The weird thing (other than the war affects your life in no tangible way, whatsoever) is that you didn't actually articulate a single original opinion in your post. Its just a mishmash of b.s. from propaganda sources that already resonated with your brain. You're basically a human zombie tentacle of a Russian propaganda botnet. You believe you have free will and your own opinions, but your words suggest otherwise.
The concept of analyzing current events and using the analyses to make predictions about future events is, I've found, nearly impossible to explain to normies. That's one of the reason why most normies never get anywhere financially or in almost any other way. They live their lives pay-check to pay-check and are typically plowed under before their expected lifespan after being damaged by elements of the corp/gov plantation system never having the foggiest clue about what's going on...and never giving a damn anyway.
Nobody I can think of is competent for me to listen to about almost anything, and certainly not something as complex as the geo-politics surrounding the Russian SMO. Sure, I've got sources who I pay more attention to in order to understand objective reality. On the other end of the spectrum there is an ocean of propaganda which is also worth paying some attention to so I know what is going on in hive mind of the low-info classes (e.g., nutildah). That information is also valuable in formulating predictions to make use of in structuring my own life.
It blows me away that the typical mainstream media sources who, several years ago, were circulating stories about the Russians fighting with shovels are still credible to people like yourself. But there it is. Shrug.