Pages:
Author

Topic: nrd525 Market Tracker - page 18. (Read 82745 times)

legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
December 11, 2018, 03:03:08 PM
Recently realized that I should always resist the urge to have a precise target. Target prices should always be ranges.  There are many possible floor prices which each have different probabilities.  If you do this, then you should almost always have money on the side waiting for the price to fall further (especially if you don't have a stream of new income coming in that you plan to invest).

I don't think $3210 was the bottom, but there is always a chance that it could be (say 5%).  It looks like we're crashing into the $2000s and maybe even the lower range ($2000-$2500).  I'm not sure if any of the "analysts" have any support levels in the $2000s in which case it'll be harder to bottom there.  But Bitcoin has done weird things before.  And it makes sense that we'll create some new support levels betweeen $1200 and $3000 because the range is so large.
legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
December 09, 2018, 10:47:24 PM
Litecoin is around 93% off its $360 high.   Maybe it never really held any authority/value for being the oldest alt-coin.  The other old alt-coins never amounted to much (Name Coin and was it Peercoin or PPC?).

The hype/news/promo makes the coin and even though Bitcoin Cash (ABC and SV) are flailing around, they are still very popular.
legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
December 08, 2018, 03:18:54 PM
New low $3210 (Bitstamp). 
legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
November 27, 2018, 08:26:48 PM
I've placed major bid orders from 1k to 2k.

I'm not sure whether to call you an optimist or a pessimist. The odds of it going that low are minuscule.

A reminder that I was more into a 1k-2k bottom, before I went with 3k.
legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
November 27, 2018, 07:18:02 PM
https://medium.com/bitfinex/bitfinex-announces-tether-neutrality-and-launches-new-stablecoin-pairs-a84b7ccbfd86

I'm confused. Shouldn't Tether trade for 1 USD on Bitfinex?  Or have they finally fixed their withdrawal issues?
legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
November 27, 2018, 06:38:24 PM
Tone Vays endorses my 3k target!  (well 3.2k)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=39GL75FNpJQ
Around the 8:20 minute mark
legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
November 25, 2018, 02:37:27 PM
New low $3450.  Ha, I was going to post that the previous low looked like it might hold for a while.  3k might not hold (of course me saying 3k might not hold is a sign of capitulation).

I still think the altcoins need to decouple a bit more (and drop in price) vs bitcoin.  Though in the last bull market the alts peaked after bitcoin, so they could bottom before or after bitcoin does.  (I'd been thinking they'd do it before - but that might be weak reasoning).
legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
November 24, 2018, 07:14:00 PM
PM me if you want to send me a BTC (or other) donation =)

$3645 (Coinbase/Bitstamp).
legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
November 20, 2018, 04:17:00 PM
Buying at 4780 and lower (more heavily in the 2k-3.5k range).   Bitcoin down to 4220 (Coinbase).  I think the altcoins are in for an even bigger fall. For instance, XRP is holding up at 44 cents.

Bitfinex longs
https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSDLONGS/

Bitfinex shorts.
https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSDSHORTS/
legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
November 19, 2018, 03:27:14 PM
4865 on Bitstamp and Coinbase (good job arbitragers!).    5030 on Bitfinex (Hi Tether bag holders)

legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
November 15, 2018, 12:54:56 PM
Down to 5190 on Bitstamp/Coinbase!
legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
November 14, 2018, 01:09:58 PM
Bitcoin 5558 on Coinbase.  (4-5% more on Bitfinex).  No news behind it. Other than breaking the downward sloping triangle and many us have been expecting a breakdown for months.

I guess if we've learned anything from Bitcoin Cash - don't under-estimate the hard forkers.  Though Craig Wright is a largely unlikeable maniac who lacks 1/10th of the marketing skills of Roger Ver.  On the other hand, he has impressive mining pool power.  So we saw BitcoinCash goes as high as 0.4 - 0.5 BTC (especially on the Coinbase market where trading was frozen/highly irregular).

Each hard (or soft) fork should generally be weaker than prior ones (ex. see how bitcoin gold, diamond, and super bitcoin have petered out).  However Bitcoin Cash has a small market cap and is easier to manipulate.
legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
November 13, 2018, 03:27:26 PM
The Bitcoin Cash fork is hilarious.  Craig Wright is perhaps even more annoying than Roger Ver.

https://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-cashs-hash-war-solidifies-as-network-hard-fork-approaches
legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
October 24, 2018, 09:31:52 PM
Stock market decline is looking nice and bearish.
legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
September 26, 2018, 04:30:51 PM
It's amazing how much smaller the bounces are getting.  We're on dead cat bounce #6?  Depends on how you count them.
legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
September 25, 2018, 09:42:14 PM
https://www.coindesk.com/mt-gox-has-sold-170-million-in-btc-and-bch-since-march/
Fairly surprised that the impact on the market has been so minimal. If they stop selling, we might even go up.
legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
September 20, 2018, 08:55:21 PM
I think the various FB and other (YouTube finance?) algorithms are dangerous in creating groupthink or bias. For instance, several algos might have figured out that I like stories about bubbles and upcoming recession/crisis/bear market.  

Maybe I should be getting all my economic news from a browser where I always dump the cache, and/or use the privacy mode?

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/18/opinion/economy-debt-markets-crash.html
legendary
Activity: 1867
Merit: 1023
September 11, 2018, 04:19:18 PM
Everything Crash, Ethiopians.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QZqVUblgWxY
sr. member
Activity: 658
Merit: 282
September 09, 2018, 10:41:55 AM
BTC dominance 56%.  ETH 190 (recent low of 185).  BTC holding on at 6180 (surprisingly stlil above 6k).   How much of this is Vitalik saying something along the lines of ETH could fall to zero?


I think BTC is holding these levels, because the current price
is only marginally above the average cost of mining a single
Bitcoin.

I don´t think Vitalik´s statements have anything to do with
the ETH decline. It is just a combination of a lack of interest
in ICOs (only 3 ICOs raised more than 25M $ in the 3rd quarter
of 2018 so far) and previous ICOs that are looking to liquidate their
ETH, which is providing continuous downward pressure on the
ETH price.

Better to get rid of ETH at 190 $ than at 40 $ (a price level,
which is not too far away).
Pages:
Jump to: