When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time? - page 5.

Agbamoni

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Quote from: coolcoinz on May 24, 2024, 02:09:39 PM

Unfortunately no. I had a lot of picks in my life where I was pretty confident and they turned out to be disappointing.

A great example was world cup 2018 where everybody was betting for the Germans (former champions) to get at the very least to semifinals and they ended on 20th something place. I had so many bets where I felt strong over the years. Especially in UFC you can never be sure, like in that last fight where Gaethje was knocked out in the last minute of the last round.

Guess this things happen most in soccer betting. I have made a lot of bets which i knew was a.clear stand for me but unfortunately i lost. Football betting is unpredictable and i understand. There is no match that is 100% accurate and it one cannot be confident that the game will play. In most cases when we are confident is when we need the bet to win so badly funny enough when we dont need it so badly that is when we would win in the game.

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Quote from: Gozie51 on May 23, 2024, 09:02:10 AM

Quote from: Miles2006 on May 23, 2024, 05:25:49 AM

Talking about confidence, I’m always confident about my bet but confidence will never get me my right choice so I’m used to viewing the end result win or lose.

I have seen so many gamblers who were confident of their game but at the end of it the game ended in loses. So despite how confident we believe that our bet will win, we still have to play cool about our bet until it finally end in FT. In fact some gamblers are very confident sometimes that they still go ahead to rebet outside the original bet that there game must win.

Being confident of your bet doesn't make it play as predicted. I get to keep my confidence level in check going by the mistakes made by other gambler's who out of much confidence have lost a trembling amount of money. Confidence on their game playing probably due to the source of games makes them stake in high amount of cash that isn't what they can afford to lose. Nothing about gambling is sure so I wonder the too much confidence from people about their bet.

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Quote from: Wapfika on May 24, 2024, 02:14:21 PM

Quote from: freedomgo on May 19, 2024, 05:42:26 PM

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

I’m a seasonal sports bettor because I only place bet in sports that I watch closely to make my bets more accurate.

I have a higher winning rate on sports betting because I usually focus on quality of my bets rather than quantity so I only bets on matches that I have high confidence to win regardless of how low the odds is.

Some people aim for higher odds that’s why they keep chasing complicated matches that makes them lose frequently no matter how confident they are with their bets since they are forcing picks limited to high odds that makes it naturally complicated to win.

You make a fair point on valuing quality over quantity with sports bets. Just trying to chase the best odds can get you into trouble by taking on too much risk and i'd say it's smarter to zero in on wagers with strong value, even if the odds are just decent and not through the roof.

That said, if your picks keep missing the mark, it makes sense to reevaluate your approach. But there's a difference between overthinking past choices versus taking in new info. Maybe a key guy just got hurt or there was a last-second change to the roster that shakes up your original analysis. In those cases changing up your selection could be the right call.

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Quote from: coolcoinz on May 24, 2024, 02:09:39 PM

Unfortunately no. I had a lot of picks in my life where I was pretty confident and they turned out to be disappointing.

A great example was world cup 2018 where everybody was betting for the Germans (former champions) to get at the very least to semifinals and they ended on 20th something place. I had so many bets where I felt strong over the years. Especially in UFC you can never be sure, like in that last fight where Gaethje was knocked out in the last minute of the last round.

Yes, all of us would really be having that same experience when it comes to this manner on which we would really be having those kind of thoughts and assumptions that we are really that on the winning side since you are really that confident with your choice or bet with having those good analysis and prediction basing up on what you do know and from your experience until the moment you have seen that different outcome then it would really be bringing out that kind of disappointment but well if you are someone who do make bets just for the sake of fun and not minding much about making money then you wont really be that much stressful in compared into those people who do target out on making money with gambling or sports betting or whatsover that they are dealing with.

nara1892

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I can't be sure if my choices make me more happy and joyful or make me disappointed, I can't be sure enough to know if my choices are always right or miss when gambling, but it is a fact that maybe other people also experience the same thing where when I am confident in my predictions but in the end the results at the end of the session are disappointing, or vice versa when I really gamble desperately and don't really care about the results and I actually win.

It's quite confusing but this is gambling and I think it's normal for this to happen because I understand that in gambling no matter how confident you are with the predictions you think are right, there is no denying that in the end there is always the possibility for you to experience disappointment. And this is why lately I prefer to be neutral about the gambling activities that I do, or that means I don't put too much hope in winning and also I don't put too much confidence in the predictions I choose, simply put I will assume that if I win then it means I'm lucky, and nothing more than that.

Wapfika

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Quote from: freedomgo on May 19, 2024, 05:42:26 PM

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

I’m a seasonal sports bettor because I only place bet in sports that I watch closely to make my bets more accurate.

I have a higher winning rate on sports betting because I usually focus on quality of my bets rather than quantity so I only bets on matches that I have high confidence to win regardless of how low the odds is.

Some people aim for higher odds that’s why they keep chasing complicated matches that makes them lose frequently no matter how confident they are with their bets since they are forcing picks limited to high odds that makes it naturally complicated to win.

coolcoinz

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Unfortunately no. I had a lot of picks in my life where I was pretty confident and they turned out to be disappointing.

A great example was world cup 2018 where everybody was betting for the Germans (former champions) to get at the very least to semifinals and they ended on 20th something place. I had so many bets where I felt strong over the years. Especially in UFC you can never be sure, like in that last fight where Gaethje was knocked out in the last minute of the last round.

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Quote from: Tmoonz on May 24, 2024, 12:08:24 PM

Quote from: freedomgo on May 19, 2024, 05:42:26 PM

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

The concepts of this thread is very hilarious, personally I have only thought about this I haven't practiced it, is quite funny and it will take extral mind for any one play against his picks, I know it is a reality in the game of sports betting where at most times the unfortunate opposite will be become the surprising outcome how funny could that be. But however, it is a fact that every gambler has to accept, no certainty or guarantee towards whatever that might be your favorite picks , betting is a game of try your luck and shouldn't be completely rely on, the reason why it is always advisable not to gamble with more than what you can afford to lose, know your limit and stand by it.

I do not find it hilarious, rather it should be able to make OP think outside the box when next he places a bet. I think OP just experimented it by playing against his picks since his picks are usually not in his favour. Fortunately for him, his new decision paid off. This brings me to these conclusions, probably OP always places bets base on how he feels about the teams involved. His emotions plays the most role in the choices he makes. Now he understands where he got it wrong all along, he can take better approaches while placing bets next time. This is gambling and ofcourse there is no 100% guarantee that any strategy is the best, but the most important thing to note is that you are not the one aiding your losses with your wrong decisions all the time.

Tmoonz

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Quote from: freedomgo on May 19, 2024, 05:42:26 PM

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

The concepts of this thread is very hilarious, personally I have only thought about this I haven't practiced it, is quite funny and it will take extral mind for any one play against his picks, I know it is a reality in the game of sports betting where at most times the unfortunate opposite will be become the surprising outcome how funny could that be. But however, it is a fact that every gambler has to accept, no certainty or guarantee towards whatever that might be your favorite picks , betting is a game of try your luck and shouldn't be completely rely on, the reason why it is always advisable not to gamble with more than what you can afford to lose, know your limit and stand by it.

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Quote from: ethereumhunter on May 24, 2024, 09:57:09 AM

Quote from: KennyR on May 24, 2024, 12:56:47 AM

According to the information from the OP, it looks like he had bad luck with his recent gambling activities. Right now, it is really hard to come to a conclusion about whether to continue with the instinct of the mind or go against the mind, as the recent picks were all lost bets. In my view, rather than going against the mind, it is good to take a break because when luck isn't favoring us, whatever way we try, we're not going to win. Even sports betting is connected with luck, though 90% depends on the data collection and recent match history, the remaining 10% is completely on luck. When the 10% isn't supportive, the bet is once again going to lose.

Many people have the same experienced like @OP so that should makes us realizes that playing gambling will not gives wins to us easily. We must knows that we can only use gambling to have fun instead to chase the wins or recover our lose so we will not trying to use more money to playing gambling. Yeah, takes a break will be the good solution to calm down our minds thinks about gambling so we can save our money from the lose. We can't predict when our luck will comes and if we already lose for some money, we must stops our gambling activity and not keeps playing gambling to chase the wins. We will difficult to do that because gambling will not gives that to us and even we can lose much money if we can't realizes the situation. Many people already lose much money but we can prevents that happens to us.

Many gamblers still fall for that, taking gambling as means to earn quick big money without minding to accept the obvious fact about gambling which is fun and nothing else, most of them that have experienced some bad outcome from gambling all dis so because of the false belief that gambling can be taken as a short caught to gaining wealth.
That is the reason why most gambling addicts are as a result of greed and misplaced judgment about gambling and how to handle it outcomes.

Best to stay away from gambling if you know you have problems with just gambling for fun and also ready to lose all that you gamble with, and still be ok because at that point you will be a balance gambler regardless of what the outcome of the games could become.

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Quote from: KennyR on May 24, 2024, 12:56:47 AM

According to the information from the OP, it looks like he had bad luck with his recent gambling activities. Right now, it is really hard to come to a conclusion about whether to continue with the instinct of the mind or go against the mind, as the recent picks were all lost bets. In my view, rather than going against the mind, it is good to take a break because when luck isn't favoring us, whatever way we try, we're not going to win. Even sports betting is connected with luck, though 90% depends on the data collection and recent match history, the remaining 10% is completely on luck. When the 10% isn't supportive, the bet is once again going to lose.

Many people have the same experienced like @OP so that should makes us realizes that playing gambling will not gives wins to us easily. We must knows that we can only use gambling to have fun instead to chase the wins or recover our lose so we will not trying to use more money to playing gambling. Yeah, takes a break will be the good solution to calm down our minds thinks about gambling so we can save our money from the lose. We can't predict when our luck will comes and if we already lose for some money, we must stops our gambling activity and not keeps playing gambling to chase the wins. We will difficult to do that because gambling will not gives that to us and even we can lose much money if we can't realizes the situation. Many people already lose much money but we can prevents that happens to us.

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Quote from: KennyR on May 24, 2024, 12:56:47 AM

According to the information from the OP, it looks like he had bad luck with his recent gambling activities. Right now, it is really hard to come to a conclusion about whether to continue with the instinct of the mind or go against the mind, as the recent picks were all lost bets. In my view, rather than going against the mind, it is good to take a break because when luck isn't favoring us, whatever way we try, we're not going to win. Even sports betting is connected with luck, though 90% depends on the data collection and recent match history, the remaining 10% is completely on luck. When the 10% isn't supportive, the bet is once again going to lose.

That's tough when you keep fading yourself, as it's never fun to gamble like that. If we are not winning, then we should check our strategy and improve it. It's never a good strategy to keep betting against yourself, as eventually, you'll also experience a losing streak, which might cause you to lose confidence in betting. It's important to understand that there's no fixed strategy that works in sports betting. If we really want to succeed, we need to act based on the current situation and make adjustments when necessary, as odds markets are also doing the same. We have to level with them.

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According to the information from the OP, it looks like he had bad luck with his recent gambling activities. Right now, it is really hard to come to a conclusion about whether to continue with the instinct of the mind or go against the mind, as the recent picks were all lost bets. In my view, rather than going against the mind, it is good to take a break because when luck isn't favoring us, whatever way we try, we're not going to win. Even sports betting is connected with luck, though 90% depends on the data collection and recent match history, the remaining 10% is completely on luck. When the 10% isn't supportive, the bet is once again going to lose.

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Quote from: rachael9385 on May 21, 2024, 02:53:09 PM

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Quote from: Agbamoni on May 19, 2024, 06:20:27 PM

No, confidence does not bring winning in gambling. It only brings about hope that we would win in a particular bet. Infact most of the times i was confidence with the game i had selected i mostly don't win because i choose the games out of passion and not based on the quality and performances of the team which i mostly experience in sports gambling.

Gambling is luck, which means once luck is on your side you will win. If your bets were analyzed well then there are also chances of you wining as well. Sometimes i just take a few games like two or three then i use a big amount to stake it, it mostly come out well anytime i do this.

Confidence somehow determines the outcome of the game if you are involved in the sport. Some people gamble with computer games that they control. In such a case, the gambler needs confidence to win the game. When it comes to sports betting you have to rely on your analysis and luck. Choosing games out of passion without considering the current performance of the clubs might always bring losses.

I think I have to totally disagree with this.
However everyone have their own opinions about gambling, but from my end, I beliefs that gamble is not a thing someone should be sure if, even when you are winning or losing you shouldn't be too sure and over confidential about your picks or predictions because that's nothing, you might be sure about the whole predictions but the truth remains that if you are not lucky, you can't be able to win both small or big money.

I think you didn't understand what I said mate or maybe I didn't explain it well. I was not just discussing about online betting but gambling generally. I gave an example of people who gamble with computer games that they have to engaged in. Since the person's skills will determine the outcome of the game, he needs some level of confidence to win. There are times people gamble on sports they are playing. I see some people stake money on who wins a street football match. The players no doubt needs some level of confidence to play and win the game. But when it comes to sports bets or casino games in formal gambling houses, confidence plays little or no effect. These games are largely determined by luck, so gamblers have to express some level of control and not confidence.

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Just because you're confident with your picks in your bets doesn't mean that you're going to increase the odds of your bet becoming the winning bet, maybe if everyone that's got a lot of sports knowledge and sports common sense are in agreement or is confident that they're going to be the winner then that's probably the only time that you can be confident that your bet is going to make you win something. @STT said it best, your confidence would matter where it will come from because if it's coming from nothing then there's really nothing show for it and it's just not doing anything, maybe self-confidence do count at some level but there's a fine line right?

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Quote from: freedomgo on May 19, 2024, 05:42:26 PM

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

Gambling is luck dependent, so if you are unlikely then your prediction will not work. it doesn’t matter how confident you are. so you will not able to pick the winner team you are not lucky. so always bet small amount which you are afford to loss. gambling will not guarantee you win Everytime.

Quote

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

A good guess on sports is predicting which team is likely to win. however, no guarantee can be given. so if you want to bet, you have to bet with risk Gambling behaves the same way for me so I can't say that I can win gambling with my confidence. I also bet with risk and always bet an amount that I can afford to lose. I think this is a good strategy.

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Not really, because my overall results are in loss.

I only bet when I feel confident and the match that I interested to watch, so even though I lose, if the match is really exciting and make me happy, even I lose my bet, it's fine.

Quote from: Ever-young on May 23, 2024, 11:25:31 PM

And this is the exactly way I feel, it's better for me to lose by listening to my instincts than for someone to suggest for me or I follow other people strategy especially for those that has being winning and I feel like I should try their method since I'm not winning with my own strategy and I end up losing, I will feel very very pained and angry too, I will end up regretting.

So it's better I losing by having confidence in myself and that self confidence makes me to win at times, even if it's little, it makes me happy even when I lose too.

By nature, when people lose their bets or it didn't go to directions that they predicted, they will seek something to blame. So if you bet by relying on someone, you will blame him. But if you bet by yourself, you will blame the match and it didn't really hurt you since it's almost impossible you can contact and make a conversation with the popular players than the tipster, friend etc.

Ever-young

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Quote from: Yogee on May 19, 2024, 05:59:08 PM

I feel more comfortable losing by following my analysis than by going against it but I still do that sometimes to break the pattern or the losing streak. The problem is I didn't keep a record so I cannot really compare. If going by memory alone then I guess it's 1 or 2 out of 3 and then I go back to my usual style.

And this is the exactly way I feel, it's better for me to lose by listening to my instincts than for someone to suggest for me or I follow other people strategy especially for those that has being winning and I feel like I should try their method since I'm not winning with my own strategy and I end up losing, I will feel very very pained and angry too, I will end up regretting.

So it's better I losing by having confidence in myself and that self confidence makes me to win at times, even if it's little, it makes me happy even when I lose too.

STT

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Depends where you confidence is coming from, if Im confident that I have thought out the bet and possibilities vs the odds given then that will improve my chances over a random bet. Confidence from experience and knowledge does justify the higher possibility of winning. The problem of course is over confidence and self deception on the surety of your decisions and conclusions as to the bet risks.

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Quote from: shivansps on May 22, 2024, 05:01:46 PM

Interesting strategy. I think at the initial stage it may bring results, but over time it will not be profitable. What I mean is that over time a person will still want to make the right bets to make money. After all, as long as it brings results, then you follow this tactic, but when this strategy does not bring results, you will understand that
that was a mistake. That is, over time, as I believe, a person will still return to making bets intelligently and not vice versa. I haven't done that, but it's an interesting idea.

I think that as time goes by and we gain experience in the game, of course we learn, and that is reflected in intelligent players, or rather intelligent decisions. I think things always happen for a reason, there are many people who have large amounts of money and yet when they play and lose they don't learn, so that is something that needs to be improved and sometimes the epron don't care, they are not interested in improving their way of playing, but they are dedicated only to playing, so I think the smartest way to play is before playing when you establish a money that you are wWilling to lose by playing in the casino.

Topic: When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time? - page 5. (Read 818 times)