Topic: The impact of Russian and Ukrain war on world economy - page 2. (Read 13382 times)

The war in Ukraine still largely impacts the global economy by disrupting supply chains especially in energy & food. This has led to rising prices & inflation affecting living costs & increasing recession risks. Sanctions on Russia have shifted trade dynamic prompting countries to seek alternative energy sources. Unfortunately the conflict continues to create economic uncertainty & reshape global priorities, influencing investment & resource allocation worldwide.

If a country is commercially dependent on another country, if war breaks out, it must hurt the other country commercially. Of course, a country is never self-sufficient but has to depend on other countries for any import or export, and if a country goes to war for any reason, the price is affected if the import or export of goods is stopped.

I think Russians are also quite afraid of war but they believe in the leaders of their country will keep them well so they do not show excessive concern, in speaking the economy as we know there are some Russian assets in other countries in the freezing country and their supply Limited because some countries supported blocking, but with their confidence they have been very strong and proven that they can be independent even though some countries block them, it does not make Russia collapses too deep.

If they do this outside of Russia, it will cause harm.  Because Russia is currently the strongest country that no one can destroy.  As long as Putin is there because he has kept his country very well.Russia is good in this respect but not good for economy and supply.  Because if someone shakes hands with him, does not buy things from him and buys from other countries, then his friendship will be damaged.That is why no country has touched Russia yet.  If you look at it the people of Russia are actually free.  Who are not afraid of any war and destruction.

In my post from October 11, I wrote that in some main sections of the front, the Russian occupation army (ROA) outnumbers the Ukrainian Armed Forces by ten times:
"That is, having a ten-to-one advantage in manpower, eight-to-one in artillery, complete air superiority, the ROA is slowly moving forward over its own corpses, which in any normal state would be considered unacceptable losses."
I do not understand why you thought from this text that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have superiority in soldiers.

But in Russia, contract soldiers are also already running out, despite the constant increase in one-time payments for signing a contract. And Putin does not want to announce a general mobilization so as not to provoke internal riots. Therefore, by force or deception, they are forcing foreigners from Central Asia, India, Africa to fight against Ukraine. Without obtaining the consent of conscripts, they are deceived and threatened into becoming contract soldiers. In addition, North Korean troops are already appearing in Ukraine, and recently the first six servicemen of this army were killed by a precise missile hit. The first three training grounds for North Korean soldiers are already being set up near occupied Mariupol.

Very interesting events are expected at the front in the next one or two months, and the Russian occupiers will not like them at all.

It will indeed be very difficult and the needs still need to be continued but the supply dries up it will torment several countries that depend on the products sold by Ukraine or Russia then vice versa who become their trading partners will be disrupted if they sell to Russia and Ukraine because they are in conflict, so it will be very natural if prices rise high from commodities exported from Russia or Ukraine, and even more difficult if there is an escalation and causes a lot of sanctions and closure of cooperation between countries which will make the world enter into a tension block federation of countries.

with occurs of war between Ukraine and Russia, the impact is very noticeable, especially in the economy, this is the most difficult thing because the supply chain will be disrupted, including the delivery of goods from the two countries at war, and has an impact on the cost of living which is increasingly difficult overall.

Source please?

Wut? Are you out of your mind? Russian forces fighting (and winning) in Ukraine are in fact outnumbered by Ukrainian forces.

Yes, they already predicted Russia running out of missiles in 2022, running out of tanks and artillery rounds in 2023, running out of troops in early 2024. And guess what?  

Muahaha   Yes, Kursk region seems like a perfect position to defend! Today, AFU occupiers have already lost about a half of all territories they managed to capture initially, as a result of their sudden attack. Human losses of AFU occupiers have reached and exceeded 20000 troops (about 21500 to be precise) which is almost the entire occupying force of 30000.  

They are what? Accumulating forces?   Offensive?   You're joking, right? Ukraine doesn't have enough troops to defend territories it controls now. AFU are destroyed, the front is crumbling. The last deadly dilemma is to conscript younger Ukrainians (18-25yo) which is going to destroy the economy    

Meanwhile in Kursk region, AFU are getting their asses kicked. Lyubimovka, Zelyonij Shlyah, Olgovka have been liberated yesterday. About 1500 AFU troops have been encircled and their complete annihilation is in progress. In Donbas, Toretsk is about to get captured, Russians have reached the center of the city.  

Although the war between Ukraine and Russia has not affected our country in that way, it has greatly affected some of the products that we import or export from Russia. If there is a disruption to other imports or exports at the right time at the right price, the crisis of that product will definitely be created in our country and that crisis will definitely be created in the global market as well. War thus creates a global sphere of influence where a country can suffer economically as well as incur a trade deficit leading to a massive rise in commodity prices.

The Russian occupation army (ROA) loses one of its soldiers per two and a half meters of Ukrainian territory during its offensive. Such data is provided by the OSCE. That is, having a ten-to-one advantage in manpower, eight-to-one in artillery, complete air superiority, the ROA is slowly moving forward over its own corpses, which in any normal state would be considered unacceptable losses.
https://www.dialog.ua/war/303000_1728637299

The small town of Ugledar, where about 14 thousand people previously lived, was continuously stormed by the ROA for two years and was only able to capture it after turning it into ruins. And even then, if not for the actual encirclement, the defenders of Ugledar would have continued to fight. In the West, they are already predicting that another month or two and the Russian offensive, which has been ongoing since October last year, will choke due to the lack of resources for a further offensive.

The current tactics of the Ukrainian Armed Forces are to preserve the army and simultaneously inflict maximum damage on the occupiers. Therefore, if it is not advantageous to defend, the troops retreat to new positions. At the same time, Ukraine is accumulating forces for its offensive.

The UN reports that due to rising commodity prices from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, 1,000,000 people in Mozambique (my country) have fallen into extreme poverty.

That is only in one country.

Every decision that has been made will have direct consequences both physical and non-physical. But, I think there is something very crucial that we are unable to reason as ordinary people who only read the developments and tensions wherever it is happening whether in the Middle East right now or Russia and Ukraine so that the meeting point that everyone hopes for has not been reached or in this moment  Maybe it's that not time to go there.

War has become a competitive common issue in today's world and world humanity is not taking any steps to stop war. Israel and Palestine, Russia and Ukraine are feeling how terrible war is for human civilization. How many innocent people are losing their lives in this war cannot be expressed in numbers. We don't want war anymore, we want peace now.

The Russian and Ukrainian war that has lingered for a while now has negatively affected Europe and the entire world as new alignment in world politics is being formed, it's not good for the world Economy especially European countries that depends on Russia for it's gas supply, critically looking at the on going war I will say this war has lingered this far because of personal interest that has been placed above the life's of citizens but this war is good economically as it's going to shape how world economic events will go

Wait, wait... many trolls like DrBeer and yourself claimed that initially AFU have occupied about 1000-1200 square kilometers (or a tiny piece of land 30x40km) of Russian territory. Eventually, after the Russian counter-attacks AFU have lost about 1/3 of this occupied territory (and 18000-19000 troops). And now you're claiming AFU have occupied 1300 square kilometers? Any explanation?  

Pff... you've said that before. Russia is going to run out of missiles, tanks, artillery rounds, troops etc etc etc. If you believe your lying propaganda media, Russia has lost more than 600000 troops (or more than a half of it's entire armed forces), which is obviously not true, then you could make such a claim.

So, heavily fortified Vuhledar, held and stregthened since 2014,  was not advantageous enough for AFU to hodl? Muahaha....

Yes, I guess by now even retarded persons understand that Russia is winning this war.

Yesterday, Russian forces have captured Vuhledar, a heavily fortified town, held by AFU since 2014. This key town is a huge loss for AFU. Russians have also captured a village of Verkhnekamenskoye and are approaching Siversk, which is also about to be captured. Russians are also storming Toretsk, which, I believe is going to be lost by Ukraine forever too. Ukraine simply had no resources and troops to continue defending these towns. Still confused about who is winning?  

That's right. Russia only threatens with the use of nuclear weapons, everyone already understood this when the Ukrainian Armed Forces entered the Kursk region of Russia on August 6 and continue to control about a hundred settlements of Russia on a territory of about 1,300 square kilometers. Putin's Russia was able to scrape together only about 37 thousand soldiers from all the outskirts, partially withdrawing them from the front in Ukraine. These forces went on the counteroffensive and, having lost about ten thousand people killed and wounded, calmed down. Russia is accustomed only to attack, but does not know how to defend itself, to protect its territory. The Russians also throw corrective air bombs (KABs) and attack with aircraft at the settlements of the Kursk region "liberated" by the Ukrainian Armed Forces, destroying their cities and villages, as they do in Ukraine. They do not know how to fight any other way.

In the east of Ukraine, the Russian occupiers are slowly advancing, while suffering colossal losses in manpower and equipment. A couple more months of such a "successful" offensive, and Russia will have nothing to attack with. At the same time, Ukraine does not cling to territories if it is not advantageous for the troops to defend themselves there. In this case, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are tasked with destroying the enemy and his military equipment as much as possible, which is being done successfully. Those territories that the Russians captured during their offensive since October last year, Ukraine will return in a few days, as was already the case in the Kharkiv and then in the Kherson region.

Returning again to nuclear weapons, it is worth mentioning that Putin recently tried to intimidate the world by testing his intercontinental ballistic missile "Sarmat" (another name is Satan). It exploded in the silo, making a crater 60 meters in diameter and virtually destroying the test site and its surroundings. Moreover, this is already the fourth unsuccessful launch of this missile since 2022. https://www.bbc.com/russian/articles/c39lvel98myo

https://www.unian.net/weapons/provalnyy-zapusk-mezhkontinentalnoy-ballistiki-rf-sarmat-poyavilis-foto-s-mesta-vzryva-12766026.html

https://www.unian.net/world/vzryv-rakety-sarmat-aviaekspert-ocenil-posledstviya-provalnyh-ispytaniy-v-rf-novosti-mira-amp-12767673.html

You say Russia is winning this war? Then I advise you to read what Russian Z-patriots are saying about this on social networks.
https://www.dialog.ua/war/302087_1727207888/amp

What makes you think that no nuclear shelter is capable of surviving the nuclear war? I'm sure there are numerous such facilities both in the US and Russia. Another thing is: is the world worth living in after the nuclear winter? In nuclear war there are no winners, only losers.
  
It's clear Russia is not going to use the nukes to hit Ukraine, because it's already winning the conventional war.

Meanwhile, annihilation of AFU in Donbas continues. Russians have entered the town of Vuhledar. The town is also getting encircled currently, so the 72nd AFU brigade defending the city are risking to get cut off from the world completely (unless they abandon the town ASAP). Similar situation is around another strategically important town of Selydove, Russian army is about to encircle the town.  

Putin loves to intimidate and bluff. This is what he has been doing since his time in the KGB of the USSR. Moreover, such tactics have been successful for him for a long time already being the President of the Russian Federation. However, he is a coward and clings to his life so much that his words are taken seriously. He has long been warned that if Russia even begins to prepare to launch a nuclear missile, no deep and fortified bunker will save him personally. And this is the strongest argument for him.

At the same time, we cannot discount the fact that Russia may still try to use nuclear weapons if the situation on the Ukrainian front is critical for it. But such a scenario is unlikely. Moreover, clairvoyants predict that in this case something will go wrong there and an explosion may occur on the territory of Russia itself.

Putin attacked Ukraine not because he was afraid of NATO approaching Russia's borders. Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia, which have a common border with Russia, have long been part of NATO. And there were no problems with this. Finland, which has a land border with Russia of more than 1,200 kilometers, recently became a member of NATO. In this regard, Russia even stated that it does not see any problems with security for Russia. In short, without Ukraine, Russia will not be a powerful country and this is the reason for the attack on it.

He is crazy. He said that nuclear war and the end of the world is not a problem for him because he doesn't want to live in a world where Russia doesn't exist. I don't know who has a problem with the existence of Russia, I think no one because it's Russia that wages war, not the other side but at the same time I understand that he does it because he doesn't want NATO near its borders.
Btw he motivates the society to agree to nuclear war if Russia doesn't win the war in Ukraine. It's simple for him, if Russia doesn't win, then no one wins and that's terrible for the rest of the world.

Here is a link to similar words by Putin from a Russian publishing house.
https://regnum.ru/opinion/3896913

I will also provide a commentary on this statement by Putin, set out in the same Russian article:
"These words by Putin are reminiscent of his old statement about the possible use of nuclear weapons, when he rhetorically asked why we need such a world if Russia is not in it. But then he was talking about the theoretical probability of a nuclear war, and now the president was talking about a specific, ongoing battle.
His words leave no doubt (for those who still doubted it) that Putin will not simply not turn back or retreat - he does not even consider the possibility of defeat. Indeed, when there is nowhere to retreat, there is no fear - you just need to win."

As we can see, there is no doubt that Putin is threatening the world with nuclear weapons in the event of defeat in Ukraine.

As for information about the progress of the war between Russia and Ukraine, I am forced to refer to Ukrainian news outlets, because in Russia negative information about the problems and failures of the Russian army on the battlefield in Ukraine is not published. In Russia, such information is considered discrediting the army and is punishable by imprisonment, that is, the truth is punishable by prison.

Third countries do not always write in detail about this war and their comments are very vague. In addition, more than 50 countries are helping Ukraine in this war and you will also consider them interested and biased. Should we then refer to African countries? They, by and large, do not care what is happening in Ukraine, as long as the grain corridor works.