It’s likely that you simply don’t have a large enough sample of your opposite bets that brought you profit, I don’t remember how many bets you need to make to understand that we have a winning strategy, but it’s a large number. I want to say that your result may not be objective and it was just an accident, but of course I could be wrong too.
I don’t want to stand still in gambling, I’m always interested in trying something new and looking for different strategies, although I understand that there is a lot of garbage among them. Well, it’s the search for this that attracts me most, because I like to constantly learn something new. I once tried to bet on what I wanted, but never tried the opposite bets. Maybe someone will find this interesting, but I will look for other strategies, because your strategy has a fragile foundation.
Topic: When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time? - page 3. (Read 785 times)
May 27, 2024, 12:38:43 PM
May 27, 2024, 12:29:53 PM
Quote
I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.
Yes it takes alot of humble thinking to realize maybe you should take the other side of your bet. Sometimes this might mean you hedge a bet, especially if the odds advance further and favor doing so.
I'd rank this level of versatility as top level betting, where the gamble is more important then your own ego. You have to be pretty nimble in your emotional flexibility to do this and explore the profitability of each side to the bet; we all have bias for sure.
May 27, 2024, 01:14:59 AM
I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.
So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
I usually lose, when I'm confident about my sports bets. Maybe that's why I make really small bets and I tend to avoid parlay bets.
Trusting your gut feeling is a wrong approach, if you ask me. You need proper analysis of the teams you are betting on.
Don't fool yourself that your new method is going to win consistently. Maybe you just got lucky and in the next time your bets, that are opposite to your analysis are going to lose. At the end of the day, sports betting is based on luck, just like every other form of gambling.
May 27, 2024, 12:31:42 AM
I haven’t tried something like this before. Whenever I am gambling, I always follow whatever my mind tells me, I don’t go against it. You don’t really expect me to be winning frequently, there will be losses sometimes, but I think it works for me like that, and it’s really better ....
shouldn't it be like that? how could anyone be willing to gamble against what they believe? if they bet in that way, doesn't that mean that they have the wrong analysis and they should correct the mistake. because it doesn't make sense to me when someone gambles but they gamble against what they believe in, that means they just hope for luck that what they bet on can win and ignore their own analysis.
May 27, 2024, 12:07:26 AM
So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
I've done it several times and the results are good, but there are also the opposite, so I don't use this method too often or always, and if it turns out you can produce results and the opposite is true then that's good, it means you've found the right method and you can continue. do it but I'm sure you can get disappointing results too, and what's important is what the winning rate is from the opposite way or the usual thing, if the winning rate from the opposite way is much better then that could be a method that continues to be done or combines them because maybe the winning rate will be higher. 
May 26, 2024, 06:15:37 PM
In my case I would say no, that's because I'm rarely very confident when I place my bets, I always prefer to think that there's a greater chance of me losing than thinking that there's a greater chance of me winning. In my opinion, thinking negatively in this case seems to be the best option because that way, when I lose a bet, I easily accept that defeat, whereas when a person becomes very confident, that person starts to create high expectations about that bet, even Start making plans for what you will buy when you win a bet. He no longer thinks about whether he wins, he starts thinking about when he wins. in other words, start watching the bet
as being an absolute certainty that he will win, and there are cases where when a person feels very confident that he has got the bet right, he puts in a lot of money, these cases happen a lot and then when people lose everything they go into despair
He decided he could win it all back with one final bet and staked £50,000 on a single horse. When it lost, he accepted his life was over.
source: https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-northamptonshire-56251835
Most of the time, when people feel very confident in gambling, they make serious mistakes, such as: losing money that they could not afford to lose.
as being an absolute certainty that he will win, and there are cases where when a person feels very confident that he has got the bet right, he puts in a lot of money, these cases happen a lot and then when people lose everything they go into despair
He decided he could win it all back with one final bet and staked £50,000 on a single horse. When it lost, he accepted his life was over.
source: https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-northamptonshire-56251835
Most of the time, when people feel very confident in gambling, they make serious mistakes, such as: losing money that they could not afford to lose.
May 26, 2024, 09:55:02 AM
I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.
So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
This isn't a strategy but superstitious belief and coincidence met at the the same time.
Can you elaborate on whether you won the bet every time or most of the time? Cause that can give an explanation of what you are seeking from others. If I were you I would just hope on with this thing as long as it gives me the result but it's become obvious when you started to feel that goes against your expectations right?
May 26, 2024, 09:32:41 AM
Sometimes I also do this kind of strategy, I will go on the opposite on what I thought to be betting and surprisingly, it's also good for me.
I haven’t tried something like this before. Whenever I am gambling, I always follow whatever my mind tells me, I don’t go against it. You don’t really expect me to be winning frequently, there will be losses sometimes, but I think it works for me like that, and it’s really better. Before I decide to conclude on the side that I will be placing my bet on, I will have taken my time to do my analysis. I will see that if I place my bet, I have higher chances of winning the bet, so I will have to proceed. So after I do my analysis and I know I might be winning the bet if I place it, then why will I decide to do it the other way around.
May 26, 2024, 09:12:13 AM
Even though it does result in profits I'm sure it's not consistently just a matter of chance and luck, so I'd probably rather use my own analysis looking for accurate information about the strength of teams and opponents, I think we all know that sports betting doesn't need to be outlandish and ridiculous. let alone using feelings, it obviously won't work if you're not lucky, actually the most important thing is that everyone's luck is sometimes different and never the same. So don't say your method is good for making a profit.
I may have never tried it but I once bet without prior knowledge so I experienced consecutive defeats which made me lose in sports betting. Since then I have started to learn to know more about the team I am betting on, don't be careless and careless in betting even though we know that in the end it is luck. which will determine the final result, winning or not actually doesn't matter to me because I gamble for fun using a budget that is ready to lose, for me losing is a normal matter, the point is the fun and adrenaline, even I also enjoy the game, this is not only talking about profits and just win.
I may have never tried it but I once bet without prior knowledge so I experienced consecutive defeats which made me lose in sports betting. Since then I have started to learn to know more about the team I am betting on, don't be careless and careless in betting even though we know that in the end it is luck. which will determine the final result, winning or not actually doesn't matter to me because I gamble for fun using a budget that is ready to lose, for me losing is a normal matter, the point is the fun and adrenaline, even I also enjoy the game, this is not only talking about profits and just win.
May 26, 2024, 09:11:36 AM
I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.
So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
- Congratulations, Op! What you should always do when you play gambling is to always do it experimentally so you can win. But I was just joking, but if it's effective, why not?
In my experience, I did the same thing that I experimented with, and it was not effective either.
But you are lucky; really winning gambling in any casino is really just luck. Then being confident is what a gambler really needs when playing gambling.
Because from the beginning, you will only bet and think most of the time that they will win the bet in every game that will be played.
May 26, 2024, 09:05:32 AM
So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
If you are profitable on your strategy then keep doing until it’s not working but this unorthodox style so I doubt that you can benefit on it long term.
Personally, I’m betting to prove my analysis skills on sports while you are doing the opposite. There’s no fun on contradicting yourself even though you are having profit because it only means that you sucks on that game.
This is the reason why I rarely bet on sports bet because I’m suck on this game. I always choose what I’m good at and avoid forcing myself on playing games that I’m not even if I’m winning due to luck because I’m sure that it will not last longer and most importantly not fun.
May 26, 2024, 09:00:20 AM
That's why people should not thinks to makes money from gambling as they will only gets more lose. Even if they feels confident with their picks, they don't have to be serious in gambling because the outcomes can't always the same as what they wants. Many times the outcomes changes in the end of the match so they must realizes that they only use gambling to have fun. We can still analyze the match but we must realizes our chance will still 50/50 because it's gambling where no certain results for us. If you can use gambling for fun, you will not thinks much about playing gambling because you always aware that gambling is not a place for makes money. You will only use some money to playing gambling moderately because you wants to avoids many problems that can occurs in gambling.
So we should not rule out the most important point in gambling which is luck, or it means that it is better to have a balanced point of view in dealing with gambling by maintaining the understanding that strategy is nothing more than something that only helps increase the odds but what ensures victory is only luck, and this is why we often say that there is absolutely no guarantee to always win in gambling.
May 26, 2024, 08:27:13 AM
Confidence is part of the reason for victory and defeat, depending on the situation it will give different results.
imo, betting is always simple and doesn't put too much emphasis on the results right away because I'm just a recreational player so even if I lose, I still feel an interesting feeling with that bet.
But I also went through some situations where I really had confidence in myself to choose the correct outcome, but I still understood it would only give me an ego boost, but I admit in that situation I won but there were also times I lost because of it. So the results are based on confidence, so confidence should be re-evaluated according to how we understand it, because I think confidence has many different levels based on each person's perspective.
You can't really guarantee that each bet you have, even if you are very confident about it, will win. Because of so many underlying factors such as the the athletes themselves, coach, their current strategies, unknown injuries among others. Aside from your instincts, those factors are significant in the potential outcome of the game. Hence, you can't really assure yourself of winning because it is not only your assessment which is in play but all the other factors, and add luck also in the equation. imo, betting is always simple and doesn't put too much emphasis on the results right away because I'm just a recreational player so even if I lose, I still feel an interesting feeling with that bet.
But I also went through some situations where I really had confidence in myself to choose the correct outcome, but I still understood it would only give me an ego boost, but I admit in that situation I won but there were also times I lost because of it. So the results are based on confidence, so confidence should be re-evaluated according to how we understand it, because I think confidence has many different levels based on each person's perspective.
Even in sports betting, we can't really easily have full confidence in the success of the predictions we have, just imagine the many incidents where the superior team is defeated by weak team.
From this it can be concluded that gambling algorithms are very unpredictable and unpredictable for players
gamblers, we will just keep betting and wait for luck to come because all we can do is increase the odds not guarantee win.
But because confidence in their abilities is truly greater than their awareness of impending failure, gamblers think that what they choose is the best.
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May 26, 2024, 03:05:21 AM
No matter how good a gambler's analysis is, if he cannot win, he will not consider his analysis correct. But in reality even if the analysis is correct, he could not win because he had no luck. Gambling may or may not win but don't depend too much on it. When it is not taken seriously, losing there will have no effect. We should remember that we will never have a guaranteed win in gambling. In my gambling career I was not sure about certain bets but was confident and managed to win about 60-70 percent of those bets. But i cannot be confident in all bets.
If that's what he does, he will not wins in gambling easily because when he feels confident, he will becomes superior than others and that will not gives a good results for him. Someone who feels confident will not realizes that he can lose his money anytime and will not thinks that he can't always wins the games. Even if his analysis correct, that doesn't mean he can wins because in gambling, there will be a surprise moment that can change the fact. We must realizes that playing gambling can't gives wins easily because gambling itself depends on luck and the situation can change anytime. If we feels confident with our picks, that doesn't means we can win most of the time but we can lose our money in the next games. Instead feels confident with our picks, it's better we just to have fun in gambling so when we lose, that will not be too sad. 
May 25, 2024, 11:01:34 PM
Sports gambling is all about the data and analytics of the team, what are their current records, win rates, teams will play on the match, coach and atc. Personally I always make a research on the game before manage to make a bet because this gives me an idea if the game is worth to bet or not sometimes there are top teams playing against each other and you don't know where to bet so you must need to play safe and wait for the next game or make a bet with the underdogs to have a higher odds. Don't get too much carried away by prediction of other players.
May 25, 2024, 09:02:26 PM
-snip-
So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
No - I would not bet against myself especially when I am convinced my pick will win. For example - I am confident that I can win the bet when Liverpool plays Manchester United, so I will not bet on Manchester United winning and still choose Liverpool to win.So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
If I have to bet against myself for any reason – IMO, it's better not to bet and I tend to prefer to keep the money. It's just a choice that I think is rational – meaning not being forced to bet when I don't find something I'm sure of winning.
May 25, 2024, 08:13:08 PM
I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.
So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
First of all, gambling shouldn't really be about how much profit you're making but how much fun you're having, and this should determine your afterwards reaction, whether you're in profit or not shouldn't really be a thing of much concern, as long you're having fun and enjoying the thrill of the game after every gambling session, and as long as you're sure that you're gambling responsibly and staking what you can afford to lose, so when you lose it eventually which normal, you wouldn't feel too bad.So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
Now secondly, gambling is absolutely unpredictable, especially sports betting. And yes I've also tried using the same technique, because sometimes I'd feel like my approach isn't effective anymore and then have the urge to try a completely different approach and sometimes even an opportunity approach and honesty sometimes it turns out quite effective and sometimes it doesn't, I think it's just about luck.
I believe lucky plays the higher role than your analytical skills when predicting sporting events.
May 25, 2024, 07:46:04 PM
I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.
So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
Funny story, this actually happened to me sometimes and this particular time I actually did to a friend and it worked too. It was getting all tense because of the rapid rate at which he was losing with his virtual soccer predictions and I said to myself since he is on a losing spree, why not play exactly opposite of what he actually predicted and to my surprise it worked for me although my friend was a little bit piss at me for doing that but I told him, why not change the gameplay just like I did with the reverse betting and it worked for him for atleast 2-3 tries and he had to end the session before it got out of hand. So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
May 25, 2024, 07:07:06 PM
I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.
Isn't it contradicting yourself though, I mean you already have made you pick and should be betting on them and not the other way around. I haven't known a gambler who does this strategy though, so no offense, but this doesn't make sense, in my opinion.
So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
I guess one strategy is just completely stop from betting then. Just have a couple of days off and it seem you are unlucky with your selection instead of contradicting your belt. Or just bet on other games and see how it goes for you. You just need to break that losing streak to be positive and have a confident pick again.
May 25, 2024, 06:59:06 PM
I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.
So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
Every bet we make, has a different winning percentage, I myself saw that my winning percentage when making soccer bets reached 70%, so not all of my analyzes ended with a win, for example today, in the FA Cup final between Man City vs Man Utd, I chose Man City because their history was good but it didn't go well, it was Man Utd who won the match, so not all predictions and analysis will end up being 100% accurate, on the field everything can change. So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
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