When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time? - page 6.

0t3p0t

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Quote from: Agbamoni on May 19, 2024, 06:20:27 PM

No, confidence does not bring winning in gambling. It only brings about hope that we would win in a particular bet. Infact most of the times i was confidence with the game i had selected i mostly don't win because i choose the games out of passion and not based on the quality and performances of the team which i mostly experience in sports gambling.

Gambling is luck, which means once luck is on your side you will win. If your bets were analyzed well then there are also chances of you wining as well. Sometimes i just take a few games like two or three then i use a big amount to stake it, it mostly come out well anytime i do this.

I agree with you mate. But since it is a sportsbetting I think we can use our analysis skills to predict who would win but my only drawback with sportbetting is when it was being rigged. It happened to me many time with combat sports and it's quite annoying. I personally look at the teams previous performances and records that will help me pick the best bet but yeah that does not guarantee any winnings however still has higher chances of luck. Gamblers always depends on luck that is why we need to find it ourselves depending on our strategy.

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For me, it's not too much of a problem with things like this. It's difficult to make a choice that isn't a choice according to your heart, whether in sports betting it's your choice or your experiment, playing at home so you see a much greater chance of qualifying next compared to the original choice. you or your team?

If I experienced a previous loss in the initial game and then I moved on to another game and made a profit, this is very normal for the gambler. They don't just focus on one game, of course they look for potential ways to make money from their analysis. In essence, gamblers seek their fortunes at the gambling table.

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Quote from: freedomgo on May 19, 2024, 05:42:26 PM

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

I find it ironic that whenever I try to concentrate and focus on my betting strategies, the result of those games is different from what I expected- in fact, it's worse than my bets that were made instantly.

For example, if I try to concentrate on sports-betting where I analyze data from previous games and compare it against the other team, I compile those data and arrive at a decent conclusion in which I rely my bets on. Surprisingly, my results are the otherwise I have anticipated as I lost more than I won by doing this process.

Probably by reflection, I tend to overthink my bets and I also go overboard with my analysis that I somehow overlooked some parts and overestimated most. Though the problem here is with ME and not on the process, I still recommend doing your own research in order to at least have some basis on your bets.

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Quote from: Gozie51 on May 23, 2024, 09:02:10 AM

Quote from: Miles2006 on May 23, 2024, 05:25:49 AM

Talking about confidence, I’m always confident about my bet but confidence will never get me my right choice so I’m used to viewing the end result win or lose.

I have seen so many gamblers who were confident of their game but at the end of it the game ended in loses. So despite how confident we believe that our bet will win, we still have to play cool about our bet until it finally end in FT. In fact some gamblers are very confident sometimes that they still go ahead to rebet outside the original bet that there game must win.

To be proud of your bet is good but to over confidence means you have over stepped and might go on betting believing it can't fail. So I like the last part of the post where the last past says either win or lose on a bet.

This is why it is not recommended to place excessive hopes on winning or on the method you use when gambling, such as perhaps a strategy or pattern that you think is good, because in the end of course whatever method you use can only increase your chances but cannot be used as a result. as a guarantee that you will win at the end of the session, in the end it is clear that the most important thing is luck, or meaning only luck can lead you to real victory, but it is a fact that luck always cannot be known when it will come.

The fact of how luck works is also the reason why we as gamblers must always limit our expectations of winning so that we don't feel too disappointed when in the end the results are not what we wanted. However, we have to remember the fact that after all, gambling is a game of chance where, simply put, if you are unlucky then it is clear that you will lose regardless of whatever method you use and also regardless of how confident you are in the method you use.

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Quote from: freedomgo on May 19, 2024, 05:42:26 PM

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Most times when I tend to put in more faith and confidence in my picks everything will just go and I'll definitely loose it all,but recently I discovered this new strategy of playing the games, leaving it and probably when I remember to check it up it's going to be a huge jackpots
Sometimes having much confident in your yourself,and the game weighs 50/50 as what you may be expecting might turn out the other way round..
I don't win most of the times and when I know I have nothing to loose so I don't put in much confident in such picks.

YOSHIE

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Quote from: freedomgo on May 19, 2024, 05:42:26 PM

When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time?

Often and it's a pleasant experience in the world of gambling, we have our own sense of pride in ourselves, I often use this method in sports betting, for example: I believe in the team that I believe can win and I place that bet, at the end of the match I can win the match, that's a real experience for me.

Quote from: freedomgo on May 19, 2024, 05:42:26 PM

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit,

Maybe I should say I have principles when betting, if my thoughts are not different, of course I don't follow my instincts, I will follow circumstances, why should I fight fate, It's clear that the team doesn't have any weight, even though I follow my senses and thoughts when gambling, of course I also have to look at developments in the gambling I want to bet on.

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Quote from: Miles2006 on May 23, 2024, 05:25:49 AM

Talking about confidence, I’m always confident about my bet but confidence will never get me my right choice so I’m used to viewing the end result win or lose.

I have seen so many gamblers who were confident of their game but at the end of it the game ended in loses. So despite how confident we believe that our bet will win, we still have to play cool about our bet until it finally end in FT. In fact some gamblers are very confident sometimes that they still go ahead to rebet outside the original bet that there game must win.

To be proud of your bet is good but to over confidence means you have over stepped and might go on betting believing it can't fail. So I like the last part of the post where the last past says either win or lose on a bet.

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Quote from: freedomgo on May 19, 2024, 05:42:26 PM

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

The essence of different odds in sports betting is to give you the room and chance to make decision when your strategies are not working well as planned, most times we rely on our steady strategy probably because it has favored us once and we succeeded profitably, but in sports we should be ready for changes knowing fully well that it is a game of luck , so it is quite advisable that we try another strategy and not relying on one particular strategy.

I have also felt same way @op because there was a time that i relied Soley on correct score just because i won a huge amount from predicting correct scores, and from that day i insisted on playing correct score not until i realized that i am about to lose all the money that i won earlier on predicting a particular style. when i decided to try another strategy fortunately, it favored me, that is to say that there is need for us to re-strategize in our predictions even when we know that gambling is a game of chance and luck.

Miles2006

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Every gambler with a different strategy and personally, I win anytime not because I used another strategy or confidence but, gambling is always gambling where you get to win or lose so you might just end up with any. No strategy involve because I believe gambling win is just by chance nothing else, your early time gambling you might not feel the need gambling always because you don’t get lucky that’s normal. Talking about confidence, I’m always confident about my bet but confidence will never get me my right choice so I’m used to viewing the end result win or lose.

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Quote from: freedomgo on May 19, 2024, 05:42:26 PM

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

There is no perfect strategy in gambling. I think you where lucky to have played the opposite side and you won. But that doesn't mean that pattern may be the best. The only thing i am suggesting is that you will need to play the both. After Playing the main game you you play the opposite side, there may be possibilities between the both sides. And when playing such game, the amount will be splitted into two equal part. If the stake amount is $10 you will divide it into 2, play half $5 in the original game and $5 in the opposite side, sothat if the main don't play the opposite will play.

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When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time? Everytime I put bet and click the button Im confident enough I mean I believe this happen to everyone since when you click those button you put all you hard money and lot of confident into that button so the conclusion is when you put bet you are confident enough to did you win most of the time ? not really hahhahah my win rate on mahjong is 35% hahahha so you know the result hahah

DubemIfedigbo001

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Thats your lucky day man, that pattern doesn't really repeat itself regularly, your strategies might seem unsuccessful today and very successful tomorrow. Thats how the game gambling is designed to operate. I have tried this pattern before and it only worked the first two times and others losses, I have even tried getting my picks and staking them together and breaking them into two or more different parts to stake again and even ensure more chances of winning, but on the long run, if the ones that clicks are not with higher odds, I still loose in my staking capital.

The strategies that have been applied in gambling is not a little one, people keep coming out with new strategies every day to defeat the uncertainty associated with gambling, but gambling always proves them only effective for a while before gambling shows you its real color. I believe that's its nature and have resigned to the fate of expecting nothing from it and who knows my strategies might bring a win or a loss, but the most important thing is that I had fun making my picks.

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Quote from: freedomgo on May 19, 2024, 05:42:26 PM

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Interesting strategy. I think at the initial stage it may bring results, but over time it will not be profitable. What I mean is that over time a person will still want to make the right bets to make money. After all, as long as it brings results, then you follow this tactic, but when this strategy does not bring results, you will understand that
that was a mistake. That is, over time, as I believe, a person will still return to making bets intelligently and not vice versa. I haven't done that, but it's an interesting idea.

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As a gambler we are always confident with our pick, otherwise we are not a true sports bettor. We give time to analyze a certain game and match up, and we come up with our decision to bet. I can't answer the specific question but I can only say that I lose most of the time with my bets.

I can't deny that beacuse I don't make money in gambling, yes I win some but lose some as well, what's important is the overall record to determine if I'm profitable or not, and in my case I am not yet. I'm saying "not yet" because I'm not making a conclusion of my journey, since it's possible and I belieive I could be profitable in the future.

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I don't know if that idea is good for me or not works for me because I am never trying that. If I wants to place a bet, I will picks the team that I think will have a chance to wins and will not place a bet for the opposite team. It's not good if we feels too confidents with our choice because the situation can change fast without we realizes and that can cause us lose the money, especially in gambling which everything can change anytime. But if that is just for fun, I think we can try it to see if that can helps us to wins on the games, that means we can still use that strategies and hopes that we can wins for the next match. But we must realizes that we can't hopes that what we tests can always gives a win, especially if that's a strategy because we must remember that everything can change suddenly.

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Quote from: Agbamoni on May 19, 2024, 06:20:27 PM

No, confidence does not bring winning in gambling. It only brings about hope that we would win in a particular bet. Infact most of the times i was confidence with the game i had selected i mostly don't win because i choose the games out of passion and not based on the quality and performances of the team which i mostly experience in sports gambling.

Gambling is luck, which means once luck is on your side you will win. If your bets were analyzed well then there are also chances of you wining as well. Sometimes i just take a few games like two or three then i use a big amount to stake it, it mostly come out well anytime i do this.

I'd rather say that it may only help us to increase our chances to win. By confidence, I'm mostly referring to a person who does their own research first. Even without a confidence, I'm sure that all of us are still hoping that we can win. I know this is crazy or funny but there are also people that if they prepare too much and have a full confidence, the more they will also get screwed.

It is like someone or something is messing up with them but I think this is only in their head and maybe there is only a co-incident that occurred. They still can do whatever they want. If they think they can do well if they care less, then they can go ahead with it.

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Quote from: freedomgo on May 19, 2024, 05:42:26 PM

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

It seems that your analysis results to opposite so if you're doing better that way, I'd advise you to keep on going with that strategy. It's not a mockery or whatnot but that's what you've said and in gambling or sportbetting in particular or in any other things, as they say "if it works, it ain't stupid".

Quote from: freedomgo on May 19, 2024, 05:42:26 PM

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Sometimes we have to do it if the results that we're getting aren't profitable and favorable. So, experimenting with other ways of betting really works for some and doesn't for the others. So if you are one of the kind that works with this strategy and you are happily making your way through it, all you have to do is to be consistent with it. And if the strategy doesn't work anymore, then that's the time again that you need to find something new for whatever is going to work for you, you should stay unless they don't work anymore. Time really comes that specific strategies that we used to work with will have their own fading times.

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Quote from: freedomgo on May 19, 2024, 05:42:26 PM

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

That seems perhaps a bit of a silly question - surely everyone who picks a sports bet is confident that they are choosing the right bet, otherwise they would not place it. The flip side is that you assume people place bets that they know they are going to lose. What you might be getting at and I doubt many people here are doing it enough, is whether they are tracking profitability of bets placed. It's often a rather simple question, as many bookmakers will tell you how much profit or loss you've made over the entire length of your account history. Most people will be in the negative, because that is the very basis of how bookmakers make money, and the few who are in the positive have probably been restricted once they get too far into positive territory as an unprofitable customer.

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Quote from: freedomgo on May 19, 2024, 05:42:26 PM

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

In as much as I don't really believe on luck but I would actually say that you won the bet based on luck because even when you play the game you never believe that you could win the bet so perhaps that's the reason I believe that is just a lucky win because funny enough if you should tried that method again there is a high chance that it may not actually turn out the way the first one did, however there are numerous gamblers that has use that method to win there gambling bet and I also have a friend who hardly win his betting but the moment he just decided to random pick a games without properly checking and to his greatest surprised he won the bet.

Although if you are into football betting I will suggest that you cut down a bit of your picking because sometimes the reasons why majority of gamblers normally lose there bet is as a results of picking so many games on there betting slip were as most of them will play according to your prediction while others will not play, so perhaps if you reduced the games to maybe two or three games it will surely increase your chances of winning, however I have seen people using this method and it works for them most times.

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Quote from: freedomgo on May 19, 2024, 05:42:26 PM

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Most of the time when I lose with my picks, it doesn't come as a straight lose but a losing because of my actions,take for example in a situation where I bet on a particular games let say I bet on Chelsea to win the match and along the line like in the first half of the match I saw that Chelsea is losing with a goal to their opponents, and instead of waiting for the full time of the match I go ahead to cash out my little remaining balance, but at the end of the day, the match come out winning for Chelsea.

In this kind of scenario, I won in my pick if I have wait out for the entire game time, but ultimately I lost the bet since I already cashed out when the club was losing earlier, this kind of outcome becomes the reality of my own bet.

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