Topic: FADE ME! - (46W - 33L) (+24.05 UNITS) FREE Daily Betting Tips - Startup Thread - page 21. (Read 12658 times)

We like this spot for a step out today as we roll with the Bruins at home. The first question you have to ask yourself is why are the Bruins a team that has yet to score 5 on 5 and rank last in scoring, averaging just 1 goal per game, favored over an elite team like the Flyers? I think that is a red flag right there. The stock has never been lower for the Bruins and yet they are favored. You saw the same thing with the Pens and Capitals recently, as the Pens were favored having a record of 0-2 and outscored 12-5 and favored over Washington and yet won both. I think there is some real urgency right now inside the Bruins organization. Yes I know they are without Pastrnak and Chara was let go. This is a top tier organization that is used to winning and playing at the top level. They were shut out in their last game, losing 1-0 vs the Islanders. Prior to that they lost to the Devils who are a bottom tier team only managing 1 goal. I think the Bruins are ready to bust loose here and need to pick up some goals and a much needed win. I know the Flyers are off to a hot start, and many have picked them to be at or near the top of the division and battling for the Stanley Cup. That said this is their first road game of the season in 4 games and with Boston playing with some extra energy I think the Flyers could come out a bit flat today. Add on the fact that Tukka Rask thrives against the Flyers posting a 15-2-4 career total against the Flyers with a 1.94 GAA and a .934 save percentage. Put it all together and I like the Bruins at home to grab a much needed win. Great public fade to boot as everyone is grabbing the Flyers at this price. Flyers are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings in Boston. Underdog is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

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After crashing out of the Copa del Rey to lower league side Cornella 1-0 two weeks ago, Atletico bounced back with an easy 2-0 win over fifth place Sevilla to maintain their four point lead at the top of the table, even though they have played two fewer matches than second place Real Madrid and Barcelona. They have now won six of their last seven matches and in La Liga have won their last two on the road. For Eibar, they are holding in 15th place, two points clear of the relegation zone, but they are coming off back to back losses, also having been knocked out of the Copa del Rey to lower league side Navalcarnero on the road. At home in La Liga, Eibar did win their last match, 2-0 over seventh place Granada, but were winless in their previous nine, including a 3-1 loss to Real Madrid. Last season, the home side won each of the matches with Eibar winning the last meeting 2-0. However, this is a much improved Atletico side and one who has played super motivated all season.

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Today we are rolling with the Wild on the road today. Look the last game the Wild were shut out by the Ducks, which came off back to back games where they had scored 4 goals. The Wild rank 2nd overall with shots on goal, and you have a Ducks offense that ranks 29th averaging just 1.3 goals per game. I think the Ducks were on the fortunate end of some stellar goaltending. The Ducks lack offense and their only hope this season to win any games is getting lights out goaltending each night which I do not see happening. The Wild have the #10 rank offense averaging 2.3 goals per game and I think they bounce back here as they are the much better team. Wild are 10-3 in their last 13 road games. Ducks are 6-21 in their last 27 games following a win.

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We roll with the Cavs here as I think it would be hard for these Nets to get up for these Cavs. Can the Cavs keep it within single digits here? I think quite possibly they can. I do think the Mavs do well today but the Pacers come off an ugly loss to the Clippers so we stayed away from that. Per this game, the Cavs are going to be more than excited to take the challenge of the mighty Nets but I think the Nets could simply care less about these Cavs as they come off a huge win over the Bucks and the Magic. Look for Cleveland and this young squad to be excited and play their hearts out and hang tough this evening against the Nets.

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Kentucky just lost by 7 to Auburn and lost by 20 to Alabama - but they did beat Florida by 18, beat Vandy and beat Miss State. Those are wins that one cannot ignore and yes this team did win 3 in a row but then got beat some what badly against the Alabama teams in Auburn and Alabama. However, I do beleive Kentucky is getting better. Kentucky has beat this team the last 10+ times and though Georgia comes off a great win over Miss State, Kentucky is off back to back losses on this road trip, and we like Kentucky to bounce-back here. So, how does Georgia handle coming off their first SEC Win? Remember, Kentucky has Texas, LSU, Missouri and others on deck, they have to win this game and if they do not, things can get off the rails very quick as they will have their first losing season since the 1930's. Let's roll with Kentucky's sense of urgency here.

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Who does not like to lift a trophy more than Cristiano Ronaldo. Juventus come off an uninspiring 2-0 loss at Inter Milan over the weekend which kept Juve in fifth place in the league. This loss snapped a four-match winning streak including a 3-2 extra time win in the Coppa Italia. As the home side, Juve are on a three match winning streak and knocking in goals, scoring 10 over those three matches, however their loss at Inter was their first match in their last four where they failed to score. For Napoli, the come off a 6-0 home win over Fiorentina which extended their winning streak to three matches. Like Juve, Napoli have been knocking in goals, however we see this as a major letdown match even though this is a Cup match, coming off a 6 goal winner. As the away side, Napoli are 3-2-0 in their last five, winning the last two. These two last met in the Coppa Italia in June when Napoli won in a penalty shootout after a scoreless draw. This was Napoli's second win in a row against Juve, snapping Juve's three match winning streak. So add in a trophy on the line, Juve coming off a bad loss to second place Inter, Napoli dropping 6 goals in their last match, and Juve's revenge over losing in the Coppa Italia last season, and we expect this top tier clash to end in Juve's favor in regular time.

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Michael Chiesa is taking a big step up in fighter talent this morning against Neil Magny. Neil has won 3 straight fights and 5 of his last 6. We get the more experienced fighter in Magny against Chiesa, a fighter that has not fought since January and I do not expect him to be on the top of his game for this fight.

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We roll with OKC here as we suspect they will be a quality active dog here and push this game over the posted total. Note, that Denver comes off a horrible effort at the hands of Utah scoring just 105 points, look for them bounce-back offensively here and also look for OKC to be a fantastic active dog as well as this game likely goes over the posted total today.

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Today we like this one to go over the total as Ottawa is likely to be an active dog. The Sens started the season off with a bang as they beat the Leafs 5-3 as a big dog. Then next game out vs the Leafs they were able to hang tough but lost just 3-2. We spoke about it in our futures that Ottawa is going to come in under the radar and be a pesky team. They added some nice offensive pieces in the off season to give some support up front. I think they still lack depth on defense which is why you are likely to see them win game 4-3 or 5-4 etc. On the flip side you have a Jets team that is coming off a loss last night against the Leafs that saw them score just one goal. This was their first road game, and now play a back to back and will go to their back up goalie Broissant who will make his first start of the season. I think you will have a Jets team eager to rebound from only scoring one goal, but also may be a bit fatigued later in the game. Put it all together with both teams off a loss, I like the over. Over is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Over is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games as a road favorite. Over is 4-1 in Senators last 5 home games.

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Sure, folks will take Missouri and that's fine but keep in mind that South Carolina does come off a loss, was great against LSU, went toe to toe with Houston and lost by j ust 10 points, and also beat A&M by 24 points. You have a Missouri team that has Tennessee on deck and I think South Carolina has a great shot at shocking Missouri here. Remember, Missouri struggled against MIssisissipi State, and lost to Tennessee by 20 points. South Carolina is a fantastic defensive minded team, off a loss and we like them to rebound the ball very well against a somewhat undersized Missouri team and consequently we like USC for the cover here today.

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Leicester has a chance to go top of the league today with a win over a hot and cold Chelsea. The host are in third place in the league on 35 points, two points back of leaders Manchester United. Leicester are unbeaten in their last six and are riding a three match winning streak. This side are hot right now, they have one of the best striking lineups in England and can hurt teams easily. At home, Leicester are 3-1-1 in their last five matches with the three wins all clean sheets. Chelsea currently sit in seventh place on 29 points, six back of Leicester. They have won their last two in a row, both clean sheets after a three match winless run were they lost to struggling Arsenal at and home to Man City. Both sides come off of matches against sides in the bottom three, Leicester beat last place Southampton 2-0 at home while Chelsea won at Fulham 1-0. Each side has won only once in this series over the last five meetings with Chelsea winning the last head to head meeting 1-0 at Leicester in the FA Cup back in June. With three draws between a win, this is always a hotly contested matchup. Overall, Leicester is a more cohesive side, they play a better team style game and will find themselves on the winning side on Tuesday.

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If you are Kansas, you are upset about the 37 fast break points you gave up to Oklahoma State in a shocking loss this team had obviously looking forward to this game. But because of the Covid protocol and cancellations, it has given this team some extra days to prep for the best team in the nation in Baylor. Baylor has fantastic athletes and great talent but Baylor is also looking forward to this game because they nearly lost to Texas Tech looking ahead to this game and as Coach Drew mentioned that Tech beat them to most of the 50/50 balls. As Kansas's coach Self has called his team slow in the last game, and Drew has called his team lacking effort in the 50/50 balls, and this being a decent public fade, I think defense will be very stout today and look for both teams to play phenomenal defense here as this game goes under the posted total.

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We are rolling with the Hurricanes as this sets up for a great spot for them to do well here. Look the Hurricanes come off a loss to arguably one of the worst teams the Detroit Red Wings losing 4-2. Coach Brind'Amour said after them game they gave up more break aways in that one game then they did all last season. Carolina is too good to have that happen again and I expect them to have that shored up fixed for this game. This is a team that has tons of weapons on defense and offense. Nashville comes off back to back wins against the Blue Jackets that struggle to score. If you watched those games, Columbus was the better team for the majority of those games despite the score. I expect the Preds to have a let down here. I think we are getting a great price on the better team here. Odds makers have made the Hurricanes the favorite for a reason and I agree. Take the Hurricanes to bounce back here and grab a win. Hurricanes are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. Hurricanes are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Nashville. Hurricanes are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.

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We roll with Milwaukee here as we think though Brooklyn had a phenomenal game from Harden last game, this is going to be difficult. Milwaukee is a fantastic defense and they will be up to face these new look Brooklyn Nets. Look for Milwaukee to get up for this game, Giannis missed 10 of his 11 free throws last game, look for him to bounce-back as well today and consequently look for the Bucks to get after it here and consequently this will be a bigger blowout than people realize as Milwaukee is a gelled team and it will take some time for the new look Nets to beat an above .500 and more competitive teams.

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I've been big on AC Milan for a while and Monday is no different. They sit on top of the table in Italy, having played one less match than rivals Inter Milan, but level on points. AC Milan are coming off a penalty shootout win over Torino in the Coppa Italia, this was their second win in a row, having bounced back from a 3-1 home loss to Juventus. At home, AC Milan are 3-1-1 in their last five matches and though the visitors have a number of players out, they are deep with talent and these players will want to prove they should be first choice anyway. For Cagliari, they are just one point above the relegation zone having lost five in a row, including a 3-1 loss in the Coppa Italia at Atalanta on Thursday and are winless in their last 10-matches. They have lost their last two in a row at home, though they have scored at least one goal in their last nine home matches. AC Milan have won three in a row in this series, all three clean sheets.

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here is always a chance of a knockout in UFC, but I just do not see it in this fight, and I expect it to go the distance. Holloway has the experience and that is why he is favored in this fight, but Kattar is more than capable of winning this fight, likely by decision. Max Holloway has been in a ton of fights that have went the distance (4 straight fights) and I see this one being no different. We are laying some juice, but value still is there on this fight going over 4.5 rounds.

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We are rolling with the Over he as this clash as top of the table implications. Leicester City look to extend their unbeaten run to five matches and make it three wins in a row on Saturday as they hold onto fourth place, where they are level with Manchester City and Everton on points. Leicester have been rich in goals of late, dropping 4 on Stoke City in the FA Cup and 2 goals in each of their matches against Tottenham, Manchester United, and Newcastle. Three of their last four matches have hit 3 or more goals, which is not a surprise. This is a very attack minded side which leaves their very average back line exposed. They have one of the best keepers in England, but when you are left out to dry, there is only so much you can do to keep goals out. For Southampton, they are still holding strong in seventh place, three points back of Leicester, but have just one win in their last five matches, a 1-0 shock win over Liverpool two weeks ago. Unlike Leicester, Southampton have been in a goal drought since their 3-0 win over last place Sheffield United six matches ago, scoring just twice. Away from home has been a bit of a different story for Southampton though. They are unbeaten in seven and have scored 12 goals over that span. The last three meetings have hit 3 or more goals including a 9-0 win by Leicester City at Southampton in October 2019, though the visitors did win the last meeting at Leicester 2-1 in January 2020. In short, Southampton have been rested, they could lack a bit of sharpness early which could lead to a Leicester goal, but on the other side, Leicester have been grinding without much time off, so freshness could catch this Leicester side out, forcing a high pace back and forth match.

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Hands down Leeds might be the most excited and stressful side in all English Football. After years of dragging their fans through a dramatic fall from grace as one of the original Premier League sides, they are back in the Prem and find themselves in a solid place to be back next year. But they are weak in the back, coming off back to back 3-0 losses which followed a 5-0 win at West Brom. Four of their last five matches have hit 3 or more goals. They are just 2-3 in their last five matches as well, but this has them in 12th place, nine points clear of Brighton in 17th place. Leeds have won their last two at home as well. For Brighton, they come off a hard fought 1-0 loss at Man city coming off a 1-1 penalty shootout win over lower league side Newport County in the FA Cup. Brighton against the bottom half of the League have racked up the goals, playing to a 3-3 draw against Wolves and a 2-2 draw at West Ham. Leeds are a face and fiery side, they can put 3 or 4 goals on a side, but they can also give up 3 or 4 goals quickly.

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Today we roll with the Avalanche who are in a prime position to bounce back here and get some rapid revenge. Odds makers have the Avs the clear favorite to win the cup this year, and they even said after the game " they thought they could just come in a take a win". Also saying they just "sat back and watched in the first period". They got out shot 17-5 in the first period yet they were down just 2-1. The 2nd period they seemed to settle in and out shot the Blues and held them off the score sheet. What did them in was the 3rd period where the turn overs finally caught up to them. The coach for the Avs said he was shaking up the lines but they simply cant let the turnovers continue. The Blues came in with a chip on their shoulder last game with something to prove, having just won the cup in 2019 and not having a good showing last year. The Avs came out flat and it showed. I don't think that happens here tonight again at home, and I think the Avs come out firing and strong out of the gate. Add to that the Avs only score one goal last game, which I don't think happens here. The Avs don't want to go down 0-2 to start the season. Take the Avs tonight at home. Avalanche are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Blues are 3-7 in their last 10 games as a road underdog.

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Per this play, Orlando continues to play hard but the issue they have now is of course their inability to win ballgames without Fultz. And, they are without Fournier over the last 6 games which has hurt them as well but if their full lineup is they are quite talented. Having said that, they have enough starters to get it done today and if you are Boston, you have literally no one to suit up today. They had to cancel their last 3 games simply because they did not have the minimum 8 players to play, and no with Tatum also on the Covid list, along with Brown and Walker, who does this team truly have? They have several young players and backups and I think the difference here is that 3 Orlando Starters along with the bench for Orlando can beat the "B" team if you will of the Celtics and we will roll with Orlando, who comes off one of its worst losses of the year to bounce-back nicely here.

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