What are the oddsmakers speculating on this? What caused this adjustment? Are they speculating that Emma Stone will win Bafta? I reckon Sandra Hüller might be the more popular vote for best actress in Bafta.

I speculate that if Sandra Hüller wins, the adjustment on the odds for her will be very big.

@Saint-loup. Emma Stone has a higher chance, however, only a small difference. Many things will change after the official voting for the winners on February 22-27. Information always leak and the oddsmakers are very quick to adjust.

Topic: 2024 Oscar Awards bets and discussions - page 4. (Read 2088 times)