Exactly, Bagnai has the advantage again, but I think he won't risk too much now, especially if Martin is behind him, better a safe second place than too much risk and a crash, a crash of Martin or Bagnaia is currently decisive for the world championship, I think the pressure is now more on Martin than on Bagnaia, Bagnaia will be world champion with a lead of between 10 and 15 points, I think.
With the cancellation of the Sprint Race on Sunday at Phillip Island, Australia, it is certainly very detrimental for Jorge Martin and very profitable for Bagnaia, even though Jorge Martin still has the opportunity to chase points again this week in Thailand. Because in four main races and four sprints, of course there is still enough time for Jorge Martin to reduce the points gap with Bagnaia, even though Jorge Martin is starting to feel pressured by this because of the current points distance.
He just needs to be conservative enough in the races remaining and I am pretty sure when you have over a race advantage over you direct opponent you can manage it quite well.I think Bagnaia has more experience as he won the title last year if I am not mistaken and this greatly improves your psychological feeling against all other opponents,you have some sort of great and better self esteem than anyone else in this season as you are the reigning Champion and the one who has to risk it all if he wants to get something out of this season is definitely Martin,in this context he has nothing to lose so he will most probably try everything out in the remaining races.
In general, Bagnaia only needs two more wins in the Sprint Race and the rest is for the second podium so that Bagnaia can secure the world championship this season because Jorge Martin will appear persistent in every remaining series this season. However, I also need to see whether Bagnaia is really able to defend his championship title again this season because as far as I know from several riders who wear number 1 after being world champions, they always find it difficult to defend their championship in the following season with the same manufacturer. So maybe this will be new history if Bagnaia is able to win again this season with a European manufacturer which rarely wins consecutive world championships.