Many still believe that Heat will not succeed in going to the Finals.
I'm actually surprised seeing the current spread, Heat is +2.5 in their home court, and I have a feeling that it will go +3.5 as the game schedule is approaching.
Heat has to play harder, and show some consistency as I don't think Butler would be able to score 47 points again, not in game 7 where the game will be so physical.
Heat is not seen as a team that can have a clear path to a title, because they have a lot of players who shoot well, but since that 27 threes missed in a row by Rockets, nobody really trusts a team that wins so many games win three pointing. If they had a few other places where they are amazing, above league average clearly, then they would have gotten it.
I would say that they have a chance to win, but it all depends on their shots falling on the last game, I know it sounds like a cliche and obvious, but I wouldn't say this if it wasn't that much obvious difference. All in all I believe that they are going to be awesome in the long run in couple of years, they have a very young core.