By the way, are you betting on who will win most medals in this olympics?
It will be interesting to know what odds bookmakers give for China and United states.
It will be really difficult for the Chinese to beat the Americans. Athletics is scheduled for the last few days and US is much ahead of China in this discipline. During Tokyo 2020, despite playing in familiar weather conditions the Chinese couldn't get past the Americans. Back then US finished at the top with 39 golds, and Chinese trailed them with 38. This time I expect the gap to be wider. Anyway, China is a rapidly ageing country (their population is naturally declining for the last few years) and it will be reflected in the Olympic medal tally.
In the covid delayed Tokyo Olympics the difference was of Gold Medal was just one between the two nations. Also if we see the overall medal race, the USA got 113 as compared to China 89.
I don't think it would be a surprise if America is on the top and most of the predictions too suggest the same.
Also the countries that host the Olympics usually get more medals and this time i think that France may double or triple the gold medals they gain in Tokyo Olympics.