The US and Nato lost, even if things drag on for a while.
It depends...
Russia lost more than half of its military. It can retrain soldiers, but most of its modern armament has been lost. Analysts say they've lost its offensive capability for 10-15 years.
They did not reach their goals like taking Kiev, assassinating Zelenskyy and planting their puppet government.
They lost trade deals with Europe and some military deals with countries who saw Russian jets and helicopters being decimated by modern missiles.
The counteroffensive isn't going well, but let's not forget that Russians were surrounding Kiev and now they're hiding in the trenches hundreds of miles to the East.
IMO there's no clear winner or loser here. The war is ongoing and it's not going to stop just like that. This conflict is going to continue for years, pretty much the way it is in Gaza.
Russians effectively pushed Ukraine into the arms of the EU and NATO. If that's a win, I wouldn't want to be the winner.
The trolls in Youtube, forums and Twitter are calling game over and have been doing so for quite a while...yet everyday there are clashes, minor advances - sometimes no that minor compared to the RF offensives last year.
This is obviously targeted to the US and EU population since the RF believes that people are actually as ignorant and stupid as they are and the support from NATO countries will fade if they cry loud enough about non-existent claims of "offensive having failed". It is very easy to spot since they were first questioning the offensive and then stated calling it a failure from day 0.
The fact is that Ukraine has barely used 10% of the assault forces, US and Europe are supplying materials to replace the losses and it is clear on the battlefield that the technical superiority of the US artillery systems is demolishing the RF arty positions. Not to mention the recent declarations of a well-known RF general point out the serious issues that the RF army has to hold the lines with a very limited supply - and getting demoted immediately. This is to be taken with a pinch of salt, but still credible.
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/07/12/europe/russian-general-treachery-accusations-ukraine-intl-hnk/index.htmlA senior Russian general in command of forces in occupied southern Ukraine says he was suddenly dismissed from his post after accusing Moscow’s Defense Ministry leadership of betraying his troops by not providing sufficient support.
Gen. Ivan Popov was the commander of the 58th Combined Arms Army, which has been engaged in heavy fighting in the Zaporizhzhia region. He is one of the most senior officers to have taken part in the bloody Russian campaign in Ukraine.
Popov said he had raised questions about “the lack of counter-battery combat, the absence of artillery reconnaissance stations and the mass deaths and injuries of our brothers from enemy artillery,” in a voice note published on Telegram late Wednesday.
That is not a coincidence - Ukraine has been targeting supply lines and depots well behind the enemy lines since they got the stormshadow.
The fact is that nobody would be surprised if Ukraine liberated Bakhmut - just 10 times faster than the RF took to invade it.
As I have said many a few times, f
ronts do not collapse on frontal blind assaults, but after a period of attrition, diminishing supplies and general low morale, it can happen at pretty much any time. Oh, and as a clue, some sources are saying that Ukraine has more active tanks than the RF as of now.