Topic: The impact of Russian and Ukrain war on world economy - page 17. (Read 13382 times)

Your self-hypnosis deserves a special award. Tell me - when it's pouring rain, smog, dirt outside the window. Do you find a resource where it says that you have the sun and hot, put on flip flops, shorts and a T-shirt, and go to the beach? 

Those. indicators of REAL prices on exchanges, information even from Russian STATE publications, specialized companies that write and publish data on real transactions at real prices, reports from the Ministry of Statistics and the Ministry of Finance of Russia on the global drop in oil and gas revenues, and failure to fulfill plans to fill the budget through the sale of oil and gas - "not suitable information" for you, because you want it to be different? 

a few excerpts from the expanses of Russia itself:

- If in 2019 Gazprom's profit amounted to more than 1.2 trillion rubles, then in 2020 - only 135.3 billion rubles. The main reasons for the decline were the depreciation of the ruble and the fall in gas prices.
https://www.rbc.ru/business/29/04/2021/608a65999a79473d576883ba
- Gazprom reported a decrease in profit from 2.7 trillion rubles to 747 billion rubles year-on-year At the end of 2022, Gazprom's net profit under RAS amounted to 747.246 billion rubles, follows from the company's financial report. In 2021, Gazprom reported a net profit of 2.684 trillion rubles.
- The Russian monopolist Gazprom reported a drop in gas production in 2022. Thus, in January-September the company produced 313.3 billion cubic meters. m of natural gas, which is 17.1% (64.8 billion cubic meters) less than in 2021. At the same time, fuel exports to non-CIS countries amounted to 86.9 billion cubic meters. m is 40.4% (by 58.9 billion cubic meters) less than in the same period last year.
https://news.obozrevatel.com/economics/economy/dobyicha-i-eksport-gaza-iz-rossii-ruhnuli-otchet-gazproma.htm
- Russia's oil and gas revenues almost halved in February
https://www.forbes.ru/finansy/485672-dohody-rossii-ot-nefti-i-gaza-v-fevrale-sokratilis-pocti-vdvoe

Russia as an occupying country in its aggressive war in Ukraine is openly supported only by the Lukashenka regime (but not Belarus as a whole) and Iran. North Korea provides some support, and the world is now closely watching China's further actions after the recent trip of its leader to Russia.
In general, the entire civilized world is on the side of Ukraine, which is defending itself from direct Russian military aggression. Given that more than 50 states are providing all possible assistance to Ukraine, including military, as well as Russia's threats against many countries, this greatly spurred the arms race both in Europe and in the world as a whole. European countries are transferring Soviet-Russian equipment to Ukraine, and in return they receive new NATO equipment. Thus, rearmament is being accelerated, in addition, budget spending on defense is increasing. Few imagined that this could happen in Europe in the 21st century.

There is an article in Intellinews, which explains why Urals price is meaningless:

https://www.intellinews.com/urals-oil-price-is-increasingly-meaningless-allowing-russian-owned-refineries-in-europe-to-build-up-slush-funds-271098/


Tax revenue for the Russian government has gone down, but oil companies such as Lukoil are making record profits. Lukoil is showing price of Urals crude as $40 per barrel in their returns, and then transporting this crude to the refineries that they own (ISAB refinery in Sicily, Zeeland Refinery in Rotterdam and refineries in Burgas and Constanta). Lukoil then process this crude and sells products at record margins. For the first three quarters of 2022, Lukoil increased the net profit to $8.6 billion. For the same period, Rosneft reported a net profit of $9.4 billion. Gazprom Neft reported profits of $6.7 billion (4x increase YoY). 

The impact of war on the global economy is devastating, as seen in the shortage of oil and other essential resources. The ongoing conflicts will continue to affect the world's economy, resulting in rising inflation and instability.

War certainly brought a broad impact, the Russian War vs Ukraine occurred for more than a year and of course involving many countries, European countries supported Ukraine and many countries that supported Russia, of course the impact of war is very difficult as an increasingly difficult economy.

despite of the fact there have been arrest warrant issued for Putin nothing has changed so far -

I perfectly understand to whom the author so "subtly" sent a primitive insult Well, what else can you expect from a person who globally loses intellectually, except for a pitiful attempt, at least somehow, to insult primitively? Unless, of course, the word intelligence can be applied to my opponent at all

But let's not do the work of a psychiatrist, but move on to reality, from which someone just "be.closed"

So, from open sources, where prices are published from open sources. I focus on open sources, because "under the carpet" Russia actually sells much cheaper than the MARKET price. So, what about our prices?

1. December 2022 - to date - a corridor of approximately $55-50 per barrel. Real-time chart and real price, for buying "HERE AND NOW" (i.e. without discounts on large lots, in which India and China buy oil from Russia)
https://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil-urals-spot-futures
2. The most Russian newspaper, openly (that is, with the permission of the Kremlin), writes to us verbatim:
"Russia is selling oil to the Chinese at huge discounts amid Western sanctions, up to 20-30% of the cost."
And please note - this is before the introduction of the marginal price!
https://www.gazeta.ru/business/2022/06/20/15012116.shtml?updated


The question is - so which of us is an alcoholic, who, judging by the complete isolation from reality, has been tormented by delirium tremens all his life?

PS Attempts by pro-Russian propagandists to wishful thinking always look pitiful, funny, and always a primitive lie, which my opponent proved here with the utmost quality!

The history of Transnistria is a very tragic story.  Initially, there was a single country - the USSR.  

The so-called Moldavian Soviet Socialist Republic was then the place of compact residence of Moldavians.  Ethnically and culturally, Moldovans are closest to Romanians.  At the same time, Moldova is a purely agrarian country, Moldovans specialize in agriculture.  At the same time, an industrial territorial entity (the so-called Transnistria) was artificially included in the Moldavian SSR, the majority of the population, which was predominantly not even Russians, but Ukrainians.  

It was the Ukrainians who were the titular nation in this region.  And from the point of view of common sense, Transnistria, of course, should have been part of Ukraine, and not Moldova.  

Alternatively, this region could be included in Russia (the former RSFSR), since there are a lot of Russians in Transnistria (the second largest nationality after Ukrainians).  But the problem was that Transnistria does not border Russia, for Russia it is an enclave.  

Since no one planned the collapse of the USSR, Pridnestrovie was part of the Moldavian USSR.  When the USSR collapsed, Moldovan troops attacked the peaceful cities of Transnistria (it was a national conflict).  In particular, the city of Bendery was destroyed.  It was a terrible disaster.

Fortunately, a smart, honest and determined Soviet general, an ethnic Ukrainian Alexander Lebed, was found.  Thanks to his decisive actions, this war was stopped, and the killing of civilians was stopped.

Exactly ! PMR is the territory of Moldova, temporarily occupied by a terrorist country, Russia!

A little history of the birth of the PMR - another "metastasis of the Russian world". After the collapse of the ear on clay feet, USSR. Anti-Russian sentiments grew in many republics freed from the slavery of the USSR. This threatened to break any relations, and the complete withdrawal of the occupying country from the liberated republics. Plus, the loss of influence in the region, which Russia was very afraid of losing. Without hesitation, Russia, according to the training manual, launches the scenario of an ethnic internal conflict, and the most idiotic topic is the protection of the Russian-speaking region and the Slavic population from the "Chisinau junta". In 1992, this escalated into a military conflict with the entry of the Russian army into the territory of the PMR. We noticed - that 1992 in Moldova, that 2008 in Georgia, that 2014 in Ukraine - one and the same scenario of "the birth of metastases of the Russian world."

So, the 14th Guards Combined Arms Army of the RF Armed Forces was introduced in the PMR and remains to this day. She really habitually degraded, but still there. Both for Ukraine and, of course, for Moldova, these are risks. Moreover, this is an illegally created, separatist, anti-European entity. Well, plus, on this territory there is the largest ammunition depot in Europe - about 20 thousand tons of ammunition: shells, air bombs, mines, grenades, cartridges ... They were the target of the Russian terrorist army, at the beginning of the second wave of the terrorist attack on Ukraine in February 2022 of the year.
Given that Russia is a terrorist state, and is now extremely dissatisfied with the current government of Moldova, and is making every effort to destabilize the situation in Moldova, the warehouses can be a point of support for a new terrorist attack from the PMR on Moldova, or sabotage groups.
Therefore, I do not exclude that in the near future, the PMR will be denazified, demilitarized, and will be returned to the legal borders of the independent Republic of Moldova. And in the world there will be one less cancerous tumor of the Russian world!

European countries and NATO countries are not directly at war with Russia. They only help Ukraine with military equipment and ammunition, provide financial and humanitarian assistance. At the same time, NATO countries began to provide assistance with tanks and modern air defense systems only recently, almost a year after the start of large-scale Russian aggression. NATO tanks have just begun to arrive in Ukraine and have practically not yet been used in this war.

Russia will soon feel the full power of NATO precision weapons in response to continuous attacks on the positions of Ukrainian defenders of its territory. If the NATO countries had entered this war, it would have ended long ago with the complete surrender of Russia. Putin's propaganda began to actively spread rumors that Russia was at war with NATO after a series of failures on the Ukrainian front, since it was inconvenient to realize that the "second army of the world" was suffering a crushing defeat from the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

What are you talking about, but what about the oil price ceiling? Bloomberg is indignant, along with Mr. beer alcoholic, who tells everyone here about huge discounts. Okay, India, it recently turned out based on an analysis of financial statistics reports that the average price of Ural oil, which Japan buys from Russia (which is outrageous in itself, of course), was $68 per barrel in January 2023 - and this is without insurance and transportation. This is no good, as an evil tyrant cannot be defeated by the progressive global LGBT+ community.

Indian refineries have published details on the landing cost of crude oil from Russia. In January 2023, average cost per barrel was $80, and this may include $20 to $30 per barrel for freight and insurance. The landing cost was not much different from the Indian basket ($81 per barrel), since under pressure Iraq was forced to reduce the price of crude oil it sells to India. So India is benefitting in both ways. In one hand, it gets cheap oil from Russia and on the other, it can demand other exporters to reduce their rates.

The problems with the budget deficit in Russia, about which only the lazy one did not speak about a month ago, are approximately 80% due to the introduction of a single tax bill in Russia from 2023. In this regard, in the first month of the year there were some technical difficulties with the display of revenues to the budget revenues on the balance sheet. Already in February, the system was debugged and started to work normally, and talk about an abnormally large budget deficit in Russia somehow subsided by itself. Because there was no budget deficit, it was a software failure in the work of the tax service, which, by the way, is one of the most progressive in the world.

I still maintain that for Russia, Western sanctions are not an evil, but a blessing. If they didn't exist, they would have to be invented. And Polish farmers can continue to feed pigs with their apples. 

All the european countries and NATO collectively failed stop the war.
However they have accelatered the war and created so much trouble for the people around the globe.

Heard there were orders to arrest Putin . .
Because he has been declared terrorist in the internal courts - will they be able to arrest him - I m not sure.

That's the same mistake some people make about Europe. Just because there was an initial propaganda about an unrealistically terrible result (Russia crumbling like Europe freezing over) that didn't happen, it doesn't mean there wasn't any negative effects at all.

The reality is that both Russia and NATO are severely affected by this war that has been going on between them for the past year. Both sides have been able to replace part of what they've lost (Europe replacing a small part of its energy supply, Russia replacing part of its energy customers) but it hasn't been enough to negate all the effects. Examples of these negative effects are in Europe with massive deindustrialization and in Russia with budget deficit.

The war of Ukraine and Russia has really a big impact specially to those country who import a gas from russia or from Ukraine, in my country we are suffering from the very high gas price it really affect the life of the ordinary people specially in importing products from one place to another the cost of the gas is very expensive that is why the basic needs products price is rising.

Are you really surprised? Those. you support the country of the world terrorist, which unleashed a terrorist war in Ukraine, and then against the whole world, and now you are sitting and complaining that for some reason your food has risen in price? This is how it should be You deserve it, and YOU DO THIS with your own hands
By the way, about gasoline - here Russia is definitely not to blame, at least in relation to India. The Indian government buys oil from a terrorist country for a penny! And then he sells gasoline to the population of India at a greatly inflated price, hiding behind the allegedly increased price of oil. But you are used to believing empty statements and propaganda, and you don’t even try to check how much oil from terrorist countries really costs for India now. And most likely you are just afraid to calculate - how much fuel should cost in India for the PEOPLE ...

PS By the way, thanks to India - at some level they realized that making friends with outcasts is stupid, and supported international sanctions against a terrorist country!

Dangerous to the EU? It would be catastrophic to the whole world. Was WW2 dangerous to only one party? See how affected the world is when it's just Russia and Ukraine directly fighting, now imagine how it would be when the countries of the world would literary be at each other's throats. Everybody is trying to avoid a third world war by any means necessary.

Russia is heavily affected by the sanctions. The fact that you don't know shows how good they are at covering it. Remember during WW2 the Germans at home actually thought they were winning the war.

In order for peace to come between Ukraine and Russia, Russia must first of all withdraw its occupying troops from the territory of Ukraine and stop the daily shelling of peaceful cities in Ukraine. After that, the Putin regime should be justly punished for war crimes in Ukraine (more than 70,000 such productions are registered in Ukraine), as well as pay reparations for the damage caused to Ukraine.

The first step to bring war criminals to justice has already been taken. The International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague has issued an arrest warrant for Russian President Vladimir Putin. In addition, a warrant was issued for the Commissioner for Children's Rights in Russia, Maria Lvova-Belova ..

Links:

https://www.icc-cpi.int/news/situation-ukraine-icc-judges-issue-arrest-warrants-against-vladimir-vladimirovich-putin-and

https://ru.euronews.com/2023/03/17/arrest-warrant-against-russian-president-vladimir-putin

https://www.dw.com/ru/mezdunarodnyj-ugolovnyj-sud-vydal-order-na-arest-putina/a-65029163