We will have two state classics in the next round of the Brazilian championship: Flamengo x Fluminese and Gremio x Internacional. I wouldn't bet on either of these games, because in classics anything can happen. Perhaps an interesting match to bet on is Juventude x Palmeiras and Vasco x São Paulo, of which I would bet on Palmeiras and São Paulo to win.
Most matches feature most teams occupying roughly the same place in the league table, making betting a little more complicated.
You say something that makes sense, in classics the teams become much more competitive, there are fights between players, many violent fouls and occasionally wars between fans, that's why I say, Brazilian football is not for amateurs.Most matches feature most teams occupying roughly the same place in the league table, making betting a little more complicated.
It's no wonder that the Brasileirão attracts so much attention even internationally. We are the most competitive (and also barbaric) in the world heheh
You're right, I hadn't seen São Paulo x Vasco (which is a relatively easy team to beat) on the list.
yes, some games are much harder than other ones
what about playing at home or away, do you really think it makes a difference?
part of me believes it should but the other is skeptical about it
I don't know
I'm skeptical about this, I don't see much difference in the fans. If one team is good and the other is bad, the fans shouting as loud as possible won't change anything on the field. The bad team will continue to be bad and the good team will only score goals.
do you know what would be nice? checking the data, these gambling websites that have sports betting probably have some about it and I remember there are some websites that track games too
I think it may affect it a little bit but as a minor thing, not a huge one, and maybe it affects more on teams that are simmilar levels
or on really important games
It may be, but only under very specific conditions. I think it is valid for this to occur, but only under these conditions, as it is not something that commonly occurs in confrontations, which is why I remain skeptical. But I believe that in extraordinary situations this may occur.
I found an article comparing a question we didn't even think about
https://sites.northwestern.edu/nusportsanalytics/2020/12/13/home-field-advantage-what-difference-do-fans-make/
maybe even how many fans there are on the stadium could affect win rate
for this I'm more skeptical since the divergence could be only normal statistical variance and nothing significative
any thoughts on this too?
It's an interesting fact and confirms what I already thought. It doesn't affect it that much, the correlation is very small. And if you think that he used American football to measure the data, it gets more complicated. I believe that fans change from sport to sport, but it's still pretty close.
Anyway, I still think the same thing: fans don't change much. They haven't even entered the field to play yet.
