Topic: The impact of Russian and Ukrain war on world economy - page 14. (Read 13245 times)

Information about what the Ukrainian army took up positions on the left bank of the Kherson region. (in particular, that the Armed Forces of Ukraine were seen on the banks of the Dnieper north of Oleshki (7 km southwest of Kherson) and advanced to the northern outskirts of the settlement along the E97 highway west of Dacha (10 km south of Kherson), for the first time reported by the American Institute for the Study war (ISW) with reference to videos of Russian military bloggers with geolocation and text reports.

However, the operational command "South" of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was even outraged by such a message, pointing out that the premature announcement of such information could harm the course of this military operation and advised to be patient in order to receive good news when it was safe for the Ukrainian military. Therefore, the Armed Forces of Ukraine did not confirm, but did not refute such information.

Sources:
https://newsua.ru/news/90432-kiev-potreboval-ot-luchshikh-studentov-isw-soblyudat-informatsionnuyu-tishinu-po-povodu-nastupleniya-vsu

https://kordon.org.ua/vvsu-zanyali-platsdarm-na-levom-beregu-hersonshtin-idet-prodvizhenie-k-oleshkam-v-isw.html

https://focus.ua/voennye-novosti/562273-territoriya-uderzhivaemaya-ukrainoy-vsu-zamecheny-na-levom-beregu-dnepra-na-hersonshchine-isw

I don't think that this is accurate.

I have checked the territorial changes in all the major frontline cities. Apart from Bakhmut, fighting is underway near Vuhledar, Avdeevka, Kreminna, Kupiansk, Marinka, Huliaipole and Kherson. Out of all these cities, Ukraine has gained territory only in Kherson region (and that too very small area to the North of Oleshky, where the Russian troops were not present). With each passing day, Ukraine is losing hundreds of their soldiers and making further territorial losses. I don't know how you are saying that the Ukrainians are advancing.

On April 27, speaking at a joint briefing with the Prime Minister of Luxembourg, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg stated:
“In general, through the contact group led by the United States, NATO allies and partners have provided Ukraine with unprecedented assistance. More than 98% of the combat vehicles promised to Ukraine have already been delivered. This means more than 1,550 pieces of armored vehicles, 230 tanks and other equipment, including a large amount of ammunition.”
According to him, more than nine new Ukrainian armored brigades have been trained and equipped thanks to the support of partners.

That is, almost all the heavy armored vehicles that were promised to Ukraine from NATO countries are already in Ukraine. Yes, most of the received equipment is not directly from the factory conveyor, but the situation in Russia is even worse.

In addition, Stoltenberg added: "This will give Ukraine a strong position for the further reconquest of the occupied territories". As you can see, NATO has no doubts about the successful offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Sources:

https://news.pn/en/politics/290066

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.dp.ru/a/2023/04/27/nato-vooruzhenie-i-podgot&ved=2ahUKEwj4k67S1Mr-AhWDxgIHHZGQDboQFnoECB8QAQ&usg= AOvVaw0sZg-RpBf9TyjW3Twtdbwq

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.belarus.kp.ru/online/news/5246105/&ved=2ahUKEwj4k67S1Mr-AhWDxgIHHZGQDboQFnoECAsQAQ&usg=AOvVaw06uEq-qCOOe426iKICYZBA

By the way, despite the prolonged rainy weather, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are already slowly starting to advance. Now, pinpoint strikes are mainly carried out on accumulations of manpower and equipment, ammunition depots, air defense and MLRS of the invaders are being destroyed. At the same time, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have already crossed to the left bank of the Dnieper, seized a bridgehead and are slowly pushing the Russians to the Sea of Azov. Let the soil dry and we'll see.

Lol dude, do you actually believe what you write? Even in the West, few people seem to believe in the success of the publicized Ukrainian offensive, which has already been postponed for so long. Ukraine has dramatically few planes, much fewer tanks from Europe than promised (and only 60 new Leopards, the rest is rusty rubbish), dramatically few artillery shells, dramatically few air defense missiles, the "offensive guard" trained at the training grounds of Europe has no real combat experience . In such scenarios, conducting an offensive operation is like suicide. Ukraine now cannot even defend properly, although it is much easier to defend than to attack. Well, good luck.

Russia's military attack on Ukraine had a strong impact not only on the global economy, but also on the overall security of the world. Now humanity is on the brink of a nuclear war, the danger of which comes from Russia.

Russia was counting on an easy walk in Ukraine, but after a year and a series of military defeats, having awakened the beast, it is afraid of the active actions of the Ukrainian army already on its territory. One of the possible versions of the expected offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is an armored strike in the direction of the Russian Tula, given that there are no significant combat-ready units left on the territory of Russia itself that could offer serious resistance, and the civilian population is hardly capable of this. It was in the first days of the war, when about 7,000 different Russian military equipment rushed from Belarus and, due to the short distance, this armada immediately found itself near Kiev, more than 20,000 Kievans picked up machine guns to repel Russian aggression. This is not expected in Russia.

After that, the Russian military command will be forced to randomly organize defense and withdraw its units from the occupied territory of Ukraine. By the way, about 370,000 Russian troops are currently stationed on the territory of Ukraine. About 20,000 more arrive in Ukraine every month. Approximately the same number (that is, about 20,000) Russians are dying in recent months in Ukraine. When Russia weakens the front in the east and south of Ukraine, then the Armed Forces of Ukraine will strike the main blow there. In Russia, this development is clearly aware, so the Kremlin's propagandists are already preparing the Russians for defeat from Ukraine.

The question of the results of the counter-offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine for China is already closed. They understand that it will be successful. Therefore, they are now trying to protect the Russian army from defeat as much as possible. And the state itself is from collapse. So they will be able to put pressure on Russia to enter into peace talks on Ukraine's terms.

  During a recent visit to Moscow, Xi Jinping and Putin signed an agreement on the non-deployment of nuclear weapons in other countries. But immediately after that, Putin, realizing the catastrophic situation of his army in Ukraine, began to threaten that he would deploy it in Belarus. Therefore, Xi no longer counts on any agreements with Putin. In Ukraine, they have long understood that it is useless to negotiate with Putin, and that he understands only the language of force. And here the positions of Xi Jinping and Zelensky coincide. In addition, China has repeatedly sent signals to Russia about the inadmissibility of using nuclear weapons. It is logical that no one in the world needs such a war.

On April 26, for the first time since the start of a full-scale war, Chinese President Xi Jinping called Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.
After the conversation, Beijing decided to send its special envoy, Li Hui, to deal with what they call the "crisis." The key events of the war between Russia and Ukraine should take place in the next few months.

At this point, let's make some things clear:

1. I am not Russian
2. I don't live in Russia
3. I don't support Russia
4. I don't watch RT or any other Russian channel

I'm not surprised however, as you as a slavic person (I presume you're Ukrainian?) become aggressive and take it to the personal level. I don't like propaganda and I don't tolerate lies. I don't have anything against you personally and the Ukrainians in common.

Getting back to our discussion:


What's this? I can't see any source? How is it related to our previous discussion?

Meanwhile, the British began to explain about capitalism. Bank of England Chief Economist Huw Pill is in touch.

Well, in general, you understand that the evil Russians are to blame for everything and now the good British have become poorer, although it is difficult for them to accept this without clear explanations from the chief economist.

And now a few words about "propaganda channels". Take, for example, your favorite RT!
The founder and about him: "TV-Novosti is a media organization associated with the Russian government. Funded from the federal budget of the Russian Federation. Through its subordinate media, including RT, it spread pro-Kremlin propaganda and disinformation and supported Russia's aggressive war against Ukraine."
The channel is under sanctions and restrictions
Now the same information about moscowtimes - please provide?

Not going to deny these facts. The war has created a spike in the prices for wheat, sunflower oil and fertilizer. But in the long run, the prices will come down. Because if the retail price remains much above the cost of production, then other countries will increase their production of these commodities and eventually the prices will come down. For example, USA and Australia are among the top producers of wheat. The farmers in these countries have already increased the net cropped area in 2023, encouraged by higher prices.

It is undeniable that the continuous hostilities between Russia and Ukraine have had a major effect on trade, notably on the availability and costs of certain goods like wheat, sunflower oil, and fertilizers. These products are mostly produced and exported by Russia and Ukraine, whose conflict has disrupted supply chains and raised prices and shortages.

Congrats, you've reached a whole new level of retardation.

1.1. It's over there, quoted just above your text. 
1.2. Np, just post any latest "news" from moscowtimes.ru and I'll refute it easily.
2. What can I say? You're indeed retarded... I was referring to countries having access to the Baltic Sea and your lie about it becoming NATO's internal sea.
3. Great way to find out if you're arguing with a troll - no facts or proof, just baseless insults

I will specifically save your original text in full - everyone should enjoy it

1.1. "Why do you keep quoting moscowtimes.ru? It's a CIA-linked propaganda site." - evidence and facts that this is a CIA PROPAGANDISM SITE?
1.2. Can you refute the facts that this resource publishes? If yes, please provide proof? )))

2.
Say SWEDEN and FINLAND, are they the same in your mind? I have to disappoint you greatly...
Sweden has applied to join NATO. The signature remained for Turkey and Hungary. It will happen this summer


3. “Wait, if illegal employment collapsed, is that really great for Putin? Will taxes be paid more?” - no, just the SEGMENT OF THE ECONOMY, which is not being replaced by the real sector, just collapsed. Learn the basics of economics - that's my good advice to you


PS Tell me - do you really like to look so stupid?

The Statista Research Department recently published the difference between Urals and and Brent oil price a few days back, and the data can be accessed here:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1298092/urals-brent-price-difference-daily/

As you can see, the spread has decreased from a peak of $37 per barrel to around $20 per barrel as of now. Increased demand from China has resulted in lower discounts for India. The latter still accounts for more than 50% of the Urals imports, but after factoring in the insurance and freight, the overall discount has narrowed down to single digits.

Initial leak by Russian propagandists:



You can see clearly that the spaces don't match, the bullet points are not straight, and the whole text is out of order
Now, the original:



And now those weird spaces after 7 fighters and 8 rotary wings make sense since it's 72 and 82!
Same with the shitty 600 because it was actually 6,004!

You perfectly understand that it is foolish to demand from the participants of this forum knowledge of the contents of the original secret documents, which were recently leaked from the United States to social networks. Therefore, the discussion on this topic is really useless.
Now both sides in the war - Ukraine and Russia are preparing to intensify hostilities after the soil dries up and there is a good opportunity to use heavier armored vehicles. I don’t know about Russia, but Ukraine is going to attack and expel the invaders from its territory within a month and a half. The result of this offensive will put everything in its place and make this dispute irrelevant. But the events themselves promise to be very interesting.

CIA released a bunch of fake documents after the leak to try and create such doubts about the authenticity of those documents and also to spread their propaganda. In other words they did it to make the best out of a bad situation.

That just proves that you have no idea what is going on in the world.

How do you know those secret documents have been edited? Have you read the original, and can you show us what the original says? I won't talk about the war because we don't have the final result yet, so it's pointless to argue because everyone has their own opinion. But the abandonment of USD by countries is happening, and it does not need China to spread. Even their closest allies are slowly realizing the absurdity of the US, and the USD being replaced is just a cycle of world currency because no one can stay on top forever.

https://news.bitcoin.com/french-president-emmanuel-macron-states-europe-must-reduce-its-dependence-on-the-us-dollar-to-avoid-becoming-vassals/

Don't tell me these articles are spread by China and Russia

Well, here you obviously exaggerated everything in the style of Kremlin propaganda.

First, the released secret documents from the United States were edited before publication. For example, they underestimate the losses in the Russian war and overestimate the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. This points to their editing by the Kremlin. But even these documents do not indicate that American intelligence sees no prospects for victory for Ukraine. It states that the war may drag on and reach a stalemate, since neither side will be able to achieve a clear victory. But this is only one of the possible assumptions. Before the Russian attack, they also assumed that Ukraine would not last even seven days against Russia ...

Secondly, the United States and Europe are united in their desire to provide all possible assistance to Ukraine as much as it will be necessary for its victory. Putin's propaganda is trying in every possible way to break this unity and sow doubt in them about the effectiveness of the assistance provided to Ukraine.

Thirdly, that the countries intend to gradually abandon the dollar, this information was born in China and is promoted in every possible way. So they are trying to weaken the United States, with which China may have a military confrontation. This hype appears not for the first time and periodically disappears.

Global trade that was still recovering from pandemic. Food prices have soared, since Russia and Ukraine are major suppliers of wheat and sunflower oil, and Russia is the world's top fertilizer producer. Between this two country's war other European countries is facing such and such problems for millions of people less directly affected, the sudden shattering of Europe's peace has brought uncertainty and anxiety.

While supporters of rashism suffer from the painful haze "Ukraine will not win", we will get acquainted with the new package of "improvements" in Russia

Of course, this item must be the first.
This is really "unparalleled", though in the civilized world. This is an ordinary legalized Middle Ages, and almost slavery. This is what I'm talking about. Federation Council this week, without much discussion and debate, passed the law. The law is like the law, but there are nuances As you know, the "second army of the world" turned out to be a fake, and was actually defeated. In 2024, the terrorist country will have presidential elections. Well, like elections. The next show, where 130% of the population will vote for Putin, will be crowned and appointed the god of the whole world for life Therefore, Putin is afraid to carry out another OFFICIALLY ANNOUNCED mobilization - his electorate is already not very pleased, having become massively receiving coffins with their relatives who were called to kill civilian population of Ukraine. What to do ? The army is evaporating before our eyes, the criminals for PMC Wagner are over, ordinary idiots were killed for the first and second mobilization. But it is necessary to replenish the ranks of disposable soldiers, and arrange new "meat assaults", because. the noose on the gallows in The Hague is increasingly coming to Putin in dreams And a way out was found. Mobilization is not announced, but the entire population becomes slaves who have no rights and for whom the constitution does not apply, but there are only slavish obligations to implement the complexes of the Kremlin ghoul!
So what is this law about? And now the most important thing
1. Now all citizens of military age become the objects of the call.
2. The existing mechanism for the transmission of the summons to the call is cancelled. No one will hand over any subpoenas.
3. The new system looks like this - the state register of public services, it simply publishes an electronic agenda there. And then you thought - "well, I published it, okay. And if I'm not connected to this service, or I don't use it, it won't affect me!"
but Putin's painful complexes find excellent solutions!
4. Every resident of Russia IS OBLIGED TO CONSTANTLY CHECK his personal account for the presence of an agenda! And even if you did not register there, this does not bother anyone and does not give you the right to avoid punishment!
You say - but this is nonsense!? No - this is Russia!
If within 20 days from the date of publication of the summons in the state register, a citizen did not appear at the military registration and enlistment office for conscription (to go and die in Ukraine), the punishment system begins to work!

The law states that from the moment the summons is served until the personal appearance at the military registration and enlistment office, the conscript is prohibited from leaving the country. At the same time, we recall that the summons will be automatically considered delivered from the moment it is posted in the user's personal account on the State Services portal.
If the summons is ignored, the conscript in the next draft campaign is ordered to appear at the military registration and enlistment office voluntarily. If he does not do this, in twenty days, according to Andrey Kartapolov, he will face the next loss of rights: a ban on driving a car, on registration of individual entrepreneurs and transactions, on the opportunity to take a loan from a bank. Also, local authorities will be given the right to deprive dodgers of benefits, payments and other support measures.
In addition, no one has canceled the “traditional” measures of influence: a fine for failure to appear on the agenda in the amount of up to three thousand rubles or criminal prosecution with the prospect of receiving a prison term of up to two years.

Those. the classic scheme of disenfranchised serfs who "are obliged to go and die, because the master so desires"