That didn't go nearly as close as I imagined, but today I wonder if Iceland might be a bit of an overestimation
Liechtenstein isn't a team to tear up the manual but I feel they have it in them to win 1 in 10 games, not 30, against Iceland? Their only recent good result was a 1-1 draw against Armenia so I'm probably throwing money away but:
100 units at Fairlay on
Liechtenstein to WIN vs Iceland @31.00. Other odds: 27.40
Units advantage: 360
Running advantage after 39 bets: +3940 (+360)
All-time cumulative: +87,194
Running units after 38 bets (7W|31L): +3146 (-100)
Azerbaijan could not do anything against Austria
No more national team bets? It seems to me that a bet on Kazakhstan against Austria with odds of 14.50 may be promising.
I missed that one actually, I agree, that was a value bet... Kazakhstan was also 14/1 when they were behind in today's match vs Denmark at HT. Too bad I didn't take that opportunity up
I tell you, these Asian/Caucascus teams aren't TOO bad...
It's nice to see you coming back with your famous thread. I hope you will continue to make big profits
Did you take a "boost" from Sportsbet to get those odds?
Which odds comparator are you using btw because Odds Portal gives me 13.39 for Azerbaijan (but I guess it's the odds of the last minute before the game had started)
https://www.oddsportal.com/football/europe/euro-2024/austria-azerbaijan-ANTUoJoiThank you, and I appreciate when you guys come in. I always intended to give this section of the forum a thread that gives trackable results on a particular strategy. Don't you hate that most tip threads cherry pick results, and don't even give an actual performance on bankroll? I do wish I had the energy to do this daily as I did before but still, to have 5 consecutive seasons of performance, chronological and on bankroll, it is enough of a sample to say this strat works for me
I used to just use oddschecker (but beware they use promo odds, which is only applicable to first bets, at low max wager), but I find that for crypto sportsbetting, it's enough to check Pinnacle odds, and then check on the main books -- at the moment, Sportsbet with the boost (which is where I took 27.40 odds on the bet above, boosted from 25/1), Fairlay is competitive on longshots and early markets, FortuneJack, Stake, Nitro are Pinnacle derived too, so aren't really useful to compare UNLESS you use promotions, which I make note off when I bet (FJ and Stake have seasonal cashback which give incredible value).
Obviously odds shift over time so I only publish odds at the time I post/bet. I find early markets are pretty awesome value, but that can change with sudden injuries or form over 2 or 3 weeks so... it is a gamble. But I also use historical odds. e.g. If team A has an early market (3/4 weeks away from actual match) and has lost 3-4 games in a row, books give them shit probability, but I love that as odds only get worse as they win games coming up to the market.