Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value - page 6.

crypt0heaven

full member

Activity: 182

Merit: 100

Quote from: CornCube on December 08, 2017, 09:54:15 PM

Quote from: Trolololo on October 22, 2014, 12:47:44 PM

In this OP I will always post the last updated chart:

Update 2017-01-03:

Donations: bitcoin:1Fe6B3Zo4HxaCD8ybi9A8zBRH2wKpciUxe

Calculate today's trendline value HERE

I sketched a hand (inaccurately) drawn update of the green price line (did not update the regression):

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/plateau-move-or-phase-transition-followed-by-crypto-winter-2550946

what a god damn prediction, to infinity and beyond Cheesy

CornCube

newbie

Activity: 56

Merit: 0

Quote from: Trolololo on October 22, 2014, 12:47:44 PM

In this OP I will always post the last updated chart:

Update 2017-01-03:
https://s3.postimg.org/kmzui60kj/logarithmic_03_01_2017.jpg
Donations: bitcoin:1Fe6B3Zo4HxaCD8ybi9A8zBRH2wKpciUxe

Calculate today's trendline value HERE

I sketched a hand (inaccurately) drawn update of the green price line (did not update the regression):

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/plateau-move-or-phase-transition-followed-by-crypto-winter-2550946

TwoCorn

member

Activity: 135

Merit: 10

I recommend you guys check out this thread:

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/beti-bitcoin-exponential-trend-index-and-technical-analysis-470453

It's similar and is updated fairly regularly. Please read the OP because it explains how the numbers are calculated. Enjoy!

mithrim

sr. member

Activity: 434

Merit: 436

Very impressive work, I'm quite sad that I didn't discover this thread earlier. And it doesn't matter that the formula suggests $4.011 for todays price as there is always spread. But it will be good guide for the coming months/years.

Well done!

vit05

hero member

Activity: 672

Merit: 526

Quote from: mmortal03 on November 30, 2017, 11:41:57 PM

People should donate to him. Hopefully he still controls the associated wallet.

Yep. I think it will be great if he confirms that still own that address. Because this prediction was great and he deserves some tips.

mmortal03

legendary

Activity: 1762

Merit: 1011

People should donate to him. Hopefully he still controls the associated wallet.

SeksiStarlord

full member

Activity: 384

Merit: 107

Quote from: Trolololo on October 22, 2014, 12:47:44 PM

In this OP I will always post the last updated chart:

Update 2017-01-03:

Donations: bitcoin:1Fe6B3Zo4HxaCD8ybi9A8zBRH2wKpciUxe

Calculate today's trendline value HERE

I would love to see an updated chart now. If he is not around anymore maybe someone else has the skills to do it? We need it updatedfor the next years! Cheesy

adam1230

legendary

Activity: 1218

Merit: 1001

This is the best prediction i ever seen. You are a genunie genius.
This is working like a charm and hell yea we are aiming to 1.000.000 USD by 2026

Xynerise

sr. member

Activity: 322

Merit: 363

39twH4PSYgDSzU7sLnRoDfthR6gWYrrPoD

Holy shit this is spooky

JKWong

newbie

Activity: 31

Merit: 0

I am a newb in data but I am sure I could input this somehow into excel so it would give me the price on my chosen dates right? So I could plot my expected holdings and end value if I would say dollar cost average 200€ per month (or any other value)?

Can someone teach me please ? Cheesy

a1choi

sr. member

Activity: 323

Merit: 254

crazy how close the prediction was. is there an updated chart?

Sanglotslongs2

full member

Activity: 260

Merit: 129

Quote from: jpouza on November 28, 2017, 08:07:15 AM

Amazing, Nostradamus like stuff Grin

Very good predictions, I´m impressed.

Yes, it found out it was good, the 10k on 22-11-17 was a little bit scary Wink

And 100k will be after the next halving IMO. I hope 2018 will be a good year for bitcoin tech improvement with all that stuff bitcoin core are developping right now.

tradingdisaster

full member

Activity: 307

Merit: 100

0xb58D6E68944e195420843fA98c4A3481a5914282

OP, where did you get your data for "spread" from? And what does it mean?

jpouza

legendary

Activity: 2716

Merit: 1116

Amazing, Nostradamus like stuff Grin

Very good predictions, I´m impressed.

danielwwt

member

Activity: 122

Merit: 10

Very interesting.

Feels like you are from 2021!

Kryptowolf512

full member

Activity: 420

Merit: 105

German Translator - Hire me on Bitcointalk!

Wooooooow..... He almost predicted the 10k Bitcoin at the same date. Holy.... Not bad dude

Denker

legendary

Activity: 1442

Merit: 1016

Quote from: crocozino on November 27, 2017, 07:09:39 AM

ok, we are pointed to 100l in three years?? fine I'm ready to ride
but I'm sure there would be huge corrections and humps during this flight to 100k
are you guys ready?

Well $100k in three years still sounds unimaginable for me. But the world has never seen something like that before. A new asset class which could suck up so much money from all different markets out there. Bitcoin acts like a giant vortex no one can escape from.
We're slowly reaching levels where it starts to feel a bit scary.Especially because we are moving up so quick! Many people will feel tempted to sell some coins, especially if they bought around end of 2014 and 2015 or even earlier than that. There will definitely be lots of profit taking imo.Will be interesting to see and how strong the buys will be on certain levels.

crocozino

sr. member

Activity: 420

Merit: 250

ok, we are pointed to 100l in three years?? fine I'm ready to ride
but I'm sure there would be huge corrections and humps during this flight to 100k
are you guys ready?

hritevanz

member

Activity: 182

Merit: 10

Quote from: Trolololo on October 22, 2014, 12:47:44 PM

In this OP I will always post the last updated chart:

Update 2017-01-03:

Donations: bitcoin:1Fe6B3Zo4HxaCD8ybi9A8zBRH2wKpciUxe

Calculate today's trendline value HERE

Seeing the chart gives me hope to keep on trusting bitcoins. I probably will hold my coins until it reach the value of year 2021. This graph also shows the price difference from the start for which other might think that bitcoin is experiencing of what we call "bubble". Bitcoin is really something. Great for the chart you have done.

uslfd

full member

Activity: 294

Merit: 100

Extremely interesting equation.
Running it today, it shows BTC price should be at $4000 instead of $8000.
Maybe indeed there is some truth that btc is experiecing some sort of bubble right now

Topic: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value - page 6. (Read 117741 times)