As a gambler and a die-hard fan of a club that has been having a terrible season, would you bet against your club, knowing that their loss would be your financial gain? Or would you stay loyal and not bet against them?
I place a bet according to which team has a better chance to win the match. Even though I'm a Chelsea fan, I will never bet on Chelsea if they are against Man City or Man United. The chance to win against these teams is almost zero (0).
So, when it is about betting, I don't care about my favorite team. We should understand that betting requires some money, so the result is necessary. In this matter, we must feel more realistic, we can't force betting based on our loyalty only.
Ideally, in betting especially football we have to be realistic. if we want to win at a gamble, the first thing we have to do is put our ego aside. for example, like the cases we discuss in this thread. if the choice is not ideal, you should not force yourself to bet on our favorite team. things like this, usually will lead us to defeat. for example, Chelsea vs Manchester United, or against City. considering the state Chelsea is in right now, it's the same as us betting our money on defeat. despite the fact, in football anything can happen.
Well, in terms of betting. we should be neutral gamblers, I mean put aside the favorite team. even then, if the available odds are ideal and the probability of winning is greater than the opposing team. it could also, we ignore it and not involve the gamble. at least, I do that if my favorite team is going up against a tougher team.
For example, Arsenal vs City. even though playing at home, the probability of victory that Arsenal has is smaller than the opposing team. ideally, I wouldn't bet if I doubted Arsenal's win. or, I can choose the Under/Over option.
by the way, we agree with what you said.