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Topic: When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time? - page 9. (Read 785 times)

legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1252
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
Nope, unfortunately. The ones which often turns into winning bets, personally, are those which I weren't that much confident of. Well to some it would be frustrating but I just accepted how gambling works. However, it just feels good whenever outcome meets my expectation in particular with the teams I assumed to win. It quite gives me the feeling that I am not only guessing but more of analyzing the game and that's more fulfilling for me. But again, we just don't have control of gambling outcomes. There are times you don't really feel the confidence but you end up winning and this is not fulfilling on my end however, I still continue doing some random bets for the sake of calibrating my luck with the games I invested time analyzing. Well, what matters is that I enjoy watching games in sportsbetting.

But I do see this often with card game players especially those who knows how to bluff and card count wherein they seem to be doing what they planned.
legendary
Activity: 3108
Merit: 1290
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
No, confidence does not bring winning in gambling. It only brings about hope that we would win in a particular bet. Infact most of the times i was confidence with the game i had selected i mostly don't win because i choose the games out of passion and not based on the quality and performances of the team which i mostly experience in sports gambling.

Gambling is luck, which means once luck is on your side you will win. If your bets were analyzed well then there are also chances of you wining as well. Sometimes i just take a few games like two or three then i use a big amount to stake it, it mostly come out well anytime i do this.
Gambling is purely a game of luck. If you’re out of luck, you will never experience winning your bets. Even if your confidence to bet is high, that won’t still guarantee winning. But if luck is on your side, no matter how unpredictable the outcome of the game, you will still end up in profits even if you aren’t sure of your bets.

However, when it comes to sportsbetting, if you’re quite good in your game analysis because you know how the game is played, sometimes the outcome turn into skill based. But most of the time, regardless what type of game as long as it’s gambling, it’s always luck based.
hero member
Activity: 2044
Merit: 784
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
Confidence doesn't mean a positive record of outcomes on long run. Sometimes I'm pretty sure about a match's result, but in the end the result is completely the opposite from what I firstly expected. There isn't a general rule or recipe on what you should do to improve your performance in sports betting. Even in this niche of gambling industry outcomes are too random to be predicted with some accuracy on long term. You still has to rely on luck, anyway. That is sad, but it's true.

Sometimes games' results are so unbelievable that we start thinking they must have been fixed, as the only possible explanation for what is in front of our eyes, going completely against our expectations, as if we didn't have any notion of reality to predict the result so wrongly. However, at same time we can't prove anything, so all we can do is to accept the loss and move ahead.
hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 516
When I'm confident in my picks, I end up losing more and I don't know why that happens. I did a kind of experiment few weeks ago in which I compared the profitability of playing heavy bets of supposed sure small odds with that of playing lower amount in big odds that have high risks.  While I had higher win rate with the small odds, there was lower win rate with the bigger odds. Consequently, I realise that I was better of with the bigger odds in terms of peace of mind and even profit margin. This may sound funny but the reason is that with small odd and heavy stake, a single loss will destroy several wins... I couldn't just shoulder the losses and pretend that nothing happened
Unlike the bigger odds which I can afford to lose several bets and have a single win clear them and still put me in profit. So I realised that the more confident I become, the less profitable it gets for me.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 316
Fine by Time
No, confidence does not bring winning in gambling. It only brings about hope that we would win in a particular bet. Infact most of the times i was confidence with the game i had selected i mostly don't win because i choose the games out of passion and not based on the quality and performances of the team which i mostly experience in sports gambling.

Gambling is luck, which means once luck is on your side you will win. If your bets were analyzed well then there are also chances of you wining as well. Sometimes i just take a few games like two or three then i use a big amount to stake it, it mostly come out well anytime i do this.
sr. member
Activity: 1554
Merit: 413
I feel more comfortable losing by following my analysis than by going against it but I still do that sometimes to break the pattern or the losing streak. The problem is I didn't keep a record so I cannot really compare. If going by memory alone then I guess it's 1 or 2 out of 3 and then I go back to my usual style.
hero member
Activity: 1008
Merit: 520
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
Your lucky day I think, because no one can give an accurate predictions, as far as sports bets is concerned, more also while you should consider betting outside the thought of making a profits may be that is the reason you are not finding satisfaction in you current betting format, what I will advise you is that, you should bet based on the confidence that you have made the analysis based on your own understanding and also having it at the back of your mind that gambling is based on luck and not skills.
legendary
Activity: 3248
Merit: 1160
Playbet.io - Crypto Casino and Sportsbook
I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?
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