Every time i see something about the halfing and how bad it will be. I LMAO . then think how does anyone know for sure. The answer is you don't unless your god, i don't see how it going to bad other then 12.5 less coins and the chip makers will adjust and in four more years it happen again, if bitcoins are still here.
I try my best not to comment on anything i see that looks negative but from time to time you can't .
Guarenteed half the Bitcoin income the day after vs. the day before, give or take difficulty adjustment.
100% guarenttee, no question about IF on that part.
I grant there is a significant probability that the price of Bitcoin will climb quite a bit a month or two before the halfing - but with the way difficulty increases have been going since the introduction of the S7, anything older is going to be LOSING money long before the halfing if you have to pay more than 1-2 cents/KWH and afterwards it looks like the S7 (and Avalon 6 and probably the B-Eleven) will be unprofitable as well at that point.
No, it's not CERTAIN - but that's the way the trend is looking and the way it HAS been looking for months now.
I strongly suspect that the only PROFITABLE miners after the halfing will be the 14/16nm generation - though I also suspect if that's the case, that hashrate will dip quite a bit for a short while, *MAYBE* giving the one-previous generation a short "last gasp" of profitablility if you have VERY VERY cheap electric.