Topic: The impact of Russian and Ukrain war on world economy - page 15. (Read 13245 times)

The recent leaked classified documents out of United States shows that US intelligence does not see any hope for Ukraine in this fight and they also don't see any end to it (or any progress) this year either. This means the West is going to continue pouring money into this war continuing the same path as last year with higher inflation and recession and deindustrialization of Europe.

As for the world Economy, any country that succeeded over the past year to not get sucked into this conflict or obey the US demands (like replacing cheap Russian energy with very expensive US energy) is going to continue strengthening their economy and expand their GDP. Possibly a lot more in 2023 compared to 2022 and even more in 2024.
This process will become faster as dedollarisation continues since countries that dump the Dollar will be less affected by its inflation and more importantly they are eliminating United States ability to put any kind of pressure on them to enforce its demands.

Russia miscalculated by underestimating US and NATO support for Ukraine, making the war last longer than expected. But the US and the EU also misjudged the Russian economy and assumed that sanctions would weaken Russia. Things didn't go as they expected, the Russian economy was still standing strong and almost unaffected by the sanctions. Given Russia's close ties with China and India, I don't think the Russian economy will be devastated and left behind.

This is a war not only between Russia and Ukraine but between the two poles of the world. It is a war to assert the power of politicians, it is difficult to say who initiated this war because many people benefit from this war.

You speak in a very veiled way about the war between Ukraine and Russia. The war did not start on its own. Someone started it. Some are aggressive, some are defensive. Here it must be said directly that the aggressor is Russia, which invaded Ukraine and thereby unleashed the most bloody war that has not been seen since the Second World War. In order for the war to end, it is enough for the Kremlin to withdraw its occupying troops from the territory of Ukraine.

But the aggressor, and the aggressor is an impostor, is now presiding over the UN Security Council. A paradoxical situation: Russia has never joined the UN and the UN has never accepted Russia as a member, now it chairs the UN Security Council. What can Russia teach other members of the UN? How to violate all possible norms of this organization? For example, it is interesting how the Kremlin justifies the motives for the invasion of Ukraine. They believe that Ukraine would eventually attack Russia, so Russia itself carried out a preemptive attack.
  Imagine a situation: another person is walking towards a person. The first, due to some delusional thoughts, suspected that the oncoming one could attack him and therefore pulls out a gun and kills him himself. Russia considers it justified. What will happen in the world with such logic is not difficult to imagine.

The Russia-Ukraine war is destroying the global economy. A huge oil supply deficit is driving up prices. This terrible situation requires immediate and strong global action. The only issue? Nobody wants to be kind anymore. Every nation is focused on itself, and cooperation is gone. Some governments are worsening the war to achieve strategic interests. Those jerks must be punished. We must encourage the world community to act quickly and decisively against war-mongering nations. Rethink our economic policies and prioritize sustainable growth and development. Unless we act now, we'll destroy the global economy and leave future generations with our mess.

Why do you stubbornly go on quoting moscowtimes.ru? It's a propaganda website with a connection to CIA.

domain:        MOSCOWTIMES.RU
nserver:       ns1.reg.ru.
nserver:       ns2.reg.ru.
state:         REGISTERED, DELEGATED, UNVERIFIED
org:           Stichting Potamos

https://stichtingpotamos.org/
https://www.stichtingdeboomgaard.nl/grants/potamos-foundation

Project: Funding English- and Russian-language The Moscow Times - EUR 20,000 (15 November 2021)

Potamos Foundation owns The Moscow Times, an independent English- and Russian-language online newspaper. The English-language newspaper was published on paper in Russia from 1992 to 2017 and was both distributed for free and sold as a subscription. The newspaper was popular among foreign citizens living in Moscow and English-speaking Russians. The newspaper became online-only in July 2017 and launched its Russian-language service in 2020.

Journalistically, The Moscow Times is back and perhaps more impactful than ever before. The Russian edition offers an opportunity to give an extra boost to the brand. The Boomgaard Foundation contributes financially to this independent newspaper and to the future of a generation of young Russian journalists.

After further googling our little Stichting Potamos investigation leads us to Eliot Higgins and Bellingcat. I'm sure you know Bellingcat is a MI6/CIA sockpuppet, just to make sure here's Eliot Higgins' twitter feed: https://twitter.com/eliothiggins/

In other words - this website has nothing to do with Russian state media (or Russian media at all?) apart from the .ru domain apparently.


More lies: Sweden is not a part of NATO. There is access to the Baltic Sea from mainland Russia and also from Russian enclave of Kaliningrad (sheeeit, at this point Bozo the clown looks more credible than you).


Wait, if illegal employment has collapsed, it's actually great for Putin? More taxes will be paid?  

Let's just say that Russia turned out to be the first country that provided a lend-lease service to Ukraine, "transferring" a really huge amount of weapons to Ukraine, after their stampede in the same Kharkiv region
The same picture was after the "good will gesture" and the cowardly flight of the occupying Russian army from the southern direction of Ukraine.
I am sure that around May 2023, we will see new interesting events, where there will be a new wave of Lend-Lease from Russia in favor of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
According to the data that I have, as part of my "additional work", for example, the 8-month-old "offensive" on Bakhmut, so far has only led to indescribable losses of Russian manpower and equipment, and what is important - they act like locusts - simply destroying everything on on their way but do not build fortification areas in the destroyed territories. And this means that when the situation at the front changes, they will not be able to conduct defensive battles, and will again be forced to shamefully, en masse, flee, leaving equipment and heaps of corpses of their soldiers.
While I will give a forecast, we are following the events around May of this year, in the eastern direction.

The impact of Russia and Ukraine war is devastating for the whole world in particular it has disturbed the supply chain of Food and petroleum products which has resulted in food and energy shortage worldwide. This is leading to skyrocketing inflation and making life of the people miserable in particular developing countries of Asian and African continents.

It is crucial for world leaders to sit together and find out a peaceful resolution of this conflict & this situation demands urgent and collective efforts on global level to alleviate the suffering of those affected by this crisis.

The only caveat concerns the third wave of mobilization - I agree officially, of course, the pathetic Kremlin Fuhrer will not officially confirm that there will be a third wave of mobilization
If you remember - at the beginning of the terrorist attack in February 2022, Putin, with a smile, heroically swore to everyone that "there will be no mobilization, I give you my word." The second army of the world, "we will capture Ukraine in 3 days"

... and after the official completion of the mobilization, which, according to Putin's promises, should not have happened, when asked to officially announce the cessation of mobilization, Putin and the company also refused to declare, saying - "well, we have completed, and completed, why write something!" .. .
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T8aFyA6hW78

After that, they "quietly" carried out a second mobilization for 300,000 plus they recruited 50,000 criminals in the Wagner !

The answer to this question is - just watch, you understand that in the country of total lies, and the constant change of "truth", no one openly curls about it. Just watch!

And this is for reading - you have already received the agenda! Coming soon! -government/


And the rest - we perfectly understand that you simply did not want to "break" such a post with your own hands ... I'll fix it

1. about Mishustin. I am not quoting your speculations, but the article in full (https://www.interfax.ru/russia/826862): Russia's federal budget deficit continues to increase, Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin said, speaking with a report on the work of the government in the State Duma. As of March 8, the government's spending more than doubled its revenues - 6.3 trillion rubles against 3 trillion, Mishustin said. Thus, after a record deficit of 1.8 trillion rubles in January for 25 years, growth to 2.6 trillion rubles in February, in the first week of March, the hole in the treasury reached 3.3 trillion rubles. As of March 21, the deficit increased to 3.7 trillion rubles, follows from the data of the Electronic Budget system. Having collected 3.352 trillion rubles in taxes, the Ministry of Finance spent 7.035 trillion. “This is the so-called advanced financing,” Mishustin told the deputies. According to him, "part of the costs" was decided to be postponed to the beginning of the year, so that "the conclusion of contracts would not stand." “In this sense, the deficit will continue to come in line with the parameters,” the prime minister said. The Ministry of Finance, we recall, drew up a budget with a hole of 2% 25 of GDP or 2.9 trillion rubles, but this figure was already exceeded in February. “In terms of revenue, the problem for the Russian Ministry of Finance is the very low revenue from oil and gas,” says Janis Kluge, senior fellow at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs. According to the Ministry of Finance, in January-February, the collection of raw materials taxes to the treasury fell by 46%, and non-oil and gas revenues - by 9.1%. The total budget revenues sank by 25% to 3.163 trillion rubles. “In terms of costs, the war forces the government to pay in advance for the production of weapons,” Kluge explains. For the year, the Ministry of Finance intends to allocate almost 10 trillion rubles, or almost a third of the treasury's expenses, to provide for the army, law enforcement agencies and the state defense order.

About Hungary - google in 1 second https://www.gazeta.ru/politics/news/2023/03/30/20091241.shtml https://ria.ru/20230330/vengriya-1861741380.html
You can refute the answers !?

And the question is - why are you trying to lie so stupidly, primitively twist the facts!
“Perhaps this is a defensive reaction of the Russian psyche, which prefers not to notice that the economy of his country has completely degraded, the country has become an outcast, greatness has been “blown away”, GDP has fallen by more than 40% in a year, the army is on the verge of defeat. In such difficult life circumstances, it is easy lose all touch with reality. Let's be more lenient, it is not known how each of us would behave in a similar situation. " (c) my favorite humorist be.open

PS By the way - about the budget. I predict that in the next 3 months, many social programs will be reduced in Russia, and they will try to close the ever-growing hole at the expense of .. private individuals' savings, in fact, direct withdrawal of funds from accounts, and replacing them with pieces of paper that cost nothing. They call it internal loan bonds

- about the "CIA-sponsored" - provide the facts?

Well, rumors that Russia is running out of missiles are unlikely to have appeared as early as a month after the large-scale invasion of Ukraine. Most likely, it was at the end of summer - in the fall. Residents of Ukraine have already felt the consequences of the lack of missiles from Russia. Mass attacks are becoming less and less frequent and this is good news.

For now, I can give a link to an article where the photo shows these obsolete T-54 and T-55 tanks, which are sent to the war in Ukraine on railway platforms. When they become a real scrap metal in Ukraine, I will definitely throw off more.
https://www.unian.net/weapons/t-54-rossiya-snimaet-s-hraneniya-drevnie-tanki-t-54-dlya-otpravki-na-voynu-v-ukrainu-12188649.html


Russia is really now opposing NATO members in the sense that they are providing Ukraine with all possible assistance with weapons, material and financial resources. At the same time, assistance to Ukraine comes not only from NATO countries. But the Ukrainians are fighting against the Russians, with some exceptions of volunteers from Russia itself, Belarus, Chechnya, all those who hope that the victory of Ukraine will bring deliverance to their peoples from Russian oppression.
Russia deliberately attacked critical infrastructure facilities in Ukraine in winter in order to deprive its inhabitants of light, water and heat. Because of this, there were critical periods with a lack of energy in Ukraine, but again, thanks to international assistance with generators and the necessary electrical equipment, the situation was stabilized. Many politicians came to Ukraine to see the consequences of Russian war crimes. It's strange that you don't know.

New "achievements of great Russia"
- The Ministry of Finance reported on the fall in the price of Russian oil to a new "bottom". The Kremlin's decision to cut oil production by 500,000 barrels per day proved powerless to raise prices for the Russian grade Urals.
In March, the average price of the main Russian export brand fell to $47.85 per barrel, the Ministry of Finance reported on Monday.
Compared to February, Urals quotes sank another $1.71 (3.4%), compared to January they turned out to be lower by $1.63, and in annual terms they collapsed almost 2 times.
So cheap, according to official statistics, Russian oil has never been worth since November 2020, when the global market experienced the shock of the pandemic and the strongest overproduction crisis in history.

https://www.moscowtimes.ru/2023/04/03/minfin-otchitalsya-o-padenii-tseni-rossiiskoi-nefti-na-novoe-dno-a38918

But some still squeal "Russian oil costs $70" 


- Finland officially joins NATO and becomes the 31st member of the union. +1340 km border with NATO from Russia. The Baltic Sea has become NATO's inland sea


- In Russia, the shadow economy collapsed: more than a million citizens lost their unofficial jobs
The shadow economy of Russia, which before the war, according to RANEPA, accounted for up to a third of the national GDP, experienced a shock unprecedented for more than 10 years.

The number of people employed in the informal sector, which includes workers in the gray, as well as individual entrepreneurs and their employees, decreased by 1.2 million people last year, Vedomosti reports, citing Rosstat statistics.

https://www.moscowtimes.ru/2023/04/03/v-rossii-posipalas-tenevaya-ekonomika-bolshe-milliona-grazhdan-poteryali-neofitsialnuyu-rabotu-a38851


Well, a little history that repeats itself: Russian businessmen steal Ukrainian enterprises in the occupied territories ... In the best traditions of their ancestors who plundered Germany in 1944-1945 ...

There are rumors about "Russia running out of rockets" circulating since March last year. Unfortunately, what we still see now are the Russian rockets flying, including newer Caliber ones. I don't know where they're taking the chips from, washing machines, electric kettles or whatever but the fact is: Russia is still able to produce hi-tech arms. Let's face it - sanctions don't work.

I'd really like to see a pic of a T54 or T55 tank destroyed or captured in Ukraine. If you have any, please post a link.

Let's make it clear: Russia is facing the entire NATO and almost the entire Western world in Ukraine. Most of the ex-Soviet tanks, APCs, artillery and anti-aircraft units of the Ukrainian army have been destroyed already. And another thing: I don't think Russian rockets are hitting civilian infrastructure because Putin is an evil and bloodthirsty monster. He's too pragmatic to afford that. The real reason is that the rockets are not precise enough and going off-target frequently.

Two main issues this offensive is going to face are: lack of experienced military personnel and lack of modern tanks and armored vehicles, artillery support and aircraft. Some of these issues can be solved, some can't (short-term). In any case, I will be following the situation closely, I believe we'll find out the result in some 4-5 months.

Yes, stop! Explain: according to your logic - if robbers or murderers attack you, calling the police or trying to disarm or detain criminals is impossible! Because they can hurt the policemen and you even more? Are you seriously ?! Russia began the seizure and destruction of Ukraine, long before military-technical assistance went to Ukraine. Nothing bothers you? Only honestly, in relation to yourself it is desirable?

PS if there was no lend-lease, would the second world war have ended and Nazi Germany calmed down, returned the occupied territories, restored the destroyed cities, resurrected the dead? So it turns out?

By the time the full-scale war began, over 20 million tons of unexported grain remained in Ukrainian warehouses. At the same time, 1.5 million tons - in the territory of Kherson, Zaporozhye, Luhansk and Donetsk regions temporarily occupied by Russia.

As part of the Grain Initiative, about 25 million tons of food products were exported from Ukraine, and thanks to the Black Sea Initiative, WFP has delivered more than half a million tons of wheat since August to support humanitarian operations in Afghanistan, Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia and Yemen. We can say that Ukraine managed to export its agricultural products last year.

Putin promised to provide African countries with grain for free if the agreement on the transportation of grain through the Black Sea ports is not extended?
But it was Russia that blocked the export of Ukrainian grain from its Black Sea ports. And what kind of grain does Putin promise to deliver to African countries? Maybe stolen in Ukraine and which is very difficult for him to sell due to monitored actions by the world community?

During the occupation of the southern and eastern Ukrainian regions, the Russians stole over 500 thousand tons of grain - a third of the reserves in these territories. But this information may be outdated and the volume of theft can be much larger.

Are you really surprised that the sides of the Russian world are so stupidly and primitively lying and distorting the facts?
I will tell you a secret - this is the only option for them to survive at least in an alternative reality consisting of their lies. In it, lies, they are great, they defeat the USA and the whole world, the whole world depends on them, they have the second army of the world, they live in abundance. But it's all FAKE! Yes, and Russia itself is a huge, centuries-old FAKE created on the basis of LIES and crimes! They either attribute crimes to others, or present them in the form of their heroism and honor. Otherwise, they will have to plunge into reality - where they are nobody, and there is no way to call them!

A simple example from this forum: Some participants say, stubbornly, every day that Russian oil costs 75-80 dollars. And even when you "poke your nose" at them, even at Russian official data, data from online exchanges and trading platforms, they still continue to mutter "you are all lying, Russian oil is expensive, the world cannot do without it, everyone will die without it, so everyone they buy it for 80 dollars and stand in a big queue"

Believe me, a couple of years will pass, and what has happened in Russia over the past 20 years will be settled not only by international courts, but also by international PSYCHIATRY, because without mental deviations, people en masse cannot behave like this! The question remains - how did it manage to influence mental health through propaganda

Doubters need to be clear: Putin understands only force. If you flirt with him so as not to allegedly provoke him, he goes further and attacks until he is stopped.

Ukraine is no longer afraid of Russia, let alone Europe and the United States. Russia already has 10-15 percent of the previous number of cruise missiles left, it has even used part of the emergency reserve, and it can no longer produce in the same volume due to sanctions. The Russian army in Ukraine is fizzling out: the long-outdated T-54 and T-55 tanks are being removed from conservation. In all seriousness, even the issue of removing the T-34 tanks from the Second World War from the pedestals is being discussed. Cases of attacks by Russians armed with ordinary wooden sticks were recorded. The vaunted "Second Army of the World" is buried in the steppes of Ukraine.

Russia was unable to break the resistance of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and that is why it chose the tactics of regular bombardments of civilian infrastructure. But this did not affect the situation at the front. In addition, after massive rocket attacks, when power facilities were damaged, the people of Kiev went out to the balconies of their apartments in the dark and chanted "Putin is fucked up" together. Russia will not break such a nation.

Further, during April-May, there will be a powerful offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the liberation of the occupied territories. In Russia, they are very afraid of this and are now trying by any means to seat Ukraine at the negotiating table in order to agree on a truce. But this does not suit Ukraine: it would mean freezing the war until Russia gathers new forces to continue it. The people of Ukraine clearly support the desire of their government to finish off the enemy and completely liberate all their territories.

I think the situation in Ukraine itself is very concerning, western countries should stop sending weapons to Ukraine so that Russia is not provoked to fire more missiles towards Ukraine.

Indeed, during the year of the invasion of Ukraine by Russian invaders, its GDP fell by 30 percent, and this is not hidden in Ukraine. They also do not hide the fact that multibillion-dollar assistance is used monthly from other states to stabilize the Ukrainian economy. It's all in the public domain and everyone can get acquainted with this information.

Such a catastrophic situation in Ukraine arose due to the fact that Russia every day fires cruise missiles and all kinds of weapons at industrial and agricultural enterprises of Ukraine, seeks to completely destroy its civilian infrastructure, including schools and hospitals, housing for civilians, the cultural heritage of Ukraine, a special while paying attention to the destruction of critical infrastructure in order to deprive women, children and the elderly of light, water and heat. Not a single state in the world is able to manage on its own during such barbaric bombardments, as well as wholesale robberies of everything that the hand of a Russian soldier can reach in the occupied territories of Ukraine. Well, the people of Russia can still be proud of these war crimes. But then many generations of occupiers will have to pay for everything. Everything has its time.

Perhaps this is a defensive reaction of the Ukrainian psyche, who prefers not to notice that the economy of his country is completely dependent on foreign subsidies, and GDP has fallen by 30% over the year. In such difficult life circumstances, it is easy to lose all connection with reality. Let's be more forgiving, it is not known how each of us would behave in a similar situation.

Source?


Source?


In fact, feeding the article to Google Translate produced this:

  “We have returned the economy to a growth trajectory. Now even some international organizations are predicting positive dynamics for us by the end of 2023 and achieving GDP growth rates higher than those of developed countries in 2024,” the Prime Minister stressed.

Thanks to the work of the leadership of the Central Bank, the work of credit institutions, the currency and stock markets was normalized, Russia avoided external blocking of trade operations within the country. “Payment for goods, services, transfers proceed as before. All bank cards in Russia that were used work. We also managed to reduce inflationary pressure and maintain the stability of the banking sector,” the Head of Government noted.

Thanks to the support of the authorities, Russian business has rebuilt its commodity and logistics chains and adapted to new conditions, Mikhail Mishustin emphasized. According to him, in 2022, 83 companies registered in "Russian offshores", which is three times more than in the previous year.

So the question is: why are you spreading propaganda and blatant lies? 


So what we've got? 4 news, 2 without sources and highly improbable, 1 fake news and an article from a questionable website sponsored/owned by the Dutch company with a connection to CIA? 

Despite its lack of military superiority in Ukraine, Russia has not lost its global position with the support of China and other strong economies. Work is now underway to export gas through Turkey, and no matter how much the boycott campaign increases, the world cannot dispense with Russian wheat, especially since Ukrainian wheat is prevented from reaching the markets due to the pressures of the war.
Last Monday, Putin pledged to provide African countries with grain for free if the agreement to transport grain through the ports of the Black Sea is not extended next May. He also announced that his country will cancel debts owed by African countries worth $20 billion. Does this sound like a failed state strategy to you?