Topic: The impact of Russian and Ukrain war on world economy - page 18. (Read 11386 times)

 
Fuel prices are already coming down, but not back to their original price since the war is still going on, but food prices are still high. I can't feel their decrease, and I think they are still going up because of the recent typhoons as well as the earthquake. Low-income earners are now struggling; they tend to cut back on half the food that they purchase, like instead of buying 1 kilo of fish, they will only buy 1/2 kilo so that they can save on other things. I think it will worsen this year, but I am hoping that it will not.

I don't agree with this statement completely. Crude oil prices were already quite high due to policies implemented by Joe Biden after he assumed office as the POTUS in 2021. When the invasion started on 20th February, crude oil (Brent) was trading at $90 per barrel. Currently Brent is trading at $85.26 per barrel. The real impact have been on natural gas. At times, the price went as high as $3,000 per thousand cubic meters and this meant that a lot of manufacturing units within the European Union either had to shut down, or had to scale down the production. 

It is now 2023 but the lingering effects of the ukraine-russia war are still being felt. What was most felt from the impact of the war was the rising fuel and in the end it also affected other basic commodities. Maybe everyone already knows that because they feel the impact, but what makes me confused is why until now the price hasn't come down?

due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which eventually became a war not only militarily but broadly spread to other sectors. especially in the supply of oil and gas needs, where there are still many countries that depend on it, which clearly has a negative impact on countries that really need oil and gas whose prices are increasing.
it is not surprising that with this impact many economic sectors have been disrupted due to the inability to meet demand, especially for the factory sector which employs many employees, which has been forced to stop.

The UN was created after the Second World War by the countries participating in the anti-Hitler coalition; a new organization to replace the ineffective League of Nations was to prevent future wars. By the way, Ukraine was the initiator of the creation of the UN. Now the UN has become completely ineffective in the light of this task. All due to the fact that Russia is a member of the UN Security Council and blocks the adoption of any decisions that are not beneficial to it. It is clear that the UN Charter needs to be amended so that a country that is accused of violating UN provisions should not vote in this case.

Good must have the ability to defend itself against evil. But this does not mean that humanity always needs to have bad people. Russia's nuclear weapons are of some importance in this war, but not decisive. Ukraine will also defend itself if Russia uses nuclear weapons. The use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine will have almost the same negative effect for both Ukraine and Russia due to the territorial proximity of these states. If not everyone in Russia is an idiot, they must understand this.

History taught us that the civilized world would not have been without those colonial empires that wrestled with each other over the goods of the colonies. The civilized world established the United Nations Organization after fighting two devastating world wars that led to the rise of new powers.
The situation, in my opinion, is that we cannot live in a world without bad people. What aggravates the current situation is that Russia is a nuclear state, and this is what hinders the process of confrontation and accountability. The same applies to all the other powers that today play the role of the dove of peace in the Ukrainian war. Are America, France and Britain today the representatives of peace in the civilized world?

Agree! The sharp rise in oil and gas prices created problems for everyone. And even more so in countries where people already have not very high incomes. That is why all such terrorist regimes such as the Kremlin should no longer appear on the planet. They cannot coexist with the civilized world in a mutually beneficial way, they always strive to break all laws, destroy everything that is possible, and only make things worse. These are destructive regimes both for their countries and for the whole world. I hope this terrorist war will end soon, and the market will return to normal numbers, and the indicated countries, or rather their population, will breathe a sigh of relief!

I think - its the oil prices which has made the things problematic for the locals
Like in Sri Lanka and Pakistan and other poor countries
Unless and until the problem will be resolved - this will countiune

In my country the increase in the oil and gas price has made a very harsh impact on economy - most of the industries and companies are shutting down their operations.
The impact on Ukraine and Russian war on the economy is very brutal and it will last for another year or two.

Yes, there is a real problem with the EXACT calculation of the victims. On the side of Ukraine, the dead Russians are considered as follows (I apologize for some moments, not the most pleasant, but we comply with the laws of warfare, and worthy of respect for the dead enemy):
- On the battlefield, the body of the deceased was found with signs of belonging to the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation (of different structures, regardless of the type of troops)
- The body of the deceased was found on the battlefield with secondary signs of belonging to Russia (camouflage, weapons, shoes, ammunition items, food rations, etc.)
- Remains / parts of bodies were found after the detonation of the striking element or ammunition (tank / armored personnel carrier / armored personnel carrier / MLRS / ...). Such crews are sometimes not possible to "collect", therefore they are counted by parts of the bodies, and the expected standard of the crew.
The bodies of these dead terrorists are kept in our morgues, mobile morgues (refrigerator cars), or if it is impossible to save them, they are buried, a file is made about each buried person, with photographs of unique elements, by which it can then be identified and transferred to relatives . The biggest problem here is that the Russians never actually take the bodies of the dead, refusing them, and do not inform their relatives ....

The second part, the counting mechanism, is based on actual provable materials:
- Documented (photo / video reports) defeats of enemy personnel, with fixation of the bodies of those killed on the battlefields, which are under the control of the terrorist army.
- If it is impossible to determine the number of people from the remains (you can’t imagine what will remain in the hull of a tank or armored personnel carrier after a Javelin or Stugna hit), the standard number of crew for this type of equipment is recorded.



The data from the Kremlin is probably a little more accurate (including belonging to one or another type of troops, terrorist non-military companies, etc.). they more accurately understand how many of their soldiers did not return from battle / sabotage, etc., knowing the staffing of the unit and the real presence of living / wounded units. BUT, at the same time, one must also understand that in Russia it is customary to significantly underestimate their real negative indicators ...

Igor Strelkov (Girkin) in his videos says that the new mobilization will take place after the first major defeat of the Russian troops.  In my opinion, the more people involved in the hostilities, the longer they will last.  And during this time, people can be convinced of anything with the help of propaganda. 

During the Covid-19 pandemic, I was very surprised by the fact that people very easily give up a normal, prosperous life....

During the pandemic, people were ready to voluntarily sit in self-isolation at home, not go out anywhere and wear masks, while hysterically scolding those who did not wear masks and went to various events.  At the same time, logically speaking, there is no evidence that self-isolation and wearing masks can interrupt the development of the epidemic.  If people were told that they should not leave their home for 10 years, then I am sure that they would not even try to go outside for 10 years. 

Perhaps it was during the coronavirus pandemic that the old people began to hate the youth, who, instead of being afraid of the virus, went to parties and had fun?  Maybe it's the revenge of the old people? 

Now people are taught that you need to constantly fight, because life is a struggle.  Old people willingly believe in it, young people do not believe it and strive to escape from the country or hide.

The Russia vs Ukraine war has been going on for more than a year, for the countries that were directly involved, of course, the impact of the war was very much felt, I worked for a company that needed raw materials from Russia so that when there was a war it was difficult to get these raw materials, and once replaced them with imports from other countries but the quality is not as good as raw materials from Russia.

It is a huge number. But always remember that Russians would try to downsize their casualty numbers and the Ukrainians would try to inflate the Russian casualties. The real number lies somewhere in between.

According to U.S. military, the number of dead and wounded among the Russians stand at 180,000 as of end of January 2023. General Eirik Kristoffersen (Norwegian chief of defense) has also provided with exactly the same number. If you take a ratio of 1 dead for every 3 wounded, then it comes to 45,000 dead and 135,000 wounded. I don't have any reasons to believe that the Americans are underestimating Russian casualty numbers.

Out of this number around half would be regular Russian soldiers or those who were mobilized. DNR and LNR have lost anywhere from 7,000 to 8,000 KIA. Remainder would be volunteers and members of PMC Wagner.

This is huge loss - on both the end. It is high time for the Putin to think on the humantain ground. I wonder if he doesn't think for his lost soldier?
The lives Russians have lost in battle - the scars will remain forever.

These are the numbers of Russian losses in manpower according to the data of the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

However, according to the latest report, which was provided by the Russian Ministry of Defense to Putin on January 28, the irretrievable losses of the dead and missing in the war in Ukraine amount to more than 176,000 people. Of these, the losses of the regular army - 126,567 people, the losses of private military companies - 44,012 people, the losses of the National Guard - 6284 people. These data do not include the losses of the mobilized so-called DPR and LPR, since these losses are not of interest to Russia.

I second the point mentioned above that - Russia will have 2 or three  more waves of mobilization maybe in March/June.
Perhaps there will be a third wave in the summer / autumn of 2023, but since more powers are joining hands with Ukraine  it is likely that by this time the Russian army will be irreversibly defeated, and internal problems will tear apart the power in the Kremlin

The second question is very valid - those who are so cruel that they can kill their neighbours and they have raped the women
Then surely they can do only harm to you and no good.

I agree with the Dr Beer question
The war load would want power and they have been doing it since ages and nothing will change

I will ask two simple questions (I apologize in advance for the content of the questions):
1. Tell me, why during the Second World War, Europe, Britain, the United States did not sit down at the negotiating table with Nazi Hitler Germany?
2. Situation - you are attacked by an armed criminal who has already killed your neighbors, ruined their house, burned down a neighboring store, parking lot and cafe, killed many people, and openly declares that he came to kill you and seize your housing, and he does not care about anything laws, rules. And you know that he is a recidivist, and has already killed, robbed, raped, and now he is free.
At the same time, he has already raped your wife and maimed your children, and he is aiming at you with a machine gun, and his partners put a gun to your head ... You will tell them "hey guys, come on, let's sit down and talk, discuss the situation! ".

Just be honest?

This conflict  has not only caused devastating  impact on economies of Russia & Ukraine, but also its spillover impact disturbed the global economy at large & created significant challenges and disruptions. The ongoing conflict has  reduced trade & investment flows & led to decrease in economic growth. Additionally, the economic uncertainty, increasing risk of security & disruption in supply chain has far reaching impact on global economy, which will continue suffering until this war comes to an end. International organizations like United Nations, NATO & European Union should intervene to bring both parties to the a negotiating table to reach a peaceful  settlement to end this conflict.