Topic: FADE ME! - (46W - 33L) (+24.05 UNITS) FREE Daily Betting Tips - Startup Thread - page 13. (Read 12605 times)

Yes, that is correct.
Oh, yeah, I'm posting it somewhere else too and give it to my friends so that they can bet on it. I'll try my best to post it on a timely manner so that everyone will have an ample of time to follow it. I might do it later, I guess 8 hours from now.

Thanks for answering; so when I read "unit" I may read it as 1% of your roll , correct?
Also maybe am missing something but guess you post your picks before event start somewhere else as I can only see them posted  here once game is already played.

I like Palace in this match of London clubs as they look to build more room between them and the bottom half of the table. Palace are unbeaten in their last three, with back to back scoreless draws. After a short poor run of form, Palace really have pulled themselves together. They were hard down against Manchester United, having had the opportunity to go ahead multiple times. They now face a Tottenham side that has won four in a row. They come off a 1-0 win over Fulham midweek, after back to back 4-0 wins. They also host Dinamo Zagreb in the second leg of their Europa League tie on Thursday. In the League, Tottenham are 2-2-0 in their last four matches, losing to Manchester City and West Ham. These two drew 1-1 in their last two meetings, though Palace has not done well at Tottenham, this is a motivated side. A side that looked dangerous in their last match. The visitors will have a ton of confidence with their December result that they can get one over on Tottenham. The host on the other hand are bound for a trip up match.

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Just believe Santos has yet to recover from his decision loss to Jon Jones in 2019. He was out of action for 15 months after that bout and just has not been the same fighter since. Rakic dominated his only fight in 2020 against Anthony Smith and getting him at this price at UFC 259 is too good to pass up.

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Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet when the Duke Blue Devils hit the road to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels at the Dean Smith Center in Chapel Hill, NC on Saturday night. Duke has posted a 4-1 record to the over in their last five games following a straight up loss and they have that same 4-1 record to the over in their last five where they failed to cover the spread. They have also gone up and over the number in 21 of their last 29 where they faced a team with a winning % of .500 or over and they are a lights out 35-15-1 to the over in their last 51 games overall. Carolina has been an over team as well in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone a perfect 4-0 to the over in their last four at home where they faced a team with a road winning % of .500 or lower and they are an impressive 6-1 to the over in their last seven overall on their home court. They have also been able to bounce back offensively after an ATS loss, going over the number in five of their last six in that spot. Throw in the fact that these two teams played to a 91-87 UNC win when they met just a month ago in Durham and that's where we'll have our play as we think this one turns into another shootout in Chapel Hill on Saturday night.

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As per your selection on Leicester City, I believe it's time to buy low on these guys are they are far to talented to play to the level they are playing at right now. Leicester have won just one game over their last five but they are still third in the table and in a fight for one of the coveted Champions League spots. Leicester knows the importance of turning their fortunes around and I believe they get it done with a very sound road game. Brighton is in just as poor form as Leicester, having lost three of their last five (2 draws) so we don't see where they can draw motivation from in this one. Leicester has the better manager and the better players. This is a great price and we are all over it.

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As per your selection on Arsenal, this is a great spot for them to notch a third straight win. The offense, which has been a big question mark for most of the season, has finally started to find its rhythm. Arsenal has scored three goals in back-to-back games and should have no problem scoring against a week Burnley side. What's even better is that Burnley's weak attack should pose little issues for Arsenal's suspect at times defense.

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The St. Louis Blues will face off against the Los Angeles Kings in the Staple Center tonight. The Blues will look to add yet another road win against a Kings squad who has lost their last 3 straight. St. Louis is now 16-5 in their last 21 road games and 35-17 in their last 52 following a win. But the fact is the Blues are just a better team than Los Angeles. The club has better players, more depth and better coaching. The Kings are now 1-6 in their last 7 Friday games but have beaten the Blues 3 of their last 4 times they have played. I think this Blues team is going to have a chip on their shoulder after getting beat by the Kings at home in their last two contests. These two games were when the Kings went on a 6-0 run where they were playing pretty good defense. Since then, the club has lost 3 straight while giving up 10 goals to Minnesota (twice) and Arizona. Binnington seems to continue seeing the bulk of the starts for the Blues where he is holding opponents to 2.62 goals per game. I don't think that Los Angeles will have an answer for the offensive pressure that the Blues are going to come with tonight. Look, the Blues sit one point out of first in the West and will be looking to take that top spot tonight. Over the Blues last 3 games the club is averaging 5 goals per game and connecting 50% of the time on their power play! I think Jonathan Quick is in for a long night tonight and his 3.00 goals against average is going to increase. Look for the Blues to make up for the three previous losses this season and smoke the Kings tonight in LA! Take the Blues!

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When Markquis Nowell decided to opt-out for the rest of the season, he left Little Rock hanging. Nowell was the team's co-leading scorer at more than 14 ppg but most of all he was the on-court QB of his team, averaging 6 apg, directing traffic, and setting up others with open looks. Little Rock is 1-6 SU since his departure and they're turning the ball over more than any other team in the Sun Belt Conference. In fact, they're 322nd in the nation in offensive turnover percentage. This plays right into Appalachian State's strength. They're 4th in the SBC in defensive turnover percentage and they turn it over the least in the conference on the offensive end. Extra possessions are likely for App State in this one. Little Rock has covered just 7 of its last 26 games and they're on a 1-9-1 ATS slide against teams with a winning record. I'm backing Appalachian State on Friday.

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I'd say that ultimately depends on your bankroll. You could do 1% of your bankroll every bet or you could double it. Entirely depends on you. What I'm doing in the past is somehow martingale-ish style of betting (I know, it's dumb to use if you don't have huge amount of capital to start with). I usually start with 2 units per bet and when I lose, I double it to 4 units. So far, I'm doing great with it. That's also mainly dependent on the the amount of research that I got for the said match. If I'm not quite confident with my pick after losing the first bet, I'd stick with 2 units on the following bet.

The Thunder have scored 102 or fewer points in four of their last five games. They went under the Century Mark in three of those games, and they are coming in on a back-to-back after scoring only 78 in a loss to Dallas last night. This looks like a team that wants the All-Star Break to start and we just don’t see them putting up a big point total tonight against a Spurs defense that is No. 11 leaguewide for points allowed. The Thunder have been playing solid defense lately, too, so it’s unlikely they will let the Spurs run crazy on offense tonight. Both meetings this season have gone well under the posted total. These teams played last Wednesday and the total was only 201. We either think this will be a blowout with the Spurs crushing a lifeless OKC offense or that the Thunder will step up on defense and it will be a low-scoring slugfest like the last outing was. Either scenario bodes well for the under, in our opinion.

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I recently won a little twitter giveaway of WGR coin ( https://wagerr.com/) whose only requirement was retweeting a tweet and creating a wagerr wallet using reflink provided : now as a gesture of gratitude I wanna start to place bets using wagerr on wallet so to make the donor earn back on my wagering.
As thread title say I'm going to follow you and would like to hear from you about the bankroll management : what max ercentage do you think I should not get over in a single bet?

Thanks in advance for your cooperation and best of luck with your ( our   ) bets.

Winnipeg will travel to Montreal tonight to take on the Canadians. The Jets will look to build upon their success after winning 5 of their last 6 games. The club is averaging 3.3 goals per game and are scoring 23.1 percent of the time on the power play. Hellebuyck has been great all season where he has given up 44 goals on 518 total shots. The club is now 5-2 in their last 7 road games and the road team in this match up is 7-3 in their last ten contests. The Canadians have been a hot mess as of late and find themselves losing 7 of their last 9 games. The team is giving up 3.2 goals per game and haven’t found any consistency from night to night. The new coaching change has had little effect on this teams play and Winnipeg has already gotten the best of the Canadians in their last two contests winning 6-3 and 2-1. The Jets are not only playing better hockey right now but are a much more disciplined team. The Canadians shouldn’t be getting this much love from Vegas and have had some brutal losses over the last couple weeks. Look, over the Canadians last 9 games the club has 2 wins. One of those wins came from Toronto where the Maple Leafs just didn’t show up. The other came from the shady Senators Tuesday night after the Canadians previously lost 5 in a row. I really like the Jets in this position tonight. Hell, the Canadians have given up 30 goals total goals over their last 9 games while only scoring 20 against their opponents. Even worse the team has played Ottawa 3 times over those 9 games. Take the Winnipeg on the road!

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As per this selection, we like Michigan today. Michigan won by 9 points last year and this is the beginning of a home and home between these two teams as they will play each other twice. But, in the first meeting, I think Michigan gets out the wood and spanks Michigan State here. Couple things here. It's not often Michigan State finds itself as an underdog of this proportion. This is a State team that is currently in the NCAA Tournament after beating Indiana, Illinois, Ohio State - and then Indiana again. But, the difference here is that the reason why Michigan State won that game, is because Indiana shot 2/20 from 3 point land. Michigan State only made 4/17 from 3 point land and shot 20/30 from the free throw line and had 9 turnovers. Now, they face Michigan, who comes off a horrendous loss at the hands of Illinois - who was without their best player - so they simply took the night off and got beat badly. They shot only seven 3 pointers that game, scored less than 60 points, and had 11 turnovers. This team is a top 5 defense in the country, Michigan State has the ability to get blown out here as if they could barely shoot the 3 pointer and free throws against Indiana, imagine what a ticked off Michigan team might do here. I think Michigan comes out here and absolutely lays the wood on Michigan State as they win by 15-17 points this evening.

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The surprise here is that Chelsea are the more inform side heading into this top of the table clash. It is likely that one of these two sides misses out on Europe next season with West Ham and Leicester sitting above both. With a healthy Chelsea and a new manager who have reenergized this side, we expect Chelsea to be the side that comes out on top. Currently one point head of Liverpool in fifth place, Chelsea are unbeaten since Tuchel took over. Chelsea are unbeaten in their last ten matches dating back to January 24ths 3-1 FA Cup win over Luton Town. The visitors come off a scoreless at home to Manchester United after taking a 1-0 away lead in the Champions League tie with Atletico Madrid. With Everton on Monday, Chelsea will be amped up for this match. For Liverpool, when healthy, they are the most talented side in England, however they are a side that is struggling. They do come off a 2-0 win at last place Sheffield United, but are just 2-3-0 in their last five matches, including losing their last four at home. This Liverpool side is a bit lost, though they could bring a bit of confidence into this match from their last win, it was against the worst side in England and one of the worst sides in all of Europe and they needed an own goal to make it 2-0. Liverpool have won the last four in the Premier League, while Chelsea knocked the host out of the FA Cup last season. Chelsea’s last win at Liverpool came in the 2018 League Cup while their last win in the Premier League came in November 2014. With this long run of Liverpool success, we feel Chelsea will be more up for this match.

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Villanova is at home tonight where they have not lost a game all season. The Wildcats are excellent in most metrics I care about and they're better across the board when playing at Finneran Pavilion where they're 8-0 SU, out-scoring their guests by an average of more than 16 ppg. Villanova couldn't have played any worse than they did when they were run out of Omaha by Creighton on February 13. The Wildcats made just 24 of 64 shots, while the Jays nailed 71% of their 2-pointers and 46% of their 3-point attempts. Then again, they're also coming off a loss where they made just 2 of 27 3-pointers at Butler. I believe they'll bounce back with a win and cover here. Villanova ranks 5th in adjusted offensive efficiency and they have made nearly 50% of all shots when playing at home. The Jays have covered just two of their last eight on the road, while the Wildcats have held three of its last five guests to less than 39% shooting. And FWIW, Creighton is dealing with a little controversy heading into this one after HC McDermott had to apologize for a poor choice of words in the loss to Xavier. Tonight, I'm backing Villanova minus the points.

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As per your selection on Toronto, they seem to just have Edmonton's number and we see a three-game sweep as a very high possibility. Even without the services of Austin Matthews, the Leafs' depth has stepped up in a big way and the Leafs are starting to see a glimpse of what Nylander can do. They are also playing excellent defensive hockey and rank fourth in the league in goals-against per game. The Oilers can't get anything going offensively and the goaltending is terrible. Good price on Toronto here as they look for their fourth straight win.

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Minnesota made a coaching change a little over a week ago brining in Chris Finch to take over their team. Finch is a guy who believes in playing very fast on offense and shooting lots of three pointers. Since taking over the Timberwolves they have went above the total in 3 of their 4 games and are playing at an extremely fast pace of play. The Minnesota players were thrown into the fire with Finch playing 4 games in his first 6 days on the job while also traveling to play in 4 different cities during that time. They finally have had a chance to settle in the last few days and work on some new things with the head coach. The Charlotte Hornets have went above the total in 8 of their last 9 games coming into this one. They have scored at least 232 points in each one of those 8 contests and averaged nearly 240 points per game overall in their last 9.

Look for lots of points in this one. Play 'over' the total.

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Expect Sheffield United's poor run of form to continue as they host a surging Aston Villa this afternoon. Villa come off a 1-0 win at Leeds over the weekend, a great performance without Jack Grealish, one of the hottest players in England right now. Grealish is still doubtful for this match, but this Villa side is still electric. They are 2-2-1 in their last five matches overall including a 1-0 win over Arsenal and are unbeaten in their last three on the road. Sitting in ninth place a win today could move Villa up a place in the table, but could also put themselves in a great position to challenge for a place in Europe next season. For Sheffield United, they have lost their last three in a row, failing to score during that run. They are 1-4-0 in their last five matches as well. At home, Sheffield United are 2-3-0 in their last five, however those two wins were against 17th place Newcastle and 19th place West Brom. There are major injury problems at Sheffield United as well. They will likely field a third string back line and the rest of their side would not start for most Championship sides. We just do not see Sheffield United putting up much of a challenge here.

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Still not sure why Wisconsin is getting this much respect from the oddsmakers. Now they travel to West Lafayette, a place they have not had much success at for decades. Purdue has won 3 straight games and they have solidified their spot in the NCAA Tournament and now have a chance to improve their seed for the Big 10 conference tournament with two home wins. Wisconsin had a great chance to beat Illinois on Saturday without Ayo Dosunmu, but they came out flat. The final score of 74-69 and the shooting stats are very misleading, as they never led in that game and Trice scored 19 points in the final 2:30 of the game to make their 3-point shooting stats better than what they appeared to be. The favorite is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 9 games between Wisconsin and Purdue. The home team is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in the last 7 games. Purdue is 9-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 games.

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