Topic: FADE ME! - (46W - 33L) (+24.05 UNITS) FREE Daily Betting Tips - Startup Thread - page 18. (Read 12690 times)

This is the coronation of Rangers as they make the rounds in the second half of the SPL season. Rangers hold a 23 point lead over rivals Celtic at the top of the SPL after 27 matches. They are on a three-match winning streak and unbeaten in their last ten, winning nine. However, only two of those wins have been by 3 or more goals including their last two which were 1-0 wins. Away from home, Rangers are unbeaten in their last five, with all four of their last matches wins of 2 goals or less and one draw. For Hamilton, they sit in last place in Scotland. They are winless in their last four, losing the last two. It has been six matches however since their last loss of 3 or more goals. They are 1-3-1 in their last five, they played second place Celtic tight and come off a 2-1 loss at home to 11th place Ross County. Hamilton's defense has been better than expected in 2021. We see Hamilton playing up to Rangers, they will make the league leaders day tougher than expected. Add in a huge revenge after Rangers won 8-0 in November, so Hamilton's game plan will be defensive and look for chances on the break and from set-pieces.

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I like the Under here has a 16-7 Philly side host Brooklyn on Saturday night. The 76ers come off a tough loss to Portland on Thursday, losing 121-105 at home. This was the first time they had given up over 120 points in a game since their overtime win against Miami on January 12 where they gave up 134 points. They only have three games this season where they have given up over 120 as well with a season average of just over 110 ppg. While Philly is high up the Eastern Conference list on points against, they are middle of the pack in offensive scoring, scoring 113 ppg. One of the three games this season they have given up over 120 was at Brooklyn in a 122-109 loss. So looking at the previous meeting, we like for the 76ers to play a tighter defense and really press this Nets side. For Brooklyn, they come off a loss as well, losing at home to Toronto 123-117 on Friday, unlike Philly, this Brooklyn defense just does not slow teams down, but they try to out run and score them. Brooklyn is giving up 118 on average this season while scoring 122. However, that scoring average in on the downward swing after back to back games scoring over 145 points. We just do not see these two coming out and running up and down the court out shooting each other. This will be a defensive showing of sides that want to bounce back.

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We ride the Under here in this SEC clash. This is not the Kentucky side we are used to seeing. They are 5-11 on the season and just 4-5 in the conference. The magic of Kentucky just is not there right now. But they look like they are turning the corner with their last two performances, well at least on defense. Kentucky return home were they have won their last two, both SEC wins after going winless in four on the road. They played 18th ranked Missouri tight on Wednesday, losing 75-70 after seeing their offense stall against ninth ranked Alabama, losing 70-59. This all comes after their best performance of the season in a 82-69 win at home over LSU. The key to Kentucky's turn around right now has to be defense, their shooting is all over the place, but if they can limit their opponents they can do enough to stay in games. For Tennessee, they come in ranked 11thbut lost their last outing at unranked Ole Miss, 52-50. They will be pissed off coming into Saturday's game. This is the second time in three games they were held under 60 points, but again defense proved to play a key role in keeping them in the game. They have not given up more than 61 in their last three games, and that 61 was against 15th ranked Kansas. They are 5-4 in the conference and have to pick up wins to maintain their ranking. We do not see either side shooting well here as they tighten the belt on defense.

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We roll with the Canadiens here to bounce back after their horrible loss to the Senators the other night.  The Senators were winless in 9 games and finally pulled off an upset but I think they return to old form here today and have a big let down.  The Canadiens admitted they were outplayed in all aspects of the game and I think they come out hard today.  The Canadiens did out shoot the Senators 38-22 and the league's worst defense held the Canadiens to just 2 goals.  I don't think that happens here today as the Canadiens have the league's best offense scoring an average of 4.18 goals per game.  The Canadiens were also 0-4 on the Power play which I don't see the Senators being able to shut them down again.  This is a Senators team that has been horrific on defense this year allowing 50 goals.  I look for a big game by the Canadiens and expect them to come out firing taking care of business, winning by 2 goals or more.  Big favorites -200 or more are 14-3 (82%). A favorite with a line move of ten-cents or more in their favor are 28-9 (76%).  Canadiens are 12-4 in the last 16 meetings.

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We love the over here in this spot between the Bruins and Flyers. You have to think the Flyers are an active dog here tonight, having come off a loss to the Bruins which saw them blow a 2 goal lead late in the game after taking some bad penalties. You also have to think the Flyers are ticked having lost 3 times already to the Bruins this year which saw them blow a 2 goal lead in game 1 of this season series. For whatever reason the Bruins have the Flyers number this year. All 3 games have gone over so far this year and yet oddsmakers still hang a 5.5 on the board which is surprising. Since Pastrnak has returned he has been on fire and jump started this Bruins offense. He has 5 goals in 3 games and coming off a hatrick vs the Flyers. At the end of the day this Flyers team is a good team and they will be chomping at the bit for some revenge here. You also have a Bruins team that is loaded with weapons and red hot right now so you know they will get their chances. Put it all together we like the over here today. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia. Over is 36-17-1 in Flyers last 54 games as an underdog.

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Per this selection, the Bulls struggled in their last game offensively and we expect them to bounce-back a bit here. Remember, this team got Markenen back now and with Lavine along with Lauri, this team has a great 1/2 punch and they face an Orlando team that has been horrible the last 4 games but it is not entirely their fault as they have head to deal with a series of injuries including to Fultz and Isaac who are out for the year. But, they did sine Mason to a two way deal and will get some guard help today and I think what you will see is Orlando moving to a guard heavy lineup and they will run here and with Chicago coming off a horrible shooting game as well where they put up 103 points against a good Knicks defense, look for a higher scoring affair today as this game goes Over.

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The side on this game can go either way but we will roll with the total here. Couple things here, Youngstown State beat this team in 2019 so Robert Morris has a little revnge here but Robert Morris comes off one of the worst losses of Coach Andrew Toole's career. It was horrible, the opposing team scored 90+ points and it was an embarrassing defensive effort for this team which led to more defensive practices as reported. Now, you have a Youngstown State team that is an on again and off again team who is one of the few teams to beat Wright State in conference play but they can have huge let downs as well. Given that Robert Morris comes off a horrendous loss especially with a terrible defensive effort and given that Youngstown State has a tendency to shoot poorly against quality defensive teams when they are motivated, we think this likely goes under today in a surprising way.

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After losing at Napoli 6-0, Fiorentina are on a two match unbeaten run, drawing 1-1 at Torino last weekend. However at home in the League, Fiorentina are on a six match unbeaten run, winning their last two. They sit in 11th place on 22 points, seven points clear of the relegation zone. They are a strong side at home where their defense seems comfortable. For Inter, they are coming off a 2-1 first-leg home defeat in the Coppa Italia to Juventus and now travel for the second-leg on Tuesday. This loss snapped a six match unbeaten run since losing at Sampdoria 2-1. With an eye on Tuesday, this has the making of being a trip up match for the visitors. Inter are two points back of local rivals AC Milan who do not play until Sunday. Away from home, Inter are 2-1-2 in their last five matches and playing out to a scoreless draw at Udinese. Inter have won the last two meetings, both one goal wins with the last three meetings in the League at Fiorentina all draws. Inter have not won at Fiorentina since February 2014.

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I love the over in this one. Odds makers opened this total at 6.5 which signals a higher scoring game, and rightfully so as the Capitals are 8-2 to the over this year. Their goal tending has been ok this year but not great at times, as it is their offense that keeps them in games. The Capitals are averaging 3.70 goals per game on offense this year and feature a ton of weapons, especially now that Ovie is back. You also have to think the Capitals are still ticked about blowing a 3-0 lead to the Bruins this last game losing 5-3. I expect them to bounce back here and be eager for a win. On the flip side you have a Rangers team that bounced back last game beating the Penguins. The got rid of the cancer in the dressing room putting De'Angelo on waivers. I think you will start to see a better Rangers team moving forward. When you look at the opening line the Rangers opened up as a slight favorite which also signals they likely do well here today. Put it all together and we like the over. Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games following a win. Over is 11-4 in Capitals last 15 games

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Per this selection, we know that this is a low line here but let's roll with the Under here. The Nuggets went 18/23 from 3 point land against the Utah Jazz and they were simply lights out that game and these Lakers know that. The Lakers are very fundamentally sound defensively which is why Frank Vogel was brought in the first place. The Lakers have been phenomenal on the defensive side of the ball and they will want to prove a point here and shut down a team that just domianted the Jazz the game before. The Nuggets also gave up 117 points to these Lakers last time and lost 1-4 to them in the Conference Finals so they have a little revenge here too. No Garry Harris this game because of a left adductor strain but I think the most important thing here is that you have a Utah team that will get up to play the Lakers, it's a primetime game that will have all the playoff feel to it and the Lakers are likely to lock down heavily defensively as well.

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Ohio State lost to this team last year and I think they will remember that loss. They are better, longer, deeper this year and this team is a top 10 team for a reason. Yes, Iowa is fantastic. But, do not forget that Ohio State is still a top 10 team as well and Ohio State has been able to score with relative ease all year this year and it is their defense that gets them in trouble sometimes. You have a Iowa team that just thumped Michigan State as well who have no issues scoring the ball, but the games they tend to struggle are against athletic teams who are able to run the floor even better than them. Remember, Iowa gave up 99 to Gonzaga, over a 100 points to Minnesota with overtime and 81 to a suspect Indiana offense at times. I think Ohio State can be an active underdog today with revenge and Iowa is suspect on the defensive side of the ball and I think this game will be a high scoring game, with Ohio State leading early on and even at halftime and then Iowa makes their come back as this game goes over.

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We like the visitors here as they come off a 2-1 loss at Barcelona, snapping a five match winning streak, including a Super Cup win over Barcelona in mid-January. Though they are in 11th place, they are one of the inform sides in La Liga. They play 14th place Valencia on Sunday, so we expect a stronger side to line up then Real Betis who play Barcelona. Aside from the loss to Barcelona, Athletic Bilbao had won their four previous away matches. For the host, they come off a 1-0 home win over 17th place Osasuna and are now unbeaten in their last eight matches. They sit in seventh place and are just two points back of Real Sociedad for the last European spot. With a match against Barcelona on Sunday, they are likely to make key changes that we feel will give the visitors the edge. The visitors have won the last two meetings and three of the last four. Their last meeting in the Copa del Rey was in 2014 with Athletic Bilbao winning 2-0.

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Its tough going against the Bruins but do you think the Flyers have forgotten what the Bruins did to them a few weeks ago?  Flyers took an early 2-0 lead in game 1 and blew it, losing 5-4 in a shootout.  The following game the Bruins blasted them 6-1.  Since then the Flyers have won 4 in a row and I think they are just salivating at the chance to face the Bruins again.  Carter Hart allowed 10 goals in those two games so you know he will eager to face them again.  Many had picked the Flyers to be in the thick of it come playoff time and challenge for the cup.  This is a chance for them to make a statement against an elite team like the Bruins.  On the flip side the Bruins come off an emotional roller coaster of a series against the Capitals.  Game 1 saw them down 3-0 only to come back to force OT and lose 4-3.  The last game they were down 3-0 again and stormed back scoring 5 unanswered goals to win the game.  I think they are in for a let down here in this spot.  They are slow starters and that is simply not a winning formula long term especially against elite teams.  I think the Flyers are out to prove something and while getting some revenge, while the Bruins likely have a let down here.  Give me the Flyers at home to get the job done.  Flyers are 6-2 in their last 8 games as a home underdog.  Flyers are 35-17 in their last 52 home games.

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Per this selection, Atlanta beat this team by 4 points last yaer but we're more focused on the fact that Luka and Dallas really need a big win here. This game is more than just about Luka vs. Young the trade that surprised a lot of folks but a trade that I think worked well for both teams - Atlanta picked up Hunter and Reddish off that trade and both guys are playing well. But, with Kleber back for this game and possibly Kristaps also playing here too - not to mention Richardson now back for Dallas, this is a decent spot for Dallas to do well as they head out East for this 1 game. Remember, Hawks could be hungover from the very tight loss to the Lakers so it could be tough to get up for the Mavericks who are just 8-13 out of the gates and on a 6 game losing streak. Hunter possibly might not play here for the Hawks but I think more than anything this sense of urgency is very big here for Dallas and I think they play well today.

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Per this selection, we roll with the Under here as Alabama comes off a rare loss in their last game against Oklahoma where they were outscored late in the game as Oklahoma went on a 7-0 run despite Bama leading by 1 point late in the game. Also, LSU gave up a record number of 3 pointers to Alabama last time around, about 21 (3 pointers) which was stunning as Bama dropped 105 points on this team. Will Wade's team has not given up on this season at all as they nearly beat Texas Tech away from home and let a late lead and a 7 point lead slip away in the final 2 minutes. They basically nearly beat a top 10 team on the road which shows you a lot about the caliber of this team and the ability to still fight and still hang in. I think LSU might actually cover today but don't want to go against Bama off a loss. There were 180 points scored between these two last game and we don't see that many points being scored this game between these two squads. Look for a hotly contested contest that could fall in the mid 150's today as we have this contest around 80-74 today.

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Liverpool have righted the ship after a three match winless run where they lost back to back matches including a 3-2 loss at Manchester United in the FA Cup. They have now won back to back matches, both 3-1 wins including a win at Tottenham. They return home for this match, having snapped their long time home winning streak with a 1-0 lost to Burnley. Though with a huge match against League leaders Man City coming up this weekend, we expect Liverpool to have an eye on their next match. For Brighton, they are unbeaten in their last four and will arrive in Liverpool in the best form they could possible manage. They also beat Tottenham, winning 1-0 over the weekend at home for a 3-1-1 run over their last five matches. They played Manchester City tight in mid-January, losing 1-0. Away from home, Brighton are 2-1-2 in their last five away matches as well. In their last 25 away matches, Brighton have only lost three by 2 or more goals. These two drew 1-1 in November, snapping an eight match Liverpool winning streak. This will provide Brighton with a ton of confidence heading into this match.

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Today we are rolling with the Avalanche at home here to get the job done as they just faced the Wild in Minnesota and split the series 1-1 coming off a 4-3 OT loss. The Avalanche lost some key players in that game in Johnson and Mckinnon. Both are not likely to play today but that's ok, as the Avalanche are an extremely deep team, with plenty of weapons. The Avs have won 3 straight at home outscoring opponents 18-3 in that stretch. They will likely have Grubauer back in goal today who has a 1.76 GAA on the year. Regardless if he starts or not we still love the play. Its tough to beat a team twice, especially an elite team like the Avalanche. This also matches a profitable system this year in the NHL as home teams are 57-19 (75%) this year. While Favorites off a loss are 37-10 (77%). Take the Avalanche at home today to bounce back and grab a win.

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We roll with the Blazers here. Remember, this is a Portland team that just got destroyed by Milwaukee 106-134 and I think they get back on track here. They do have Philly on deck here but they are 1-2 on this road trip, and with Washington winning a shocker over Brooklyn, a game they never should have frankly won but it took a terrible in-bounds play and back to back 3 pointers to win that game, I think they have a let down here. The body of work for Washington is not great as they are 4-14 and I think Portland will come out focused today after a terrible defensive effort against Milwaukee who was red hot in that game. Yes, Washington gets up for the very good teams, they beat Brooklyn twice, but can they grind? Can they beat normal mediocre teams here and I don't know if they can grind and we will roll with Portland here who is much better on defense, who comes off a bad loss and who will be motivated to play well here as though they are shorthanded, their bench is starting to come together of late as well.

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Per this selection, let's take a shot on Wake Forrest to hang tough here at Notre Dame. You have a 5-7 team here in Wake facing a 6-9 team here in Notre Dame. Wake Forrest just beat Miami by 12 points and played fantastic defense and they hung in there against NC State and lost by just 5 points. This team is coached by Steve Forbes and he has done a fantastic job turning around this once Danny Manning coached team. Remember, this team recently beat Pittsburgh as well when they got their first conference win, and then they did beat Miami as well for their 2nd conference win - and Miami just beat Duke recently and Wake was able to hold them to 55 points which is pretty impressive. Notre Dame has looked good and they just destroyed Pittsburgh but do they have a big let down here? Wake Forrest plays hard, they hung in there and lost by just 4 points to Virginia Tech, they have good depth, they know they are getting better and Notre Dame only runs 7 deep so given how hard Wake plays on the defensive side, this could tire Notre Dame a bit here. Let's roll with Wake here as they continue to believe in themselves and play hard and I think they hang tough today.

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We like Juventus in the first leg of this Coppa Italia semifinal. Juventus come off a solid 2-0 win at tenth place Sampdoria over the weekend for their fourth win in a row and their fourth clean sheet in a row. They have outscored their opponents 10-0 over these four matches since their last loss, a 2-0 loss at Inter. Away from home, Juve have just one loss in their last 13 matches, winning five of the last six. For Inter, they continued their strong run after knocking out local rivals AC Milan 2-1 last week with a 4-0 win over 12th place Benevento at home. The host are unbeaten in their last six matches since losing at Sampdoria. We expect a letdown from Inter's high power attack coming off a 4 goal outing. Inter's win in January was their first over Juve since 2016. With away goals in use for the semifinal, expect Inter to alter their style a bit, not wanting to make a mistake and allow a Juve goal. However, changing their style of play will only give Juve the opportunity to get the upper hand in this two-leg match up.

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