Topic: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis - page 34. (Read 110414 times)
Date: 16-Oct-2015
VWAP: 261.01
x: 1917
a: 0.00438
b: -0.89040
Rsq: 0.82640
The day's expected price: 1832.34
Actual price / expected price: 14.24%
Log(Actual price / expected price) -1.949
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 197.27
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 11862.31
Predicted date for today's price: 28-Jul-2014
Days ahead: -444.54
Daily price rank: 493
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00438380164234256++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.890399126164971+%29
VWAP: 261.01
x: 1917
a: 0.00438
b: -0.89040
Rsq: 0.82640
The day's expected price: 1832.34
Actual price / expected price: 14.24%
Log(Actual price / expected price) -1.949
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 197.27
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 11862.31
Predicted date for today's price: 28-Jul-2014
Days ahead: -444.54
Daily price rank: 493
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00438380164234256++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.890399126164971+%29
September 29, 2015, 02:27:35 AM
September 29, 2015, 01:46:16 AM
Rough estimate: half-year-long rally to -1, i.e. to about 1500$ per BTC.
No. -1 is e^-1 * 1826.21 = 672
Possible if there are positive outcomes after the Scaling Bitcoin workshop in coming December
1826.21 is today's expected price. While we are talking about half-year later. EDIT: i.e. 672 * e^(0.00445*(365/2))
P.S. I'd also like to thank you for your job. This is my favorite thread and I'm always in anticipation of fresh updates.
September 27, 2015, 12:26:26 PM
Rough estimate: half-year-long rally to -1, i.e. to about 1500$ per BTC.
No. -1 is e^-1 * 1826.21 = 672
Possible if there are positive outcomes after the Scaling Bitcoin workshop in coming December
September 26, 2015, 09:35:09 PM
If
a) The pattern is same as in 2011,
b) But 4 times slower,
We will must have rally pretty soon. Rough estimate: half-year-long rally to -1, i.e. to about 1500$ per BTC.
snip image
a) The pattern is same as in 2011,
b) But 4 times slower,
We will must have rally pretty soon. Rough estimate: half-year-long rally to -1, i.e. to about 1500$ per BTC.
snip image
A very interesting prediction. It would be interesting to see how it plays out.
Overall, i am very puzzled by a flat.
I would have never guessed it instead of rising or plunging.
September 26, 2015, 09:25:52 PM
If
a) The pattern is same as in 2011,
b) But 4 times slower,
We will must have rally pretty soon. Rough estimate: half-year-long rally to -1, i.e. to about 1500$ per BTC.
a) The pattern is same as in 2011,
b) But 4 times slower,
We will must have rally pretty soon. Rough estimate: half-year-long rally to -1, i.e. to about 1500$ per BTC.
September 26, 2015, 11:39:28 AM
It is a triple top at -1.75, now at $317
September 26, 2015, 11:37:33 AM
September 26, 2015, 11:34:38 AM
Update
Date: 25-Sep-2015
VWAP: 235.19
x: 1896
a: 0.00445
b: -0.93522
Rsq: 0.83148
The day's expected price: 1826.21
Actual price / expected price: 12.88%
Log(Actual price / expected price) -2.050
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 196.61
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 11822.63
Predicted date for today's price: 21-Jun-2014
Days ahead: -460.15
Daily price rank: 590
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00445422677024799++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.935216011303706+%29
Date: 25-Sep-2015
VWAP: 235.19
x: 1896
a: 0.00445
b: -0.93522
Rsq: 0.83148
The day's expected price: 1826.21
Actual price / expected price: 12.88%
Log(Actual price / expected price) -2.050
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 196.61
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 11822.63
Predicted date for today's price: 21-Jun-2014
Days ahead: -460.15
Daily price rank: 590
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00445422677024799++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.935216011303706+%29
September 25, 2015, 09:10:00 AM
bumpidy bump?
Its been a pretty brutal bear, but steady for about 9 months. It really looks like we hit the bottom, which means the only way is up.
Its been a pretty brutal bear, but steady for about 9 months. It really looks like we hit the bottom, which means the only way is up.
Any update from July?
We finally left the -1.90 to -1.95 area. -1.875 ($273) is the support. -1.90 ($266) should become a major support.
Major resistance is still -1.75 ($309). Then the next mark is -1.50 ($397)
so it reached -1.76 ($306.75) before went down. Support is still -1.875 ($274)
Date: 17-Jul-2015
VWAP: 276.71
x: 1826
a: 0.00470
b: -1.08523
Rsq: 0.84783
The day's expected price: 1788.28
Actual price / expected price: 15.47%
Log(Actual price / expected price) -1.866
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 192.53
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 11577.06
Predicted date for today's price: 14-Jun-2014
Days ahead: -397.39
Daily price rank: 443
(See OP for explanation)
VWAP: 276.71
x: 1826
a: 0.00470
b: -1.08523
Rsq: 0.84783
The day's expected price: 1788.28
Actual price / expected price: 15.47%
Log(Actual price / expected price) -1.866
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 192.53
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 11577.06
Predicted date for today's price: 14-Jun-2014
Days ahead: -397.39
Daily price rank: 443
(See OP for explanation)
What is a +2 in price today?
how do i figure this out myself?Expected price (1780.87) * (2.718 ^ 2) = 13159
0 today is $1770
it seems -1.9 ($264) is an important resistance level
the next important one may be -1.75 ($307)
-1.95 ($252) is the first support level
bottom is -2.05 ($228)
What is a +2 in price today?
how do i figure this out myself? Sorry if I missed it but is this based off Stamp or Finex?
Reference exchange:
17 Jul 2010 to 18 Jun 2013: MtGox
19 Jun 2013 to now: Bitstamp
I'm thinking whether I should change to Finex as it has bigger volume now. Anyway, the trend is the focus so there should be no much difference
Thanks!
Sorry if I missed it but is this based off Stamp or Finex?
Reference exchange:
17 Jul 2010 to 18 Jun 2013: MtGox
19 Jun 2013 to now: Bitstamp
I'm thinking whether I should change to Finex as it has bigger volume now. Anyway, the trend is the focus so there should be no much difference
Sorry if I missed it but is this based off Stamp or Finex?
Date: 11-Jul-2015
VWAP: 292.54
x: 1820
a: 0.00472
b: -1.09730
Rsq: 0.84893
The day's expected price: 1780.87
Actual price / expected price: 16.43%
Log(Actual price / expected price) -1.806
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 191.73
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 11529.13
Predicted date for today's price: 22-Jun-2014
Days ahead: -383.05
Daily price rank: 424
(See OP for explanation)
We finally left the -1.90 to -1.95 area. -1.875 ($273) is the support. -1.90 ($266) should become a major support.
Major resistance is still -1.75 ($309). Then the next mark is -1.50 ($397)
VWAP: 292.54
x: 1820
a: 0.00472
b: -1.09730
Rsq: 0.84893
The day's expected price: 1780.87
Actual price / expected price: 16.43%
Log(Actual price / expected price) -1.806
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 191.73
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 11529.13
Predicted date for today's price: 22-Jun-2014
Days ahead: -383.05
Daily price rank: 424
(See OP for explanation)
We finally left the -1.90 to -1.95 area. -1.875 ($273) is the support. -1.90 ($266) should become a major support.
Major resistance is still -1.75 ($309). Then the next mark is -1.50 ($397)
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