Topic: The UFC Info and Prediction Thread - page 330. (Read 100149 times)

Alexander Volkov needs to set the distance very well, he needs to use his kicks very effectively, if Rozensturik closes the distance, he can get knocked out with an effective shot. If Alexander Volkov plays the match wisely, he will win the match at the end of the match, with the decision of the referee. Rozenstruik needs to defend his effective finishing hits well I think Volkov will do it well.

I have no idea what's going on with Volkov but his last match vs Aspinall he looked like he wasn't in his usual shape.  He looked like he was plodding and the foot work wasn't really all there.  I think he came in a bit heavier than his usual weight.  Not sure..  But all the info is available at Tapology.  Will take a look later.

So I guess if Volkov weighs in heavier, go for Roz and if lighter go for Volkov?  Dunno...  But Roz has the KO power like Derrick Lewis.  You know what happened to Volkov when he fought Lewis. 

Obviously, I'm not going to pretend that Alexander Volkov is untouchable, I mean I predicted that Tom would beat him in his last fight. I just don't think Jairzinho Rozenstruik has the technical ability to close the gap. If Alex uses his kicks, he could effectively keep the distance, and use his reach to his advantage. I can honestly see it going to a decision. If Alex uses his kicks, and doesn't get involved in a brawl, and basically tries to circle out without engaging too much, I see him winning via decision. I don't expect a absolute amazing fight, and the action is probably going to be quite low, as I do think Alex will come into this with that sort of mindset.

I could be wrong, I'm not exactly a Alex fan I just can't see Jair getting it done.

As usually, on the paper Volkov is better. Add that Rozenstruik havent fought for a long period, and Alexander had a fight 3 months ago. As usually, Volkov will be more prepared, but Rozenstruik can easily upset him. He has got 12 win and 11 of them are by KO. I am closing my eyes and see how Dragos head flies back after a straight right punch. Only the bookies disagree with me.

If Volkov follows fighting plan and uses his kicks (front kick), avoid clinches, then he would win. If not, he would be leading this fight and falls asleep.

I mean, it's not a stretch to think Vlokov could choke up like he did in some fights, and at the end of the day, no matter the preferences, it's still a fight and especially in the HW division, one punch is enough to end it. But having any more detailed technical explanation, yeah, it's the HW, let's not get to deep into it XD

I tuned in late for latest UFC fight card but I managed to watch few fights and highlights later, this was not some event to remember but I seen some nice KO's.
There was lot of split decisions and judges are again on spotlight instead of fighters, so we seen crowd and commentators complaining.

It is still early to make predictions for this fight and Volkov is favorite to win if we look at bookmakers odds, but I like betting on underdogs and I think Rozenstruik has a nice chances here.

I'd be interested in hearing someone's input that isn't going for Alexander Volkov. Personally I don't see it going any other way, and without checking the odds I imagine they'll reflect that.

Quite proud of him really, seems to have got noticeably better cardio in recent fights, like I said toning down that wildness, while still being entertaining. I said it before, I don't want him to lose it completely since it does make it a unique fighter, and very fun to watch. However, if he keeps fighting like that I see him climbing the rankings. That gas tank if he can get under control, is one of the main contributors to that.

If we look at the 3rd round that is the only round that is very questionable because even though Holly Holm has many points regarding strikes, and I think she got many light strikes, Ketlen Vieira got many medium and heavy strikes to Holly Holm if you would look at the 3rd round of the fight watch it on slow-mo and count all that strikes, and you can see that reaction of Holm to Vieira's punches, I really want Holly Holms to win this fight because I bet for her but looking at the fight Ketlen Vieira's strikes has good impact to Holm if they think that Holly Holm wins then protest what they have seen, and yes it is good to see a fight that is with a TKO or Submission finish than with decision on what the judges think,


Holly Holm should have won with a Knockout or Submission if they really want to win, or bring her own judges that will give the favor to her, I have bet for Holly Holms, but after watching the fight Ketlen Vieira has the more impactful strikes than Holm's and I've only seen light strikes on Holm's side, while Vieira is really looking for a Knockout, that non-damaging strikes won't do any good to Vieira, I guess this is goodbye to Holly Holm's career if she can not make a KO/TKO win and not like the Holly Holm back on 2017, all fights end up with decisions,


Looking forward to the Main event Alexander Volkov and Jairzinho Rozenstruik two of the men that Ciryl Gane defeated, Dan Ige and Movsar Evloev, and the Poliana Botelho and Karine Silva and Erin Blanchfield and J.J. Aldrich,

@bbc.reporter look out for Poliana Botelho and Erin Blanchfield two fighting kitties that I think you will like,

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik



Date: Sat, Jun 4
Main Card: SAT, JUN 4 / 11:00 PM EEST

Venue: UFC Apex

Main card (ESPN+)
Heavyweight: Alexander Volkov vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik            
Featherweight: Dan Ige vs. Movsar Evloev            
Featherweight: Michael Trizano vs. Lucas Almeida            
Women's Flyweight: Poliana Botelho vs. Karine Silva            
Light Heavyweight: Alonzo Menifield vs. Askar Mozharov            
Women's Strawweight: Felice Herrig vs. Karolina Kowalkiewicz   
Preliminary card (ESPN+)
Lightweight: Alex da Silva Coelho vs. Joe Solecki            
Featherweight: Damon Jackson vs. Daniel Argueta            
Flyweight: Zarrukh Adashev vs. Ode' Osbourne            
Lightweight: Benoît Saint-Denis vs. Niklas Stolze            
Bantamweight: Tony Gravely vs. Johnny Munoz Jr.            
Flyweight: Zhalgas Zhumagulov vs. Jeff Molina            
Welterweight: Andreas Michailidis vs. Rinat Fakhretdinov            
Women's Flyweight: Erin Blanchfield vs. JJ Aldrich

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_Fight_Night:_Volkov_vs._Rozenstruik

P.S. I will edit card, as soon as there will be more clear info about main event and prelims

^ Before the fifth round, her team also thought she was losing and was down by three rounds to one.

If it was under different set of judges, Holly could have won by unanimous decision. I wouldn't be surprised if it was scored 49-46 in her favor. She had octagon control and more (light) strikes but judges probably thought less of that. It's a tough loss for her but it's what you get when you leave the result of the fight to them.

If it was judged based on the entirety of the fight, picking Ketlen would be less controversial. She almost won by submission and landed heavier strikes doing more damage after all.

I was watching the fight live and i thought Holly Holm won the fight but after hearing the judges decision i was surprised and i am sure Ketlen Vieira was also surprised and so is the reason she was emotional after delivering the post fight speech. There was a good standing submission attempt from Ketlen Vieira but other than that Holly Holm won the striking battle and fight stats will prove that.

^  Vieira had more power behind her shots, that's why.  Holm mostly throws pitter patter shots coupled with tennis sounds.  And if you watched that match, optics from my own pov shows Vieira won..  And I'm saying it with having a ticket with Holm.  But it's just one of those match ups that could go either way.  It wasn't a total robbery.  It's the same with the other match up that also ended in a split decision...  I saw it with Anders winning but the judges went the other way.


He def did enough.  He was slowing down towards the end of the match tho and gave Ponz a chance to catch up.

They were saying that Ketlen did more damage than Holm but point difference is just 1 Point. If Ketlen did more damage compare to the volume of punches from Holm, how come there is just 1 point difference?  Its frustrating to see yourself lose with a questionable UD. I'd rather be seeing a TKO or submission.

Holly wins when you least expect like against Rousey or her with Raquel Pennington.

Happy for Michel, thought he did enough, but was a close fight. Wasn't too wild, but was still entertaining. I missed the main event so I can't comment on how close it was, I fell asleep after the Michel fight. I'll be looking at some highlights later, but they never really tell you the full story.

That fight annoyed me even more when Rose thought she won, and did what she had too. I mean, honestly I would have scored two of the rounds 10-10 or 0-0 whichever way. It was absolutely shocking. I saw some comparing it to Izzy, and Romero, but for me wasn't anything like it. At least there was a little action, and some technique going on.

I kind of just wish that the UFC starts docking points for cage grabs, eye pokes, and punishing fighters that aren't there to fight, but to just do enough to win. I get it somewhat, you don't want to get in a fire fight as your odds of winning go down, however this is a sport, and therefore it needs entertainment. That's the reality of it.

And now that the UFC Fight Night: Holm VS Vieira here is the result of my pick, and it is not really looking good

Holly Holm VS Ketlen Vieira  Decision R5 - LOST

Now a lot of people disagree with the judge's Decision and if we will look at it and the scorecards 2 judges scored for Ketlen Vieira with 47-48 while the 1 was 48-47 for Holly Holm, now round 1 and 5 were really for Holly Holm while round 2 and 4 was for Vieira now many are saying that Round 3 was for Holly Holm and in my opinion, Holly Holm really has many volumes of strike on that round, and in my opinion, Ketlen Vieira really did less but those punches were stunning Holm, there really is an advantage on the number of punches Holly Holm does but the Quality and effectiveness of those strikes were for Ketlen Vieira, I may have pick Holm, but for me, it was a good fight and Vieira really did win that one,
 
Santiago Ponzinibbio VS Michel Pereira  Decision R3 - WIN

Pretty much a very good one for Pereira and the only pick that I won, but men Ponzinibbio thinks he won the fight but we all see that the advantage goes all to Pereira, he outscored him and had a huge strike output and pressured Ponzinibbio in the 1st and 2nd round, and if we look at the official scorecards 2 judges scored for Michel Pereira 28-29 and 27-30 while 1 judge scored for Ponzinibbio with 29-28 having the more scored and advantage on the fight the judges really scored correctly this time, in my opinion,


Polyana Viana VS Tabatha Ricci Decision R3 - LOST

Well at first I thought that Polyana Viana could win this for destroying a man that mugged her, but Tabatha Ricci has a striking advantage even though Viana has that Submission it was not really engaging so much and Tabatha was always aggressive with the takedowns I'd see Polyana Viana was always down thinking waiting for Ricci, the scorecards were unanimous for Tabatha Ricci 3 judges scored 28-29 all for Ricci, and that makes me feel frustrated for Viana,

The full results:



I haven't watched this event, there's not much that sparked my interest, but that's not to say that these fights haven't cleared up a couple of things. Pereira is tearing it up in a little bit of a stale division and, yeah...that's about it XD Still, two RNCs in one event, that's always nice to see.

He's said he's there to entertain and I think that's kind of become his USP. I wouldn't mind if he drops the shenanigans if it means he gets the wins and just puts up a good fight. You need a mix of characters in combat sports though so I hope he doesn't. It would be boring if everybody did the same thing and nobody did anything out of the ordinary. It's even more boring when fighters are too scared to take risks and just try coast it: see the recent Rose Namajunas v Carla Esparza fight. That one gave Ngannou v Derrick Lewis a run for the worst UFC fight ever. They should start giving out Shite Fight of the Night awards.

Well, I think you are right, conspiracies are always not really good when someone believes it or someone digs, even more, deeper towards it, can become a wildfire, and nothing ut let it is all really just conspiracies, and it could be just a technical issue, and with Conor McGregor, it is all just talk and I think he will be having a hard time with the guys of top 6 starting with Beneil Dariush so the safest way for him is to just make money and take the money fights instead of aiming for a title shot because I think he is really out of the league, and I don't really want him for the title against Oliveira aswell, what I want is Islam Makhachev, that will be a great fight to watch,


I think Charles Oliveira is confused because he really doesn't understand English well, and yeah Justin Gaethje will be furious if that was the case, but everyone is calm and collected and all have tried to seek out the problem very well so I think that is enough for me if we put more conspiracies and theory about what happened we will just add much oil on the fire,

---

Anyway here is my pick and sorry I will not put many details about it because I am kind of busy at the moment, highlighted in green are my picks,

Holly Holm VS Ketlen Vieira

Stake odds for this fight are 1.42 for Holm while 2.90 for Vieira,

Santiago Ponzinibbio VS Michel Pereira

Stake odds for this fight are 2.22 for Ponzinibbio while 1.67 for Pereira,

Polyana Viana VS Tabatha Ricci

Stake odds for this fight are 2.05 for Viana, while 1.78 for Ricci,

^  We have exactly the same picks before weigh ins.  But after weigh ins and face offs I have a couple of changes.  I'm back with Pereira and I could see it go Sam Hughes' way but ultra low confidence.  And the W could also go Anders'...  Dunno, another low confidence pick that'll go at the bottom of my lottery ticket.

I'll be putting them up at the Multi Master adter doing this post..  Weigh in and face off vids below.  Enjoy.

UFC Vegas 55:  Weigh in
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JCJfS5CB8Mk

UFC Vegas 55:  Face off
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1QcSEQfPvYc

Edit:  My lottery ticket

Holm - Njokuani at 1.96, 10 USD
Add:  Corales - Pereira at 5.13, 5 USD
Add:  Morales - Martinez - Anders at 34.07, 2 USD
Add:  Ricci - Holmes - Jailton at 104.31, 2 USD
Add:  Hughes at 237.83, 1 USD

I am expecting a lot of surprises and underdogs winning bunch of fights in this fight card, but it's going to be hard predicting all the winners.
Weight-ins are starting soon so it's better to wait for confirmation before making any predictions, but here are my early bets if nothing changes:

Holly Holm
Santiago Ponzinibbio
Chidi Njokuani
Tabatha Ricci
Jun Yong Park
Joseph Holmes
Jailton Almeida
Uros Medic
Jonathan Martinez
Felipe Colares
Elise Reed