Topic: Energy Crisis 2.0 in the New World Order era - page 10. (Read 2608 times)

The following news is kind of off-topic but....
The US and Venezuela have agreed on a deal where the US eases oil sanctions and Venezuela holds internationally supervised elections.
Venezuela is the No. 1 country in terms of proven oil reserves (17.5% of the world's).

Apparently Maduro has had enough of the show and populism and realized that this is not the way to go.... To be more precise, he realized that the "joy of the people" from his rule can be "unpleasant continuation". The right way out is to come to a civilized framework, hold civilized elections, and return to a civilized market. Venezuela needs money and investments now. The country and its people deserve a normal life, the more so they have everything for it, they just need to manage it wisely.  And with democratic changes and good initiatives - Venezuela has excellent prospects. And so does the oil market. or rather the market has good prospects, the manipulators have bad ones !

So while on one side of the earth they are engaged in sabotage, on the other side they are creating, or at least laying the foundation for it.

Yes, last year Russia actually destroyed some world markets through its actions, because it wanted to establish a new world order. And it began with an attempt to seize Ukraine, an attempt to destroy this state and the Kremlin’s desire to annex its territories to its renewed empire. If this succeeded, then the next targets of Russia's attack would be Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia, and also, depending on the unfolding events, Poland.
Simultaneously with the military invasion of Ukraine, Russia began to blackmail European countries, which were firmly on the oil and gas hook, by reducing oil and gas supplies so that Europe would not prevent it from destroying Ukraine. Most likely, this plan would have succeeded, and the new world order would have been based on wars, chaos and violence, the absorption of weak states by stronger ones.
Europe and even the United States and its allies have already come to terms with the possible seizure of Ukraine and offered its President Zelensky to leave the country and offered weapons only for waging guerrilla warfare under conditions of complete occupation.

But the cards of all the players of the new and old order were changed by the stubborn and heroic resistance of the Ukrainian people and their armed forces to the forces of the Russian occupiers, superior in all aspects. Only after seeing that the Ukrainians were capable of long-term resistance (not even victory at that time), the United States and Europe began to increase various assistance to Ukraine, if only in order to deplete the military and economic potential of Russia through the hands of the Ukrainians and reduce the likelihood of a military conflict with them. Now they have already realized that without eliminating the military threat through its destruction or at least long-term neutralization, there cannot be a civilized order based on respect for the sovereignty of the territorial integrity of states.

But Russia and its ally Iran do not give up their attempts to destabilize the world and the events of the attack on Israel, where they were active participants in the preparation of such an attack, are confirmation of this.

I doubt there is much of security understanding that the middle eastern countries can reach with the USA anymore. US has shown more than a few times that they can barely recognize their left bum from their right when it comes to military strategizing and fulfilling political objectives. The middle east countries are far more concerned about diversifying their economies away from oil.

Decreasing production is just a way to not let oil prices crash. Its their lifeblood till they can successfully diversify their economies, which itself is a huge task but the gulf is well aware of that and is deploying resources towards that. As far as US presence is concerned, i doubt anybody wants anything to do with the shit show that American society and culture is turning into. At one point, it stood for innovation and values; today its simply about money, influence and shenanigans. I doubt they very much care about whatever 'influence' the US has left at present.

At much smaller capacity now and under the full control of the Iraqi authorities not the separatist occupying the region and controlling the resources mass exporting it cheaply to EU pocketing the money themselves.

I said they are "poking" their enemy. Over the past day or two the Lebanese forces wiped out 5 major Israeli bases in Northern Occupied Palestine near the Lebanese border, these are mostly the radar and spying bases with high troop concentrations.
Region is not gonna see any conflict unless US gets involved, which they won't.

Quite the opposite, they are actually trying to increase the oil price and keep it up.
Check out their endless efforts in decreasing production willingly over the past year. You see it not only benefits them to sell their resources at a much higher price but also it helps them put pressure on US economy to force them to leave their region so that stability can come back.

I see that the USA is very keen on the energy file, and although the region and the countries that export these resources are areas of conflict, the United States still maintains a line of return to these countries. Let us take an example.
Iraq: The information mentioned about Kurdistan is inaccurate. On the contrary, despite the impact of the conflict in the US and Iran, there are still open channels for supplying oil and gas.
Russia: The price ceiling plan aims mainly to put pressure on Russia, but does not aim to stop oil exports.
Lebanon: Despite the clear conflict between some Lebanese forces in Israel and Lebanon, there is still an avoidance of igniting the region.
Palestine and the Arabs: There was a fear that the hostilities against the Palestinians in Gaza would be the beginning of igniting a war in the region, and yet the United States was pressing for that not to happen.
In short, it is an election year and the states will make every effort to make oil less than $100, and all the oil-producing countries are trying to reach security understandings in exchange for an oil price below $100.

What Russia is doing now, or rather started doing 2 years ago, is more correctly called "economic terrorism". The goal is very clear - not being able to work honestly on the market and in the community, it is necessary to look for ways to artificially increase the price of those products that Russia can still sell. This is what happened with gas in the EU, and this is what is happening with oil now.
But as we all know - after almost 2000 dollars per 1000 cubic meters from GazProm and Russia's demarche with gas supplies (although Putin claims that "sanctions were imposed against Russia in the gas industry"). ) the EU simply changed suppliers, and now there is more than enough gas, and the price has fallen to about 250 dollars per 1000 cubic meters.

We can also remember the same attempt but on the grain market. the result is similar to the "gas project" - it did not work

The oil market is of course different from the gas market, as oil reserves are not as widely available as gas, but.... I think this game will also end sooner or later. But now someone really wants to "light up" the East to drive up oil prices even more....

Yes, we still have difficult years ahead of us, but I believe that common sense will prevail.

The reason is cut and dry, resource-rich countries are target by many a colonizer for their respurces, and when someone tries to take shit from you, you always retaliate asan answer. As for coups and civil wars, the same could be said as well. Everyone’s got their own wars to wage cause all of them think they can govern the country better than the ones seated. When they finally get the opportunity like what happened with the Taliban they suddenly realize that it’s not just approving this and approving that within the government.

Palestine urges every other country on the planet to take its side but no one will since Israel is a formidable military force. Only way we can see an end in this god forsaken war is if someone drops a nuke on the other, and we know which one owns the warheads.

I don't know about Russia but there isn't anything left in Iran that US has not yet sanctioned. Over the past couple of years more than 90% of what they've been sanctioning were already sanctioned.

As people of Palestine say: "it is better to die once than die every day".

(Finally! You made a post that is on-topic.)

You are right, there are other things that are going on in the fuel market but read OP again, the point is that as a major diesel exporter Russia has been disrupting the market so that they can keep the pressure up on EU economy by also disrupting the economy as it is affected by diesel price.
They didn't even halt exports, it was a temporary ban which I believe was partially lifted after it successfully created the disruption they hoped for.

This is not the only disruption and not the only market and it is not only Russia disrupting different markets! Over the past year we have had every country that produces anything doing something to disrupt that market and play with prices.
We have oil and gas producers from Arabs to Americans messing with the energy market.
We have rice producers like India messing with rice price.
We have grain producers from Russia to a couple of East Asian countries messing with grain prices (remember the cooking oil shenanigans).
We have sugar producers disrupting the market specially after the El Nino hurricane hit some of them.
and so on...

We know that russia is one of the largest suppliers of diesel, but not the main one. Especially now India and China are taking the "palm" of supremacy in diesel production from oil from Russia.
But the problem is not in Russia at all, but in nuances. Among the nuances that have affected the decline in diesel production on a global scale are the following:
- Reduction of oil production by OPEC countries
- The situation is difficult for the global refining fleet, which has been suffering from insufficient production for months. The scorching heat in the Northern Hemisphere this summer has forced many refineries to run slower than usual, resulting in lower inventories.
- Forced shutdowns of less efficient refineries when oil demand fell to Covid-19 levels. Although consumption is now recovering, many refineries remain idle.
But experts say the diesel shortage could still ease with the onset of the cooler winter months, when weather constraints on refineries generally ease - even as some undergo routine seasonal maintenance.

Apart from the shortage of diesel fuel which can affect the global economic sector, there is another possibility for each country to use other fuels that are more environmentally friendly so that they can continue to carry out all the production of goods carried out so far. Because if production of goods has to stop due to a shortage of diesel fuel, this will actually be even worse for the country's economy, so several countries must try to deal with this better in order to continue producing goods as usual. Because when an energy that is often used has become very crisis and unstable, it will certainly cause other bad things to the economy and can even trigger wars to gain power in any case.

Russia and Iran have not yet been openly accused of helping Hamas carry out an attack on Israeli territory on October 7, although there is some evidence of this. At the time of the attack, Russia transferred Western military equipment to Hamas, which it captured in the war against Ukraine, in order to then accuse Ukraine of transferring it and achieve a reduction in arms supplies to Ukraine. That is, Russia at least knew about the upcoming Hamas attack, despite the fact that the preparations were carried out in strict secrecy and this came as a surprise even to Israeli intelligence. Over time, this will probably be confirmed, so Russia and Iran cannot avoid further sanctions.

The Putin regime has big problems associated with the attack on Ukraine, so it seeks to spark more military conflicts in the world, thereby diverting attention and assistance provided to Ukraine, as well as diverting the attention of its citizens from failures in Ukraine.

For the people of Palestine, the current war with Israel will not bring anything good, only additional suffering, death and destruction. But World War III has become closer than ever, although the situation is unlikely to develop into such a war. Most likely, Hamas will be destroyed and that will be the end of it.

We are aware that the main supplier of diesel fuel is Russia. Russia has been able to export diesel fuel on a daily average of about 1.1 million barrels, which indicates that Russia accounts for 10% of the global export of diesel fuel.

Now, the shortage of diesel fuel is a significant issue that seriously affects every nation's economy worldwide. And as far as I'm aware, the current answer is both reducing dependency on diesel fuel and increasing diesel fuel output in other nations.

Reference: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-21/russia-diesel-ban-threatens-to-roil-global-markets-if-it-lasts

In addition, I also want to mention another competition that we don't seem to hear much about semiconductor chip materials, almost all future technology development depends on this. And I also ask big questions about whether it can be a source of competition for big countries, specifically the Taiwan area issue, the risk of war in this area at one time seemed like we can believe that mainland China will make moves to absorb Taiwan.

The construction of a new polarized world order to avoid control from the United States on a global scale has also appeared a lot, and I also understand that the story of war is inevitable, areas are is a hot spot of war that really plays an important role in energy.

If you read from a book, you must be completely neutral and without taking sides and according to the facts. It is very easy to manipulate information through books and news.

We know here clearly that Palestine has 2 camps, namely the Hamas group (dominant in the Gaza Strip) and the Fatah group. These 2 groups also have the same goal of defending Palestine from Israeli colonialism. But their ways are different. Fatah uses the negotiation route with the aim of reducing casualties due to armed conflict, and Hamas uses the weapon/war route. In fact, these 2 camps are at odds with each other and often conflict.


Image by: https://www.polgeonow.com/2021/05/israel-palestine-control-map-west-bank-areas-gaza.html?m=1

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.aljazeera.com/amp/features/2017/10/12/hamas-and-fatah-how-are-the-two-groups-different
However, recently Hamas's influence has begun to spread to areas dominated by the Fatah group. This is due to Israel's increasingly outrageous actions in attacking and confiscating Palestinian property and places of worship.

In essence, I do not support actions like this which cause citizens (especially women and children) to become victims of the Palestinians and Israelis.

If it leads to the Israeli and Palestinian conflict there is a long history behind it regarding religious beliefs. I don't want to discuss it because it will be different from one version to another, especially as it concerns several beliefs. What I understand here is that every religion condemns murder, suspicion, plunder and other bad acts. I'm sure this is just the work of greedy individuals who are willing to sacrifice many innocent victims to fulfill their desires.

Yes, the next stage is still unexpected. It is clear that the Palestinians will not surrender easily, and they have a strong card this time, which is hundreds of prisoners, which could constitute somewhat of a deterrent for Israel.

Returning to the costs, we now see how simple tools such as “gliders” were able to disrupt the operation of the Israeli Iron Dome and the separation wall, which cost billions of dollars, in addition to what you mentioned about the cheap equipment that destroys the expensive Merkava tanks. This may constitute the beginning of a shift in the pattern of thinking about The feasibility of spending these billions on military equipment that has become useless in exchange for primitive equipment.

The continuation of battles in this sensitive region of the world will have negative consequences on energy prices and could have an impact on the global economy in general, especially with the United States sending its warships to the Mediterranean and the possibility of Iran, Syria, and Hezbollah indirectly intervening in the war.

It is tough when you summarize a very complicated situation inside 2 lines.
You see it is not that USA wants to directly eliminate Armenia and its people. It is the consequence of their plans. Armenian elimination would be collateral damage.

We all know that EU has been trying to fill the gap in its energy deficit. Caspian sea is an excellent source of all kinds of resources but because the surrounding countries are not members of NATO and the two powers from North and South (Russia and Iran) haven't allowed it both legally (categorized as "inland body of water") and by exerting power, there has not been any foreign presence in this sea to this day.

Some of these countries already have small energy exports to EU but NATO wants more, the plan has always been to use their proxy's proxy (Aliyev) to overtake the bottleneck known as south Armenia and create a link with Turkey. Then Azerbaijan would immediately join NATO and NATO forces would pour into the Caspian sea building bases there and bringing their navies.
This will also effectively choke Armenia geographically by cutting all its connection to the outside world while this then tinier country would be surrounded by all its enemies that would continue advancing in the following years taking more of its soil.

The outcome of this plan for NATO would be:
1. NATO presence in Caspian sea that would mean presence near the borders of the two super powers in the region (Russia in the north and Iran in the south)
2. NATO presence in Caspian sea to start building energy extraction infrastructure (for gas and oil) and suck all the resources out towards EU.
3. NATO presence in the area (that used to be Armenia) linking an important international corridor from Iran (East corridor and Chabahar port/corridor in South) that links to China and India and is used for international exports. In the ongoing Corridor Wars, NATO that used to have the upper hand in the seas and "sea corridors" now wants to have the same control in the land based corridors. This is one piece of that puzzle.

It is one of the considerable sources to supply Uranium, oil, gas and coal (exports to EU increased by nearly 600% last year).

I don't see the relevance. Crimes and genocide committed by a bloodthirsty Nazi dictator against Jews does not justify crimes and genocide committed by Zionists against Palestinians. Even if it did, Israel should have been built inside Germany not Palestine.

That was not a fact, that was propaganda that failed as quickly as they created it. Even POTUS who spread this lie 2 days ago went back on it and admitted that it was a lie.
You see the Palestinians who are now rising up are Muslims, in Islamic ideology they follow something such as "rape" is punishable by death. Not to mention that the channel 13 of the Israeli TV has already released at least half a dozen interviews with the militant Jews in the surrounding Gaza settlements that were released by Hamas who are stating how Hamas has treated them with respect and released any women with children.

They did not start it, the Zionists started it the day they invaded their country and occupied their lands (kind of like what happened to Ukraine). They continued it by ethnic cleansing of Palestinians. So when Palestine was presented with two options: to die or to rise up, they chose the later.
This recent battle is only one battle in a 75 year old war. The difference is that this time Palestine is packing a stronger punch compared to previous times. Also this time Palestine pulled a preemptive strike.

Not the whole world though. Only the Western Mainstream Media is with Israel. If you check out majority of Western countries, there has been lots of marches in favor of Palestine to the point that some EU members are now banning them. For example French authorities stated that supporting Palestine is punishable by 7 years in prison!!! The same in England that you are not allowed to even carry the Palestinian flag.

And of course in the East all people stand with Palestine. Right now the borders in Egypt and Jordan are packed with people who are trying to get into the occupied land and help Palestinians who are being slaughtered.
Today there is the largest marches by regular people across West Asia in support of Palestine.

Thanks for the compliment.
I try to provide a different point of view that is not the same as the status quo in the mainstream media which is mostly the Western line.

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has not yet ended; now that Israel and Hamas have joined, I am thinking about the effect it will have on other countries that are far away from them.

If this country of ours is far from Russia, we can feel the effect it has on fuel. Now,  with the ongoing war with Hamas and Israel, fuel prices will probably increase again for us in a few weeks. It's like Hamas attacked first, so when Israel attacked, they stopped attacking because two leaders of Hamas died immediately. Think that Israel is a small country, but it is also a strong enemy.

Is the USA going to eliminate Armenia? Do you think so? That's the plan? Wasn't the Ottoman Empire during the world war 1 regularly destructing Armenian people?

By the way, how can the US NATOise the Caspian sea by eliminating Armenia?

Patrick Bet-David said: Armenians are successful everywhere except Armenia. I was thinking about that and it's actually true. Armenia as a country is not doing well in every aspect but Armenians are very successful in other countries, especially in the USA: Kim Kardashian and her family, system of a down members, Dan Bilzerian and so on.

Africa is the main source of energy for Europe?

In all seriousness, what's your honest opinion about Hitler? Why was he killing Jews according to your beliefs?

I don't know a lot about Palestine-Israel relationships to be frank, I don't and can't support any of them because I lack some knowledge about their histories, I only know about Jews but when I read some great books like Walter Scott's Ivanhoe, I understand that they aren't an innocent nation.
Right now, the fact is, Palestine seriously attacked Israel and are raping and murdering women and children, they started it out of sudden and started with full force, that's why the whole world is on Israel's side. And to be frank, the support of Israel comes from western nations because of religion and at the same time it's beneficial to side with Israel because of their advancement and development and there are many influential jews all around the world.
I don't really know who is the real evil between Palestine and Israel but my heart thinks that Palestine is not the most evil between two.

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What I like about you is that you have a different opinion and you always try to back them up. You are probably a person whom I can trust more about middle east news than any other media. Take that as a compliment from me  

Hezbollah is Shia and Hamas is Sunni. They hate each other, but they hate Jews more
I wonder how long this war will last, but I'm certain there won't be a winner. They will murder thousands of innocent people on both sides and end with a truce.


Because Germans fell victim to the leftist narrative spread by left and the Green Party. Usually when socialist come to power it's game over for the economy and that's what happened in Germany.
They shut down all their nuclear plants without having enough backup in renewables, they are forcing people to use more electric cars that are more expensive to make and need power the German grid cannot supply... IMO Germany destroyed itself and the whole EU should wake up and slow down in this race to be the country with the least emissions.

I should look deeper into that myself but from what I've seen, this transition has been very slow to begin with. Then the COVID recession slowed it down even more because the budget needed to go somewhere else (trying to kick start the economy again) then came the NATO-Russia war and again the budget needed to go somewhere else (military spending).
Now another theatre of war has opened that Europe has to fund, this time the invaders so that they can use Europe's money to murder children.

I don't think we can consider them fully involved in this war at this point. To me it seems like both Lebanese and Syrian resistance branches are trying to divide the attention of the Israeli terrorists to two additional battlefields instead of one (like previous times).

So if they force the terrorists to keep 50k IDF soldiers in the Northern border and 50k in Eastern border + Iron Dome batteries in each theatre, and do it by only "poking" the enemy that means 100k less troops, air defense, tanks, armored vehicle, air force, etc. for the Southern border.
Consequently the South resistance branch can advance and reach the West Bank easier in which case a direct land based route to outside world can be created that can then be used to get humanitarian aid such as food, water, medical supplies, gas (for electricity), etc. to Gaza that currently has none.

Next stage is still unpredictable. But we'll definitely know that we're in the next phase. For example we'll see the 150k missiles in action, as opposed to a couple of shells and small missile attacks in the past couple of days coming from north and east side of the occupied Palestine.